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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Oldham

Burton 3–2 Reading

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.89
Draw 3.40 fair 3.86
Away 2.30 fair 2.54
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Reading
10 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 9
13 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (528 league matches this season so far).
Result Reading to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.6% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.98points / match
0.82scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 36:62
Reading before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.43scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 63:65
Burton all matches all matches Reading

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.43
1.41 Goals conceded 1.48
2.23 Total goals 2.91
10.14 Shots 12.68
2.89 Shots on target 4.57
13.95 Shots faced 12.77
3.61 Corners 4.91
4.86 Corners against 5.61
12.84 Fouls 12.27
2.45 Yellow cards 1.98
0.34 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 34%
23% Draws 25%
52% Losses 41%
89% Over 0.5 goals 98%
68% Over 1.5 goals 80%
43% Over 2.5 goals 52%
16% Over 3.5 goals 36%
7% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
45% Both teams scored 64%
20% Clean sheets 25%
45% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 27%
39% Draws 43%
39% Losses 30%
68% Over 0.5 goals 75%
20% Over 1.5 goals 43%
2% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Reading all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.86scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 19:31
Reading before this match, away
0.82points / match
1.23scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 27:43
Burton at home away Reading

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.23
1.41 Goals conceded 1.95
2.27 Total goals 3.18
11.45 Shots 11.41
3.23 Shots on target 4.36
12.86 Shots faced 14.41
4.18 Corners 4.55
4.82 Corners against 6.50
13.18 Fouls 12.41
2.18 Yellow cards 2.09
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

27% Wins 18%
18% Draws 27%
55% Losses 55%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 82%
41% Over 2.5 goals 64%
18% Over 3.5 goals 45%
5% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
45% Both teams scored 73%
18% Clean sheets 9%
41% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 23%
41% Draws 41%
27% Losses 36%
68% Over 0.5 goals 77%
23% Over 1.5 goals 50%
5% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.24 Burton – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.40 1.53
13.04.24 Stevenage – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.534.206.00 2.10 1.70
06.04.24 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
01.04.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
29.03.24 Wigan – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.08 1.73
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
16.03.24 Exeter – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.00 2.15 1.67
12.03.24 Portsmouth – Burton 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.757.50 1.85 2.00
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
02.03.24 Cheltenham – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 2.10 1.70

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Barnsley – Reading 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.20 1.65 2.20
09.04.24 Bristol Rvs – Reading 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.402.45 1.75 2.05
06.04.24 Reading – Lincoln 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.98 1.88
01.04.24 Bolton – Reading 5–2 (2–1) 1.534.505.75 1.67 2.15
29.03.24 Reading – Northampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.88 1.98
16.03.24 Reading – Cambridge 4–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Reading – Wycombe 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.20 1.95 1.90
02.03.24 Carlisle – Reading 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 2.00 1.85
24.02.24 Reading – Shrewsbury 2–3 (2–3) 1.853.604.33 2.00 1.85

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.24 Burton – Cheltenham 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.40 1.53
06.04.24 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
01.04.24 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
23.03.24 Burton – Port Vale 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Burton – Peterboro 1–3 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.75 2.05
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Burton – Northampton 0–2 (0–2) 2.633.302.70 2.08 1.73
03.02.24 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65
20.01.24 Burton – Charlton 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 2.00 1.85
06.01.24 Burton – Wycombe 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.70

