Burton 0–1 Port Vale – England League One, 23 Mar 2024

Match facts

Burton Port Vale

12 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 6

12 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (462 league matches this season so far).

Result Burton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.01

Home / Draw / Away

45% 27% 28%

BurtonDrawPort Vale

Under / Over 2.5 goals

58% 42%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.8% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches

1.03points / match

0.82scored / match

1.32conceded / match

10 9 19

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 31:50

Port Vale before this match, all matches

0.89points / match

0.95scored / match

1.65conceded / match

8 9 20

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 35:61

Burton all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 0.95

1.32 Goals conceded 1.65

2.13 Total goals 2.59

10.16 Shots 12.22

2.95 Shots on target 3.86

13.97 Shots faced 12.38

3.37 Corners 5.38

4.89 Corners against 5.95

12.55 Fouls 10.00

2.50 Yellow cards 1.84

0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

26% Wins 22%

24% Draws 24%

50% Losses 54%

87% Over 0.5 goals 92%

66% Over 1.5 goals 68%

39% Over 2.5 goals 49%

13% Over 3.5 goals 24%

8% Over 4.5 goals 19%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

42% Both teams scored 43%

24% Clean sheets 22%

47% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 19%

42% Draws 49%

39% Losses 32%

66% Over 0.5 goals 62%

24% Over 1.5 goals 27%

3% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches

D

1

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

L

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

Port Vale all matches

1

L

2

D

2

3

L

2

L

2

L

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

D

2

L

Burton before this match, at home

1.22points / match

0.94scored / match

1.17conceded / match

6 4 8

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:21

Port Vale before this match, away

0.83points / match

0.72scored / match

1.83conceded / match

3 6 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 13:33

Burton at home away Port Vale

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 0.72

1.17 Goals conceded 1.83

2.11 Total goals 2.56

11.89 Shots 9.83

3.56 Shots on target 2.89

12.56 Shots faced 13.83

3.94 Corners 4.56

5.06 Corners against 6.39

12.94 Fouls 10.94

2.28 Yellow cards 1.83

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.22

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%

22% Draws 33%

44% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 83%

67% Over 1.5 goals 78%

33% Over 2.5 goals 50%

11% Over 3.5 goals 17%

6% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

44% Both teams scored 44%

22% Clean sheets 22%

39% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 17%

44% Draws 50%

28% Losses 33%

67% Over 0.5 goals 56%

28% Over 1.5 goals 22%

6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

3

L

Port Vale away

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

3

L

2

3

L

2

L

3

L

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Exeter – Burton	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.15	1.67
12.03.24	Portsmouth – Burton	2–1 (1–0)	1.44	4.75	7.50	1.85	2.00
09.03.24	Burton – Peterboro	1–3 (0–0)	4.33	4.00	1.73	1.75	2.05
02.03.24	Cheltenham – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.75	2.10	1.70
27.02.24	Burton – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.15	1.67
24.02.24	Burton – Northampton	0–2 (0–2)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
17.02.24	Leyton Orient – Burton	1–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.20	6.00	2.00	1.85
10.02.24	Bristol Rvs – Burton	1–2 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.75	1.85	2.00
03.02.24	Burton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.20	1.65
27.01.24	Cambridge – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.20	1.65

Port Vale all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Port Vale – Oxford	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75
12.03.24	Leyton Orient – Port Vale	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	2.05	1.75
09.03.24	Port Vale – Shrewsbury	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.40	3.25	2.15	1.67
02.03.24	Derby – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
27.02.24	Port Vale – Fleetwood Town	2–2 (2–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
24.02.24	Port Vale – Lincoln	0–2 (0–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.25	1.62
20.02.24	Reading – Port Vale	2–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.85	2.00
17.02.24	Cheltenham – Port Vale	3–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.60	3.75	2.05	1.75
10.02.24	Port Vale – Stevenage	2–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.60	2.15	2.05	1.80
06.02.24	Port Vale – Leyton Orient	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.50	2.20	2.10	1.70

