Burton 0–1 Carlisle – England League One, 27 Feb 2024

Match facts

Burton Carlisle

15 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 3

13 Fouls 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (404 league matches this season so far).

Result Burton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.44 – 0.97

Home / Draw / Away

48% 27% 26%

BurtonDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 48%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.9% 1–1 12.6% 2–0 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

0.88scored / match

1.30conceded / match

10 8 15

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 29:43

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.61points / match

0.82scored / match

1.73conceded / match

4 8 21

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 27:57

Burton all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 0.82

1.30 Goals conceded 1.73

2.18 Total goals 2.55

9.70 Shots 11.48

3.06 Shots on target 3.27

14.58 Shots faced 13.00

3.42 Corners 5.12

5.21 Corners against 4.91

12.39 Fouls 9.48

2.45 Yellow cards 1.85

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

30% Wins 12%

24% Draws 24%

45% Losses 64%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

70% Over 1.5 goals 76%

39% Over 2.5 goals 42%

12% Over 3.5 goals 24%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

42% Both teams scored 55%

24% Clean sheets 3%

45% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 6%

42% Draws 48%

36% Losses 45%

67% Over 0.5 goals 67%

27% Over 1.5 goals 27%

3% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches

1

W

1

L

1

D

2

3

L

2

W

D

1

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

Carlisle all matches

2

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

4

L

2

3

L

1

L

4

L

1

2

L

Burton before this match, at home

1.38points / match

1.00scored / match

1.06conceded / match

6 4 6

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:17

Carlisle before this match, away

0.38points / match

0.81scored / match

1.88conceded / match

1 3 12

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 13:30

Burton at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.81

1.06 Goals conceded 1.88

2.06 Total goals 2.69

11.69 Shots 10.38

3.63 Shots on target 3.00

12.88 Shots faced 14.69

4.13 Corners 3.94

5.31 Corners against 6.19

13.06 Fouls 10.75

2.44 Yellow cards 2.00

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

38% Wins 6%

25% Draws 19%

38% Losses 75%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 75%

31% Over 2.5 goals 50%

6% Over 3.5 goals 25%

6% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

44% Both teams scored 56%

25% Clean sheets 0%

38% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 13%

44% Draws 56%

25% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 44%

6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home

4

1

W

D

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

L

2

L

Carlisle away

1

L

1

L

1

5

L

3

L

1

D

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Burton – Northampton	0–2 (0–2)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
17.02.24	Leyton Orient – Burton	1–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.20	6.00	2.00	1.85
10.02.24	Bristol Rvs – Burton	1–2 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.75	1.85	2.00
03.02.24	Burton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.20	1.65
27.01.24	Cambridge – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.20	1.65
20.01.24	Burton – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.00	1.85
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
06.01.24	Burton – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	2.10	1.70
01.01.24	Bolton – Burton	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	4.75	9.50	1.70	2.10
29.12.23	Burton – Shrewsbury	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.00	3.80	2.30	1.60

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Bristol Rvs – Carlisle	2–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
17.02.24	Carlisle – Cambridge	0–4 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.25	1.62
10.02.24	Carlisle – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.62	1.93	1.93
03.02.24	Leyton Orient – Carlisle	3–2 (2–1)	1.70	3.60	5.50	2.08	1.73
27.01.24	Carlisle – Bolton	1–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.98	1.88
16.01.24	Barnsley – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.50	6.50	1.62	2.25
13.01.24	Carlisle – Oxford	1–3 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.00	1.85
06.01.24	Exeter – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Carlisle – Port Vale	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
29.12.23	Wigan – Carlisle	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.40	4.00	2.08	1.73

