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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Cardiff 2–1 Reading

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.53 fair 1.83
Draw 4.00 fair 4.30
Away 5.25 fair 4.53
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Reading
11 Shots 26
3 Shots on target 10
4 Corners 10
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (139 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
1.73scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:9
Reading before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.09scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:16
Cardiff all matches all matches Reading

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.09
0.82 Goals conceded 1.45
2.55 Total goals 2.55
14.27 Shots 11.00
4.91 Shots on target 3.55
12.91 Shots faced 12.91
5.00 Corners 4.09
4.91 Corners against 5.27
11.27 Fouls 11.91
2.00 Yellow cards 2.64
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

64% Wins 18%
18% Draws 45%
18% Losses 36%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 91%
45% Over 2.5 goals 36%
27% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 73%
55% Clean sheets 9%
18% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 18%
45% Draws 45%
27% Losses 36%
64% Over 0.5 goals 73%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Reading all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.33scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:8
Reading before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:10
Cardiff at home away Reading

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.17
1.33 Goals conceded 1.67
3.67 Total goals 2.83
16.17 Shots 10.00
7.00 Shots on target 3.33
11.17 Shots faced 12.83
5.67 Corners 5.00
4.17 Corners against 4.33
13.33 Fouls 12.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.50
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

67% Wins 0%
0% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
83% Over 2.5 goals 33%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 83%
33% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 50%
33% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Cardiff – Leyton Orient 4–3 (1–1) 1.623.904.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
27.09.25 Wigan – Cardiff 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.302.45 2.08 1.73
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00
13.09.25 Stockport – Cardiff 1–1 (1–0) 2.653.502.45 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Cardiff – Plymouth 4–0 (2–0) 1.494.505.50 1.83 2.03
23.08.25 Luton – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 2.05 1.75
19.08.25 AFC Wimbledon – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.20 1.65
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93
07.08.25 Port Vale – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.60 2.00 1.85

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.25 Exeter – Reading 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.25 1.88 1.98
04.10.25 Reading – Mansfield 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.302.85 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Stockport – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.904.75 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Reading – Leyton Orient 2–1 (1–0) 2.553.302.55 1.95 1.90
13.09.25 Barnsley – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 1.763.804.20 1.62 2.25
30.08.25 Reading – Port Vale 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.57 2.15 1.67
23.08.25 Wycombe – Reading 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.404.50 2.00 1.85
20.08.25 Bolton – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.105.25 1.70 2.10
16.08.25 Reading – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.303.50 2.25 1.62
09.08.25 Reading – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.502.25 1.93 1.93

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Cardiff – Leyton Orient 4–3 (1–1) 1.623.904.75 1.70 2.10
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
20.09.25 Cardiff – Bradford 1–3 (0–2) 1.793.504.20 1.85 2.00
30.08.25 Cardiff – Plymouth 4–0 (2–0) 1.494.505.50 1.83 2.03
16.08.25 Cardiff – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.754.75 1.93 1.93
02.08.25 Cardiff – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.25 1.58 2.25
26.04.25E1 Cardiff – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.10 1.73
21.04.25E1 Cardiff – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.254.50 2.20 1.67
12.04.25E1 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67
29.03.25E1 Cardiff – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.252.45 2.10 1.73

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.25 Exeter – Reading 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.25 1.88 1.98
27.09.25 Stockport – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.904.75 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Barnsley – Reading 3–2 (1–1) 1.763.804.20 1.62 2.25
23.08.25 Wycombe – Reading 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.404.50 2.00 1.85
20.08.25 Bolton – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.574.105.25 1.70 2.10
02.08.25 Lincoln – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 1.83 2.03
26.04.25 Bristol Rvs – Reading 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.502.20 1.80 2.00
21.04.25 Mansfield – Reading 1–5 (0–1) 2.103.503.25 1.73 2.08
12.04.25 Northampton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.402.90 1.88 1.98
08.04.25 Shrewsbury – Reading 1–3 (0–1) 3.603.402.01 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cardiff winsDrawsReading wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.23E1 Cardiff – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.254.20 2.30 1.62
06.08.22E1 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
09.04.22E1 Reading – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.373.203.20 2.30 1.61
02.10.21E1 Cardiff – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.80 1.90 1.90