Burton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Burton – Peterboro	1–3 (0–0)	4.33	4.00	1.73	1.75	2.05
27.02.24	Burton – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.15	1.67
24.02.24	Burton – Northampton	0–2 (0–2)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
03.02.24	Burton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.20	1.65
20.01.24	Burton – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.00	1.85
06.01.24	Burton – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	2.10	1.70
29.12.23	Burton – Shrewsbury	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.00	3.80	2.30	1.60
26.12.23	Burton – Blackpool	1–0 (1–0)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Burton – Stevenage	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.25	2.03	1.83
28.11.23	Burton – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.83	1.93	1.93

Port Vale away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Leyton Orient – Port Vale	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	2.05	1.75
02.03.24	Derby – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
20.02.24	Reading – Port Vale	2–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.85	2.00
17.02.24	Cheltenham – Port Vale	3–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.60	3.75	2.05	1.75
03.02.24	Fleetwood Town – Port Vale	3–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.50	2.45	1.88	1.98
01.01.24	Carlisle – Port Vale	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
23.12.23	Wycombe – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.75
09.12.23	Exeter – Port Vale	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.90	2.05	1.75
25.11.23	Shrewsbury – Port Vale	2–1 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.70
11.11.23	Lincoln – Port Vale	1–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Burton winsDrawsPort Vale wins

3matches

4.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.23E2	Port Vale – Burton	2–3 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.08	1.73
18.03.23E2	Port Vale – Burton	2–3 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.70
20.08.22E2	Burton – Port Vale	0–2 (0–0)	2.87	3.25	2.50	1.98	1.88

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	39	24	11	4	63	32	+31	83
2	Derby	39	24	6	9	69	34	+35	78
3	Bolton	39	22	8	9	71	43	+28	74
4	Peterboro	38	21	8	9	74	46	+28	71
5	Barnsley	38	20	11	7	70	48	+22	71
6	Oxford	39	18	9	12	62	52	+10	63
7	Lincoln	39	16	13	10	56	33	+23	61
8	Stevenage	38	17	10	11	49	38	+11	61
9	Blackpool	39	17	9	13	57	42	+15	60
10	Wigan	39	17	7	15	53	48	+5	58
11	Leyton Orient	39	16	10	13	44	44	0	58
12	Wycombe	38	13	11	14	50	49	+1	50
13	Bristol Rvs	38	14	8	16	48	57	-9	50
14	Northampton	39	14	8	17	50	60	-10	50
15	Reading	39	13	9	17	55	57	-2	48
16	Exeter	39	13	8	18	33	52	-19	47
17	Charlton	39	10	15	14	57	58	-1	45
18	Shrewsbury	39	13	5	21	29	55	-26	44
19	Burton	38	10	9	19	31	50	-19	39
20	Cambridge	38	10	9	19	32	55	-23	39
21	Cheltenham	37	9	8	20	30	50	-20	35
22	Fleetwood Town	39	7	13	19	41	61	-20	34
23	Port Vale	37	8	9	20	35	61	-26	33
24	Carlisle	38	5	8	25	33	67	-34	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	19	13	4	2	34	20	+14	43
2	Bolton	19	13	3	3	42	22	+20	42
3	Derby	20	12	4	4	35	18	+17	40
4	Blackpool	19	11	5	3	38	17	+21	38
5	Wigan	20	12	2	6	27	17	+10	38
6	Peterboro	19	11	4	4	44	21	+23	37
7	Lincoln	20	9	7	4	34	13	+21	34
8	Reading	20	10	4	6	34	21	+13	34
9	Oxford	19	9	6	4	34	22	+12	33
10	Barnsley	20	9	5	6	35	28	+7	32
11	Stevenage	19	8	7	4	22	15	+7	31
12	Wycombe	20	8	6	6	29	25	+4	30
13	Northampton	19	8	5	6	25	21	+4	29
14	Leyton Orient	19	8	4	7	20	25	-5	28
15	Charlton	19	7	5	7	32	27	+5	26
16	Bristol Rvs	18	7	5	6	26	23	+3	26
17	Cambridge	19	7	5	7	17	20	-3	26
18	Shrewsbury	20	8	2	10	17	25	-8	26
19	Exeter	20	6	7	7	14	19	-5	25
20	Burton	18	6	4	8	17	21	-4	22
21	Cheltenham	18	6	4	8	19	26	-7	22
22	Port Vale	19	5	3	11	22	28	-6	18
23	Fleetwood Town	20	4	5	11	20	31	-11	17
24	Carlisle	19	3	5	11	17	33	-16	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	20	11	7	2	29	12	+17	40
2	Barnsley	18	11	6	1	35	20	+15	39
3	Derby	19	12	2	5	34	16	+18	38
4	Peterboro	19	10	4	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bolton	20	9	5	6	29	21	+8	32
6	Leyton Orient	20	8	6	6	24	19	+5	30
7	Stevenage	19	9	3	7	27	23	+4	30
8	Oxford	20	9	3	8	28	30	-2	30
9	Lincoln	19	7	6	6	22	20	+2	27
10	Bristol Rvs	20	7	3	10	22	34	-12	24
11	Blackpool	20	6	4	10	19	25	-6	22
12	Exeter	19	7	1	11	19	33	-14	22
13	Northampton	20	6	3	11	25	39	-14	21
14	Wycombe	18	5	5	8	21	24	-3	20
15	Wigan	19	5	5	9	26	31	-5	20
16	Charlton	20	3	10	7	25	31	-6	19
17	Shrewsbury	19	5	3	11	12	30	-18	18
18	Fleetwood Town	19	3	8	8	21	30	-9	17
19	Burton	20	4	5	11	14	29	-15	17
20	Port Vale	18	3	6	9	13	33	-20	15
21	Reading	19	3	5	11	21	36	-15	14
22	Cheltenham	19	3	4	12	11	24	-13	13
23	Cambridge	19	3	4	12	15	35	-20	13
24	Carlisle	19	2	3	14	16	34	-18	9

