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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Reading 1–1 Luton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 4.75 fair 3.29
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.55
Away 1.80 fair 2.41
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.67
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Luton
10 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 5
10 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (511 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.04 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 12.7% 1–0 10.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.02scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 43:62
Luton before this match, all matches
1.76points / match
1.26scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 53:36
Reading all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.02 Goals scored 1.26
1.48 Goals conceded 0.86
2.50 Total goals 2.12
9.50 Shots 11.90
3.02 Shots on target 3.79
12.36 Shots faced 10.79
4.21 Corners 5.98
5.21 Corners against 4.74
10.55 Fouls 12.67
2.00 Yellow cards 1.95
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

31% Wins 48%
21% Draws 33%
48% Losses 19%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
71% Over 1.5 goals 67%
52% Over 2.5 goals 31%
24% Over 3.5 goals 17%
7% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 2%
50% Both teams scored 43%
19% Clean sheets 45%
36% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 40%
48% Draws 45%
33% Losses 14%
67% Over 0.5 goals 64%
31% Over 1.5 goals 26%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Luton all matches
Reading before this match, at home
1.71points / match
1.38scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 29:22
Luton before this match, away
1.86points / match
1.14scored / match
0.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 24:16
Reading at home away Luton

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.14
1.05 Goals conceded 0.76
2.43 Total goals 1.90
10.24 Shots 9.57
3.33 Shots on target 3.33
11.05 Shots faced 11.24
3.90 Corners 4.62
4.76 Corners against 4.90
11.57 Fouls 13.29
2.14 Yellow cards 2.43
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

48% Wins 52%
29% Draws 29%
24% Losses 19%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
76% Over 1.5 goals 71%
52% Over 2.5 goals 24%
19% Over 3.5 goals 5%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 33%
24% Clean sheets 52%
24% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
48% Draws 57%
24% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Reading – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.001.53 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Preston – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.254.00 2.20 1.67
07.04.23 Reading – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.002.63 2.63 1.50
01.04.23 Bristol City – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.505.00 2.30 1.62
18.03.23 Reading – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.402.50 2.38 1.57
15.03.23 Blackburn – Reading 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 2.10 1.73
11.03.23 Reading – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.30 1.62
07.03.23 Reading – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.98 1.88
04.03.23 Middlesbrough – Reading 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.506.50 1.85 2.00
25.02.23 Reading – Blackpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 2.10 1.73

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.301.95 2.30 1.62
10.04.23 Luton – Blackpool 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.007.00 2.00 1.80
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
18.03.23 Sunderland – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.20 1.67
15.03.23 Luton – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.73
11.03.23 Sheffield United – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Luton – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
28.02.23 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.103.60 2.63 1.50
25.02.23 Birmingham – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.30 1.62

