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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Bristol City 3–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.20 fair 2.93
Draw 3.60 fair 3.87
Away 1.80 fair 2.50
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Southampton
14 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 5
8 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (372 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 0–1 9.6% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 35:35
Southampton before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
2.00scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 60:35
Bristol City all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded 1.17
2.26 Total goals 3.17
11.77 Shots 15.63
3.68 Shots on target 6.00
12.13 Shots faced 10.93
5.13 Corners 7.77
5.29 Corners against 4.27
9.87 Fouls 10.27
1.45 Yellow cards 2.47
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

35% Wins 63%
26% Draws 23%
39% Losses 13%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
61% Over 1.5 goals 83%
39% Over 2.5 goals 60%
19% Over 3.5 goals 37%
16% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
52% Both teams scored 63%
23% Clean sheets 30%
35% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 50%
48% Draws 33%
26% Losses 17%
61% Over 0.5 goals 77%
29% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Southampton all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.20scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:17
Southampton before this match, away
1.93points / match
1.40scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:17
Bristol City at home away Southampton

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.40
1.13 Goals conceded 1.13
2.33 Total goals 2.53
12.07 Shots 15.00
4.00 Shots on target 5.33
12.47 Shots faced 11.73
5.73 Corners 7.60
6.07 Corners against 4.73
9.53 Fouls 10.80
1.47 Yellow cards 2.20
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 53%
20% Draws 33%
40% Losses 13%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
53% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 47%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
27% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 67%
27% Clean sheets 27%
33% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 47%
40% Draws 47%
20% Losses 7%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
30.01.24 Coventry – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.733.605.00 1.98 1.88
20.01.24 Bristol City – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.253.00 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Preston – Bristol City 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.80 2.40 1.53
01.01.24 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.65
29.12.23 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Watford – Bristol City 1–4 (0–2) 1.953.404.20 2.10 1.70
22.12.23 Bristol City – Hull 3–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.63 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Bristol City – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.25 2.03 1.83

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Swansea – Southampton 1–3 (1–3) 5.004.001.67 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
13.12.23 Coventry – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.83 2.03

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83
20.01.24 Bristol City – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.253.00 2.08 1.73
01.01.24 Bristol City – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.65
22.12.23 Bristol City – Hull 3–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.63 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Bristol City – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.25 2.03 1.83
03.12.23 Bristol City – Norwich 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.83 2.03
25.11.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
04.11.23 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
25.10.23 Bristol City – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Bristol City – Coventry 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.402.90 2.00 1.85