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Barnsley – Reading 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.754.20 1.65 2.20
09.04.24 Bristol Rvs – Reading 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.402.45 1.75 2.05
01.04.24 Bolton – Reading 5–2 (2–1) 1.534.505.75 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Carlisle – Reading 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 2.00 1.85
17.02.24 Portsmouth – Reading 4–1 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.67 2.15
13.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.45 1.80 2.03
06.02.24 Stevenage – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.93 1.93
03.02.24 Oxford – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.75 2.05
20.01.24 Wigan – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsReading wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23E2 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 44 27 13 4 75 39 +36 94
2 Derby 44 26 8 10 75 37 +38 86
3 Bolton 44 24 11 9 81 48 +33 83
4 Peterboro 43 24 8 11 84 56 +28 80
5 Barnsley 44 21 12 11 79 60 +19 75
6 Oxford 45 21 11 13 77 55 +22 74
7 Lincoln 44 19 14 11 63 37 +26 71
8 Blackpool 44 20 10 14 60 43 +17 70
9 Stevenage 45 18 14 13 55 45 +10 68
10 Wigan 44 18 10 16 59 55 +4 64
11 Leyton Orient 44 17 11 16 50 53 -3 62
12 Exeter 45 17 10 18 45 59 -14 61
13 Northampton 45 17 8 20 56 65 -9 59
14 Wycombe 43 15 13 15 55 53 +2 58
15 Bristol Rvs 44 16 9 19 52 64 -12 57
16 Reading 44 15 11 18 63 65 -2 56
17 Charlton 44 11 19 14 63 63 0 52
18 Shrewsbury 44 13 8 23 33 63 -30 47
19 Cambridge 43 12 10 21 38 59 -21 46
20 Burton 44 11 10 23 36 62 -26 43
21 Cheltenham 43 11 8 24 37 61 -24 41
22 Port Vale 44 10 10 24 41 72 -31 40
23 Fleetwood Town 44 8 13 23 45 72 -27 37
24 Carlisle 44 7 9 28 40 76 -36 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 22 15 5 2 42 25 +17 50
2 Bolton 22 14 5 3 50 27 +23 47
3 Derby 22 14 4 4 39 18 +21 46
4 Blackpool 22 13 6 3 40 17 +23 45
5 Peterboro 22 13 4 5 52 25 +27 43
6 Oxford 23 11 7 5 44 24 +20 40
7 Wigan 22 12 4 6 28 18 +10 40
8 Reading 22 11 5 6 36 22 +14 38
9 Northampton 23 11 5 7 31 23 +8 38
10 Lincoln 22 10 7 5 36 15 +21 37
11 Stevenage 22 9 8 5 25 18 +7 35
12 Barnsley 22 9 6 7 37 32 +5 33
13 Leyton Orient 22 9 5 8 26 30 -4 32
14 Charlton 22 8 7 7 36 30 +6 31
15 Wycombe 22 8 7 7 30 28 +2 31
16 Bristol Rvs 22 8 6 8 27 27 0 30
17 Cambridge 21 8 6 7 21 22 -1 30
18 Exeter 22 7 8 7 16 20 -4 29
19 Shrewsbury 22 8 3 11 18 28 -10 27
20 Cheltenham 21 6 4 11 21 32 -11 22
21 Burton 22 6 4 12 19 31 -12 22
22 Port Vale 22 6 3 13 27 34 -7 21
23 Fleetwood Town 22 5 5 12 23 33 -10 20
24 Carlisle 22 3 6 13 20 39 -19 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 22 12 8 2 33 14 +19 44
2 Barnsley 22 12 6 4 42 28 +14 42
3 Derby 22 12 4 6 36 19 +17 40
4 Peterboro 21 11 4 6 32 31 +1 37
5 Bolton 22 10 6 6 31 21 +10 36
6 Lincoln 22 9 7 6 27 22 +5 34
7 Oxford 22 10 4 8 33 31 +2 34
8 Stevenage 23 9 6 8 30 27 +3 33
9 Exeter 23 10 2 11 29 39 -10 32
10 Leyton Orient 22 8 6 8 24 23 +1 30
11 Wycombe 21 7 6 8 25 25 0 27
12 Bristol Rvs 22 8 3 11 25 37 -12 27
13 Blackpool 22 7 4 11 20 26 -6 25
14 Wigan 22 6 6 10 31 37 -6 24
15 Charlton 22 3 12 7 27 33 -6 21
16 Burton 22 5 6 11 17 31 -14 21
17 Northampton 22 6 3 13 25 42 -17 21
18 Shrewsbury 22 5 5 12 15 35 -20 20
19 Cheltenham 22 5 4 13 16 29 -13 19
20 Port Vale 22 4 7 11 14 38 -24 19
21 Reading 22 4 6 12 27 43 -16 18
22 Fleetwood Town 22 3 8 11 22 39 -17 17
23 Cambridge 22 4 4 14 17 37 -20 16
24 Carlisle 22 4 3 15 20 37 -17 15

