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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: C Brook

Burton 1–0 Exeter

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.60 fair 2.88
Draw 3.40 fair 4.25
Away 2.70 fair 2.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Exeter
9 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 10
8 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (340 league matches this season so far).
Result Exeter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.66
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.32scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 37:56
Exeter before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.45scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 42:41
Burton all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.45
2.00 Goals conceded 1.41
3.32 Total goals 2.86
12.18 Shots 11.14
3.79 Shots on target 3.79
13.54 Shots faced 12.21
6.00 Corners 6.76
5.25 Corners against 5.28
10.93 Fouls 10.93
1.21 Yellow cards 1.72
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

25% Wins 34%
25% Draws 28%
50% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
89% Over 1.5 goals 79%
57% Over 2.5 goals 45%
36% Over 3.5 goals 34%
25% Over 4.5 goals 21%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
54% Both teams scored 52%
14% Clean sheets 31%
32% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 28%
36% Draws 55%
32% Losses 17%
68% Over 0.5 goals 62%
32% Over 1.5 goals 45%
18% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Exeter all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:23
Exeter before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.47scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:22
Burton at home away Exeter

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.47
1.64 Goals conceded 1.47
2.79 Total goals 2.93
12.93 Shots 10.47
4.07 Shots on target 3.60
11.79 Shots faced 13.33
7.21 Corners 6.67
4.93 Corners against 5.93
10.36 Fouls 11.33
0.93 Yellow cards 1.67
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

29% Wins 33%
29% Draws 27%
43% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 87%
79% Over 1.5 goals 80%
43% Over 2.5 goals 40%
36% Over 3.5 goals 33%
14% Over 4.5 goals 27%
7% Over 5.5 goals 20%
36% Both teams scored 47%
21% Clean sheets 40%
43% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 40%
36% Draws 47%
29% Losses 13%
71% Over 0.5 goals 73%
29% Over 1.5 goals 47%
21% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Fleetwood Town – Burton 2–3 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.08 1.73
28.01.23 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05
14.01.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–4 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.70
01.01.23 Morecambe – Burton 5–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.25 1.95 1.90
29.12.22 Forest Green – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 2.603.502.60 1.90 1.95
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
17.12.22 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Exeter – Charlton 1–2 (1–2) 2.383.403.00 2.00 1.85
28.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
21.01.23 Portsmouth – Exeter 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
14.01.23 Exeter – Forest Green 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95
01.01.23 Oxford – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88
29.12.22 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 3–4 (0–2) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
26.12.22 Exeter – Portsmouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.98 1.88
17.12.22 Bolton – Exeter 2–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
10.12.22 Exeter – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–0) 3.753.501.95 1.98 1.88
02.12.22 Morecambe – Exeter 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.752.00 1.90 1.95

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23 Burton – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.752.40 1.75 2.05
14.01.23 Burton – Shrewsbury 0–4 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.70
26.12.22 Burton – Lincoln 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.403.30 2.02 1.83
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23 Milton Keynes Dons – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
21.01.23 Portsmouth – Exeter 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
01.01.23 Oxford – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88
29.12.22 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 3–4 (0–2) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
17.12.22 Bolton – Exeter 2–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
02.12.22 Morecambe – Exeter 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.752.00 1.90 1.95
31.10.22 Plymouth – Exeter 4–2 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.85 2.00
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
11.10.22 Charlton – Exeter 4–2 (2–1) 2.403.402.90 1.85 2.00
08.10.22 Barnsley – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsExeter wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22E2 Exeter – Burton 0–2 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 1.85 2.00

