Watford 1–3 Cardiff – England Championship, 19 Apr 2023

Match facts

Watford Cardiff

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

10 Corners 1

11 Fouls 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (507 league matches this season so far).

Result Watford to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.45 – 0.88

Home / Draw / Away

51% 27% 23%

WatfordDrawCardiff

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

55% 45%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.1% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 10.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.40points / match

1.21scored / match

1.12conceded / match

15 14 13

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 51:47

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.02points / match

0.83scored / match

1.22conceded / match

11 9 21

WonDrawnLost 41 played · 34:50

Watford all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 0.83

1.12 Goals conceded 1.22

2.33 Total goals 2.05

11.10 Shots 11.98

3.79 Shots on target 3.24

11.98 Shots faced 11.05

5.07 Corners 4.78

5.21 Corners against 4.68

11.74 Fouls 9.88

2.12 Yellow cards 1.80

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.37

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

36% Wins 27%

33% Draws 22%

31% Losses 51%

90% Over 0.5 goals 90%

74% Over 1.5 goals 56%

38% Over 2.5 goals 29%

24% Over 3.5 goals 20%

7% Over 4.5 goals 10%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 37%

36% Clean sheets 29%

31% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 12%

43% Draws 59%

26% Losses 29%

74% Over 0.5 goals 49%

33% Over 1.5 goals 24%

7% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

3

2

W

1

L

D

1

L

3

W

1

D

2

L

2

3

L

2

D

2

W

Cardiff all matches

2

W

1

W

2

L

2

W

2

L

1

D

2

3

L

3

1

W

1

L

1

4

L

Watford before this match, at home

1.71points / match

1.52scored / match

0.95conceded / match

10 6 5

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:20

Cardiff before this match, away

0.90points / match

0.80scored / match

1.45conceded / match

5 3 12

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 16:29

Watford at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.52 Goals scored 0.80

0.95 Goals conceded 1.45

2.48 Total goals 2.25

12.67 Shots 9.50

4.52 Shots on target 3.10

10.48 Shots faced 12.30

5.38 Corners 4.05

4.67 Corners against 5.35

11.71 Fouls 9.95

1.95 Yellow cards 2.00

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

48% Wins 25%

29% Draws 15%

24% Losses 60%

90% Over 0.5 goals 90%

76% Over 1.5 goals 65%

43% Over 2.5 goals 35%

24% Over 3.5 goals 25%

14% Over 4.5 goals 10%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

48% Both teams scored 30%

43% Clean sheets 20%

19% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 15%

38% Draws 55%

19% Losses 30%

76% Over 0.5 goals 55%

33% Over 1.5 goals 35%

10% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

2

L

2

W

1

D

1

D

3

2

W

D

3

W

1

D

2

3

L

2

W

Cardiff away

2

D

1

L

1

L

1

L

2

W

2

L

2

L

3

1

W

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23	Watford – Bristol City	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.00	1.80
10.04.23	Coventry – Watford	2–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.20	1.67
07.04.23	Watford – Huddersfield	2–3 (1–1)	1.67	3.60	5.50	2.20	1.67
01.04.23	Luton – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.60	2.38	1.57
18.03.23	Watford – Wigan	1–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67
14.03.23	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.38	1.57
11.03.23	QPR – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.10	1.73
04.03.23	Watford – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.20	1.67
25.02.23	Sheffield United – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	3.80	2.02	1.83
20.02.23	Watford – West Brom	3–2 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23	Sheffield United – Cardiff	4–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.00	6.25	2.02	1.83
10.04.23	Cardiff – Sunderland	0–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
07.04.23	Blackpool – Cardiff	1–3 (0–3)	2.80	3.20	2.60	2.30	1.62
01.04.23	Cardiff – Swansea	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
15.03.23	Cardiff – West Brom	1–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.30	1.62
11.03.23	Preston – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.50	1.53
04.03.23	Cardiff – Bristol City	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.30	1.62
25.02.23	Norwich – Cardiff	2–0 (2–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	2.05	1.80
17.02.23	Cardiff – Reading	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.25	4.20	2.30	1.62
14.02.23	Birmingham – Cardiff	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.40	2.30	1.62

