Oxford 1–0 Watford – England Championship, 15 Mar 2025

Match facts

Oxford Watford

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 5

11 Fouls 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (447 league matches this season so far).

Result Oxford to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.29

Home / Draw / Away

42% 25% 33%

OxfordDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.2% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

1.03scored / match

1.49conceded / match

9 12 16

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 38:55

Watford before this match, all matches

1.41points / match

1.27scored / match

1.35conceded / match

15 7 15

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 47:50

Oxford all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.27

1.49 Goals conceded 1.35

2.51 Total goals 2.62

9.76 Shots 11.22

3.22 Shots on target 3.78

14.27 Shots faced 13.14

3.65 Corners 5.08

6.73 Corners against 5.30

9.86 Fouls 12.41

1.62 Yellow cards 2.11

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

24% Wins 41%

32% Draws 19%

43% Losses 41%

92% Over 0.5 goals 95%

76% Over 1.5 goals 73%

38% Over 2.5 goals 59%

24% Over 3.5 goals 19%

14% Over 4.5 goals 8%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

54% Both teams scored 57%

24% Clean sheets 27%

30% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 24%

46% Draws 38%

35% Losses 38%

65% Over 0.5 goals 73%

24% Over 1.5 goals 30%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches

3

2

W

D

1

D

1

L

D

2

L

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

Watford all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

4

L

1

W

2

W

D

1

2

L

1

W

Oxford before this match, at home

1.61points / match

1.44scored / match

1.39conceded / match

8 5 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:25

Watford before this match, away

0.94points / match

1.28scored / match

1.72conceded / match

4 5 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:31

Oxford at home away Watford

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.28

1.39 Goals conceded 1.72

2.83 Total goals 3.00

11.17 Shots 10.44

4.11 Shots on target 3.39

12.39 Shots faced 14.11

3.94 Corners 4.67

6.33 Corners against 6.00

9.83 Fouls 13.00

1.33 Yellow cards 2.11

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

44% Wins 22%

28% Draws 28%

28% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

78% Over 1.5 goals 78%

39% Over 2.5 goals 61%

33% Over 3.5 goals 33%

22% Over 4.5 goals 17%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

61% Both teams scored 61%

33% Clean sheets 17%

11% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%

44% Draws 33%

33% Losses 44%

67% Over 0.5 goals 78%

22% Over 1.5 goals 33%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home

2

6

L

1

D

1

3

L

3

2

W

2

W

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

L

2

3

L

Watford away

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

W

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.25	Hull – Oxford	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.00	2.10	1.73
07.03.25	Norwich – Oxford	1–1 (1–1)	1.54	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
01.03.25	Oxford – Coventry	2–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.10	2.03	1.83
22.02.25	West Brom – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Oxford – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Oxford – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67

Oxford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Oxford – Coventry	2–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.10	2.03	1.83
15.02.25	Oxford – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Oxford – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.20	1.67
21.01.25	Oxford – Luton	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.30	1.62
18.01.25	Oxford – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.30	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Oxford – Plymouth	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.20	1.85	2.00
26.12.24	Oxford – Cardiff	3–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
14.12.24	Oxford – Sheffield Weds	1–3 (1–1)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Oxford – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.38	1.57
23.11.24	Oxford – Middlesbrough	2–6 (1–3)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.83	2.03

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80
21.12.24	Burnley – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Hull – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.95
22.11.24	Plymouth – Watford	2–2 (1–2)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Oxford winsDrawsWatford wins

1matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.11.24E1	Watford – Oxford	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.70	5.00	1.93	1.93

