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England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Bolton 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 2.11
Draw 4.50 fair 4.33
Away 7.50 fair 3.39
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Burton
18 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 4
9 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (119 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 15:15
Burton before this match, all matches
0.44points / match
1.11scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:19
Bolton all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.11
1.67 Goals conceded 2.11
3.33 Total goals 3.22
13.33 Shots 10.67
4.67 Shots on target 3.78
9.89 Shots faced 13.22
5.11 Corners 4.56
5.67 Corners against 4.89
12.22 Fouls 10.78
2.22 Yellow cards 2.11
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

44% Wins 0%
22% Draws 44%
33% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 78%
44% Over 3.5 goals 56%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
22% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 67%
22% Clean sheets 22%
44% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
22% Draws 44%
44% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
44% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Burton all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.40scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:10
Burton before this match, away
0.60points / match
1.20scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:11
Bolton at home away Burton

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.20
2.00 Goals conceded 2.20
3.40 Total goals 3.40
14.80 Shots 12.20
4.80 Shots on target 4.00
10.80 Shots faced 14.60
6.40 Corners 6.20
6.20 Corners against 5.20
12.00 Fouls 11.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 60%
40% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
60% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 20%
60% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
20% Draws 40%
60% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Bolton – Shrewsbury 2–2 (0–2) 1.384.508.00 1.67 2.15
01.10.24 Northampton – Bolton 2–4 (0–2) 4.103.501.85 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Crawley Town – Bolton 0–2 (0–1) 4.203.601.80 1.73 2.08
21.09.24 Bolton – Reading 5–2 (4–1) 1.753.504.50 1.75 2.05
14.09.24 Bolton – Huddersfield 0–4 (0–1) 2.203.303.25 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Bolton – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 1.454.336.50 1.80 2.05
24.08.24 Charlton – Bolton 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.08 1.73
18.08.24 Bolton – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.90 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Leyton Orient – Bolton 1–2 (1–1) 3.503.402.00 2.00 1.85
27.04.24 Peterboro – Bolton 3–3 (0–2) 2.804.002.25 1.41 2.70

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Burton – Bristol Rvs 1–3 (1–0) 2.253.403.00 1.80 2.00
01.10.24 Reading – Burton 3–1 (2–0) 1.704.004.33 1.65 2.20
28.09.24 Blackpool – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.50 1.65 2.20
21.09.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.903.501.91 1.67 2.15
14.09.24 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.504.75 1.70 2.10
31.08.24 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
24.08.24 Burton – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.38 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Mansfield – Burton 3–3 (2–1) 1.803.704.00 1.80 2.00
10.08.24 Burton – Lincoln 2–3 (2–2) 2.903.402.30 2.10 1.70
27.04.24 Fleetwood Town – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.903.802.20 1.63 2.15

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Bolton – Shrewsbury 2–2 (0–2) 1.384.508.00 1.67 2.15
21.09.24 Bolton – Reading 5–2 (4–1) 1.753.504.50 1.75 2.05
14.09.24 Bolton – Huddersfield 0–4 (0–1) 2.203.303.25 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Bolton – Exeter 0–2 (0–1) 1.454.336.50 1.80 2.05
18.08.24 Bolton – Wrexham 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.90 1.73 2.08
20.04.24 Bolton – Port Vale 2–0 (0–0) 1.404.508.00 1.85 2.00
16.04.24 Bolton – Shrewsbury 2–2 (1–2) 1.305.509.50 1.67 2.15
13.04.24 Bolton – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.88 1.98
01.04.24 Bolton – Reading 5–2 (2–1) 1.534.505.75 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Bolton – Oxford 5–0 (2–0) 1.733.804.75 1.88 1.98