Burton Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	39	13	26	1.6	1.3	18	9	12	62	52	63
2	4	Peterboro	38	13	25	1.9	1.2	21	8	9	74	46	71
3	5	Barnsley	38	14	24	1.8	1.3	20	11	7	70	48	71
4	2	Derby	39	16	23	1.8	0.9	24	6	9	69	34	78
5	13	Bristol Rvs	38	16	22	1.3	1.5	14	8	16	48	57	50
6	14	Northampton	39	17	22	1.3	1.5	14	8	17	50	60	50
7	17	Charlton	39	17	22	1.5	1.5	10	15	14	57	58	45
8	1	Portsmouth	39	18	21	1.6	0.8	24	11	4	63	32	83
9	3	Bolton	39	18	21	1.8	1.1	22	8	9	71	43	74
10	15	Reading	39	18	21	1.4	1.5	13	9	17	55	57	48
11	22	Fleetwood Town	39	19	20	1.1	1.6	7	13	19	41	61	34
12	9	Blackpool	39	20	19	1.5	1.1	17	9	13	57	42	60
13	8	Stevenage	38	20	18	1.3	1.0	17	10	11	49	38	61
14	12	Wycombe	38	20	18	1.3	1.3	13	11	14	50	49	50
15	23	Port Vale	37	19	18	0.9	1.6	8	9	20	35	61	33
16	10	Wigan	39	22	17	1.4	1.2	17	7	15	53	48	58
17	20	Cambridge	38	21	17	0.8	1.4	10	9	19	32	55	39
18	24	Carlisle	38	21	17	0.9	1.8	5	8	25	33	67	23
19	11	Leyton Orient	39	23	16	1.1	1.1	16	10	13	44	44	58
20	16	Exeter	39	23	16	0.8	1.3	13	8	18	33	52	47
21	7	Lincoln	39	24	15	1.4	0.8	16	13	10	56	33	61
22	18	Shrewsbury	39	24	15	0.7	1.4	13	5	21	29	55	44
23	19	Burton	38	23	15	0.8	1.3	10	9	19	31	50	39
24	21	Cheltenham	37	23	14	0.8	1.4	9	8	20	30	50	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Peterboro	19	5	14	2.3	1.1	11	4	4	44	21	37
2	5	Barnsley	20	6	14	1.8	1.4	9	5	6	35	28	32
3	6	Oxford	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	9	6	4	34	22	33
4	3	Bolton	19	6	13	2.2	1.2	13	3	3	42	22	42
5	17	Charlton	19	6	13	1.7	1.4	7	5	7	32	27	26
6	1	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.8	1.1	13	4	2	34	20	43
7	2	Derby	20	8	12	1.8	0.9	12	4	4	35	18	40
8	9	Blackpool	19	8	11	2.0	0.9	11	5	3	38	17	38
9	13	Bristol Rvs	18	7	11	1.4	1.3	7	5	6	26	23	26
10	7	Lincoln	20	11	9	1.7	0.7	9	7	4	34	13	34
11	14	Northampton	19	10	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	6	25	21	29
12	15	Reading	20	11	9	1.7	1.1	10	4	6	34	21	34
13	22	Fleetwood Town	20	11	9	1.0	1.6	4	5	11	20	31	17
14	23	Port Vale	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	5	3	11	22	28	18
15	10	Wigan	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	12	2	6	27	17	38
16	11	Leyton Orient	19	11	8	1.1	1.3	8	4	7	20	25	28
17	12	Wycombe	20	12	8	1.4	1.2	8	6	6	29	25	30
18	18	Shrewsbury	20	12	8	0.8	1.2	8	2	10	17	25	26
19	21	Cheltenham	18	10	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	8	19	26	22
20	24	Carlisle	19	11	8	0.9	1.7	3	5	11	17	33	14
21	8	Stevenage	19	13	6	1.2	0.8	8	7	4	22	15	31
22	16	Exeter	20	14	6	0.7	0.9	6	7	7	14	19	25
23	19	Burton	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	8	17	21	22
24	20	Cambridge	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	7	5	7	17	20	26