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	38	23	11	4	76	25	+51	80
2	Sheffield United	37	24	7	6	52	28	+24	79
3	Burnley	37	20	15	2	50	11	+39	75
4	Sunderland	37	19	12	6	55	34	+21	69
5	Bristol City	38	14	15	9	49	41	+8	57
6	West Brom	37	13	17	7	47	33	+14	56
7	Coventry	37	16	8	13	52	48	+4	56
8	Middlesbrough	37	15	8	14	57	48	+9	53
9	Blackburn	37	15	7	15	41	38	+3	52
10	Watford	37	15	7	15	47	50	-3	52
11	Millwall	38	13	12	13	37	39	-2	51
12	Sheffield Weds	37	14	9	14	53	58	-5	51
13	Norwich	38	12	13	13	60	54	+6	49
14	QPR	38	11	12	15	44	50	-6	45
15	Preston	37	9	17	11	37	43	-6	44
16	Swansea	37	12	8	17	38	47	-9	44
17	Portsmouth	37	11	9	17	45	59	-14	42
18	Hull	37	10	10	17	38	46	-8	40
19	Stoke	38	9	12	17	37	51	-14	39
20	Oxford	37	9	12	16	38	55	-17	39
21	Cardiff	37	8	12	17	40	61	-21	36
22	Derby	37	9	8	20	37	49	-12	35
23	Luton	37	9	7	21	34	60	-26	34
24	Plymouth	37	7	12	18	38	74	-36	33

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	19	15	3	1	47	9	+38	48
2	Sheffield United	19	13	3	3	27	14	+13	42
3	Sunderland	19	11	7	1	31	15	+16	40
4	Burnley	19	10	9	0	27	5	+22	39
5	Bristol City	19	10	6	3	28	15	+13	36
6	Watford	19	11	2	6	24	19	+5	35
7	West Brom	18	9	7	2	24	11	+13	34
8	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
9	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
10	Portsmouth	19	9	5	5	28	18	+10	32
11	Middlesbrough	19	9	5	5	27	20	+7	32
12	Norwich	19	8	7	4	44	27	+17	31
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	Millwall	19	8	4	7	20	17	+3	28
16	Derby	19	8	3	8	23	17	+6	27
17	QPR	19	7	6	6	29	26	+3	27
18	Swansea	18	7	5	6	25	19	+6	26
19	Stoke	19	6	8	5	23	21	+2	26
20	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
21	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	30	31	-1	25
22	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	22	24	-2	24
23	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
24	Hull	19	4	7	8	21	24	-3	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	19	8	8	3	29	16	+13	32
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Sheffield Weds	19	9	2	8	26	31	-5	29
6	Coventry	19	6	5	8	21	26	-5	23
7	Millwall	19	5	8	6	17	22	-5	23
8	West Brom	19	4	10	5	23	22	+1	22
9	Middlesbrough	18	6	3	9	30	28	+2	21
10	Bristol City	19	4	9	6	21	26	-5	21
11	Hull	18	6	3	9	17	22	-5	21
12	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	16	23	-7	19
13	QPR	19	4	6	9	15	24	-9	18
14	Norwich	19	4	6	9	16	27	-11	18
15	Swansea	19	5	3	11	13	28	-15	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	19	3	7	9	18	29	-11	16
18	Stoke	19	3	4	12	14	30	-16	13
19	Cardiff	18	1	9	8	18	37	-19	12
20	Oxford	19	1	7	11	12	30	-18	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	19	2	2	15	14	41	-27	8
24	Plymouth	19	1	5	13	8	43	-35	8

