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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Burton 1–2 Barnsley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.90 fair 2.49
Draw 3.50 fair 3.99
Away ✓ 1.91 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Barnsley
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 4
6 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (65 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 2–1 8.7% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.40scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:8
Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:9
Burton all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.67
1.60 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 3.17
11.80 Shots 12.00
3.60 Shots on target 4.83
12.00 Shots faced 9.17
4.40 Corners 7.17
4.80 Corners against 5.17
11.00 Fouls 13.00
2.20 Yellow cards 2.17
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.17
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
80% Draws 17%
20% Losses 33%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 100%
60% Over 3.5 goals 17%
40% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 67%
40% Clean sheets 17%
40% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
80% Draws 33%
20% Losses 17%
60% Over 0.5 goals 83%
60% Over 1.5 goals 50%
40% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Barnsley all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
Barnsley before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:4
Burton at home away Barnsley

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 3.00
8.00 Shots 7.00
2.50 Shots on target 4.00
9.00 Shots faced 9.00
3.50 Corners 8.67
4.50 Corners against 5.67
12.50 Fouls 11.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.33
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
50% Clean sheets 33%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
100% Draws 33%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.504.75 1.70 2.10
31.08.24 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Burton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.38 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Mansfield – Burton 3–3 (2–1) 1.803.704.00 1.80 2.00
10.08.24 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70
27.04.24 Fleetwood Town – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.903.802.20 1.63 2.15
20.04.24 Burton – Reading 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98
16.04.24 Burton – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.40 1.53
13.04.24 Stevenage – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 2.10 1.70
06.04.24 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Stevenage – Barnsley 3–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.25 1.98 1.88
07.09.24 Barnsley – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.904.50 1.75 2.05
31.08.24 Crawley Town – Barnsley 0–3 (0–3) 3.003.602.20 1.65 2.20
24.08.24 Barnsley – Northampton 2–2 (1–0) 1.653.805.00 1.80 2.00
17.08.24 Lincoln – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 2.00 1.85
09.08.24 Barnsley – Mansfield 1–2 (1–2) 2.053.703.30 1.73 2.08
27.04.24 Barnsley – Northampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.454.757.00 1.50 2.50
20.04.24 Blackpool – Barnsley 3–2 (2–0) 1.953.603.60 1.90 1.95
16.04.24 Portsmouth – Barnsley 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
13.04.24 Barnsley – Reading 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.20 1.65 2.20

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Burton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.38 2.05 1.75
10.08.24 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70
20.04.24 Burton – Reading 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98
16.04.24 Burton – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.40 1.53
06.04.24 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
01.04.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Stevenage – Barnsley 3–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Crawley Town – Barnsley 0–3 (0–3) 3.003.602.20 1.65 2.20
17.08.24 Lincoln – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 2.00 1.85
20.04.24 Blackpool – Barnsley 3–2 (2–0) 1.953.603.60 1.90 1.95
16.04.24 Portsmouth – Barnsley 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.33 1.62 2.25
09.04.24 Stevenage – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 2.353.403.00 2.00 1.85
06.04.24 Charlton – Barnsley 2–1 (2–1) 2.803.402.50 1.67 2.15
01.04.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
12.03.24 Carlisle – Barnsley 2–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.70 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Wycombe – Barnsley 2–4 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBarnsley wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24E2 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
16.09.23E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
07.04.23E2 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
17.12.22E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
2 Birmingham 5 4 1 0 11 6 +5 13
3 Charlton 6 4 1 1 6 3 +3 13
4 Huddersfield 5 4 0 1 10 3 +7 12
5 Stockport 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
6 Lincoln 6 3 2 1 10 6 +4 11
7 Barnsley 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
8 Exeter 6 3 0 3 8 6 +2 9
9 Mansfield 5 2 2 1 9 10 -1 8
10 Wycombe 5 2 1 2 10 9 +1 7
11 Wigan 6 2 1 3 6 5 +1 7
12 Peterboro 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
13 Reading 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
14 Stevenage 6 2 1 3 5 5 0 7
15 Crawley Town 5 2 1 2 4 6 -2 7
16 Bristol Rvs 6 2 1 3 4 8 -4 7
17 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
18 Northampton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
19 Blackpool 5 1 2 2 9 12 -3 5
20 Burton 5 0 4 1 7 8 -1 4
21 Bolton 5 1 1 3 2 9 -7 4
22 Leyton Orient 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
23 Shrewsbury 6 1 0 5 4 10 -6 3
24 Cambridge 5 0 1 4 5 11 -6 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 3 3 0 0 9 2 +7 9
2 Birmingham 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
3 Charlton 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
4 Stockport 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
5 Reading 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
6 Stevenage 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
7 Exeter 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
8 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
9 Bristol Rvs 3 2 0 1 3 4 -1 6
10 Mansfield 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
11 Rotherham 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
12 Lincoln 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
13 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
14 Northampton 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
15 Blackpool 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
16 Crawley Town 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
17 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
18 Wigan 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
19 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
20 Cambridge 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1
21 Burton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
22 Peterboro 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 0 6 -6 1
24 Leyton Orient 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 7 2 +5 6
3 Peterboro 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
4 Birmingham 2 2 0 0 5 3 +2 6
5 Barnsley 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
6 Charlton 3 2 0 1 2 2 0 6
7 Stockport 3 1 2 0 5 2 +3 5
8 Wigan 4 1 1 2 5 4 +1 4
9 Wycombe 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
10 Wrexham 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
11 Burton 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
12 Exeter 3 1 0 2 4 4 0 3
13 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
14 Bolton 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
15 Mansfield 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
16 Leyton Orient 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
17 Blackpool 2 0 1 1 5 6 -1 1
18 Northampton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
19 Bristol Rvs 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
20 Reading 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
21 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
22 Stevenage 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
23 Cambridge 3 0 0 3 1 6 -5 0
24 Shrewsbury 3 0 0 3 0 5 -5 0

