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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Corlett

Lincoln 1–0 Exeter

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 1.94
Draw 3.25 fair 3.77
Away 3.60 fair 4.55
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lincoln Exeter
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 5
5 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (377 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.47 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
LincolnDrawExeter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.3% 1–1 12.3% 2–0 10.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.06scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 34:32
Exeter before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
0.76scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 25:46
Lincoln all matches all matches Exeter

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 0.76
1.00 Goals conceded 1.39
2.06 Total goals 2.15
10.47 Shots 11.64
3.31 Shots on target 3.76
11.91 Shots faced 12.70
3.94 Corners 6.00
5.50 Corners against 5.91
10.38 Fouls 11.09
1.97 Yellow cards 2.03
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

31% Wins 33%
38% Draws 18%
31% Losses 48%
91% Over 0.5 goals 88%
69% Over 1.5 goals 64%
34% Over 2.5 goals 39%
13% Over 3.5 goals 9%
0% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
44% Both teams scored 30%
34% Clean sheets 30%
31% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 12%
44% Draws 42%
28% Losses 45%
63% Over 0.5 goals 64%
19% Over 1.5 goals 21%
3% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln all matches
Exeter all matches
Lincoln before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.27scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:13
Exeter before this match, away
1.19points / match
0.94scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:30
Lincoln at home away Exeter

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.94
0.87 Goals conceded 1.88
2.13 Total goals 2.81
11.67 Shots 9.31
3.93 Shots on target 3.81
11.60 Shots faced 15.38
3.93 Corners 4.75
5.33 Corners against 6.88
9.73 Fouls 11.75
1.53 Yellow cards 1.75
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

33% Wins 38%
40% Draws 6%
27% Losses 56%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 81%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 19%
0% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 31%
33% Clean sheets 25%
33% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 25%
40% Draws 25%
33% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 81%
20% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lincoln at home
Exeter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Charlton – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Lincoln – Fleetwood Town 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.15 1.67
03.02.24 Burton – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.20 1.65
27.01.24 Lincoln – Peterboro 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.98 1.88
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Wycombe – Lincoln 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Blackpool – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 2.03 1.83
29.12.23 Lincoln – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.65
26.12.23 Lincoln – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.05 1.75
21.12.23 Derby – Lincoln 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.336.00 2.03 1.83

Exeter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73
06.02.24 Exeter – Peterboro 2–1 (0–1) 4.203.801.80 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
27.01.24 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Exeter – Cambridge 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.65
13.01.24 Blackpool – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.006.50 1.85 2.00
06.01.24 Exeter – Carlisle 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95

Lincoln at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Lincoln – Fleetwood Town 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.15 1.67
27.01.24 Lincoln – Peterboro 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.98 1.88
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
29.12.23 Lincoln – Northampton 1–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.65
26.12.23 Lincoln – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.402.20 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Lincoln – Reading 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73
25.11.23 Lincoln – Barnsley 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 1.88 1.98
11.11.23 Lincoln – Port Vale 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.253.10 2.10 1.70
31.10.23 Lincoln – Oxford 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.70
24.10.23 Lincoln – Charlton 3–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 2.00 1.85

Exeter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Wigan – Exeter 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.08 1.73
27.01.24 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.90 1.95
13.01.24 Blackpool – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.006.50 1.85 2.00
01.01.24 Reading – Exeter 3–2 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 1.90 1.95
22.12.23 Cambridge – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.60
16.12.23 Stevenage – Exeter 1–1 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
25.11.23 Bolton – Exeter 7–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Exeter 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.503.20 1.85 2.00
24.10.23 Derby – Exeter 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.75 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lincoln winsDrawsExeter wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23E2 Exeter – Lincoln 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
11.03.23E2 Exeter – Lincoln 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.80 2.25 1.62
30.07.22E2 Lincoln – Exeter 1–1 (0–1) 2.373.203.20 1.98 1.88