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24 Reading – Burton 3–1 (2–0) 1.704.004.33 1.65 2.20
28.09.24 Blackpool – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.504.006.50 1.65 2.20
14.09.24 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.504.75 1.70 2.10
31.08.24 Northampton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Mansfield – Burton 3–3 (2–1) 1.803.704.00 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Fleetwood Town – Burton 3–0 (2–0) 2.903.802.20 1.63 2.15
13.04.24 Stevenage – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 2.10 1.70
29.03.24 Wigan – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsBurton wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24E2 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
26.08.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
18.04.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
25.10.22E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.02.22E2 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Birmingham 9 7 1 1 17 9 +8 22
2 Wrexham 10 6 2 2 18 8 +10 20
3 Wycombe 10 6 2 2 20 14 +6 20
4 Mansfield 9 6 2 1 17 11 +6 20
5 Exeter 10 6 1 3 12 6 +6 19
6 Lincoln 9 5 3 1 15 8 +7 18
7 Stockport 9 4 4 1 13 7 +6 16
8 Reading 10 5 1 4 17 15 +2 16
9 Charlton 10 5 1 4 10 9 +1 16
10 Huddersfield 10 5 0 5 14 11 +3 15
11 Blackpool 10 4 3 3 17 16 +1 15
12 Barnsley 10 4 3 3 15 15 0 15
13 Peterboro 12 4 3 5 20 24 -4 15
14 Stevenage 10 4 2 4 8 7 +1 14
15 Bolton 9 4 2 3 15 15 0 14
16 Rotherham 11 3 5 3 12 14 -2 14
17 Wigan 10 3 4 3 9 5 +4 13
18 Bristol Rvs 10 4 1 5 13 16 -3 13
19 Leyton Orient 10 2 2 6 10 14 -4 8
20 Northampton 9 2 2 5 11 17 -6 8
21 Shrewsbury 12 2 2 8 13 22 -9 8
22 Crawley Town 11 2 1 8 9 22 -13 7
23 Burton 9 0 4 5 10 19 -9 4
24 Cambridge 9 0 1 8 6 17 -11 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 5 5 0 0 15 4 +11 15
2 Reading 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
3 Birmingham 5 4 1 0 10 5 +5 13
4 Wycombe 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
5 Stevenage 5 4 0 1 6 1 +5 12
6 Mansfield 5 3 2 0 10 6 +4 11
7 Charlton 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
8 Exeter 4 3 0 1 5 2 +3 9
9 Huddersfield 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Bristol Rvs 5 3 0 2 7 8 -1 9
11 Wigan 5 2 2 1 4 1 +3 8
12 Blackpool 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
13 Rotherham 5 2 2 1 6 6 0 8
14 Peterboro 6 2 2 2 9 11 -2 8
15 Lincoln 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
16 Stockport 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
17 Barnsley 5 1 3 1 8 8 0 6
18 Bolton 5 1 2 2 7 10 -3 5
19 Northampton 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
20 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
21 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
22 Leyton Orient 5 0 2 3 4 7 -3 2
23 Burton 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
24 Cambridge 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
2 Exeter 6 3 1 2 7 4 +3 10
3 Stockport 5 2 3 0 8 3 +5 9
4 Bolton 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
5 Birmingham 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
6 Mansfield 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
7 Barnsley 5 3 0 2 7 7 0 9
8 Wycombe 5 2 2 1 10 9 +1 8
9 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
10 Peterboro 6 2 1 3 11 13 -2 7
11 Huddersfield 5 2 0 3 8 5 +3 6
12 Leyton Orient 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
13 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 6 8 -2 6
14 Charlton 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
15 Wigan 5 1 2 2 5 4 +1 5
16 Wrexham 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
17 Bristol Rvs 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
18 Northampton 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 4
19 Shrewsbury 6 1 1 4 8 12 -4 4
20 Burton 5 0 3 2 6 11 -5 3
21 Crawley Town 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
22 Stevenage 5 0 2 3 2 6 -4 2
23 Reading 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
24 Cambridge 5 0 0 5 2 9 -7 0