Burton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Burton – Northampton	0–2 (0–2)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
03.02.24	Burton – Lincoln	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.20	1.65
20.01.24	Burton – Charlton	2–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.00	1.85
06.01.24	Burton – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	2.10	1.70
29.12.23	Burton – Shrewsbury	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.00	3.80	2.30	1.60
26.12.23	Burton – Blackpool	1–0 (1–0)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Burton – Stevenage	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.40	2.25	2.03	1.83
28.11.23	Burton – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.83	1.93	1.93
28.10.23	Burton – Leyton Orient	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.05	1.80
21.10.23	Burton – Bristol Rvs	4–1 (2–1)	2.60	3.60	2.50	1.85	2.00

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Bristol Rvs – Carlisle	2–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
03.02.24	Leyton Orient – Carlisle	3–2 (2–1)	1.70	3.60	5.50	2.08	1.73
16.01.24	Barnsley – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.50	6.50	1.62	2.25
06.01.24	Exeter – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
29.12.23	Wigan – Carlisle	2–0 (2–0)	2.00	3.40	4.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.23	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.50	2.03	1.83
09.12.23	Blackpool – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.88	1.98
28.11.23	Reading – Carlisle	5–1 (3–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.95	1.90
28.10.23	Cambridge – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.70
21.10.23	Portsmouth – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.85	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Burton winsDrawsCarlisle wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.10.23E2	Carlisle – Burton	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.05	1.75

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	35	21	10	4	58	30	+28	73
2	Derby	34	20	6	8	59	31	+28	66
3	Bolton	33	20	6	7	60	37	+23	66
4	Barnsley	33	18	9	6	60	37	+23	63
5	Peterboro	33	17	8	8	61	41	+20	59
6	Oxford	35	16	9	10	57	44	+13	57
7	Stevenage	33	16	8	9	47	34	+13	56
8	Blackpool	34	15	8	11	54	40	+14	53
9	Leyton Orient	34	14	9	11	42	42	0	51
10	Wigan	34	14	7	13	48	43	+5	49
11	Lincoln	34	12	12	10	37	32	+5	48
12	Northampton	34	14	6	14	47	50	-3	48
13	Bristol Rvs	34	13	7	14	47	49	-2	46
14	Reading	35	11	9	15	46	52	-6	42
15	Exeter	35	11	7	17	26	48	-22	40
16	Wycombe	33	9	11	13	41	44	-3	38
17	Cambridge	33	10	8	15	31	41	-10	38
18	Burton	33	10	8	15	29	43	-14	38
19	Shrewsbury	34	11	5	18	26	46	-20	38
20	Charlton	34	7	13	14	47	52	-5	34
21	Cheltenham	32	9	6	17	28	43	-15	33
22	Port Vale	32	8	7	17	32	52	-20	31
23	Fleetwood Town	34	6	9	19	34	56	-22	27
24	Carlisle	33	4	8	21	27	57	-30	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Blackpool	18	11	4	3	38	17	+21	37
2	Portsmouth	17	11	4	2	30	18	+12	37
3	Bolton	17	11	3	3	35	22	+13	36
4	Derby	16	9	4	3	28	15	+13	31
5	Reading	18	9	4	5	29	19	+10	31
6	Barnsley	17	9	3	5	32	21	+11	30
7	Oxford	18	8	6	4	32	21	+11	30
8	Wigan	17	9	2	6	24	17	+7	29
9	Peterboro	15	8	4	3	34	17	+17	28
10	Northampton	17	8	4	5	24	19	+5	28
11	Stevenage	16	7	6	3	21	14	+7	27
12	Bristol Rvs	17	7	5	5	26	20	+6	26
13	Cambridge	18	7	4	7	16	19	-3	25
14	Lincoln	16	6	6	4	20	13	+7	24
15	Leyton Orient	16	7	3	6	19	24	-5	24
16	Charlton	18	6	5	7	29	25	+4	23
17	Shrewsbury	17	7	2	8	16	20	-4	23
18	Burton	16	6	4	6	16	17	-1	22
19	Wycombe	16	5	6	5	22	21	+1	21
20	Cheltenham	16	6	3	7	18	23	-5	21
21	Exeter	18	5	6	7	11	17	-6	21
22	Port Vale	16	5	2	9	19	22	-3	17
23	Carlisle	17	3	5	9	14	27	-13	14
24	Fleetwood Town	17	3	3	11	15	28	-13	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	18	10	6	2	28	12	+16	36
2	Derby	18	11	2	5	31	16	+15	35
3	Barnsley	16	9	6	1	28	16	+12	33
4	Peterboro	18	9	4	5	27	24	+3	31
5	Bolton	16	9	3	4	25	15	+10	30
6	Stevenage	17	9	2	6	26	20	+6	29
7	Leyton Orient	18	7	6	5	23	18	+5	27
8	Oxford	17	8	3	6	25	23	+2	27
9	Lincoln	18	6	6	6	17	19	-2	24
10	Wigan	17	5	5	7	24	26	-2	20
11	Northampton	17	6	2	9	23	31	-8	20
12	Bristol Rvs	17	6	2	9	21	29	-8	20
13	Exeter	17	6	1	10	15	31	-16	19
14	Wycombe	17	4	5	8	19	23	-4	17
15	Blackpool	16	4	4	8	16	23	-7	16
16	Burton	17	4	4	9	13	26	-13	16
17	Fleetwood Town	17	3	6	8	19	28	-9	15
18	Shrewsbury	17	4	3	10	10	26	-16	15
19	Port Vale	16	3	5	8	13	30	-17	14
20	Cambridge	15	3	4	8	15	22	-7	13
21	Cheltenham	16	3	3	10	10	20	-10	12
22	Charlton	16	1	8	7	18	27	-9	11
23	Reading	17	2	5	10	17	33	-16	11
24	Carlisle	16	1	3	12	13	30	-17	6

