Carlisle 1–3 Reading – England League One, 2 Mar 2024

Match facts

Carlisle Reading

13 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 8

3 Corners 5

6 Fouls 16

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (412 league matches this season so far).

Result Reading to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.82

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.41

Home / Draw / Away

35% 26% 40%

CarlisleDrawReading

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.4% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.68points / match

0.82scored / match

1.68conceded / match

5 8 21

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 28:57

Reading before this match, all matches

1.20points / match

1.31scored / match

1.49conceded / match

11 9 15

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 46:52

Carlisle all matches all matches Reading

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.31

1.68 Goals conceded 1.49

2.50 Total goals 2.80

11.32 Shots 12.29

3.26 Shots on target 4.43

13.06 Shots faced 12.60

5.06 Corners 4.80

4.82 Corners against 5.83

9.53 Fouls 12.43

1.85 Yellow cards 2.23

0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.71

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

15% Wins 31%

24% Draws 26%

62% Losses 43%

100% Over 0.5 goals 97%

74% Over 1.5 goals 77%

41% Over 2.5 goals 49%

24% Over 3.5 goals 34%

9% Over 4.5 goals 20%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

53% Both teams scored 63%

6% Clean sheets 23%

41% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

9% Wins 26%

47% Draws 43%

44% Losses 31%

68% Over 0.5 goals 77%

26% Over 1.5 goals 40%

6% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

4

L

2

3

L

1

L

4

L

1

2

L

1

W

Reading all matches

1

L

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

W

1

D

1

4

L

2

W

2

3

L

Carlisle before this match, at home

0.82points / match

0.82scored / match

1.59conceded / match

3 5 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 14:27

Reading before this match, away

0.65points / match

1.00scored / match

1.94conceded / match

2 5 10

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:33

Carlisle at home away Reading

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.00

1.59 Goals conceded 1.94

2.41 Total goals 2.94

12.53 Shots 10.47

3.53 Shots on target 4.00

11.41 Shots faced 13.94

6.24 Corners 4.47

3.71 Corners against 6.71

8.29 Fouls 12.47

1.71 Yellow cards 2.47

0.06 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

18% Wins 12%

29% Draws 29%

53% Losses 59%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

76% Over 1.5 goals 76%

35% Over 2.5 goals 59%

24% Over 3.5 goals 41%

6% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 71%

6% Clean sheets 6%

41% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 18%

41% Draws 41%

59% Losses 41%

65% Over 0.5 goals 76%

12% Over 1.5 goals 41%

0% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

2

1

W

1

L

1

D

2

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

4

L

1

L

4

L

Reading away

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

2

D

1

L

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.24	Burton – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.15	1.67
24.02.24	Bristol Rvs – Carlisle	2–1 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
17.02.24	Carlisle – Cambridge	0–4 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.25	1.62
10.02.24	Carlisle – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.62	1.93	1.93
03.02.24	Leyton Orient – Carlisle	3–2 (2–1)	1.70	3.60	5.50	2.08	1.73
27.01.24	Carlisle – Bolton	1–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.98	1.88
16.01.24	Barnsley – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.50	6.50	1.62	2.25
13.01.24	Carlisle – Oxford	1–3 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.00	1.85
06.01.24	Exeter – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
01.01.24	Carlisle – Port Vale	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65

Reading all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.02.24	Reading – Shrewsbury	2–3 (2–3)	1.85	3.60	4.33	2.00	1.85
20.02.24	Reading – Port Vale	2–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.85	2.00
17.02.24	Portsmouth – Reading	4–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.67	2.15
13.02.24	Fleetwood Town – Reading	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.45	1.80	2.03
10.02.24	Reading – Charlton	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.50	3.20	1.75	2.05
06.02.24	Stevenage – Reading	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.93	1.93
03.02.24	Oxford – Reading	1–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.75	2.05
27.01.24	Reading – Leyton Orient	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.40	2.75	2.05	1.75
23.01.24	Reading – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.73	2.08
20.01.24	Wigan – Reading	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.73	2.08

