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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Donohue

Luton 2–4 Fulham

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.90 fair 2.48
Draw 3.90 fair 4.35
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 2.72
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Fulham
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 4
15 Fouls 20
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.61
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawFulham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.70points / match
1.35scored / match
2.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 50:81
Fulham before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.38scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 51:59
Luton all matches all matches Fulham

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.38
2.19 Goals conceded 1.59
3.54 Total goals 2.97
11.24 Shots 13.11
3.65 Shots on target 4.62
17.30 Shots faced 13.73
5.41 Corners 5.62
6.00 Corners against 5.00
11.57 Fouls 9.84
1.78 Yellow cards 1.97
0.51 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

16% Wins 32%
22% Draws 22%
62% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
70% Over 2.5 goals 62%
43% Over 3.5 goals 38%
27% Over 4.5 goals 16%
14% Over 5.5 goals 8%
81% Both teams scored 46%
5% Clean sheets 27%
14% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 22%
30% Draws 49%
46% Losses 30%
76% Over 0.5 goals 62%
32% Over 1.5 goals 35%
16% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Fulham all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.89points / match
1.44scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:33
Fulham before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.11scored / match
1.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:35
Luton at home away Fulham

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.11
1.83 Goals conceded 1.94
3.28 Total goals 3.06
13.83 Shots 12.72
4.33 Shots on target 4.78
14.06 Shots faced 15.00
6.78 Corners 5.33
5.17 Corners against 5.11
11.44 Fouls 10.22
1.78 Yellow cards 2.06
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

22% Wins 17%
22% Draws 33%
56% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
67% Over 2.5 goals 61%
33% Over 3.5 goals 39%
22% Over 4.5 goals 17%
11% Over 5.5 goals 17%
83% Both teams scored 56%
11% Clean sheets 22%
6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
33% Draws 44%
50% Losses 39%
72% Over 0.5 goals 61%
44% Over 1.5 goals 28%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Fulham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
03.05.24 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
27.04.24 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
20.04.24 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
03.04.24 Arsenal – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.1010.0019.00 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Tottenham – Luton 2–1 (0–1) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70

Fulham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Fulham – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
04.05.24 Brentford – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.57 2.38
27.04.24 Fulham – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Fulham – Liverpool 1–3 (1–1) 5.254.501.57 1.44 2.75
14.04.24 West Ham – Fulham 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Fulham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.802.80 1.50 2.63
02.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 3–1 (3–0) 2.703.402.63 1.80 2.00
30.03.24 Sheffield United – Fulham 3–3 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.65 2.20
16.03.24 Fulham – Tottenham 3–0 (1–0) 3.503.801.95 1.48 2.60
09.03.24 Wolves – Fulham 2–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.95 1.95

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.24 Luton – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.73 2.10
20.04.24 Luton – Brentford 1–5 (0–2) 3.103.752.15 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70
18.02.24 Luton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 4.004.001.80 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Luton – Sheffield United 1–3 (0–2) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.05
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05

Fulham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Brentford – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.57 2.38
14.04.24 West Ham – Fulham 0–2 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.67 2.20
02.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 3–1 (3–0) 2.703.402.63 1.80 2.00
30.03.24 Sheffield United – Fulham 3–3 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.65 2.20
09.03.24 Wolves – Fulham 2–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.95 1.95
24.02.24 Man United – Fulham 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.35
03.02.24 Burnley – Fulham 2–2 (0–2) 2.903.402.38 1.99 1.91
13.01.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
26.12.23 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Newcastle – Fulham 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsFulham wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23E0 Fulham – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 1.89 2.01
02.05.22E1 Fulham – Luton 7–0 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.72 2.10
11.12.21E1 Luton – Fulham 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 37 27 7 3 93 33 +60 88
2 Arsenal 37 27 5 5 89 28 +61 86
3 Liverpool 37 23 10 4 84 41 +43 79
4 Aston Villa 37 20 8 9 76 56 +20 68
5 Tottenham 37 19 6 12 71 61 +10 63
6 Chelsea 37 17 9 11 75 62 +13 60
7 Newcastle 37 17 6 14 81 60 +21 57
8 Man United 37 17 6 14 55 58 -3 57
9 West Ham 37 14 10 13 59 71 -12 52
10 Brighton 37 12 12 13 55 60 -5 48
11 Everton 37 13 9 15 39 49 -10 48
12 Bournemouth 37 13 9 15 53 65 -12 48
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 10 15 52 58 -6 46
14 Wolves 37 13 7 17 50 63 -13 46
15 Fulham 37 12 8 17 51 59 -8 44
16 Brentford 37 10 9 18 54 61 -7 39
17 Nott'm Forest 37 8 9 20 47 66 -19 33
18 Luton 37 6 8 23 50 81 -31 26
19 Burnley 37 5 9 23 40 76 -36 24
20 Sheffield United 37 3 7 27 35 101 -66 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 47 17 +30 45
2 Man City 18 13 5 0 48 15 +33 44
3 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 46 15 +31 44
4 Newcastle 19 12 4 3 49 22 +27 40
5 Aston Villa 19 12 4 3 48 28 +20 40
6 Tottenham 19 13 0 6 38 27 +11 39
7 Chelsea 18 10 4 4 42 25 +17 34
8 Man United 19 10 3 6 31 28 +3 33
9 Brighton 18 8 6 4 30 25 +5 30
10 Fulham 19 9 2 8 31 24 +7 29
11 West Ham 19 7 8 4 31 28 +3 29
12 Everton 19 8 4 7 22 18 +4 28
13 Bournemouth 19 7 6 6 27 28 -1 27
14 Wolves 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27
15 Crystal Palace 18 7 4 7 32 26 +6 25
16 Brentford 18 5 7 6 27 30 -3 22
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 5 9 27 30 -3 20
18 Luton 18 4 4 10 26 33 -7 16
19 Burnley 18 2 4 12 18 41 -23 10
20 Sheffield United 18 2 4 12 19 54 -35 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 19 14 2 3 45 18 +27 44
2 Arsenal 19 13 3 3 43 13 +30 42
3 Liverpool 19 9 7 3 37 24 +13 34
4 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 28 28 0 28
5 Chelsea 19 7 5 7 33 37 -4 26
6 Tottenham 18 6 6 6 33 34 -1 24
7 Man United 18 7 3 8 24 30 -6 24
8 West Ham 18 7 2 9 28 43 -15 23
9 Bournemouth 18 6 3 9 26 37 -11 21
10 Crystal Palace 19 5 6 8 20 32 -12 21
11 Everton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20
12 Wolves 18 5 4 9 24 33 -9 19
13 Brighton 19 4 6 9 25 35 -10 18
14 Brentford 19 5 2 12 27 31 -4 17
15 Newcastle 18 5 2 11 32 38 -6 17
16 Fulham 18 3 6 9 20 35 -15 15
17 Burnley 19 3 5 11 22 35 -13 14
18 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 20 36 -16 13
19 Luton 19 2 4 13 24 48 -24 10
20 Sheffield United 19 1 3 15 16 47 -31 6

