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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Stockbridge

Burton 1–2 Exeter

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.88 fair 2.80
Draw 3.40 fair 3.56
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.76
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Exeter
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 0
10 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (233 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.16 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 0–1 11.3% 1–0 11.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
0.84scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:30
Exeter before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
0.89scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 17:21
Burton all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 0.89
1.58 Goals conceded 1.11
2.42 Total goals 2.00
9.74 Shots 9.42
3.21 Shots on target 2.58
13.68 Shots faced 13.47
4.26 Corners 6.05
5.84 Corners against 5.05
10.58 Fouls 13.37
1.89 Yellow cards 1.89
0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

11% Wins 37%
32% Draws 16%
58% Losses 47%
79% Over 0.5 goals 89%
58% Over 1.5 goals 68%
53% Over 2.5 goals 37%
32% Over 3.5 goals 5%
16% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 32%
32% Clean sheets 47%
47% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 42%
63% Draws 26%
26% Losses 32%
53% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 21%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Exeter all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.80scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:16
Exeter before this match, away
1.11points / match
0.78scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:11
Burton at home away Exeter

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 0.78
1.60 Goals conceded 1.22
2.40 Total goals 2.00
8.70 Shots 7.89
2.70 Shots on target 2.22
13.80 Shots faced 14.33
3.40 Corners 5.67
5.10 Corners against 5.44
10.50 Fouls 13.56
1.80 Yellow cards 2.44
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

10% Wins 33%
20% Draws 11%
70% Losses 56%
80% Over 0.5 goals 89%
60% Over 1.5 goals 78%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
30% Over 3.5 goals 0%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 22%
30% Clean sheets 44%
50% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 44%
60% Draws 22%
20% Losses 33%
60% Over 0.5 goals 78%
30% Over 1.5 goals 11%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.106.00 2.03 1.83
07.12.24 Burton – Wrexham 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.85 2.00 1.85
04.12.24 Peterboro – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.405.006.25 1.48 2.60
26.11.24 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Burton – Stockport 0–3 (0–2) 3.803.601.90 1.88 1.98
09.11.24 Burton – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.10 2.00 1.85
05.11.24 Burton – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
26.10.24 Cambridge – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Burton – Wycombe 2–3 (1–1) 3.903.601.85 1.73 2.08
19.10.24 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.404.507.50 1.57 2.35

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Exeter – Barnsley 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.502.15 1.80 2.00
07.12.24 Stockport – Exeter 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.90 1.95
03.12.24 Exeter – Wycombe 2–2 (2–1) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
26.11.24 Exeter – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.901.62 1.73 2.08
23.11.24 Wrexham – Exeter 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.754.10 1.98 1.88
16.11.24 Exeter – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.70 2.08 1.73
09.11.24 Exeter – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.602.70 2.05 1.75
26.10.24 Huddersfield – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.754.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Exeter – Reading 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.83 2.03
17.10.24 Shrewsbury – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.602.30 2.00 1.85

