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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: B Toner

Leicester 3–4 Southampton

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.10 fair 2.47
Draw 3.40 fair 4.10
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 2.84
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leicester Southampton
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 9
11 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Leicester to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
LeicesterDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leicester before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.32scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 41:47
Southampton before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.42scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 44:41
Leicester all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.42
1.52 Goals conceded 1.32
2.84 Total goals 2.74
11.71 Shots 14.23
3.61 Shots on target 5.06
13.10 Shots faced 13.10
4.97 Corners 5.42
5.35 Corners against 4.87
11.26 Fouls 10.90
1.87 Yellow cards 1.97
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

32% Wins 35%
26% Draws 32%
42% Losses 32%
97% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 84%
65% Over 2.5 goals 58%
26% Over 3.5 goals 29%
6% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
77% Both teams scored 71%
10% Clean sheets 23%
16% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 29%
23% Draws 52%
42% Losses 19%
87% Over 0.5 goals 61%
45% Over 1.5 goals 32%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester all matches
Southampton all matches
Leicester before this match, at home
1.47points / match
1.33scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:19
Southampton before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:28
Leicester at home away Southampton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.50
1.27 Goals conceded 1.75
2.60 Total goals 3.25
13.07 Shots 13.00
3.67 Shots on target 5.13
10.93 Shots faced 14.69
6.33 Corners 4.63
4.80 Corners against 5.00
11.13 Fouls 12.00
1.80 Yellow cards 2.31
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

40% Wins 25%
27% Draws 31%
33% Losses 44%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 100%
53% Over 2.5 goals 69%
13% Over 3.5 goals 38%
7% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
73% Both teams scored 88%
13% Clean sheets 6%
20% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 25%
20% Draws 63%
33% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 63%
47% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Birmingham – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.804.50 1.91 1.91
31.01.26 Leicester – Charlton 0–2 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Leicester – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.91 1.91
20.01.26 Wrexham – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.90 1.95
17.01.26 Coventry – Leicester 2–1 (0–1) 1.613.905.00 1.67 2.20
05.01.26 Leicester – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.65 2.03 1.83
01.01.26 Sheffield United – Leicester 3–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.85 2.00
29.12.25 Leicester – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.253.50 2.20 1.67
26.12.25 Leicester – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.05 1.95 1.90
20.12.25 QPR – Leicester 4–1 (4–0) 2.303.402.85 2.00 1.85

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
31.01.26 Stoke – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.853.402.30 1.90 1.95
25.01.26 Portsmouth – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.10 1.91 1.91
21.01.26 Southampton – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.65 1.67 2.20
17.01.26 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.663.804.75 1.67 2.20
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.01.26 Southampton – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 1.80 2.00
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Southampton – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.702.57 1.62 2.30

Leicester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Leicester – Charlton 0–2 (0–2) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Leicester – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.91 1.91
05.01.26 Leicester – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.65 2.03 1.83
29.12.25 Leicester – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.053.253.50 2.20 1.67
26.12.25 Leicester – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.05 1.95 1.90
13.12.25 Leicester – Ipswich 3–1 (2–0) 3.253.502.10 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Leicester – Sheffield United 2–3 (0–3) 2.303.303.05 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Leicester – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 1.963.403.70 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Leicester – Blackburn 0–2 (0–1) 1.763.904.00 2.00 1.85

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Stoke – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.853.402.30 1.90 1.95
25.01.26 Portsmouth – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.10 1.91 1.91
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Oxford – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 3.903.801.76 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
29.11.25 Millwall – Southampton 3–2 (0–0) 3.053.602.20 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Charlton – Southampton 1–5 (1–5) 2.653.052.65 2.10 1.73
05.11.25 QPR – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.45 1.95 1.90
25.10.25 Blackburn – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 2.953.252.30 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leicester winsDrawsSouthampton wins
9matches
3.67goals / match
78%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.25E1 Southampton – Leicester 3–0 (3–0) 1.963.603.70 1.80 2.00
03.05.25E0 Leicester – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.602.88 1.68 2.05
19.10.24E0 Southampton – Leicester 2–3 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
23.04.24E1 Leicester – Southampton 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.50 2.63
15.09.23E1 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
04.03.23E0 Southampton – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 2.06 1.84
20.08.22E0 Leicester – Southampton 1–2 (0–0) 1.834.004.00 1.61 2.30
22.05.22E0 Leicester – Southampton 4–1 (0–0) 1.854.003.80 1.57 2.37
01.12.21E0 Southampton – Leicester 2–2 (2–1) 2.373.502.87 1.72 2.10