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23	Watford – Bristol City	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.00	1.80
07.04.23	Watford – Huddersfield	2–3 (1–1)	1.67	3.60	5.50	2.20	1.67
18.03.23	Watford – Wigan	1–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67
14.03.23	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.38	1.57
04.03.23	Watford – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.20	1.67
20.02.23	Watford – West Brom	3–2 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
11.02.23	Watford – Blackburn	1–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
21.01.23	Watford – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.55	4.20	6.00	1.93	1.93
14.01.23	Watford – Blackpool	2–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.95	1.90
26.12.22	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67

Cardiff away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23	Sheffield United – Cardiff	4–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.00	6.25	2.02	1.83
07.04.23	Blackpool – Cardiff	1–3 (0–3)	2.80	3.20	2.60	2.30	1.62
11.03.23	Preston – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.50	1.53
25.02.23	Norwich – Cardiff	2–0 (2–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	2.05	1.80
14.02.23	Birmingham – Cardiff	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.40	2.30	1.62
04.02.23	Hull – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.23	Blackburn – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Coventry – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
10.12.22	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Watford winsDrawsCardiff wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.11.22E1	Cardiff – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	42	26	14	2	80	32	+48	92
2	Sheffield United	42	25	7	10	65	36	+29	82
3	Luton	42	20	14	8	53	36	+17	74
4	Middlesbrough	42	21	8	13	79	51	+28	71
5	Millwall	43	18	11	14	50	42	+8	65
6	West Brom	42	17	12	13	54	45	+9	63
7	Blackburn	41	19	6	16	45	47	-2	63
8	Sunderland	43	16	14	13	61	52	+9	62
9	Coventry	42	16	14	12	52	43	+9	62
10	Preston	42	17	11	14	41	47	-6	62
11	Norwich	42	17	10	15	55	47	+8	61
12	Watford	42	15	14	13	51	47	+4	59
13	Swansea	42	15	11	16	57	59	-2	56
14	Bristol City	43	13	14	16	50	53	-3	53
15	Birmingham	43	14	11	18	46	53	-7	53
16	Hull	42	13	14	15	48	57	-9	53
17	Stoke	43	14	10	19	54	50	+4	52
18	Reading	42	13	9	20	43	62	-19	48
19	Rotherham	42	10	16	16	46	56	-10	46
20	Huddersfield	43	11	11	21	42	61	-19	44
21	QPR	42	11	10	21	40	67	-27	43
22	Cardiff	41	11	9	21	34	50	-16	42
23	Wigan	43	9	13	21	35	63	-28	40
24	Blackpool	43	9	11	23	44	69	-25	38

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	15	6	0	45	13	+32	51
2	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	41	18	+23	45
3	Middlesbrough	21	12	6	3	42	17	+25	42
4	Blackburn	20	13	2	5	25	16	+9	41
5	Millwall	22	11	6	5	31	18	+13	39
6	West Brom	21	10	7	4	28	17	+11	37
7	Watford	21	10	6	5	32	20	+12	36
8	Reading	21	10	6	5	29	22	+7	36
9	Luton	21	9	8	4	29	20	+9	35
10	Coventry	21	9	7	5	26	23	+3	34
11	Bristol City	21	8	7	6	27	21	+6	31
12	Swansea	21	9	4	8	31	28	+3	31
13	Rotherham	21	8	6	7	35	28	+7	30
14	Norwich	21	8	5	8	27	23	+4	29
15	Sunderland	22	7	8	7	31	31	0	29
16	Hull	21	8	5	8	22	26	-4	29
17	Birmingham	21	7	6	8	23	21	+2	27
18	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	23	25	-2	27
19	Preston	21	7	6	8	19	24	-5	27
20	Cardiff	21	6	6	9	18	21	-3	24
21	Blackpool	22	6	6	10	26	31	-5	24
22	Stoke	22	6	5	11	25	26	-1	23
23	QPR	21	6	4	11	20	32	-12	22
24	Wigan	21	4	6	11	15	34	-19	18

