Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Woods

Exeter 1–0 Burton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.52
Draw 3.25 fair 3.36
Away 4.00 fair 3.28
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.54
Over 2.5 2.15 fair 2.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Exeter Burton
9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
15 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (450 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.14 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
ExeterDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14% 1–1 13.4% 0–0 12.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Exeter before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
0.84scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 32:52
Burton before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.84scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 31:49
Exeter all matches all matches Burton

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 0.84
1.37 Goals conceded 1.32
2.21 Total goals 2.16
11.34 Shots 10.03
3.74 Shots on target 2.97
12.74 Shots faced 14.11
5.92 Corners 3.32
6.03 Corners against 4.97
11.26 Fouls 12.54
2.21 Yellow cards 2.49
0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.32
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

32% Wins 27%
21% Draws 24%
47% Losses 49%
89% Over 0.5 goals 86%
66% Over 1.5 goals 68%
42% Over 2.5 goals 41%
11% Over 3.5 goals 14%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
34% Both teams scored 43%
29% Clean sheets 24%
47% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 19%
42% Draws 43%
42% Losses 38%
66% Over 0.5 goals 65%
24% Over 1.5 goals 24%
8% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter all matches
Burton all matches
Exeter before this match, at home
1.16points / match
0.68scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 13:19
Burton before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.74scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 14:28
Exeter at home away Burton

Per match

0.68 Goals scored 0.74
1.00 Goals conceded 1.47
1.68 Total goals 2.21
13.26 Shots 8.26
3.79 Shots on target 2.42
10.58 Shots faced 15.58
7.00 Corners 2.74
5.42 Corners against 4.89
10.63 Fouls 12.16
2.37 Yellow cards 2.68
0.11 1st-half goals scored 0.16
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

26% Wins 21%
37% Draws 26%
37% Losses 53%
79% Over 0.5 goals 79%
53% Over 1.5 goals 68%
32% Over 2.5 goals 47%
5% Over 3.5 goals 16%
0% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
37% Both teams scored 42%
32% Clean sheets 26%
53% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

5% Wins 11%
53% Draws 42%
42% Losses 47%
53% Over 0.5 goals 63%
5% Over 1.5 goals 21%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Exeter at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Shrewsbury – Exeter 0–3 (0–3) 2.503.252.88 2.15 1.67
09.03.24 Exeter – Bolton 2–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.80 1.95 1.90
02.03.24 Peterboro – Exeter 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.50 1.65 2.20
24.02.24 Exeter – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.98 1.88
17.02.24 Lincoln – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.30 1.60
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73
06.02.24 Exeter – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.80 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
27.01.24 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.70 2.10

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
17.02.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 1–2 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65
27.01.24 Cambridge – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Burton – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85

Exeter at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Exeter – Bolton 2–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.80 1.95 1.90
24.02.24 Exeter – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 1.98 1.88
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
06.02.24 Exeter – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.80 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
20.01.24 Exeter – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.65
06.01.24 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
29.12.23 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.73 1.95 1.90
26.12.23 Exeter – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.55 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Exeter – Port Vale 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 2.05 1.75