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Northampton	20	7	13	1.2	1.9	6	3	11	25	39	21
2	6	Oxford	20	8	12	1.4	1.5	9	3	8	28	30	30
3	8	Stevenage	19	7	12	1.4	1.2	9	3	7	27	23	30
4	15	Reading	19	7	12	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	21	36	14
5	2	Derby	19	8	11	1.8	0.8	12	2	5	34	16	38
6	4	Peterboro	19	8	11	1.6	1.3	10	4	5	30	25	34
7	13	Bristol Rvs	20	9	11	1.1	1.7	7	3	10	22	34	24
8	20	Cambridge	19	8	11	0.8	1.8	3	4	12	15	35	13
9	22	Fleetwood Town	19	8	11	1.1	1.6	3	8	8	21	30	17
10	5	Barnsley	18	8	10	1.9	1.1	11	6	1	35	20	39
11	12	Wycombe	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	5	5	8	21	24	20
12	16	Exeter	19	9	10	1.0	1.7	7	1	11	19	33	22
13	1	Portsmouth	20	11	9	1.4	0.6	11	7	2	29	12	40
14	10	Wigan	19	10	9	1.4	1.6	5	5	9	26	31	20
15	17	Charlton	20	11	9	1.2	1.6	3	10	7	25	31	19
16	19	Burton	20	11	9	0.7	1.4	4	5	11	14	29	17
17	23	Port Vale	18	9	9	0.7	1.8	3	6	9	13	33	15
18	24	Carlisle	19	10	9	0.8	1.8	2	3	14	16	34	9
19	3	Bolton	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	6	29	21	32
20	9	Blackpool	20	12	8	0.9	1.2	6	4	10	19	25	22
21	11	Leyton Orient	20	12	8	1.2	0.9	8	6	6	24	19	30
22	18	Shrewsbury	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	5	3	11	12	30	18
23	7	Lincoln	19	13	6	1.2	1.1	7	6	6	22	20	27
24	21	Cheltenham	19	13	6	0.6	1.3	3	4	12	11	24	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.