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 33 20 9 4 54 29 +25 69
2 Derby 32 19 6 7 57 29 +28 63
3 Bolton 30 19 5 6 54 29 +25 62
4 Barnsley 31 16 9 6 56 35 +21 57
5 Peterboro 31 16 8 7 59 39 +20 56
6 Oxford 32 16 7 9 54 40 +14 55
7 Stevenage 31 15 8 8 46 33 +13 53
8 Leyton Orient 32 13 9 10 39 39 0 48
9 Blackpool 32 13 8 11 48 38 +10 47
10 Wigan 32 13 6 13 46 42 +4 45
11 Bristol Rvs 32 12 7 13 44 45 -1 43
12 Lincoln 32 10 12 10 34 32 +2 42
13 Northampton 31 12 5 14 40 47 -7 41
14 Reading 32 10 9 13 41 45 -4 39
15 Exeter 33 11 6 16 25 46 -21 39
16 Wycombe 31 9 10 12 41 43 -2 37
17 Cambridge 30 9 8 13 26 38 -12 35
18 Burton 31 9 8 14 27 40 -13 35
19 Shrewsbury 32 10 5 17 23 43 -20 35
20 Charlton 32 7 11 14 44 49 -5 32
21 Port Vale 29 8 7 14 30 45 -15 31
22 Cheltenham 30 8 5 17 24 40 -16 29
23 Fleetwood Town 32 6 8 18 32 53 -21 26
24 Carlisle 31 4 8 19 26 51 -25 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 16 11 2 3 32 19 +13 35
2 Blackpool 17 10 4 3 34 16 +18 34
3 Portsmouth 16 10 4 2 26 17 +9 34
4 Oxford 16 8 5 3 29 17 +12 29
5 Peterboro 14 8 4 2 33 15 +18 28
6 Derby 15 8 4 3 27 15 +12 28
7 Reading 16 8 4 4 25 16 +9 28
8 Wigan 16 9 1 6 23 16 +7 28
9 Barnsley 16 8 3 5 30 20 +10 27
10 Northampton 16 7 4 5 21 18 +3 25
11 Cambridge 16 7 4 5 15 16 -1 25
12 Stevenage 15 6 6 3 20 14 +6 24
13 Leyton Orient 15 7 3 5 18 22 -4 24
14 Bristol Rvs 16 6 5 5 24 19 +5 23
15 Shrewsbury 16 7 2 7 16 19 -3 23
16 Charlton 17 6 4 7 29 25 +4 22
17 Burton 15 6 4 5 16 15 +1 22
18 Lincoln 15 5 6 4 19 13 +6 21
19 Wycombe 15 5 5 5 22 21 +1 20
20 Exeter 17 5 5 7 10 16 -6 20
21 Cheltenham 15 5 3 7 15 21 -6 18
22 Port Vale 15 5 2 8 19 20 -1 17
23 Carlisle 16 3 5 8 14 23 -9 14
24 Fleetwood Town 16 3 3 10 14 26 -12 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 17 11 2 4 30 14 +16 35
2 Portsmouth 17 10 5 2 28 12 +16 35
3 Barnsley 15 8 6 1 26 15 +11 30
4 Stevenage 16 9 2 5 26 19 +7 29
5 Peterboro 17 8 4 5 26 24 +2 28
6 Bolton 14 8 3 3 22 10 +12 27
7 Oxford 16 8 2 6 25 23 +2 26
8 Leyton Orient 17 6 6 5 21 17 +4 24
9 Lincoln 17 5 6 6 15 19 -4 21
10 Bristol Rvs 16 6 2 8 20 26 -6 20
11 Exeter 16 6 1 9 15 30 -15 19
12 Wigan 16 4 5 7 23 26 -3 17
13 Wycombe 16 4 5 7 19 22 -3 17
14 Northampton 15 5 1 9 19 29 -10 16
15 Fleetwood Town 16 3 5 8 18 27 -9 14
16 Port Vale 14 3 5 6 11 25 -14 14
17 Blackpool 15 3 4 8 14 22 -8 13
18 Burton 16 3 4 9 11 25 -14 13
19 Shrewsbury 16 3 3 10 7 24 -17 12
20 Cheltenham 15 3 2 10 9 19 -10 11
21 Reading 16 2 5 9 16 29 -13 11
22 Charlton 15 1 7 7 15 24 -9 10
23 Cambridge 14 2 4 8 11 22 -11 10
24 Carlisle 15 1 3 11 12 28 -16 6