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Leyton Orient – Burton 1–2 (1–0) 1.554.206.00 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00
27.01.24 Cambridge – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.20 1.65
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
23.12.23 Charlton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Oxford – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
25.11.23 Peterboro – Burton 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.00 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Exeter winsDrawsBurton wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23E2 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
11.02.23E2 Burton – Exeter 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.90 1.95
17.09.22E2 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 38 23 11 4 62 32 +30 80
2 Derby 38 23 6 9 68 34 +34 75
3 Bolton 38 22 8 8 71 42 +29 74
4 Peterboro 37 21 8 8 74 45 +29 71
5 Barnsley 37 20 10 7 70 48 +22 70
6 Stevenage 37 17 10 10 49 37 +12 61
7 Blackpool 38 17 9 12 57 41 +16 60
8 Oxford 38 17 9 12 60 52 +8 60
9 Lincoln 38 15 13 10 51 33 +18 58
10 Wigan 38 16 7 15 52 48 +4 55
11 Leyton Orient 38 15 10 13 43 44 -1 55
12 Bristol Rvs 37 14 8 15 48 52 -4 50
13 Northampton 38 14 8 16 50 58 -8 50
14 Wycombe 37 12 11 14 48 49 -1 47
15 Reading 38 12 9 17 51 57 -6 45
16 Charlton 38 10 14 14 56 57 -1 44
17 Exeter 38 12 8 18 32 52 -20 44
18 Shrewsbury 38 12 5 21 28 55 -27 41
19 Burton 37 10 9 18 31 49 -18 39
20 Cambridge 37 10 9 18 32 51 -19 39
21 Cheltenham 36 9 7 20 30 50 -20 34
22 Fleetwood Town 38 7 12 19 40 60 -20 33
23 Port Vale 36 8 9 19 35 59 -24 33
24 Carlisle 37 5 8 24 33 66 -33 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 19 13 4 2 34 20 +14 43
2 Bolton 19 13 3 3 42 22 +20 42
3 Blackpool 19 11 5 3 38 17 +21 38
4 Peterboro 18 11 4 3 44 20 +24 37
5 Derby 19 11 4 4 34 18 +16 37
6 Wigan 19 11 2 6 26 17 +9 35
7 Oxford 19 9 6 4 34 22 +12 33
8 Lincoln 19 8 7 4 29 13 +16 31
9 Reading 19 9 4 6 30 21 +9 31
10 Stevenage 18 8 7 3 22 14 +8 31
11 Barnsley 19 9 4 6 35 28 +7 31
12 Northampton 19 8 5 6 25 21 +4 29
13 Leyton Orient 19 8 4 7 20 25 -5 28
14 Wycombe 19 7 6 6 27 25 +2 27
15 Charlton 19 7 5 7 32 27 +5 26
16 Bristol Rvs 18 7 5 6 26 23 +3 26
17 Cambridge 19 7 5 7 17 20 -3 26
18 Shrewsbury 19 7 2 10 16 25 -9 23
19 Burton 18 6 4 8 17 21 -4 22
20 Exeter 19 5 7 7 13 19 -6 22
21 Cheltenham 18 6 4 8 19 26 -7 22
22 Port Vale 18 5 3 10 22 26 -4 18
23 Fleetwood Town 19 4 4 11 19 30 -11 16
24 Carlisle 19 3 5 11 17 33 -16 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barnsley 18 11 6 1 35 20 +15 39
2 Derby 19 12 2 5 34 16 +18 38
3 Portsmouth 19 10 7 2 28 12 +16 37
4 Peterboro 19 10 4 5 30 25 +5 34
5 Bolton 19 9 5 5 29 20 +9 32
6 Stevenage 19 9 3 7 27 23 +4 30
7 Leyton Orient 19 7 6 6 23 19 +4 27
8 Lincoln 19 7 6 6 22 20 +2 27
9 Oxford 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27
10 Bristol Rvs 19 7 3 9 22 29 -7 24
11 Blackpool 19 6 4 9 19 24 -5 22
12 Exeter 19 7 1 11 19 33 -14 22
13 Northampton 19 6 3 10 25 37 -12 21
14 Wycombe 18 5 5 8 21 24 -3 20
15 Wigan 19 5 5 9 26 31 -5 20
16 Charlton 19 3 9 7 24 30 -6 18
17 Shrewsbury 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
18 Fleetwood Town 19 3 8 8 21 30 -9 17
19 Burton 19 4 5 10 14 28 -14 17
20 Port Vale 18 3 6 9 13 33 -20 15
21 Reading 19 3 5 11 21 36 -15 14
22 Cambridge 18 3 4 11 15 31 -16 13
23 Cheltenham 18 3 3 12 11 24 -13 12
24 Carlisle 18 2 3 13 16 33 -17 9