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Swansea – Southampton 1–3 (1–3) 5.004.001.67 1.65 2.20
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10
23.12.23 QPR – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.601.73 1.93 1.93
13.12.23 Coventry – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.83 2.03
09.12.23 Watford – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.98 1.88
25.11.23 Huddersfield – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.801.70 1.83 2.03
04.11.23 Millwall – Southampton 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.85 2.00
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsSouthampton wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.23E1 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 32 25 3 4 68 24 +44 78
2 Leeds 32 20 6 6 59 26 +33 66
3 Southampton 30 19 7 4 60 35 +25 64
4 Ipswich 30 17 9 4 55 40 +15 60
5 West Brom 30 14 7 9 43 29 +14 49
6 Norwich 32 14 6 12 54 49 +5 48
7 Hull 31 14 6 11 45 40 +5 48
8 Coventry 31 12 11 8 48 35 +13 47
9 Sunderland 31 14 5 12 44 34 +10 47
10 Preston 31 13 6 12 40 49 -9 45
11 Watford 32 10 11 11 48 45 +3 41
12 Middlesbrough 30 12 5 13 44 44 0 41
13 Bristol City 31 11 8 12 35 35 0 41
14 Cardiff 30 12 4 14 36 41 -5 40
15 Plymouth 30 9 9 12 49 50 -1 36
16 Blackburn 31 11 3 17 45 57 -12 36
17 Swansea 32 9 9 14 40 52 -12 36
18 Birmingham 31 9 8 14 35 47 -12 35
19 Millwall 31 8 9 14 31 40 -9 33
20 Stoke 31 8 8 15 29 45 -16 32
21 Huddersfield 31 6 13 12 36 52 -16 31
22 QPR 31 7 8 16 29 43 -14 29
23 Sheffield Weds 32 7 5 20 24 52 -28 26
24 Rotherham 31 3 10 18 26 59 -33 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 12 4 0 35 11 +24 40
2 Leicester 16 13 1 2 33 9 +24 40
3 Southampton 15 11 2 2 39 18 +21 35
4 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 37 23 +14 34
5 West Brom 15 10 3 2 25 11 +14 33
6 Norwich 16 10 2 4 27 17 +10 32
7 Sunderland 16 10 0 6 28 19 +9 30
8 Coventry 16 7 8 1 24 14 +10 29
9 Plymouth 14 8 3 3 36 23 +13 27
10 Preston 15 8 2 5 23 26 -3 26
11 Hull 16 7 4 5 23 16 +7 25
12 Birmingham 15 6 6 3 21 17 +4 24
13 Bristol City 15 6 3 6 18 17 +1 21
14 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 17 18 -1 21
15 Watford 16 5 5 6 26 21 +5 20
16 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 20 -2 20
17 Blackburn 16 6 2 8 23 27 -4 20
18 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
19 Huddersfield 15 4 6 5 19 21 -2 18
20 Swansea 16 4 5 7 17 23 -6 17
21 Millwall 15 4 4 7 14 21 -7 16
22 Stoke 15 4 4 7 11 20 -9 16
23 Rotherham 16 3 6 7 17 22 -5 15
24 QPR 16 3 5 8 17 24 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 16 12 2 2 35 15 +20 38
2 Southampton 15 8 5 2 21 17 +4 29
3 Leeds 16 8 2 6 24 15 +9 26
4 Ipswich 15 7 5 3 18 17 +1 26
5 Hull 15 7 2 6 22 24 -2 23
6 Watford 16 5 6 5 22 24 -2 21
7 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 27 26 +1 20
8 Bristol City 16 5 5 6 17 18 -1 20
9 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 21 -3 20
10 Swansea 16 5 4 7 23 29 -6 19
11 Preston 16 5 4 7 17 23 -6 19
12 Coventry 15 5 3 7 24 21 +3 18
13 Sunderland 15 4 5 6 16 15 +1 17
14 Millwall 16 4 5 7 17 19 -2 17
15 West Brom 15 4 4 7 18 18 0 16
16 Norwich 16 4 4 8 27 32 -5 16
17 Stoke 16 4 4 8 18 25 -7 16
18 Blackburn 15 5 1 9 22 30 -8 16
19 QPR 15 4 3 8 12 19 -7 15
20 Huddersfield 16 2 7 7 17 31 -14 13
21 Birmingham 16 3 2 11 14 30 -16 11
22 Plymouth 16 1 6 9 13 27 -14 9
23 Sheffield Weds 16 2 1 13 7 32 -25 7
24 Rotherham 15 0 4 11 9 37 -28 4