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Carlisle – Cambridge	0–4 (0–1)	2.90	3.10	2.55	2.25	1.62
10.02.24	Carlisle – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	5.75	3.75	1.62	1.93	1.93
27.01.24	Carlisle – Bolton	1–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.98	1.88
13.01.24	Carlisle – Oxford	1–3 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.00	1.85
01.01.24	Carlisle – Port Vale	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
23.12.23	Carlisle – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
16.12.23	Carlisle – Northampton	2–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.25	2.63	2.15	1.67
25.11.23	Carlisle – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.88	1.98
11.11.23	Carlisle – Bristol Rvs	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.38	1.98	1.88
24.10.23	Carlisle – Burton	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.05	1.75

Reading away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Portsmouth – Reading	4–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.00	6.00	1.67	2.15
13.02.24	Fleetwood Town – Reading	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.45	1.80	2.03
06.02.24	Stevenage – Reading	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.93	1.93
03.02.24	Oxford – Reading	1–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.75	2.05
20.01.24	Wigan – Reading	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.73	2.08
29.12.23	Cheltenham – Reading	2–2 (2–2)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.00	1.85
26.12.23	Peterboro – Reading	2–2 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	6.50	1.60	2.30
16.12.23	Lincoln – Reading	1–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.08	1.73
25.11.23	Wycombe – Reading	1–2 (1–2)	1.83	3.60	4.20	1.83	2.03
11.11.23	Shrewsbury – Reading	3–2 (1–2)	2.35	3.40	3.00	2.05	1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Carlisle winsDrawsReading wins

1matches

6.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.11.23E2	Reading – Carlisle	5–1 (3–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.95	1.90

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	35	21	10	4	58	30	+28	73
2	Derby	35	20	6	9	60	33	+27	66
3	Bolton	34	20	6	8	60	38	+22	66
4	Barnsley	33	18	9	6	60	37	+23	63
5	Peterboro	33	17	8	8	61	41	+20	59
6	Stevenage	34	17	8	9	48	34	+14	59
7	Oxford	35	16	9	10	57	44	+13	57
8	Leyton Orient	35	15	9	11	43	42	+1	54
9	Blackpool	35	15	8	12	54	41	+13	53
10	Wigan	35	15	7	13	49	43	+6	52
11	Lincoln	35	13	12	10	40	32	+8	51
12	Northampton	34	14	6	14	47	50	-3	48
13	Bristol Rvs	34	13	7	14	47	49	-2	46
14	Reading	35	11	9	15	46	52	-6	42
15	Wycombe	34	10	11	13	43	44	-1	41
16	Exeter	35	11	7	17	26	48	-22	40
17	Cambridge	34	10	8	16	31	42	-11	38
18	Burton	34	10	8	16	29	44	-15	38
19	Shrewsbury	35	11	5	19	26	49	-23	38
20	Charlton	35	8	13	14	49	53	-4	37
21	Cheltenham	33	9	6	18	28	45	-17	33
22	Port Vale	33	8	8	17	34	54	-20	32
23	Fleetwood Town	35	6	10	19	36	58	-22	28
24	Carlisle	34	5	8	21	28	57	-29	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Blackpool	18	11	4	3	38	17	+21	37
2	Portsmouth	17	11	4	2	30	18	+12	37
3	Bolton	17	11	3	3	35	22	+13	36
4	Wigan	18	10	2	6	25	17	+8	32
5	Derby	17	9	4	4	29	17	+12	31
6	Reading	18	9	4	5	29	19	+10	31
7	Barnsley	17	9	3	5	32	21	+11	30
8	Oxford	18	8	6	4	32	21	+11	30
9	Stevenage	17	8	6	3	22	14	+8	30
10	Peterboro	15	8	4	3	34	17	+17	28
11	Northampton	17	8	4	5	24	19	+5	28
12	Lincoln	17	7	6	4	23	13	+10	27
13	Leyton Orient	17	8	3	6	20	24	-4	27
14	Bristol Rvs	17	7	5	5	26	20	+6	26
15	Cambridge	18	7	4	7	16	19	-3	25
16	Wycombe	17	6	6	5	24	21	+3	24
17	Charlton	18	6	5	7	29	25	+4	23
18	Shrewsbury	17	7	2	8	16	20	-4	23
19	Burton	17	6	4	7	16	18	-2	22
20	Cheltenham	16	6	3	7	18	23	-5	21
21	Exeter	18	5	6	7	11	17	-6	21
22	Port Vale	17	5	3	9	21	24	-3	18
23	Carlisle	17	3	5	9	14	27	-13	14
24	Fleetwood Town	17	3	3	11	15	28	-13	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	18	10	6	2	28	12	+16	36
2	Derby	18	11	2	5	31	16	+15	35
3	Barnsley	16	9	6	1	28	16	+12	33
4	Peterboro	18	9	4	5	27	24	+3	31
5	Bolton	17	9	3	5	25	16	+9	30
6	Stevenage	17	9	2	6	26	20	+6	29
7	Leyton Orient	18	7	6	5	23	18	+5	27
8	Oxford	17	8	3	6	25	23	+2	27
9	Lincoln	18	6	6	6	17	19	-2	24
10	Wigan	17	5	5	7	24	26	-2	20
11	Northampton	17	6	2	9	23	31	-8	20
12	Bristol Rvs	17	6	2	9	21	29	-8	20
13	Exeter	17	6	1	10	15	31	-16	19
14	Wycombe	17	4	5	8	19	23	-4	17
15	Blackpool	17	4	4	9	16	24	-8	16
16	Fleetwood Town	18	3	7	8	21	30	-9	16
17	Burton	17	4	4	9	13	26	-13	16
18	Shrewsbury	18	4	3	11	10	29	-19	15
19	Charlton	17	2	8	7	20	28	-8	14
20	Port Vale	16	3	5	8	13	30	-17	14
21	Cambridge	16	3	4	9	15	23	-8	13
22	Cheltenham	17	3	3	11	10	22	-12	12
23	Reading	17	2	5	10	17	33	-16	11
24	Carlisle	17	2	3	12	14	30	-16	9