Bolton   Burton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Peterboro 12 3 9 1.7 2.0 4 3 5 20 24 15
2 3 Wycombe 10 2 8 2.0 1.4 6 2 2 20 14 20
3 12 Barnsley 10 2 8 1.5 1.5 4 3 3 15 15 15
4 11 Blackpool 10 3 7 1.7 1.6 4 3 3 17 16 15
5 23 Burton 9 2 7 1.1 2.1 0 4 5 10 19 4
6 2 Wrexham 10 4 6 1.8 0.8 6 2 2 18 8 20
7 8 Reading 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 1 4 17 15 16
8 18 Bristol Rvs 10 4 6 1.3 1.6 4 1 5 13 16 13
9 19 Leyton Orient 10 4 6 1.0 1.4 2 2 6 10 14 8
10 20 Northampton 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 2 2 5 11 17 8
11 21 Shrewsbury 12 6 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 8 13 22 8
12 1 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.9 1.0 7 1 1 17 9 22
13 4 Mansfield 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 6 2 1 17 11 20
14 10 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 5 0 5 14 11 15
15 15 Bolton 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 4 2 3 15 15 14
16 22 Crawley Town 11 6 5 0.8 2.0 2 1 8 9 22 7
17 6 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 3 1 15 8 18
18 16 Rotherham 11 7 4 1.1 1.3 3 5 3 12 14 14
19 5 Exeter 10 7 3 1.2 0.6 6 1 3 12 6 19
20 14 Stevenage 10 7 3 0.8 0.7 4 2 4 8 7 14
21 17 Wigan 10 7 3 0.9 0.5 3 4 3 9 5 13
22 24 Cambridge 9 6 3 0.7 1.9 0 1 8 6 17 1
23 7 Stockport 9 7 2 1.4 0.8 4 4 1 13 7 16
24 9 Charlton 10 8 2 1.0 0.9 5 1 4 10 9 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Wrexham 5 0 5 3.0 0.8 5 0 0 15 4 15
2 11 Blackpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
3 12 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 1 3 1 8 8 6
4 1 Birmingham 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 1 0 10 5 13
5 3 Wycombe 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
6 4 Mansfield 5 2 3 2.0 1.2 3 2 0 10 6 11
7 6 Lincoln 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
8 8 Reading 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
9 13 Peterboro 6 3 3 1.5 1.8 2 2 2 9 11 8
10 15 Bolton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 2 2 7 10 5
11 16 Rotherham 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 1 6 6 8
12 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 3 0 2 7 8 9
13 19 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 0.8 1.4 0 2 3 4 7 2
14 20 Northampton 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
15 22 Crawley Town 6 3 3 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
16 23 Burton 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
17 10 Huddersfield 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
18 21 Shrewsbury 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4
19 5 Exeter 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 0 1 5 2 9
20 7 Stockport 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
21 9 Charlton 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
22 14 Stevenage 5 4 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 1 6 1 12
23 17 Wigan 5 4 1 0.8 0.2 2 2 1 4 1 8
24 24 Cambridge 4 3 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Peterboro 6 0 6 1.8 2.2 2 1 3 11 13 7
2 3 Wycombe 5 0 5 2.0 1.8 2 2 1 10 9 8
3 12 Barnsley 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 3 0 2 7 7 9
4 21 Shrewsbury 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 1 1 4 8 12 4
5 23 Burton 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 2 6 11 3
6 8 Reading 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
7 10 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 0 3 8 5 6
8 11 Blackpool 5 2 3 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
9 18 Bristol Rvs 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
10 19 Leyton Orient 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
11 20 Northampton 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 1 2 6 8 4
12 1 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
13 4 Mansfield 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
14 5 Exeter 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 1 2 7 4 10
15 14 Stevenage 5 3 2 0.4 1.2 0 2 3 2 6 2
16 15 Bolton 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
17 17 Wigan 5 3 2 1.0 0.8 1 2 2 5 4 5
18 22 Crawley Town 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
19 24 Cambridge 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 0 0 5 2 9 0
20 2 Wrexham 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5
21 6 Lincoln 5 4 1 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
22 7 Stockport 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 2 3 0 8 3 9
23 9 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 2 0 3 4 6 6
24 16 Rotherham 6 5 1 1.0 1.3 1 3 2 6 8 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40