Lincoln   Exeter

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 32 11 21 1.7 1.2 16 7 9 54 40 55
2 5 Peterboro 31 11 20 1.9 1.3 16 8 7 59 39 56
3 13 Northampton 31 12 19 1.3 1.5 12 5 14 40 47 41
4 1 Portsmouth 33 15 18 1.6 0.9 20 9 4 54 29 69
5 2 Derby 32 14 18 1.8 0.9 19 6 7 57 29 63
6 4 Barnsley 31 13 18 1.8 1.1 16 9 6 56 35 57
7 11 Bristol Rvs 32 14 18 1.4 1.4 12 7 13 44 45 43
8 20 Charlton 32 14 18 1.4 1.5 7 11 14 44 49 32
9 7 Stevenage 31 14 17 1.5 1.1 15 8 8 46 33 53
10 9 Blackpool 32 15 17 1.5 1.2 13 8 11 48 38 47
11 23 Fleetwood Town 32 15 17 1.0 1.7 6 8 18 32 53 26
12 10 Wigan 32 16 16 1.4 1.3 13 6 13 46 42 45
13 16 Wycombe 31 15 16 1.3 1.4 9 10 12 41 43 37
14 3 Bolton 30 15 15 1.8 1.0 19 5 6 54 29 62
15 14 Reading 32 17 15 1.3 1.4 10 9 13 41 45 39
16 8 Leyton Orient 32 18 14 1.2 1.2 13 9 10 39 39 48
17 21 Port Vale 29 15 14 1.0 1.6 8 7 14 30 45 31
18 15 Exeter 33 20 13 0.8 1.4 11 6 16 25 46 39
19 17 Cambridge 30 17 13 0.9 1.3 9 8 13 26 38 35
20 18 Burton 31 19 12 0.9 1.3 9 8 14 27 40 35
21 24 Carlisle 31 19 12 0.8 1.6 4 8 19 26 51 20
22 12 Lincoln 32 21 11 1.1 1.0 10 12 10 34 32 42
23 19 Shrewsbury 32 21 11 0.7 1.3 10 5 17 23 43 35
24 22 Cheltenham 30 19 11 0.8 1.3 8 5 17 24 40 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Charlton 17 5 12 1.7 1.5 6 4 7 29 25 22
2 3 Bolton 16 5 11 2.0 1.2 11 2 3 32 19 35
3 4 Barnsley 16 5 11 1.9 1.2 8 3 5 30 20 27
4 6 Oxford 16 5 11 1.8 1.1 8 5 3 29 17 29
5 5 Peterboro 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 8 4 2 33 15 28
6 9 Blackpool 17 7 10 2.0 0.9 10 4 3 34 16 34
7 1 Portsmouth 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 10 4 2 26 17 34
8 2 Derby 15 6 9 1.8 1.0 8 4 3 27 15 28
9 11 Bristol Rvs 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 5 24 19 23
10 10 Wigan 16 8 8 1.4 1.0 9 1 6 23 16 28
11 13 Northampton 16 8 8 1.3 1.1 7 4 5 21 18 25
12 8 Leyton Orient 15 8 7 1.2 1.5 7 3 5 18 22 24
13 16 Wycombe 15 8 7 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 22 21 20
14 19 Shrewsbury 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 7 2 7 16 19 23
15 21 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 2 8 19 20 17
16 23 Fleetwood Town 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 3 3 10 14 26 12
17 7 Stevenage 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 6 6 3 20 14 24
18 12 Lincoln 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 5 6 4 19 13 21
19 14 Reading 16 10 6 1.6 1.0 8 4 4 25 16 28
20 22 Cheltenham 15 9 6 1.0 1.4 5 3 7 15 21 18
21 15 Exeter 17 12 5 0.6 0.9 5 5 7 10 16 20
22 17 Cambridge 16 11 5 0.9 1.0 7 4 5 15 16 25
23 18 Burton 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 5 16 15 22
24 24 Carlisle 16 11 5 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 14 23 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Stevenage 16 5 11 1.6 1.2 9 2 5 26 19 29
2 13 Northampton 15 4 11 1.3 1.9 5 1 9 19 29 16
3 5 Peterboro 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 8 4 5 26 24 28
4 6 Oxford 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 8 2 6 25 23 26
5 23 Fleetwood Town 16 6 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 8 18 27 14
6 1 Portsmouth 17 8 9 1.6 0.7 10 5 2 28 12 35
7 2 Derby 17 8 9 1.8 0.8 11 2 4 30 14 35
8 11 Bristol Rvs 16 7 9 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 26 20
9 14 Reading 16 7 9 1.0 1.8 2 5 9 16 29 11
10 16 Wycombe 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 4 5 7 19 22 17
11 10 Wigan 16 8 8 1.4 1.6 4 5 7 23 26 17
12 15 Exeter 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 6 1 9 15 30 19
13 17 Cambridge 14 6 8 0.8 1.6 2 4 8 11 22 10
14 4 Barnsley 15 8 7 1.7 1.0 8 6 1 26 15 30
15 8 Leyton Orient 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 6 6 5 21 17 24
16 9 Blackpool 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 3 4 8 14 22 13
17 18 Burton 16 9 7 0.7 1.6 3 4 9 11 25 13
18 21 Port Vale 14 7 7 0.8 1.8 3 5 6 11 25 14
19 24 Carlisle 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 11 12 28 6
20 20 Charlton 15 9 6 1.0 1.6 1 7 7 15 24 10
21 12 Lincoln 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 5 6 6 15 19 21
22 22 Cheltenham 15 10 5 0.6 1.3 3 2 10 9 19 11
23 3 Bolton 14 10 4 1.6 0.7 8 3 3 22 10 27
24 19 Shrewsbury 16 12 4 0.4 1.5 3 3 10 7 24 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51