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 11 8 1 2 17 9 +8 25
2 Lincoln 12 7 3 2 18 10 +8 24
3 Bradford 11 7 3 1 20 13 +7 24
4 Cardiff 11 7 2 2 19 9 +10 23
5 Stockport 12 6 4 2 18 14 +4 22
6 AFC Wimbledon 12 7 1 4 17 13 +4 22
7 Bolton 13 5 5 3 18 15 +3 20
8 Huddersfield 12 6 1 5 18 15 +3 19
9 Barnsley 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17
10 Doncaster 12 5 2 5 11 16 -5 17
11 Luton 11 5 1 5 14 13 +1 16
12 Mansfield 11 4 3 4 16 14 +2 15
13 Leyton Orient 12 4 2 6 20 22 -2 14
14 Northampton 11 4 2 5 8 10 -2 14
15 Port Vale 12 3 4 5 11 11 0 13
16 Exeter 12 4 1 7 12 13 -1 13
17 Wigan 12 3 4 5 15 17 -2 13
18 Plymouth 11 4 1 6 16 19 -3 13
19 Wycombe 12 3 3 6 14 15 -1 12
20 Burton 12 3 3 6 10 16 -6 12
21 Reading 11 2 5 4 12 16 -4 11
22 Rotherham 11 3 2 6 11 16 -5 11
23 Peterboro 12 3 1 8 9 20 -11 10
24 Blackpool 12 2 2 8 10 20 -10 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stevenage 5 5 0 0 8 1 +7 15
2 Bradford 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15
3 Bolton 6 4 2 0 13 4 +9 14
4 Lincoln 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
5 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 11 6 +5 13
6 AFC Wimbledon 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
7 Cardiff 6 4 0 2 14 8 +6 12
8 Doncaster 6 3 2 1 8 5 +3 11
9 Stockport 6 3 2 1 8 5 +3 11
10 Mansfield 5 3 1 1 10 5 +5 10
11 Wigan 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
12 Northampton 6 3 1 2 6 3 +3 10
13 Barnsley 5 3 1 1 10 8 +2 10
14 Luton 5 3 0 2 5 4 +1 9
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 2 2 11 7 +4 8
16 Wycombe 6 2 2 2 9 7 +2 8
17 Rotherham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
18 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
19 Exeter 6 2 1 3 9 7 +2 7
20 Plymouth 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
21 Reading 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
22 Burton 7 2 1 4 5 10 -5 7
23 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
24 Peterboro 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 5 3 2 0 5 1 +4 11
2 Stockport 6 3 2 1 10 9 +1 11
3 Lincoln 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
4 Stevenage 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
5 Bradford 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
6 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 0 3 8 9 -1 9
7 Port Vale 6 2 2 2 6 4 +2 8
8 Luton 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7
9 Barnsley 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
10 Plymouth 5 2 0 3 9 11 -2 6
11 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6
12 Exeter 6 2 0 4 3 6 -3 6
13 Leyton Orient 6 2 0 4 9 15 -6 6
14 Peterboro 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
15 Bolton 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
16 Doncaster 6 2 0 4 3 11 -8 6
17 Burton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
18 Mansfield 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
19 Reading 6 0 4 2 7 10 -3 4
20 Wycombe 6 1 1 4 5 8 -3 4
21 Northampton 5 1 1 3 2 7 -5 4
22 Wigan 6 0 3 3 6 12 -6 3
23 Rotherham 6 1 0 5 4 10 -6 3
24 Blackpool 6 0 0 6 1 10 -9 0