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Burton – Wrexham 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.85 2.00 1.85
26.11.24 Burton – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.402.00 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Burton – Stockport 0–3 (0–2) 3.803.601.90 1.88 1.98
09.11.24 Burton – Shrewsbury 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.10 2.00 1.85
05.11.24 Burton – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.80 2.00
22.10.24 Burton – Wycombe 2–3 (1–1) 3.903.601.85 1.73 2.08
05.10.24 Burton – Bristol Rvs 1–3 (1–0) 2.253.403.00 1.80 2.00
21.09.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.903.501.91 1.67 2.15
24.08.24 Burton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.38 2.05 1.75
10.08.24 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Stockport – Exeter 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.90 1.95
23.11.24 Wrexham – Exeter 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.754.10 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Huddersfield – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.754.75 1.93 1.93
17.10.24 Shrewsbury – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 3.003.602.30 2.00 1.85
01.10.24 Leyton Orient – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.913.603.70 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Wigan – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
14.09.24 Blackpool – Exeter 2–1 (1–0) 1.653.905.00 1.73 2.08
31.08.24 Bolton – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 1.454.336.50 1.80 2.05
17.08.24 Northampton – Exeter 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.70 2.10 1.70
20.04.24 Northampton – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.402.75 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsExeter wins
4matches
1.25goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24E2 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
02.09.23E2 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
11.02.23E2 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
17.09.22E2 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wycombe 20 13 5 2 43 22 +21 44
2 Birmingham 18 13 3 2 34 16 +18 42
3 Wrexham 21 12 6 3 31 14 +17 42
4 Huddersfield 20 12 3 5 34 18 +16 39
5 Stockport 21 10 6 5 34 22 +12 36
6 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 28 25 +3 31
7 Reading 20 9 4 7 30 30 0 31
8 Bolton 19 9 4 6 28 29 -1 31
9 Barnsley 20 8 6 6 29 26 +3 30
10 Blackpool 19 7 5 7 29 31 -2 26
11 Mansfield 18 7 4 7 22 22 0 25
12 Stevenage 18 7 4 7 15 17 -2 25
13 Peterboro 20 7 3 10 38 37 +1 24
14 Charlton 19 6 6 7 18 19 -1 24
15 Exeter 19 7 3 9 17 21 -4 24
16 Wigan 19 6 5 8 17 16 +1 23
17 Rotherham 18 6 5 7 19 20 -1 23
18 Leyton Orient 19 6 4 9 19 20 -1 22
19 Bristol Rvs 20 6 4 10 18 29 -11 22
20 Northampton 20 5 6 9 21 29 -8 21
21 Crawley Town 19 5 4 10 20 32 -12 19
22 Cambridge 20 4 5 11 20 35 -15 17
23 Burton 19 2 6 11 16 30 -14 12
24 Shrewsbury 19 3 2 14 19 39 -20 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 11 9 2 0 23 6 +17 29
2 Birmingham 9 7 2 0 17 6 +11 23
3 Stockport 11 7 2 2 20 12 +8 23
4 Huddersfield 10 7 1 2 16 10 +6 22
5 Reading 9 7 0 2 17 7 +10 21
6 Wycombe 9 6 2 1 15 6 +9 20
7 Stevenage 11 6 2 3 12 9 +3 20
8 Peterboro 11 5 2 4 25 19 +6 17
9 Rotherham 9 5 2 2 13 8 +5 17
10 Lincoln 10 5 2 3 16 12 +4 17
11 Bolton 10 5 2 3 15 15 0 17
12 Bristol Rvs 10 4 3 3 10 12 -2 15
13 Northampton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
14 Exeter 10 4 2 4 10 10 0 14
15 Charlton 9 3 4 2 10 8 +2 13
16 Leyton Orient 10 3 3 4 11 9 +2 12
17 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
18 Cambridge 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
19 Barnsley 10 2 5 3 15 15 0 11
20 Wigan 9 3 2 4 7 7 0 11
21 Crawley Town 9 3 2 4 12 16 -4 11
22 Blackpool 8 2 4 2 11 11 0 10
23 Shrewsbury 10 2 1 7 10 20 -10 7
24 Burton 10 1 2 7 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wycombe 11 7 3 1 28 16 +12 24
2 Birmingham 9 6 1 2 17 10 +7 19
3 Barnsley 10 6 1 3 14 11 +3 19
4 Huddersfield 10 5 2 3 18 8 +10 17
5 Blackpool 11 5 1 5 18 20 -2 16
6 Bolton 9 4 2 3 13 14 -1 14
7 Lincoln 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
8 Stockport 10 3 4 3 14 10 +4 13
9 Wrexham 10 3 4 3 8 8 0 13
10 Mansfield 9 4 1 4 10 11 -1 13
11 Wigan 10 3 3 4 10 9 +1 12
12 Charlton 10 3 2 5 8 11 -3 11
13 Leyton Orient 9 3 1 5 8 11 -3 10
14 Exeter 9 3 1 5 7 11 -4 10
15 Reading 11 2 4 5 13 23 -10 10
16 Crawley Town 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
17 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 13 18 -5 7
18 Burton 9 1 4 4 8 14 -6 7
19 Northampton 11 1 4 6 10 19 -9 7
20 Bristol Rvs 10 2 1 7 8 17 -9 7
21 Rotherham 9 1 3 5 6 12 -6 6
22 Stevenage 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5
23 Cambridge 10 1 2 7 7 20 -13 5
24 Shrewsbury 9 1 1 7 9 19 -10 4