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Reading – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.001.53 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Reading – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.002.63 2.63 1.50
18.03.23 Reading – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.402.50 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Reading – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.30 1.62
07.03.23 Reading – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.601.75 1.98 1.88
25.02.23 Reading – Blackpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 2.10 1.73
14.02.23 Reading – Rotherham 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.20 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Reading – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Reading – QPR 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.67
27.12.22 Reading – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Rotherham – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.301.95 2.30 1.62
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
18.03.23 Sunderland – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Sheffield United – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.20 1.67
25.02.23 Birmingham – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.30 1.62
15.02.23 Preston – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.002.70 2.38 1.57
11.02.23 Coventry – Luton 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 Wigan – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.20 1.67
01.01.23 Huddersfield – Luton 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 2.20 1.67
29.12.22 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsLuton wins
3matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.22E1 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
07.05.22E1 Luton – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.66 2.20
19.01.22E1 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 42 26 14 2 80 32 +48 92
2 Sheffield United 42 25 7 10 65 36 +29 82
3 Luton 42 20 14 8 53 36 +17 74
4 Middlesbrough 42 21 8 13 79 51 +28 71
5 Millwall 43 18 11 14 50 42 +8 65
6 Blackburn 42 19 7 16 46 48 -2 64
7 West Brom 42 17 12 13 54 45 +9 63
8 Coventry 43 16 15 12 53 44 +9 63
9 Sunderland 43 16 14 13 61 52 +9 62
10 Norwich 43 17 11 15 56 48 +8 62
11 Preston 43 17 11 15 43 51 -8 62
12 Watford 43 15 14 14 52 50 +2 59
13 Swansea 43 16 11 16 61 61 0 59
14 Bristol City 43 13 14 16 50 53 -3 53
15 Birmingham 43 14 11 18 46 53 -7 53
16 Hull 42 13 14 15 48 57 -9 53
17 Stoke 43 14 10 19 54 50 +4 52
18 Reading 42 13 9 20 43 62 -19 48
19 Rotherham 42 10 16 16 46 56 -10 46
20 Cardiff 42 12 9 21 37 51 -14 45
21 Huddersfield 43 11 11 21 42 61 -19 44
22 QPR 43 11 11 21 41 68 -27 44
23 Wigan 43 9 13 21 35 63 -28 40
24 Blackpool 43 9 11 23 44 69 -25 38
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 15 6 0 45 13 +32 51
2 Sheffield United 21 14 3 4 41 18 +23 45
3 Middlesbrough 21 12 6 3 42 17 +25 42
4 Blackburn 21 13 3 5 26 17 +9 42
5 Millwall 22 11 6 5 31 18 +13 39
6 West Brom 21 10 7 4 28 17 +11 37
7 Watford 22 10 6 6 33 23 +10 36
8 Reading 21 10 6 5 29 22 +7 36
9 Luton 21 9 8 4 29 20 +9 35
10 Swansea 22 10 4 8 35 30 +5 34
11 Coventry 21 9 7 5 26 23 +3 34
12 Bristol City 21 8 7 6 27 21 +6 31
13 Rotherham 21 8 6 7 35 28 +7 30
14 Norwich 21 8 5 8 27 23 +4 29
15 Sunderland 22 7 8 7 31 31 0 29
16 Hull 21 8 5 8 22 26 -4 29
17 Birmingham 21 7 6 8 23 21 +2 27
18 Huddersfield 21 7 6 8 23 25 -2 27
19 Preston 21 7 6 8 19 24 -5 27
20 Cardiff 21 6 6 9 18 21 -3 24
21 Blackpool 22 6 6 10 26 31 -5 24
22 Stoke 22 6 5 11 25 26 -1 23
23 QPR 22 6 5 11 21 33 -12 23
24 Wigan 21 4 6 11 15 34 -19 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 35 19 +16 41
2 Luton 21 11 6 4 24 16 +8 39
3 Sheffield United 21 11 4 6 24 18 +6 37
4 Preston 22 10 5 7 24 27 -3 35
5 Sunderland 21 9 6 6 30 21 +9 33
6 Norwich 22 9 6 7 29 25 +4 33
7 Coventry 22 7 8 7 27 21 +6 29
8 Stoke 21 8 5 8 29 24 +5 29
9 Middlesbrough 21 9 2 10 37 34 +3 29
10 West Brom 21 7 5 9 26 28 -2 26
11 Millwall 21 7 5 9 19 24 -5 26
12 Birmingham 22 7 5 10 23 32 -9 26
13 Swansea 21 6 7 8 26 31 -5 25
14 Hull 21 5 9 7 26 31 -5 24
15 Watford 21 5 8 8 19 27 -8 23
16 Bristol City 22 5 7 10 23 32 -9 22
17 Wigan 22 5 7 10 20 29 -9 22
18 Blackburn 21 6 4 11 20 31 -11 22
19 Cardiff 21 6 3 12 19 30 -11 21
20 QPR 21 5 6 10 20 35 -15 21
21 Huddersfield 22 4 5 13 19 36 -17 17
22 Rotherham 21 2 10 9 11 28 -17 16
23 Blackpool 21 3 5 13 18 38 -20 14
24 Reading 21 3 3 15 14 40 -26 12