Cardiff   Reading

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bradford 11 3 8 1.8 1.2 7 3 1 20 13 24
2 13 Leyton Orient 12 4 8 1.7 1.8 4 2 6 20 22 14
3 8 Huddersfield 12 5 7 1.5 1.2 6 1 5 18 15 19
4 22 Rotherham 11 4 7 1.0 1.5 3 2 6 11 16 11
5 5 Stockport 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 6 4 2 18 14 22
6 6 AFC Wimbledon 12 6 6 1.4 1.1 7 1 4 17 13 22
7 12 Mansfield 11 5 6 1.5 1.3 4 3 4 16 14 15
8 18 Plymouth 11 5 6 1.5 1.7 4 1 6 16 19 13
9 19 Wycombe 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 3 3 6 14 15 12
10 20 Burton 12 6 6 0.8 1.3 3 3 6 10 16 12
11 23 Peterboro 12 6 6 0.8 1.7 3 1 8 9 20 10
12 4 Cardiff 11 6 5 1.7 0.8 7 2 2 19 9 23
13 7 Bolton 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 5 5 3 18 15 20
14 9 Barnsley 10 5 5 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17
15 10 Doncaster 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 5 2 5 11 16 17
16 11 Luton 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 5 1 5 14 13 16
17 17 Wigan 12 7 5 1.2 1.4 3 4 5 15 17 13
18 1 Stevenage 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 8 1 2 17 9 25
19 2 Lincoln 12 8 4 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 10 24
20 15 Port Vale 12 8 4 0.9 0.9 3 4 5 11 11 13
21 16 Exeter 12 8 4 1.0 1.1 4 1 7 12 13 13
22 21 Reading 11 7 4 1.1 1.5 2 5 4 12 16 11
23 24 Blackpool 12 8 4 0.8 1.7 2 2 8 10 20 8
24 14 Northampton 11 9 2 0.7 0.9 4 2 5 8 10 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Cardiff 6 1 5 2.3 1.3 4 0 2 14 8 12
2 3 Bradford 5 1 4 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15
3 8 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 4 1 2 11 6 13
4 20 Burton 7 3 4 0.7 1.4 2 1 4 5 10 7
5 2 Lincoln 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
6 7 Bolton 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 2 0 13 4 14
7 9 Barnsley 5 2 3 2.0 1.6 3 1 1 10 8 10
8 12 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 1 1 10 5 10
9 13 Leyton Orient 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 2 11 7 8
10 15 Port Vale 6 3 3 0.8 1.2 1 2 3 5 7 5
11 16 Exeter 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 3 9 7 7
12 19 Wycombe 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 2 2 9 7 8
13 22 Rotherham 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
14 24 Blackpool 6 3 3 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
15 5 Stockport 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 2 1 8 5 11
16 6 AFC Wimbledon 6 4 2 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
17 10 Doncaster 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 2 1 8 5 11
18 17 Wigan 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
19 18 Plymouth 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
20 21 Reading 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
21 23 Peterboro 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
22 1 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.6 0.2 5 0 0 8 1 15
23 11 Luton 5 4 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 2 5 4 9
24 14 Northampton 6 5 1 1.0 0.5 3 1 2 6 3 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Leyton Orient 6 1 5 1.5 2.5 2 0 4 9 15 6
2 3 Bradford 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
3 5 Stockport 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 2 1 10 9 11
4 6 AFC Wimbledon 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 0 3 8 9 9
5 11 Luton 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7
6 18 Plymouth 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 2 0 3 9 11 6
7 22 Rotherham 6 2 4 0.7 1.7 1 0 5 4 10 3
8 23 Peterboro 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
9 1 Stevenage 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
10 8 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6
11 10 Doncaster 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 2 0 4 3 11 6
12 12 Mansfield 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
13 17 Wigan 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 3 6 12 3
14 19 Wycombe 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 1 1 4 5 8 4
15 7 Bolton 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
16 9 Barnsley 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
17 20 Burton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
18 21 Reading 6 4 2 1.2 1.7 0 4 2 7 10 4
19 2 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
20 14 Northampton 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 1 1 3 2 7 4
21 15 Port Vale 6 5 1 1.0 0.7 2 2 2 6 4 8
22 16 Exeter 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 0 4 3 6 6
23 24 Blackpool 6 5 1 0.2 1.7 0 0 6 1 10 0
24 4 Cardiff 5 5 0 1.0 0.2 3 2 0 5 1 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51