Burton   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Peterboro 20 5 15 1.9 1.9 7 3 10 38 37 24
2 1 Wycombe 20 6 14 2.1 1.1 13 5 2 43 22 44
3 10 Blackpool 19 5 14 1.5 1.6 7 5 7 29 31 26
4 9 Barnsley 20 7 13 1.4 1.3 8 6 6 29 26 30
5 7 Reading 20 8 12 1.5 1.5 9 4 7 30 30 31
6 4 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.7 0.9 12 3 5 34 18 39
7 6 Lincoln 21 10 11 1.3 1.2 8 7 6 28 25 31
8 20 Northampton 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 5 6 9 21 29 21
9 8 Bolton 19 9 10 1.5 1.5 9 4 6 28 29 31
10 21 Crawley Town 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 5 4 10 20 32 19
11 23 Burton 19 9 10 0.8 1.6 2 6 11 16 30 12
12 24 Shrewsbury 19 9 10 1.0 2.1 3 2 14 19 39 11
13 3 Wrexham 21 12 9 1.5 0.7 12 6 3 31 14 42
14 5 Stockport 21 12 9 1.6 1.0 10 6 5 34 22 36
15 18 Leyton Orient 19 10 9 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 20 22
16 2 Birmingham 18 10 8 1.9 0.9 13 3 2 34 16 42
17 11 Mansfield 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 7 4 7 22 22 25
18 19 Bristol Rvs 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 6 4 10 18 29 22
19 22 Cambridge 20 12 8 1.0 1.8 4 5 11 20 35 17
20 15 Exeter 19 12 7 0.9 1.1 7 3 9 17 21 24
21 14 Charlton 19 13 6 0.9 1.0 6 6 7 18 19 24
22 16 Wigan 19 13 6 0.9 0.8 6 5 8 17 16 23
23 17 Rotherham 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 6 5 7 19 20 23
24 12 Stevenage 18 13 5 0.8 0.9 7 4 7 15 17 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Wrexham 11 4 7 2.1 0.5 9 2 0 23 6 29
2 6 Lincoln 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 2 3 16 12 17
3 9 Barnsley 10 3 7 1.5 1.5 2 5 3 15 15 11
4 13 Peterboro 11 4 7 2.3 1.7 5 2 4 25 19 17
5 8 Bolton 10 4 6 1.5 1.5 5 2 3 15 15 17
6 10 Blackpool 8 2 6 1.4 1.4 2 4 2 11 11 10
7 4 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.6 1.0 7 1 2 16 10 22
8 5 Stockport 11 6 5 1.8 1.1 7 2 2 20 12 23
9 7 Reading 9 4 5 1.9 0.8 7 0 2 17 7 21
10 17 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 5 2 2 13 8 17
11 18 Leyton Orient 10 5 5 1.1 0.9 3 3 4 11 9 12
12 20 Northampton 9 4 5 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
13 21 Crawley Town 9 4 5 1.3 1.8 3 2 4 12 16 11
14 23 Burton 10 5 5 0.8 1.6 1 2 7 8 16 5
15 24 Shrewsbury 10 5 5 1.0 2.0 2 1 7 10 20 7
16 1 Wycombe 9 5 4 1.7 0.7 6 2 1 15 6 20
17 11 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
18 15 Exeter 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 2 4 10 10 14
19 2 Birmingham 9 6 3 1.9 0.7 7 2 0 17 6 23
20 12 Stevenage 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 3 12 9 20
21 14 Charlton 9 6 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 2 10 8 13
22 16 Wigan 9 6 3 0.8 0.8 3 2 4 7 7 11
23 19 Bristol Rvs 10 7 3 1.0 1.2 4 3 3 10 12 15
24 22 Cambridge 10 7 3 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Wycombe 11 1 10 2.5 1.5 7 3 1 28 16 24
2 10 Blackpool 11 3 8 1.6 1.8 5 1 5 18 20 16
3 13 Peterboro 9 1 8 1.4 2.0 2 1 6 13 18 7
4 7 Reading 11 4 7 1.2 2.1 2 4 5 13 23 10
5 4 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.8 0.8 5 2 3 18 8 17
6 9 Barnsley 10 4 6 1.4 1.1 6 1 3 14 11 19
7 20 Northampton 11 5 6 0.9 1.7 1 4 6 10 19 7
8 2 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 6 1 2 17 10 19
9 19 Bristol Rvs 10 5 5 0.8 1.7 2 1 7 8 17 7
10 21 Crawley Town 10 5 5 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
11 22 Cambridge 10 5 5 0.7 2.0 1 2 7 7 20 5
12 23 Burton 9 4 5 0.9 1.6 1 4 4 8 14 7
13 24 Shrewsbury 9 4 5 1.0 2.1 1 1 7 9 19 4
14 5 Stockport 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 3 14 10 13
15 6 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 3 12 13 14
16 8 Bolton 9 5 4 1.4 1.6 4 2 3 13 14 14
17 11 Mansfield 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 4 1 4 10 11 13
18 18 Leyton Orient 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 3 1 5 8 11 10
19 14 Charlton 10 7 3 0.8 1.1 3 2 5 8 11 11
20 15 Exeter 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 3 1 5 7 11 10
21 16 Wigan 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 4 10 9 12
22 3 Wrexham 10 8 2 0.8 0.8 3 4 3 8 8 13
23 12 Stevenage 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
24 17 Rotherham 9 8 1 0.7 1.3 1 3 5 6 12 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40