Burton Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	35	12	23	1.6	1.3	16	9	10	57	44	57
2	5	Peterboro	33	12	21	1.8	1.2	17	8	8	61	41	59
3	12	Northampton	34	13	21	1.4	1.5	14	6	14	47	50	48
4	4	Barnsley	33	13	20	1.8	1.1	18	9	6	60	37	63
5	13	Bristol Rvs	34	14	20	1.4	1.4	13	7	14	47	49	46
6	1	Portsmouth	35	16	19	1.7	0.9	21	10	4	58	30	73
7	2	Derby	34	15	19	1.7	0.9	20	6	8	59	31	66
8	8	Blackpool	34	15	19	1.6	1.2	15	8	11	54	40	53
9	20	Charlton	34	15	19	1.4	1.5	7	13	14	47	52	34
10	3	Bolton	33	15	18	1.8	1.1	20	6	7	60	37	66
11	23	Fleetwood Town	34	16	18	1.0	1.6	6	9	19	34	56	27
12	7	Stevenage	33	16	17	1.4	1.0	16	8	9	47	34	56
13	14	Reading	35	18	17	1.3	1.5	11	9	15	46	52	42
14	9	Leyton Orient	34	18	16	1.2	1.2	14	9	11	42	42	51
15	10	Wigan	34	18	16	1.4	1.3	14	7	13	48	43	49
16	16	Wycombe	33	17	16	1.2	1.3	9	11	13	41	44	38
17	17	Cambridge	33	18	15	0.9	1.2	10	8	15	31	41	38
18	22	Port Vale	32	17	15	1.0	1.6	8	7	17	32	52	31
19	24	Carlisle	33	19	14	0.8	1.7	4	8	21	27	57	20
20	15	Exeter	35	22	13	0.7	1.4	11	7	17	26	48	40
21	18	Burton	33	20	13	0.9	1.3	10	8	15	29	43	38
22	19	Shrewsbury	34	22	12	0.8	1.4	11	5	18	26	46	38
23	21	Cheltenham	32	20	12	0.9	1.3	9	6	17	28	43	33
24	11	Lincoln	34	23	11	1.1	0.9	12	12	10	37	32	48