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	11	8	2	35	19	+16	41
2	Luton	21	11	6	4	24	16	+8	39
3	Sheffield United	21	11	4	6	24	18	+6	37
4	Preston	21	10	5	6	22	23	-1	35
5	Sunderland	21	9	6	6	30	21	+9	33
6	Norwich	21	9	5	7	28	24	+4	32
7	Stoke	21	8	5	8	29	24	+5	29
8	Middlesbrough	21	9	2	10	37	34	+3	29
9	Coventry	21	7	7	7	26	20	+6	28
10	West Brom	21	7	5	9	26	28	-2	26
11	Millwall	21	7	5	9	19	24	-5	26
12	Birmingham	22	7	5	10	23	32	-9	26
13	Swansea	21	6	7	8	26	31	-5	25
14	Hull	21	5	9	7	26	31	-5	24
15	Watford	21	5	8	8	19	27	-8	23
16	Bristol City	22	5	7	10	23	32	-9	22
17	Wigan	22	5	7	10	20	29	-9	22
18	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	20	31	-11	22
19	QPR	21	5	6	10	20	35	-15	21
20	Cardiff	20	5	3	12	16	29	-13	18
21	Huddersfield	22	4	5	13	19	36	-17	17
22	Rotherham	21	2	10	9	11	28	-17	16
23	Blackpool	21	3	5	13	18	38	-20	14
24	Reading	21	3	3	15	14	40	-26	12

Watford Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Middlesbrough	42	14	28	1.9	1.2	21	8	13	79	51	71
2	13	Swansea	42	19	23	1.4	1.4	15	11	16	57	59	56
3	8	Sunderland	43	21	22	1.4	1.2	16	14	13	61	52	62
4	18	Reading	42	20	22	1.0	1.5	13	9	20	43	62	48
5	21	QPR	42	20	22	1.0	1.6	11	10	21	40	67	43
6	1	Burnley	42	21	21	1.9	0.8	26	14	2	80	32	92
7	24	Blackpool	43	22	21	1.0	1.6	9	11	23	44	69	38
8	17	Stoke	43	23	20	1.3	1.2	14	10	19	54	50	52
9	19	Rotherham	42	22	20	1.1	1.3	10	16	16	46	56	46
10	11	Norwich	42	23	19	1.3	1.1	17	10	15	55	47	61
11	20	Huddersfield	43	24	19	1.0	1.4	11	11	21	42	61	44
12	7	Blackburn	41	23	18	1.1	1.1	19	6	16	45	47	63
13	15	Birmingham	43	25	18	1.1	1.2	14	11	18	46	53	53
14	16	Hull	42	24	18	1.1	1.4	13	14	15	48	57	53
15	2	Sheffield United	42	25	17	1.5	0.9	25	7	10	65	36	82
16	10	Preston	42	25	17	1.0	1.1	17	11	14	41	47	62
17	12	Watford	42	26	16	1.2	1.1	15	14	13	51	47	59
18	14	Bristol City	43	27	16	1.2	1.2	13	14	16	50	53	53
19	23	Wigan	43	27	16	0.8	1.5	9	13	21	35	63	40
20	5	Millwall	43	28	15	1.2	1.0	18	11	14	50	42	65
21	9	Coventry	42	27	15	1.2	1.0	16	14	12	52	43	62
22	6	West Brom	42	28	14	1.3	1.1	17	12	13	54	45	63
23	3	Luton	42	29	13	1.3	0.9	20	14	8	53	36	74
24	22	Cardiff	41	29	12	0.8	1.2	11	9	21	34	50	42