Exeter   Burton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Oxford 38 12 26 1.6 1.4 17 9 12 60 52 60
2 4 Peterboro 37 12 25 2.0 1.2 21 8 8 74 45 71
3 5 Barnsley 37 13 24 1.9 1.3 20 10 7 70 48 70
4 2 Derby 38 15 23 1.8 0.9 23 6 9 68 34 75
5 13 Northampton 38 16 22 1.3 1.5 14 8 16 50 58 50
6 16 Charlton 38 16 22 1.5 1.5 10 14 14 56 57 44
7 1 Portsmouth 38 17 21 1.6 0.8 23 11 4 62 32 80
8 3 Bolton 38 17 21 1.9 1.1 22 8 8 71 42 74
9 12 Bristol Rvs 37 16 21 1.3 1.4 14 8 15 48 52 50
10 15 Reading 38 18 20 1.3 1.5 12 9 17 51 57 45
11 22 Fleetwood Town 38 18 20 1.1 1.6 7 12 19 40 60 33
12 7 Blackpool 38 19 19 1.5 1.1 17 9 12 57 41 60
13 6 Stevenage 37 19 18 1.3 1.0 17 10 10 49 37 61
14 14 Wycombe 37 19 18 1.3 1.3 12 11 14 48 49 47
15 23 Port Vale 36 18 18 1.0 1.6 8 9 19 35 59 33
16 10 Wigan 38 21 17 1.4 1.3 16 7 15 52 48 55
17 24 Carlisle 37 20 17 0.9 1.8 5 8 24 33 66 23
18 11 Leyton Orient 38 22 16 1.1 1.2 15 10 13 43 44 55
19 17 Exeter 38 22 16 0.8 1.4 12 8 18 32 52 44
20 20 Cambridge 37 21 16 0.9 1.4 10 9 18 32 51 39
21 18 Shrewsbury 38 23 15 0.7 1.4 12 5 21 28 55 41
22 19 Burton 37 22 15 0.8 1.3 10 9 18 31 49 39
23 9 Lincoln 38 24 14 1.3 0.9 15 13 10 51 33 58
24 21 Cheltenham 36 22 14 0.8 1.4 9 7 20 30 50 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 18 4 14 2.4 1.1 11 4 3 44 20 37
2 5 Barnsley 19 5 14 1.8 1.5 9 4 6 35 28 31
3 8 Oxford 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 9 6 4 34 22 33
4 3 Bolton 19 6 13 2.2 1.2 13 3 3 42 22 42
5 16 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 5 7 32 27 26
6 1 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.8 1.1 13 4 2 34 20 43
7 2 Derby 19 7 12 1.8 0.9 11 4 4 34 18 37
8 7 Blackpool 19 8 11 2.0 0.9 11 5 3 38 17 38
9 12 Bristol Rvs 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 6 26 23 26
10 13 Northampton 19 10 9 1.3 1.1 8 5 6 25 21 29
11 22 Fleetwood Town 19 10 9 1.0 1.6 4 4 11 19 30 16
12 23 Port Vale 18 9 9 1.2 1.4 5 3 10 22 26 18
13 9 Lincoln 19 11 8 1.5 0.7 8 7 4 29 13 31
14 10 Wigan 19 11 8 1.4 0.9 11 2 6 26 17 35
15 11 Leyton Orient 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 8 4 7 20 25 28
16 14 Wycombe 19 11 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 27 25 27
17 15 Reading 19 11 8 1.6 1.1 9 4 6 30 21 31
18 18 Shrewsbury 19 11 8 0.8 1.3 7 2 10 16 25 23
19 21 Cheltenham 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 19 26 22
20 24 Carlisle 19 11 8 0.9 1.7 3 5 11 17 33 14
21 6 Stevenage 18 12 6 1.2 0.8 8 7 3 22 14 31
22 17 Exeter 19 13 6 0.7 1.0 5 7 7 13 19 22
23 19 Burton 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 8 17 21 22
24 20 Cambridge 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 7 5 7 17 20 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Northampton 19 6 13 1.3 1.9 6 3 10 25 37 21
2 6 Stevenage 19 7 12 1.4 1.2 9 3 7 27 23 30
3 8 Oxford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27
4 15 Reading 19 7 12 1.1 1.9 3 5 11 21 36 14
5 2 Derby 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 12 2 5 34 16 38
6 4 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.6 1.3 10 4 5 30 25 34
7 22 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 3 8 8 21 30 17
8 5 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 11 6 1 35 20 39
9 12 Bristol Rvs 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 7 3 9 22 29 24
10 14 Wycombe 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 24 20
11 17 Exeter 19 9 10 1.0 1.7 7 1 11 19 33 22
12 20 Cambridge 18 8 10 0.8 1.7 3 4 11 15 31 13
13 1 Portsmouth 19 10 9 1.5 0.6 10 7 2 28 12 37
14 10 Wigan 19 10 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 26 31 20
15 16 Charlton 19 10 9 1.3 1.6 3 9 7 24 30 18
16 19 Burton 19 10 9 0.7 1.5 4 5 10 14 28 17
17 23 Port Vale 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 3 6 9 13 33 15
18 24 Carlisle 18 9 9 0.9 1.8 2 3 13 16 33 9
19 3 Bolton 19 11 8 1.5 1.1 9 5 5 29 20 32
20 7 Blackpool 19 11 8 1.0 1.3 6 4 9 19 24 22
21 11 Leyton Orient 19 11 8 1.2 1.0 7 6 6 23 19 27
22 18 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
23 9 Lincoln 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 20 27
24 21 Cheltenham 18 12 6 0.6 1.3 3 3 12 11 24 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51