Burton   Reading

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 43 13 30 2.0 1.3 24 8 11 84 56 80
2 5 Barnsley 44 15 29 1.8 1.4 21 12 11 79 60 75
3 6 Oxford 45 16 29 1.7 1.2 21 11 13 77 55 74
4 1 Portsmouth 44 19 25 1.7 0.9 27 13 4 75 39 94
5 2 Derby 44 19 25 1.7 0.8 26 8 10 75 37 86
6 17 Charlton 44 20 24 1.4 1.4 11 19 14 63 63 52
7 3 Bolton 44 21 23 1.8 1.1 24 11 9 81 48 83
8 13 Northampton 45 22 23 1.2 1.4 17 8 20 56 65 59
9 15 Bristol Rvs 44 21 23 1.2 1.5 16 9 19 52 64 57
10 16 Reading 44 21 23 1.4 1.5 15 11 18 63 65 56
11 23 Fleetwood Town 44 21 23 1.0 1.6 8 13 23 45 72 37
12 9 Stevenage 45 24 21 1.2 1.0 18 14 13 55 45 68
13 22 Port Vale 44 23 21 0.9 1.6 10 10 24 41 72 40
14 10 Wigan 44 24 20 1.3 1.2 18 10 16 59 55 64
15 11 Leyton Orient 44 24 20 1.1 1.2 17 11 16 50 53 62
16 12 Exeter 45 25 20 1.0 1.3 17 10 18 45 59 61
17 14 Wycombe 43 23 20 1.3 1.2 15 13 15 55 53 58
18 24 Carlisle 44 24 20 0.9 1.7 7 9 28 40 76 30
19 8 Blackpool 44 25 19 1.4 1.0 20 10 14 60 43 70
20 20 Burton 44 25 19 0.8 1.4 11 10 23 36 62 43
21 21 Cheltenham 43 24 19 0.9 1.4 11 8 24 37 61 41
22 19 Cambridge 43 25 18 0.9 1.4 12 10 21 38 59 46
23 7 Lincoln 44 27 17 1.4 0.8 19 14 11 63 37 71
24 18 Shrewsbury 44 27 17 0.8 1.4 13 8 23 33 63 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 22 5 17 2.4 1.1 13 4 5 52 25 43
2 6 Oxford 23 7 16 1.9 1.0 11 7 5 44 24 40
3 1 Portsmouth 22 7 15 1.9 1.1 15 5 2 42 25 50
4 3 Bolton 22 7 15 2.3 1.2 14 5 3 50 27 47
5 5 Barnsley 22 7 15 1.7 1.5 9 6 7 37 32 33
6 17 Charlton 22 7 15 1.6 1.4 8 7 7 36 30 31
7 2 Derby 22 9 13 1.8 0.8 14 4 4 39 18 46
8 8 Blackpool 22 11 11 1.8 0.8 13 6 3 40 17 45
9 11 Leyton Orient 22 11 11 1.2 1.4 9 5 8 26 30 32
10 15 Bristol Rvs 22 11 11 1.2 1.2 8 6 8 27 27 30
11 22 Port Vale 22 11 11 1.2 1.5 6 3 13 27 34 21
12 7 Lincoln 22 12 10 1.6 0.7 10 7 5 36 15 37
13 13 Northampton 23 13 10 1.3 1.0 11 5 7 31 23 38
14 21 Cheltenham 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 4 11 21 32 22
15 23 Fleetwood Town 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 5 5 12 23 33 20
16 24 Carlisle 22 12 10 0.9 1.8 3 6 13 20 39 15
17 14 Wycombe 22 13 9 1.4 1.3 8 7 7 30 28 31
18 16 Reading 22 13 9 1.6 1.0 11 5 6 36 22 38
19 20 Burton 22 13 9 0.9 1.4 6 4 12 19 31 22
20 9 Stevenage 22 14 8 1.1 0.8 9 8 5 25 18 35
21 10 Wigan 22 14 8 1.3 0.8 12 4 6 28 18 40
22 18 Shrewsbury 22 14 8 0.8 1.3 8 3 11 18 28 27
23 19 Cambridge 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 8 6 7 21 22 30
24 12 Exeter 22 16 6 0.7 0.9 7 8 7 16 20 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Barnsley 22 8 14 1.9 1.3 12 6 4 42 28 42
2 12 Exeter 23 9 14 1.3 1.7 10 2 11 29 39 32
3 16 Reading 22 8 14 1.2 2.0 4 6 12 27 43 18
4 4 Peterboro 21 8 13 1.5 1.5 11 4 6 32 31 37
5 6 Oxford 22 9 13 1.5 1.4 10 4 8 33 31 34
6 9 Stevenage 23 10 13 1.3 1.2 9 6 8 30 27 33
7 13 Northampton 22 9 13 1.1 1.9 6 3 13 25 42 21
8 23 Fleetwood Town 22 9 13 1.0 1.8 3 8 11 22 39 17
9 2 Derby 22 10 12 1.6 0.9 12 4 6 36 19 40
10 10 Wigan 22 10 12 1.4 1.7 6 6 10 31 37 24
11 15 Bristol Rvs 22 10 12 1.1 1.7 8 3 11 25 37 27
12 14 Wycombe 21 10 11 1.2 1.2 7 6 8 25 25 27
13 19 Cambridge 22 11 11 0.8 1.7 4 4 14 17 37 16
14 1 Portsmouth 22 12 10 1.5 0.6 12 8 2 33 14 44
15 20 Burton 22 12 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 11 17 31 21
16 22 Port Vale 22 12 10 0.6 1.7 4 7 11 14 38 19
17 24 Carlisle 22 12 10 0.9 1.7 4 3 15 20 37 15
18 11 Leyton Orient 22 13 9 1.1 1.0 8 6 8 24 23 30
19 17 Charlton 22 13 9 1.2 1.5 3 12 7 27 33 21
20 18 Shrewsbury 22 13 9 0.7 1.6 5 5 12 15 35 20
21 21 Cheltenham 22 13 9 0.7 1.3 5 4 13 16 29 19
22 3 Bolton 22 14 8 1.4 1.0 10 6 6 31 21 36
23 8 Blackpool 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 7 4 11 20 26 25
24 7 Lincoln 22 15 7 1.2 1.0 9 7 6 27 22 34

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40