Bristol City   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Blackburn 31 7 24 1.5 1.8 11 3 17 45 57 36
2 15 Plymouth 30 9 21 1.6 1.7 9 9 12 49 50 36
3 6 Norwich 32 12 20 1.7 1.5 14 6 12 54 49 48
4 17 Swansea 32 12 20 1.2 1.6 9 9 14 40 52 36
5 1 Leicester 32 14 18 2.1 0.8 25 3 4 68 24 78
6 2 Leeds 32 14 18 1.8 0.8 20 6 6 59 26 66
7 3 Southampton 30 12 18 2.0 1.2 19 7 4 60 35 64
8 4 Ipswich 30 12 18 1.8 1.3 17 9 4 55 40 60
9 7 Hull 31 13 18 1.5 1.3 14 6 11 45 40 48
10 10 Preston 31 13 18 1.3 1.6 13 6 12 40 49 45
11 9 Sunderland 31 14 17 1.4 1.1 14 5 12 44 34 47
12 11 Watford 32 15 17 1.5 1.4 10 11 11 48 45 41
13 12 Middlesbrough 30 13 17 1.5 1.5 12 5 13 44 44 41
14 8 Coventry 31 15 16 1.5 1.1 12 11 8 48 35 47
15 23 Sheffield Weds 32 16 16 0.8 1.6 7 5 20 24 52 26
16 24 Rotherham 31 15 16 0.8 1.9 3 10 18 26 59 19
17 14 Cardiff 30 15 15 1.2 1.4 12 4 14 36 41 40
18 18 Birmingham 31 16 15 1.1 1.5 9 8 14 35 47 35
19 21 Huddersfield 31 16 15 1.2 1.7 6 13 12 36 52 31
20 22 QPR 31 17 14 0.9 1.4 7 8 16 29 43 29
21 5 West Brom 30 17 13 1.4 1.0 14 7 9 43 29 49
22 19 Millwall 31 18 13 1.0 1.3 8 9 14 31 40 33
23 20 Stoke 31 18 13 0.9 1.5 8 8 15 29 45 32
24 13 Bristol City 31 19 12 1.1 1.1 11 8 12 35 35 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Ipswich 15 3 12 2.5 1.5 10 4 1 37 23 34
2 15 Plymouth 14 2 12 2.6 1.6 8 3 3 36 23 27
3 16 Blackburn 16 4 12 1.4 1.7 6 2 8 23 27 20
4 2 Leeds 16 5 11 2.2 0.7 12 4 0 35 11 40
5 3 Southampton 15 4 11 2.6 1.2 11 2 2 39 18 35
6 9 Sunderland 16 5 11 1.8 1.2 10 0 6 28 19 30
7 10 Preston 15 4 11 1.5 1.7 8 2 5 23 26 26
8 11 Watford 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 5 5 6 26 21 20
9 17 Swansea 16 7 9 1.1 1.4 4 5 7 17 23 17
10 1 Leicester 16 8 8 2.1 0.6 13 1 2 33 9 40
11 6 Norwich 16 8 8 1.7 1.1 10 2 4 27 17 32
12 18 Birmingham 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 6 6 3 21 17 24
13 21 Huddersfield 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 4 6 5 19 21 18
14 22 QPR 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 3 5 8 17 24 14
15 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
16 7 Hull 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 7 4 5 23 16 25
17 19 Millwall 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 7 14 21 16
18 24 Rotherham 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 3 6 7 17 22 15
19 5 West Brom 15 9 6 1.7 0.7 10 3 2 25 11 33
20 8 Coventry 16 10 6 1.5 0.9 7 8 1 24 14 29
21 14 Cardiff 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 20 20
22 20 Stoke 15 9 6 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 20 16
23 12 Middlesbrough 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 7 17 18 21
24 13 Bristol City 15 10 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 6 18 17 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 16 4 12 1.7 2.0 4 4 8 27 32 16
2 12 Middlesbrough 14 2 12 1.9 1.9 6 2 6 27 26 20
3 16 Blackburn 15 3 12 1.5 2.0 5 1 9 22 30 16
4 7 Hull 15 4 11 1.5 1.6 7 2 6 22 24 23
5 17 Swansea 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 5 4 7 23 29 19
6 1 Leicester 16 6 10 2.2 0.9 12 2 2 35 15 38
7 8 Coventry 15 5 10 1.6 1.4 5 3 7 24 21 18
8 14 Cardiff 15 6 9 1.2 1.4 6 2 7 18 21 20
9 15 Plymouth 16 7 9 0.8 1.7 1 6 9 13 27 9
10 24 Rotherham 15 6 9 0.6 2.5 0 4 11 9 37 4
11 11 Watford 16 8 8 1.4 1.5 5 6 5 22 24 21
12 23 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 0.4 2.0 2 1 13 7 32 7
13 2 Leeds 16 9 7 1.5 0.9 8 2 6 24 15 26
14 3 Southampton 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 8 5 2 21 17 29
15 5 West Brom 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 4 4 7 18 18 16
16 10 Preston 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 5 4 7 17 23 19
17 13 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 5 6 17 18 20
18 18 Birmingham 16 9 7 0.9 1.9 3 2 11 14 30 11
19 20 Stoke 16 9 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 8 18 25 16
20 21 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 17 31 13
21 4 Ipswich 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 7 5 3 18 17 26
22 9 Sunderland 15 9 6 1.1 1.0 4 5 6 16 15 17
23 19 Millwall 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 7 17 19 17
24 22 QPR 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 4 3 8 12 19 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44