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	18	5	13	1.8	1.2	8	6	4	32	21	30
2	3	Bolton	17	5	12	2.1	1.3	11	3	3	35	22	36
3	4	Barnsley	17	5	12	1.9	1.2	9	3	5	32	21	30
4	20	Charlton	18	6	12	1.6	1.4	6	5	7	29	25	23
5	5	Peterboro	15	4	11	2.3	1.1	8	4	3	34	17	28
6	8	Blackpool	18	7	11	2.1	0.9	11	4	3	38	17	37
7	1	Portsmouth	17	7	10	1.8	1.1	11	4	2	30	18	37
8	13	Bristol Rvs	17	7	10	1.5	1.2	7	5	5	26	20	26
9	2	Derby	16	7	9	1.8	0.9	9	4	3	28	15	31
10	12	Northampton	17	8	9	1.4	1.1	8	4	5	24	19	28
11	9	Leyton Orient	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	7	3	6	19	24	24
12	10	Wigan	17	9	8	1.4	1.0	9	2	6	24	17	29
13	23	Fleetwood Town	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	3	3	11	15	28	12
14	14	Reading	18	11	7	1.6	1.1	9	4	5	29	19	31
15	16	Wycombe	16	9	7	1.4	1.3	5	6	5	22	21	21
16	19	Shrewsbury	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	7	2	8	16	20	23
17	21	Cheltenham	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	18	23	21
18	22	Port Vale	16	9	7	1.2	1.4	5	2	9	19	22	17
19	7	Stevenage	16	10	6	1.3	0.9	7	6	3	21	14	27
20	11	Lincoln	16	10	6	1.2	0.8	6	6	4	20	13	24
21	17	Cambridge	18	12	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	7	16	19	25
22	24	Carlisle	17	11	6	0.8	1.6	3	5	9	14	27	14
23	15	Exeter	18	13	5	0.6	0.9	5	6	7	11	17	21
24	18	Burton	16	11	5	1.0	1.1	6	4	6	16	17	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Northampton	17	5	12	1.4	1.8	6	2	9	23	31	20
2	7	Stevenage	17	6	11	1.5	1.2	9	2	6	26	20	29
3	2	Derby	18	8	10	1.7	0.9	11	2	5	31	16	35
4	5	Peterboro	18	8	10	1.5	1.3	9	4	5	27	24	31
5	6	Oxford	17	7	10	1.5	1.4	8	3	6	25	23	27
6	13	Bristol Rvs	17	7	10	1.2	1.7	6	2	9	21	29	20
7	14	Reading	17	7	10	1.0	1.9	2	5	10	17	33	11
8	23	Fleetwood Town	17	7	10	1.1	1.6	3	6	8	19	28	15
9	1	Portsmouth	18	9	9	1.6	0.7	10	6	2	28	12	36
10	16	Wycombe	17	8	9	1.1	1.4	4	5	8	19	23	17
11	17	Cambridge	15	6	9	1.0	1.5	3	4	8	15	22	13
12	4	Barnsley	16	8	8	1.8	1.0	9	6	1	28	16	33
13	8	Blackpool	16	8	8	1.0	1.4	4	4	8	16	23	16
14	9	Leyton Orient	18	10	8	1.3	1.0	7	6	5	23	18	27
15	10	Wigan	17	9	8	1.4	1.5	5	5	7	24	26	20
16	15	Exeter	17	9	8	0.9	1.8	6	1	10	15	31	19
17	18	Burton	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	4	4	9	13	26	16
18	22	Port Vale	16	8	8	0.8	1.9	3	5	8	13	30	14
19	24	Carlisle	16	8	8	0.8	1.9	1	3	12	13	30	6
20	20	Charlton	16	9	7	1.1	1.7	1	8	7	18	27	11
21	3	Bolton	16	10	6	1.6	0.9	9	3	4	25	15	30
22	11	Lincoln	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	6	6	6	17	19	24
23	19	Shrewsbury	17	12	5	0.6	1.5	4	3	10	10	26	15
24	21	Cheltenham	16	11	5	0.6	1.2	3	3	10	10	20	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.