Burton   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Barnsley 6 0 6 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
2 19 Blackpool 5 0 5 1.8 2.4 1 2 2 9 12 5
3 1 Wrexham 6 2 4 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
4 2 Birmingham 5 1 4 2.2 1.2 4 1 0 11 6 13
5 9 Mansfield 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 2 2 1 9 10 8
6 10 Wycombe 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 2 1 2 10 9 7
7 4 Huddersfield 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 0 1 10 3 12
8 6 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 2 1 10 6 11
9 8 Exeter 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 3 0 3 8 6 9
10 18 Northampton 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
11 20 Burton 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 0 4 1 7 8 4
12 22 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
13 23 Shrewsbury 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 1 0 5 4 10 3
14 11 Wigan 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 3 6 5 7
15 12 Peterboro 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
16 14 Stevenage 6 4 2 0.8 0.8 2 1 3 5 5 7
17 15 Crawley Town 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 2 1 2 4 6 7
18 16 Bristol Rvs 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 2 1 3 4 8 7
19 17 Rotherham 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
20 21 Bolton 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 1 1 3 2 9 4
21 24 Cambridge 5 3 2 1.0 2.2 0 1 4 5 11 1
22 5 Stockport 5 4 1 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
23 13 Reading 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
24 3 Charlton 6 6 0 1.0 0.5 4 1 1 6 3 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Wrexham 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 3 0 0 9 2 9
2 7 Barnsley 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
3 19 Blackpool 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
4 2 Birmingham 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
5 6 Lincoln 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
6 9 Mansfield 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
7 15 Crawley Town 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
8 17 Rotherham 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
9 18 Northampton 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
10 22 Leyton Orient 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
11 23 Shrewsbury 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
12 4 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
13 8 Exeter 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
14 10 Wycombe 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
15 14 Stevenage 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
16 16 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 2 0 1 3 4 6
17 20 Burton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 21 Bolton 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 1 2 0 6 1
19 24 Cambridge 2 1 1 2.0 2.5 0 1 1 4 5 1
20 3 Charlton 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
21 5 Stockport 2 2 0 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
22 11 Wigan 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
23 12 Peterboro 3 3 0 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1
24 13 Reading 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Barnsley 3 0 3 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
2 10 Wycombe 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
3 2 Birmingham 2 0 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 0 5 3 6
4 4 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 0 1 7 2 6
5 8 Exeter 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 0 2 4 4 3
6 9 Mansfield 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
7 11 Wigan 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 1 2 5 4 4
8 12 Peterboro 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
9 19 Blackpool 2 0 2 2.5 3.0 0 1 1 5 6 1
10 20 Burton 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
11 1 Wrexham 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
12 5 Stockport 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 1 2 0 5 2 5
13 6 Lincoln 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
14 13 Reading 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
15 14 Stevenage 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
16 16 Bristol Rvs 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
17 18 Northampton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
18 21 Bolton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
19 22 Leyton Orient 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
20 23 Shrewsbury 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 0 3 0 5 0
21 24 Cambridge 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 0 3 1 6 0
22 3 Charlton 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 2 0 1 2 2 6
23 15 Crawley Town 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
24 17 Rotherham 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51