Luton   Fulham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 37 8 29 1.9 1.6 19 6 12 71 61 63
2 4 Aston Villa 37 11 26 2.1 1.5 20 8 9 76 56 68
3 6 Chelsea 37 11 26 2.0 1.7 17 9 11 75 62 60
4 7 Newcastle 37 11 26 2.2 1.6 17 6 14 81 60 57
5 12 Bournemouth 37 11 26 1.4 1.8 13 9 15 53 65 48
6 18 Luton 37 11 26 1.4 2.2 6 8 23 50 81 26
7 20 Sheffield United 37 11 26 0.9 2.7 3 7 27 35 101 16
8 3 Liverpool 37 12 25 2.3 1.1 23 10 4 84 41 79
9 9 West Ham 37 12 25 1.6 1.9 14 10 13 59 71 52
10 8 Man United 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 17 6 14 55 58 57
11 14 Wolves 37 13 24 1.4 1.7 13 7 17 50 63 46
12 16 Brentford 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 10 9 18 54 61 39
13 1 Man City 37 14 23 2.5 0.9 27 7 3 93 33 88
14 2 Arsenal 37 14 23 2.4 0.8 27 5 5 89 28 86
15 10 Brighton 37 14 23 1.5 1.6 12 12 13 55 60 48
16 15 Fulham 37 14 23 1.4 1.6 12 8 17 51 59 44
17 19 Burnley 37 15 22 1.1 2.1 5 9 23 40 76 24
18 13 Crystal Palace 37 17 20 1.4 1.6 12 10 15 52 58 46
19 17 Nott'm Forest 37 17 20 1.3 1.8 8 9 20 47 66 33
20 11 Everton 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 13 9 15 39 49 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 19 3 16 2.0 1.4 13 0 6 38 27 39
2 4 Aston Villa 19 4 15 2.5 1.5 12 4 3 48 28 40
3 20 Sheffield United 18 3 15 1.1 3.0 2 4 12 19 54 10
4 2 Arsenal 18 5 13 2.6 0.8 14 2 2 46 15 44
5 3 Liverpool 18 5 13 2.6 0.9 14 3 1 47 17 45
6 7 Newcastle 19 6 13 2.6 1.2 12 4 3 49 22 40
7 8 Man United 19 6 13 1.6 1.5 10 3 6 31 28 33
8 12 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 6 27 28 27
9 14 Wolves 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27
10 15 Fulham 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 2 8 31 24 29
11 16 Brentford 18 6 12 1.5 1.7 5 7 6 27 30 22
12 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 26 33 16
13 6 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.3 1.4 10 4 4 42 25 34
14 10 Brighton 18 7 11 1.7 1.4 8 6 4 30 25 30
15 13 Crystal Palace 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 7 4 7 32 26 25
16 1 Man City 18 8 10 2.7 0.8 13 5 0 48 15 44
17 9 West Ham 19 9 10 1.6 1.5 7 8 4 31 28 29
18 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 27 30 20
19 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.3 2 4 12 18 41 10
20 11 Everton 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 7 22 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Chelsea 19 4 15 1.7 1.9 7 5 7 33 37 26
2 9 West Ham 18 3 15 1.6 2.4 7 2 9 28 43 23
3 12 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.4 2.1 6 3 9 26 37 21
4 18 Luton 19 5 14 1.3 2.5 2 4 13 24 48 10
5 1 Man City 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 14 2 3 45 18 44
6 5 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 6 6 6 33 34 24
7 7 Newcastle 18 5 13 1.8 2.1 5 2 11 32 38 17
8 3 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 7 3 37 24 34
9 10 Brighton 19 7 12 1.3 1.8 4 6 9 25 35 18
10 14 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 24 33 19
11 16 Brentford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 2 12 27 31 17
12 19 Burnley 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 3 5 11 22 35 14
13 4 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 6 28 28 28
14 8 Man United 18 7 11 1.3 1.7 7 3 8 24 30 24
15 15 Fulham 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 6 9 20 35 15
16 20 Sheffield United 19 8 11 0.8 2.5 1 3 15 16 47 6
17 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 2.3 0.7 13 3 3 43 13 42
18 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 20 36 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 5 6 8 20 32 21
20 11 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38