Oxford Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	37	13	24	1.2	1.6	11	9	17	45	59	42
2	10	Watford	37	15	22	1.3	1.4	15	7	15	47	50	52
3	12	Sheffield Weds	37	15	22	1.4	1.6	14	9	14	53	58	51
4	7	Coventry	37	17	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	13	52	48	56
5	24	Plymouth	37	17	20	1.0	2.0	7	12	18	38	74	33
6	13	Norwich	38	19	19	1.6	1.4	12	13	13	60	54	49
7	14	QPR	38	19	19	1.2	1.3	11	12	15	44	50	45
8	4	Sunderland	37	19	18	1.5	0.9	19	12	6	55	34	69
9	8	Middlesbrough	37	19	18	1.5	1.3	15	8	14	57	48	53
10	23	Luton	37	19	18	0.9	1.6	9	7	21	34	60	34
11	16	Swansea	37	20	17	1.0	1.3	12	8	17	38	47	44
12	21	Cardiff	37	20	17	1.1	1.6	8	12	17	40	61	36
13	1	Leeds	38	22	16	2.0	0.7	23	11	4	76	25	80
14	5	Bristol City	38	23	15	1.3	1.1	14	15	9	49	41	57
15	15	Preston	37	22	15	1.0	1.2	9	17	11	37	43	44
16	19	Stoke	38	23	15	1.0	1.3	9	12	17	37	51	39
17	22	Derby	37	22	15	1.0	1.3	9	8	20	37	49	35
18	9	Blackburn	37	23	14	1.1	1.0	15	7	15	41	38	52
19	20	Oxford	37	23	14	1.0	1.5	9	12	16	38	55	39
20	2	Sheffield United	37	24	13	1.4	0.8	24	7	6	52	28	79
21	6	West Brom	37	24	13	1.3	0.9	13	17	7	47	33	56
22	18	Hull	37	24	13	1.0	1.2	10	10	17	38	46	40
23	11	Millwall	38	28	10	1.0	1.0	13	12	13	37	39	51
24	3	Burnley	37	28	9	1.4	0.3	20	15	2	50	11	75

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	13	Norwich	19	7	12	2.3	1.4	8	7	4	44	27	31
3	14	QPR	19	7	12	1.5	1.4	7	6	6	29	26	27
4	17	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.5	0.9	9	5	5	28	18	32
5	24	Plymouth	18	6	12	1.7	1.7	6	7	5	30	31	25
6	10	Watford	19	8	11	1.3	1.0	11	2	6	24	19	35
7	1	Leeds	19	9	10	2.5	0.5	15	3	1	47	9	48
8	4	Sunderland	19	10	9	1.6	0.8	11	7	1	31	15	40
9	5	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	15	36
10	12	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
11	16	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	25	19	26
12	19	Stoke	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	8	5	23	21	26
13	23	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
14	8	Middlesbrough	19	12	7	1.4	1.1	9	5	5	27	20	32
15	18	Hull	19	12	7	1.1	1.3	4	7	8	21	24	19
16	20	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
17	21	Cardiff	19	12	7	1.2	1.3	7	3	9	22	24	24
18	22	Derby	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	3	8	23	17	27
19	2	Sheffield United	19	13	6	1.4	0.7	13	3	3	27	14	42
20	9	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
21	3	Burnley	19	14	5	1.4	0.3	10	9	0	27	5	39
22	6	West Brom	18	13	5	1.3	0.6	9	7	2	24	11	34
23	11	Millwall	19	14	5	1.1	0.9	8	4	7	20	17	28
24	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	19	5	14	1.4	1.6	9	2	8	26	31	29
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	18	7	11	1.7	1.6	6	3	9	30	28	21
4	10	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	19	9	10	0.9	1.5	3	7	9	18	29	16
6	21	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.0	2.1	1	9	8	18	37	12
7	23	Luton	19	9	10	0.7	2.2	2	2	15	14	41	8
8	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
9	16	Swansea	19	10	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	11	13	28	18
10	6	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	4	10	5	23	22	22
11	9	Blackburn	19	11	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	10	16	23	19
12	22	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
13	24	Plymouth	19	11	8	0.4	2.3	1	5	13	8	43	8
14	2	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
15	5	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	6	21	26	21
16	7	Coventry	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	6	5	8	21	26	23
17	13	Norwich	19	12	7	0.8	1.4	4	6	9	16	27	18
18	14	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.3	4	6	9	15	24	18
19	19	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.6	3	4	12	14	30	13
20	20	Oxford	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	1	7	11	12	30	10
21	1	Leeds	19	13	6	1.5	0.8	8	8	3	29	16	32
22	18	Hull	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	9	17	22	21
23	11	Millwall	19	14	5	0.9	1.2	5	8	6	17	22	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.