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 31 18 7 6 49 30 +19 61
2 Coventry 31 17 8 6 63 35 +28 59
3 Ipswich 30 15 9 6 51 29 +22 54
4 Hull 31 16 6 9 50 43 +7 54
5 Millwall 31 15 8 8 39 36 +3 53
6 Wrexham 31 12 11 8 44 39 +5 47
7 Preston 31 12 11 8 38 34 +4 47
8 Bristol City 31 13 7 11 43 38 +5 46
9 Derby 31 12 9 10 45 39 +6 45
10 Birmingham 31 12 9 10 43 39 +4 45
11 Watford 31 11 11 9 39 36 +3 44
12 QPR 31 12 8 11 42 43 -1 44
13 Stoke 31 12 7 12 34 28 +6 43
14 Southampton 31 11 10 10 44 41 +3 43
15 Swansea 31 12 6 13 38 37 +1 42
16 Sheffield United 31 12 3 16 44 45 -1 39
17 Leicester 31 10 8 13 41 47 -6 38
18 Norwich 31 10 6 15 39 42 -3 36
19 Charlton 30 9 9 12 29 38 -9 36
20 Portsmouth 29 8 9 12 27 38 -11 33
21 West Brom 31 9 6 16 32 47 -15 33
22 Blackburn 31 8 8 15 27 40 -13 32
23 Oxford 31 6 10 15 28 41 -13 28
24 Sheffield Weds 31 1 8 22 18 62 -44 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 15 11 3 1 31 11 +20 36
2 Ipswich 16 10 5 1 30 12 +18 35
3 Middlesbrough 15 10 3 2 25 11 +14 33
4 Birmingham 15 8 6 1 30 15 +15 30
5 Millwall 16 9 3 4 22 18 +4 30
6 Watford 16 8 5 3 24 17 +7 29
7 Swansea 16 8 4 4 24 18 +6 28
8 Hull 16 8 3 5 23 23 0 27
9 QPR 15 8 2 5 28 21 +7 26
10 Southampton 15 7 5 3 20 13 +7 26
11 Preston 16 7 5 4 20 16 +4 26
12 Bristol City 16 7 3 6 25 20 +5 24
13 Wrexham 16 6 6 4 26 24 +2 24
14 Sheffield United 15 7 2 6 25 17 +8 23
15 West Brom 15 6 5 4 18 19 -1 23
16 Portsmouth 15 6 4 5 18 15 +3 22
17 Leicester 15 6 4 5 20 19 +1 22
18 Charlton 14 6 4 4 15 14 +1 22
19 Stoke 15 6 3 6 19 14 +5 21
20 Derby 16 4 6 6 19 23 -4 18
21 Norwich 15 5 1 9 16 20 -4 16
22 Oxford 15 3 6 6 13 19 -6 15
23 Blackburn 16 3 5 8 15 22 -7 14
24 Sheffield Weds 16 0 4 12 7 33 -26 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 16 8 4 4 24 19 +5 28
2 Derby 15 8 3 4 26 16 +10 27
3 Hull 15 8 3 4 27 20 +7 27
4 Coventry 16 6 5 5 32 24 +8 23
5 Wrexham 15 6 5 4 18 15 +3 23
6 Millwall 15 6 5 4 17 18 -1 23
7 Stoke 16 6 4 6 15 14 +1 22
8 Bristol City 15 6 4 5 18 18 0 22
9 Preston 15 5 6 4 18 18 0 21
10 Norwich 16 5 5 6 23 22 +1 20
11 Ipswich 14 5 4 5 21 17 +4 19
12 Blackburn 15 5 3 7 12 18 -6 18
13 QPR 16 4 6 6 14 22 -8 18
14 Southampton 16 4 5 7 24 28 -4 17
15 Leicester 16 4 4 8 21 28 -7 16
16 Sheffield United 16 5 1 10 19 28 -9 16
17 Watford 15 3 6 6 15 19 -4 15
18 Birmingham 16 4 3 9 13 24 -11 15
19 Swansea 15 4 2 9 14 19 -5 14
20 Charlton 16 3 5 8 14 24 -10 14
21 Oxford 16 3 4 9 15 22 -7 13
22 Portsmouth 14 2 5 7 9 23 -14 11
23 West Brom 16 3 1 12 14 28 -14 10
24 Sheffield Weds 15 1 4 10 11 29 -18 7