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Rotherham	21	8	13	1.7	1.3	8	6	7	35	28	30
2	1	Burnley	21	9	12	2.1	0.6	15	6	0	45	13	51
3	4	Middlesbrough	21	9	12	2.0	0.8	12	6	3	42	17	42
4	8	Sunderland	22	10	12	1.4	1.4	7	8	7	31	31	29
5	13	Swansea	21	9	12	1.5	1.3	9	4	8	31	28	31
6	21	QPR	21	9	12	1.0	1.5	6	4	11	20	32	22
7	2	Sheffield United	21	10	11	2.0	0.9	14	3	4	41	18	45
8	18	Reading	21	10	11	1.4	1.0	10	6	5	29	22	36
9	17	Stoke	22	12	10	1.1	1.2	6	5	11	25	26	23
10	24	Blackpool	22	12	10	1.2	1.4	6	6	10	26	31	24
11	11	Norwich	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	8	27	23	29
12	12	Watford	21	12	9	1.5	1.0	10	6	5	32	20	36
13	16	Hull	21	12	9	1.0	1.2	8	5	8	22	26	29
14	3	Luton	21	13	8	1.4	1.0	9	8	4	29	20	35
15	5	Millwall	22	14	8	1.4	0.8	11	6	5	31	18	39
16	7	Blackburn	20	12	8	1.2	0.8	13	2	5	25	16	41
17	10	Preston	21	13	8	0.9	1.1	7	6	8	19	24	27
18	15	Birmingham	21	13	8	1.1	1.0	7	6	8	23	21	27
19	20	Huddersfield	21	13	8	1.1	1.2	7	6	8	23	25	27
20	9	Coventry	21	14	7	1.2	1.1	9	7	5	26	23	34
21	14	Bristol City	21	14	7	1.3	1.0	8	7	6	27	21	31
22	23	Wigan	21	14	7	0.7	1.6	4	6	11	15	34	18
23	6	West Brom	21	16	5	1.3	0.8	10	7	4	28	17	37
24	22	Cardiff	21	16	5	0.9	1.0	6	6	9	18	21	24

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Middlesbrough	21	5	16	1.8	1.6	9	2	10	37	34	29
2	13	Swansea	21	10	11	1.2	1.5	6	7	8	26	31	25
3	18	Reading	21	10	11	0.7	1.9	3	3	15	14	40	12
4	20	Huddersfield	22	11	11	0.9	1.6	4	5	13	19	36	17
5	24	Blackpool	21	10	11	0.9	1.8	3	5	13	18	38	14
6	7	Blackburn	21	11	10	1.0	1.5	6	4	11	20	31	22
7	8	Sunderland	21	11	10	1.4	1.0	9	6	6	30	21	33
8	11	Norwich	21	11	10	1.3	1.1	9	5	7	28	24	32
9	15	Birmingham	22	12	10	1.0	1.5	7	5	10	23	32	26
10	17	Stoke	21	11	10	1.4	1.1	8	5	8	29	24	29
11	21	QPR	21	11	10	1.0	1.7	5	6	10	20	35	21
12	1	Burnley	21	12	9	1.7	0.9	11	8	2	35	19	41
13	6	West Brom	21	12	9	1.2	1.3	7	5	9	26	28	26
14	10	Preston	21	12	9	1.0	1.1	10	5	6	22	23	35
15	14	Bristol City	22	13	9	1.0	1.5	5	7	10	23	32	22
16	16	Hull	21	12	9	1.2	1.5	5	9	7	26	31	24
17	23	Wigan	22	13	9	0.9	1.3	5	7	10	20	29	22
18	9	Coventry	21	13	8	1.2	1.0	7	7	7	26	20	28
19	5	Millwall	21	14	7	0.9	1.1	7	5	9	19	24	26
20	12	Watford	21	14	7	0.9	1.3	5	8	8	19	27	23
21	19	Rotherham	21	14	7	0.5	1.3	2	10	9	11	28	16
22	22	Cardiff	20	13	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	12	16	29	18
23	2	Sheffield United	21	15	6	1.1	0.9	11	4	6	24	18	37
24	3	Luton	21	16	5	1.1	0.8	11	6	4	24	16	39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.