Carlisle Reading

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Oxford	35	12	23	1.6	1.3	16	9	10	57	44	57
2	5	Peterboro	33	12	21	1.8	1.2	17	8	8	61	41	59
3	12	Northampton	34	13	21	1.4	1.5	14	6	14	47	50	48
4	2	Derby	35	15	20	1.7	0.9	20	6	9	60	33	66
5	4	Barnsley	33	13	20	1.8	1.1	18	9	6	60	37	63
6	13	Bristol Rvs	34	14	20	1.4	1.4	13	7	14	47	49	46
7	20	Charlton	35	15	20	1.4	1.5	8	13	14	49	53	37
8	1	Portsmouth	35	16	19	1.7	0.9	21	10	4	58	30	73
9	9	Blackpool	35	16	19	1.5	1.2	15	8	12	54	41	53
10	23	Fleetwood Town	35	16	19	1.0	1.7	6	10	19	36	58	28
11	3	Bolton	34	16	18	1.8	1.1	20	6	8	60	38	66
12	6	Stevenage	34	17	17	1.4	1.0	17	8	9	48	34	59
13	14	Reading	35	18	17	1.3	1.5	11	9	15	46	52	42
14	8	Leyton Orient	35	19	16	1.2	1.2	15	9	11	43	42	54
15	10	Wigan	35	19	16	1.4	1.2	15	7	13	49	43	52
16	15	Wycombe	34	18	16	1.3	1.3	10	11	13	43	44	41
17	22	Port Vale	33	17	16	1.0	1.6	8	8	17	34	54	32
18	17	Cambridge	34	19	15	0.9	1.2	10	8	16	31	42	38
19	24	Carlisle	34	20	14	0.8	1.7	5	8	21	28	57	23
20	16	Exeter	35	22	13	0.7	1.4	11	7	17	26	48	40
21	18	Burton	34	21	13	0.9	1.3	10	8	16	29	44	38
22	19	Shrewsbury	35	22	13	0.7	1.4	11	5	19	26	49	38
23	11	Lincoln	35	23	12	1.1	0.9	13	12	10	40	32	51
24	21	Cheltenham	33	21	12	0.8	1.4	9	6	18	28	45	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Oxford	18	5	13	1.8	1.2	8	6	4	32	21	30
2	3	Bolton	17	5	12	2.1	1.3	11	3	3	35	22	36
3	4	Barnsley	17	5	12	1.9	1.2	9	3	5	32	21	30
4	20	Charlton	18	6	12	1.6	1.4	6	5	7	29	25	23
5	5	Peterboro	15	4	11	2.3	1.1	8	4	3	34	17	28
6	9	Blackpool	18	7	11	2.1	0.9	11	4	3	38	17	37
7	1	Portsmouth	17	7	10	1.8	1.1	11	4	2	30	18	37
8	2	Derby	17	7	10	1.7	1.0	9	4	4	29	17	31
9	13	Bristol Rvs	17	7	10	1.5	1.2	7	5	5	26	20	26
10	12	Northampton	17	8	9	1.4	1.1	8	4	5	24	19	28
11	8	Leyton Orient	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	8	3	6	20	24	27
12	10	Wigan	18	10	8	1.4	0.9	10	2	6	25	17	32
13	22	Port Vale	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	5	3	9	21	24	18
14	23	Fleetwood Town	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	3	3	11	15	28	12