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 28 18 7 3 48 18 +30 61
2 Plymouth 29 18 7 4 51 30 +21 61
3 Ipswich 29 15 10 4 54 29 +25 55
4 Derby 28 15 8 5 45 21 +24 53
5 Bolton 30 15 8 7 38 23 +15 53
6 Barnsley 27 14 5 8 36 26 +10 47
7 Peterboro 27 14 2 11 45 32 +13 44
8 Wycombe 28 13 5 10 38 27 +11 44
9 Shrewsbury 29 13 5 11 36 31 +5 44
10 Portsmouth 27 9 11 7 35 33 +2 38
11 Exeter 29 10 8 11 42 41 +1 38
12 Charlton 28 9 10 9 43 39 +4 37
13 Bristol Rvs 29 10 7 12 43 52 -9 37
14 Port Vale 29 10 7 12 29 40 -11 37
15 Oxford 30 9 8 13 34 36 -2 35
16 Lincoln 27 7 13 7 27 30 -3 34
17 Fleetwood Town 28 6 11 11 31 33 -2 29
18 Cheltenham 28 8 5 15 23 35 -12 29
19 Milton Keynes Dons 29 8 4 17 27 40 -13 28
20 Burton 28 7 7 14 37 56 -19 28
21 Morecambe 28 6 9 13 31 45 -14 27
22 Accrington 27 6 8 13 25 45 -20 26
23 Cambridge 28 7 5 16 24 47 -23 26
24 Forest Green 30 5 6 19 24 57 -33 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 14 13 0 1 29 11 +18 39
2 Sheffield Weds 15 10 4 1 32 11 +21 34
3 Bolton 16 10 4 2 21 8 +13 34
4 Derby 14 10 2 2 30 11 +19 32
5 Ipswich 14 8 5 1 27 10 +17 29
6 Peterboro 13 9 1 3 26 10 +16 28
7 Barnsley 13 8 1 4 20 14 +6 25
8 Wycombe 14 7 3 4 21 13 +8 24
9 Charlton 15 6 5 4 27 19 +8 23
10 Shrewsbury 15 7 2 6 20 19 +1 23
11 Morecambe 14 5 5 4 21 17 +4 20
12 Portsmouth 14 4 8 2 20 16 +4 20
13 Exeter 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19
14 Bristol Rvs 14 5 4 5 21 24 -3 19
15 Port Vale 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
16 Oxford 15 5 3 7 19 17 +2 18
17 Cambridge 14 5 3 6 13 17 -4 18
18 Lincoln 13 2 11 0 13 10 +3 17
19 Cheltenham 13 5 2 6 13 16 -3 17
20 Burton 14 4 4 6 16 23 -7 16
21 Accrington 13 3 5 5 16 21 -5 14
22 Forest Green 15 4 0 11 11 27 -16 12
23 Fleetwood Town 14 2 5 7 13 17 -4 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 15 2 3 10 10 23 -13 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 13 8 3 2 16 7 +9 27
2 Ipswich 15 7 5 3 27 19 +8 26
3 Barnsley 14 6 4 4 16 12 +4 22
4 Plymouth 15 5 7 3 22 19 +3 22
5 Derby 14 5 6 3 15 10 +5 21
6 Shrewsbury 14 6 3 5 16 12 +4 21
7 Wycombe 14 6 2 6 17 14 +3 20
8 Bolton 14 5 4 5 17 15 +2 19
9 Exeter 15 5 4 6 22 22 0 19
10 Milton Keynes Dons 14 6 1 7 17 17 0 19
11 Fleetwood Town 14 4 6 4 18 16 +2 18
12 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 15 17 -2 18
13 Bristol Rvs 15 5 3 7 22 28 -6 18
14 Port Vale 14 5 3 6 14 21 -7 18
15 Oxford 15 4 5 6 15 19 -4 17
16 Lincoln 14 5 2 7 14 20 -6 17
17 Peterboro 14 5 1 8 19 22 -3 16
18 Charlton 13 3 5 5 16 20 -4 14
19 Cheltenham 15 3 3 9 10 19 -9 12
20 Burton 14 3 3 8 21 33 -12 12
21 Accrington 14 3 3 8 9 24 -15 12
22 Forest Green 15 1 6 8 13 30 -17 9
23 Cambridge 14 2 2 10 11 30 -19 8
24 Morecambe 14 1 4 9 10 28 -18 7