Reading   Luton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 42 14 28 1.9 1.2 21 8 13 79 51 71
2 13 Swansea 43 19 24 1.4 1.4 16 11 16 61 61 59
3 9 Sunderland 43 21 22 1.4 1.2 16 14 13 61 52 62
4 18 Reading 42 20 22 1.0 1.5 13 9 20 43 62 48
5 22 QPR 43 21 22 1.0 1.6 11 11 21 41 68 44
6 1 Burnley 42 21 21 1.9 0.8 26 14 2 80 32 92
7 24 Blackpool 43 22 21 1.0 1.6 9 11 23 44 69 38
8 17 Stoke 43 23 20 1.3 1.2 14 10 19 54 50 52
9 19 Rotherham 42 22 20 1.1 1.3 10 16 16 46 56 46
10 10 Norwich 43 24 19 1.3 1.1 17 11 15 56 48 62
11 21 Huddersfield 43 24 19 1.0 1.4 11 11 21 42 61 44
12 6 Blackburn 42 24 18 1.1 1.1 19 7 16 46 48 64
13 11 Preston 43 25 18 1.0 1.2 17 11 15 43 51 62
14 15 Birmingham 43 25 18 1.1 1.2 14 11 18 46 53 53
15 16 Hull 42 24 18 1.1 1.4 13 14 15 48 57 53
16 2 Sheffield United 42 25 17 1.5 0.9 25 7 10 65 36 82
17 12 Watford 43 26 17 1.2 1.2 15 14 14 52 50 59
18 14 Bristol City 43 27 16 1.2 1.2 13 14 16 50 53 53
19 23 Wigan 43 27 16 0.8 1.5 9 13 21 35 63 40
20 5 Millwall 43 28 15 1.2 1.0 18 11 14 50 42 65
21 8 Coventry 43 28 15 1.2 1.0 16 15 12 53 44 63
22 7 West Brom 42 28 14 1.3 1.1 17 12 13 54 45 63
23 3 Luton 42 29 13 1.3 0.9 20 14 8 53 36 74
24 20 Cardiff 42 29 13 0.9 1.2 12 9 21 37 51 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Swansea 22 9 13 1.6 1.4 10 4 8 35 30 34
2 19 Rotherham 21 8 13 1.7 1.3 8 6 7 35 28 30
3 1 Burnley 21 9 12 2.1 0.6 15 6 0 45 13 51
4 4 Middlesbrough 21 9 12 2.0 0.8 12 6 3 42 17 42
5 9 Sunderland 22 10 12 1.4 1.4 7 8 7 31 31 29
6 22 QPR 22 10 12 1.0 1.5 6 5 11 21 33 23
7 2 Sheffield United 21 10 11 2.0 0.9 14 3 4 41 18 45
8 18 Reading 21 10 11 1.4 1.0 10 6 5 29 22 36
9 12 Watford 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 10 6 6 33 23 36
10 17 Stoke 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 6 5 11 25 26 23
11 24 Blackpool 22 12 10 1.2 1.4 6 6 10 26 31 24
12 10 Norwich 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 8 5 8 27 23 29
13 16 Hull 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 8 5 8 22 26 29
14 3 Luton 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 9 8 4 29 20 35
15 5 Millwall 22 14 8 1.4 0.8 11 6 5 31 18 39
16 6 Blackburn 21 13 8 1.2 0.8 13 3 5 26 17 42
17 11 Preston 21 13 8 0.9 1.1 7 6 8 19 24 27
18 15 Birmingham 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 7 6 8 23 21 27
19 21 Huddersfield 21 13 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 8 23 25 27
20 8 Coventry 21 14 7 1.2 1.1 9 7 5 26 23 34
21 14 Bristol City 21 14 7 1.3 1.0 8 7 6 27 21 31
22 23 Wigan 21 14 7 0.7 1.6 4 6 11 15 34 18
23 7 West Brom 21 16 5 1.3 0.8 10 7 4 28 17 37
24 20 Cardiff 21 16 5 0.9 1.0 6 6 9 18 21 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 21 5 16 1.8 1.6 9 2 10 37 34 29
2 13 Swansea 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 6 7 8 26 31 25
3 18 Reading 21 10 11 0.7 1.9 3 3 15 14 40 12
4 21 Huddersfield 22 11 11 0.9 1.6 4 5 13 19 36 17
5 24 Blackpool 21 10 11 0.9 1.8 3 5 13 18 38 14
6 6 Blackburn 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 4 11 20 31 22
7 9 Sunderland 21 11 10 1.4 1.0 9 6 6 30 21 33
8 10 Norwich 22 12 10 1.3 1.1 9 6 7 29 25 33
9 11 Preston 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 10 5 7 24 27 35
10 15 Birmingham 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 7 5 10 23 32 26
11 17 Stoke 21 11 10 1.4 1.1 8 5 8 29 24 29
12 22 QPR 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 5 6 10 20 35 21
13 1 Burnley 21 12 9 1.7 0.9 11 8 2 35 19 41
14 7 West Brom 21 12 9 1.2 1.3 7 5 9 26 28 26
15 14 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.5 5 7 10 23 32 22
16 16 Hull 21 12 9 1.2 1.5 5 9 7 26 31 24
17 23 Wigan 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 5 7 10 20 29 22
18 8 Coventry 22 14 8 1.2 1.0 7 8 7 27 21 29
19 20 Cardiff 21 13 8 0.9 1.4 6 3 12 19 30 21
20 5 Millwall 21 14 7 0.9 1.1 7 5 9 19 24 26
21 12 Watford 21 14 7 0.9 1.3 5 8 8 19 27 23
22 19 Rotherham 21 14 7 0.5 1.3 2 10 9 11 28 16
23 2 Sheffield United 21 15 6 1.1 0.9 11 4 6 24 18 37
24 3 Luton 21 16 5 1.1 0.8 11 6 4 24 16 39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51