15	11	Lincoln	17	10	7	1.4	0.8	7	6	4	23	13	27
16	14	Reading	18	11	7	1.6	1.1	9	4	5	29	19	31
17	15	Wycombe	17	10	7	1.4	1.2	6	6	5	24	21	24
18	19	Shrewsbury	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	7	2	8	16	20	23
19	21	Cheltenham	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	18	23	21
20	6	Stevenage	17	11	6	1.3	0.8	8	6	3	22	14	30
21	17	Cambridge	18	12	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	7	16	19	25
22	24	Carlisle	17	11	6	0.8	1.6	3	5	9	14	27	14
23	16	Exeter	18	13	5	0.6	0.9	5	6	7	11	17	21
24	18	Burton	17	12	5	0.9	1.1	6	4	7	16	18	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Northampton	17	5	12	1.4	1.8	6	2	9	23	31	20
2	6	Stevenage	17	6	11	1.5	1.2	9	2	6	26	20	29
3	23	Fleetwood Town	18	7	11	1.2	1.7	3	7	8	21	30	16
4	2	Derby	18	8	10	1.7	0.9	11	2	5	31	16	35
5	5	Peterboro	18	8	10	1.5	1.3	9	4	5	27	24	31
6	7	Oxford	17	7	10	1.5	1.4	8	3	6	25	23	27
7	13	Bristol Rvs	17	7	10	1.2	1.7	6	2	9	21	29	20
8	14	Reading	17	7	10	1.0	1.9	2	5	10	17	33	11
9	1	Portsmouth	18	9	9	1.6	0.7	10	6	2	28	12	36
10	15	Wycombe	17	8	9	1.1	1.4	4	5	8	19	23	17
11	17	Cambridge	16	7	9	0.9	1.4	3	4	9	15	23	13
12	4	Barnsley	16	8	8	1.8	1.0	9	6	1	28	16	33
13	8	Leyton Orient	18	10	8	1.3	1.0	7	6	5	23	18	27
14	9	Blackpool	17	9	8	0.9	1.4	4	4	9	16	24	16
15	10	Wigan	17	9	8	1.4	1.5	5	5	7	24	26	20
16	16	Exeter	17	9	8	0.9	1.8	6	1	10	15	31	19
17	18	Burton	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	4	4	9	13	26	16
18	20	Charlton	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	2	8	7	20	28	14
19	22	Port Vale	16	8	8	0.8	1.9	3	5	8	13	30	14
20	24	Carlisle	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	2	3	12	14	30	9
21	3	Bolton	17	11	6	1.5	0.9	9	3	5	25	16	30
22	19	Shrewsbury	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	4	3	11	10	29	15
23	11	Lincoln	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	6	6	6	17	19	24
24	21	Cheltenham	17	12	5	0.6	1.3	3	3	11	10	22	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.