Leicester   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 31 11 20 1.6 1.4 16 6 9 50 43 54
2 17 Leicester 31 11 20 1.3 1.5 10 8 13 41 47 38
3 2 Coventry 31 12 19 2.0 1.1 17 8 6 63 35 59
4 12 QPR 31 12 19 1.4 1.4 12 8 11 42 43 44
5 14 Southampton 31 13 18 1.4 1.3 11 10 10 44 41 43
6 16 Sheffield United 31 13 18 1.4 1.5 12 3 16 44 45 39
7 1 Middlesbrough 31 14 17 1.6 1.0 18 7 6 49 30 61
8 24 Sheffield Weds 31 14 17 0.6 2.0 1 8 22 18 62 11
9 3 Ipswich 30 14 16 1.7 1.0 15 9 6 51 29 54
10 9 Derby 31 15 16 1.5 1.3 12 9 10 45 39 45
11 21 West Brom 31 15 16 1.0 1.5 9 6 16 32 47 33
12 10 Birmingham 31 16 15 1.4 1.3 12 9 10 43 39 45
13 15 Swansea 31 16 15 1.2 1.2 12 6 13 38 37 42
14 18 Norwich 31 16 15 1.3 1.4 10 6 15 39 42 36
15 23 Oxford 31 16 15 0.9 1.3 6 10 15 28 41 28
16 5 Millwall 31 17 14 1.3 1.2 15 8 8 39 36 53
17 8 Bristol City 31 17 14 1.4 1.2 13 7 11 43 38 46
18 11 Watford 31 17 14 1.3 1.2 11 11 9 39 36 44
19 6 Wrexham 31 18 13 1.4 1.3 12 11 8 44 39 47
20 7 Preston 31 18 13 1.2 1.1 12 11 8 38 34 47
21 13 Stoke 31 19 12 1.1 0.9 12 7 12 34 28 43
22 19 Charlton 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 9 9 12 29 38 36
23 20 Portsmouth 29 17 12 0.9 1.3 8 9 12 27 38 33
24 22 Blackburn 31 19 12 0.9 1.3 8 8 15 27 40 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 15 3 12 1.9 1.4 8 2 5 28 21 26
2 16 Sheffield United 15 5 10 1.7 1.1 7 2 6 25 17 23
3 3 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 30 12 35
4 4 Hull 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 8 3 5 23 23 27
5 1 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.7 0.7 10 3 2 25 11 33
6 2 Coventry 15 7 8 2.1 0.7 11 3 1 31 11 36
7 5 Millwall 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 9 3 4 22 18 30
8 6 Wrexham 16 8 8 1.6 1.5 6 6 4 26 24 24
9 8 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 6 25 20 24
10 10 Birmingham 15 7 8 2.0 1.0 8 6 1 30 15 30
11 11 Watford 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 8 5 3 24 17 29
12 15 Swansea 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 8 4 4 24 18 28
13 17 Leicester 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 5 20 19 22
14 24 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 0.4 2.1 0 4 12 7 33 4
15 7 Preston 16 9 7 1.2 1.0 7 5 4 20 16 26
16 13 Stoke 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 6 3 6 19 14 21
17 14 Southampton 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 5 3 20 13 26
18 18 Norwich 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 5 1 9 16 20 16
19 20 Portsmouth 15 8 7 1.2 1.0 6 4 5 18 15 22
20 21 West Brom 15 8 7 1.2 1.3 6 5 4 18 19 23
21 23 Oxford 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 6 13 19 15
22 9 Derby 16 10 6 1.2 1.4 4 6 6 19 23 18
23 22 Blackburn 16 10 6 0.9 1.4 3 5 8 15 22 14
24 19 Charlton 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 4 15 14 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Leicester 16 4 12 1.3 1.8 4 4 8 21 28 16
2 2 Coventry 16 5 11 2.0 1.5 6 5 5 32 24 23
3 4 Hull 15 4 11 1.8 1.3 8 3 4 27 20 27
4 14 Southampton 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 4 5 7 24 28 17
5 9 Derby 15 5 10 1.7 1.1 8 3 4 26 16 27
6 1 Middlesbrough 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 8 4 4 24 19 28
7 21 West Brom 16 7 9 0.9 1.8 3 1 12 14 28 10
8 24 Sheffield Weds 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 1 4 10 11 29 7
9 16 Sheffield United 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 5 1 10 19 28 16
10 18 Norwich 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 23 22 20
11 23 Oxford 16 8 8 0.9 1.4 3 4 9 15 22 13
12 3 Ipswich 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 5 4 5 21 17 19
13 10 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.8 1.5 4 3 9 13 24 15
14 12 QPR 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 6 6 14 22 18
15 15 Swansea 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 4 2 9 14 19 14
16 19 Charlton 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 8 14 24 14
17 5 Millwall 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 6 5 4 17 18 23
18 7 Preston 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 5 6 4 18 18 21
19 8 Bristol City 15 9 6 1.2 1.2 6 4 5 18 18 22
20 11 Watford 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 3 6 6 15 19 15
21 22 Blackburn 15 9 6 0.8 1.2 5 3 7 12 18 18
22 6 Wrexham 15 10 5 1.2 1.0 6 5 4 18 15 23
23 13 Stoke 16 11 5 0.9 0.9 6 4 6 15 14 22
24 20 Portsmouth 14 9 5 0.6 1.6 2 5 7 9 23 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40