Burton   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bristol Rvs 29 11 18 1.5 1.8 10 7 12 43 52 37
2 2 Plymouth 29 13 16 1.8 1.0 18 7 4 51 30 61
3 3 Ipswich 29 13 16 1.9 1.0 15 10 4 54 29 55
4 7 Peterboro 27 11 16 1.7 1.2 14 2 11 45 32 44
5 20 Burton 28 12 16 1.3 2.0 7 7 14 37 56 28
6 24 Forest Green 30 14 16 0.8 1.9 5 6 19 24 57 21
7 21 Morecambe 28 13 15 1.1 1.6 6 9 13 31 45 27
8 4 Derby 28 14 14 1.6 0.8 15 8 5 45 21 53
9 12 Charlton 28 14 14 1.5 1.4 9 10 9 43 39 37
10 14 Port Vale 29 15 14 1.0 1.4 10 7 12 29 40 37
11 23 Cambridge 28 14 14 0.9 1.7 7 5 16 24 47 26
12 8 Wycombe 28 15 13 1.4 1.0 13 5 10 38 27 44
13 9 Shrewsbury 29 16 13 1.2 1.1 13 5 11 36 31 44
14 11 Exeter 29 16 13 1.4 1.4 10 8 11 42 41 38
15 15 Oxford 30 17 13 1.1 1.2 9 8 13 34 36 35
16 17 Fleetwood Town 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 6 11 11 31 33 29
17 6 Barnsley 27 15 12 1.3 1.0 14 5 8 36 26 47
18 19 Milton Keynes Dons 29 17 12 0.9 1.4 8 4 17 27 40 28
19 22 Accrington 27 15 12 0.9 1.7 6 8 13 25 45 26
20 5 Bolton 30 19 11 1.3 0.8 15 8 7 38 23 53
21 10 Portsmouth 27 16 11 1.3 1.2 9 11 7 35 33 38
22 1 Sheffield Weds 28 18 10 1.7 0.6 18 7 3 48 18 61
23 18 Cheltenham 28 18 10 0.8 1.2 8 5 15 23 35 29
24 16 Lincoln 27 19 8 1.0 1.1 7 13 7 27 30 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Derby 14 4 10 2.1 0.8 10 2 2 30 11 32
2 24 Forest Green 15 6 9 0.7 1.8 4 0 11 11 27 12
3 2 Plymouth 14 6 8 2.1 0.8 13 0 1 29 11 39
4 7 Peterboro 13 5 8 2.0 0.8 9 1 3 26 10 28
5 9 Shrewsbury 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 2 6 20 19 23
6 13 Bristol Rvs 14 6 8 1.5 1.7 5 4 5 21 24 19
7 15 Oxford 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 5 3 7 19 17 18
8 1 Sheffield Weds 15 8 7 2.1 0.7 10 4 1 32 11 34
9 3 Ipswich 14 7 7 1.9 0.7 8 5 1 27 10 29
10 6 Barnsley 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 8 1 4 20 14 25
11 11 Exeter 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19
12 12 Charlton 15 8 7 1.8 1.3 6 5 4 27 19 23
13 14 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
14 21 Morecambe 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 5 5 4 21 17 20
15 8 Wycombe 14 8 6 1.5 0.9 7 3 4 21 13 24
16 10 Portsmouth 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 4 8 2 20 16 20
17 17 Fleetwood Town 14 8 6 0.9 1.2 2 5 7 13 17 11
18 20 Burton 14 8 6 1.1 1.6 4 4 6 16 23 16
19 22 Accrington 13 7 6 1.2 1.6 3 5 5 16 21 14
20 5 Bolton 16 11 5 1.3 0.5 10 4 2 21 8 34
21 18 Cheltenham 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 5 2 6 13 16 17
22 19 Milton Keynes Dons 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 2 3 10 10 23 9
23 23 Cambridge 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 6 13 17 18
24 16 Lincoln 13 11 2 1.0 0.8 2 11 0 13 10 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bristol Rvs 15 5 10 1.5 1.9 5 3 7 22 28 18
2 20 Burton 14 4 10 1.5 2.4 3 3 8 21 33 12
3 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.8 1.3 7 5 3 27 19 26
4 23 Cambridge 14 5 9 0.8 2.1 2 2 10 11 30 8
5 2 Plymouth 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 5 7 3 22 19 22
6 7 Peterboro 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 1 8 19 22 16
7 21 Morecambe 14 6 8 0.7 2.0 1 4 9 10 28 7
8 8 Wycombe 14 7 7 1.2 1.0 6 2 6 17 14 20
9 12 Charlton 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 16 20 14
10 14 Port Vale 14 7 7 1.0 1.5 5 3 6 14 21 18
11 17 Fleetwood Town 14 7 7 1.3 1.1 4 6 4 18 16 18
12 19 Milton Keynes Dons 14 7 7 1.2 1.2 6 1 7 17 17 19
13 24 Forest Green 15 8 7 0.9 2.0 1 6 8 13 30 9
14 5 Bolton 14 8 6 1.2 1.1 5 4 5 17 15 19
15 11 Exeter 15 9 6 1.5 1.5 5 4 6 22 22 19
16 16 Lincoln 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 5 2 7 14 20 17
17 22 Accrington 14 8 6 0.6 1.7 3 3 8 9 24 12
18 6 Barnsley 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 6 4 4 16 12 22
19 9 Shrewsbury 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 6 3 5 16 12 21
20 10 Portsmouth 13 8 5 1.2 1.3 5 3 5 15 17 18
21 15 Oxford 15 10 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 6 15 19 17
22 18 Cheltenham 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 3 3 9 10 19 12
23 4 Derby 14 10 4 1.1 0.7 5 6 3 15 10 21
24 1 Sheffield Weds 13 10 3 1.2 0.5 8 3 2 16 7 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40