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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Watford 0–2 Millwall

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.10 fair 2.10
Draw 3.30 fair 3.82
Away ✓ 3.75 fair 3.80
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Millwall
7 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 8
4 Corners 10
14 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (274 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 12.1% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.30scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 30:22
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.23scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 27:26
Watford all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.23
0.96 Goals conceded 1.18
2.26 Total goals 2.41
11.35 Shots 12.91
3.87 Shots on target 4.05
11.22 Shots faced 11.50
5.26 Corners 4.45
5.43 Corners against 3.73
10.96 Fouls 11.82
1.87 Yellow cards 1.73
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

43% Wins 41%
30% Draws 23%
26% Losses 36%
87% Over 0.5 goals 91%
70% Over 1.5 goals 82%
43% Over 2.5 goals 41%
22% Over 3.5 goals 14%
4% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
43% Both teams scored 41%
43% Clean sheets 27%
26% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 18%
57% Draws 59%
17% Losses 23%
70% Over 0.5 goals 64%
43% Over 1.5 goals 41%
13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Millwall all matches
Watford before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.55scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:10
Millwall before this match, away
0.82points / match
0.91scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:18
Watford at home away Millwall

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.91
0.91 Goals conceded 1.64
2.45 Total goals 2.55
11.82 Shots 11.45
4.45 Shots on target 3.18
10.09 Shots faced 13.82
4.82 Corners 4.45
5.09 Corners against 3.82
11.64 Fouls 11.82
2.00 Yellow cards 2.27
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

55% Wins 18%
18% Draws 27%
27% Losses 55%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 45%
27% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
45% Both teams scored 45%
45% Clean sheets 9%
18% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 9%
45% Draws 64%
9% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 55%
45% Over 1.5 goals 36%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Huddersfield – Watford 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.302.10 2.20 1.67
11.12.22 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.50 2.00 1.85
12.11.22 Bristol City – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.37 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
05.11.22 Watford – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.33 1.93 1.93
02.11.22 Cardiff – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Wigan – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.37 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Millwall – Wigan 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.404.33 2.20 1.67
03.12.22 Sunderland – Millwall 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.87 2.20 1.66
12.11.22 Preston – Millwall 2–4 (2–2) 2.553.003.10 2.62 1.50
05.11.22 Millwall – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.50 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
29.10.22 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Millwall – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.102.75 2.20 1.66
19.10.22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Bristol City – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.22 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.50 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
05.11.22 Watford – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.33 1.93 1.93
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
05.10.22 Watford – Swansea 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.404.20 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Watford – Sunderland 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
30.08.22 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.22 Sunderland – Millwall 3–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.87 2.20 1.66
12.11.22 Preston – Millwall 2–4 (2–2) 2.553.003.10 2.62 1.50
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
29.10.22 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Bristol City – Millwall 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.05 1.80
05.10.22 Rotherham – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.202.75 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Blackburn – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
19.08.22 Norwich – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Swansea – Millwall 2–2 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsMillwall wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.22E1 Millwall – Watford 3–0 (3–0) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 23 13 8 2 46 24 +22 47
2 Sheffield United 23 13 5 5 38 20 +18 44
3 Blackburn 23 13 0 10 27 26 +1 39
4 Watford 23 10 7 6 30 22 +8 37
5 Norwich 23 10 5 8 30 25 +5 35
6 QPR 23 10 4 9 27 27 0 34
7 Preston 23 9 7 7 22 22 0 34
8 Coventry 22 9 6 7 25 22 +3 33
9 Birmingham 23 8 8 7 26 22 +4 32
10 Millwall 22 9 5 8 27 26 +1 32
11 Swansea 23 8 8 7 30 32 -2 32
12 Reading 23 10 2 11 26 33 -7 32
13 Sunderland 23 8 7 8 31 26 +5 31
14 Middlesbrough 23 8 6 9 32 30 +2 30
15 Luton 22 7 9 6 24 24 0 30
16 West Brom 23 7 8 8 29 26 +3 29
17 Stoke 23 8 5 10 26 30 -4 29
18 Bristol City 23 7 6 10 31 32 -1 27
19 Rotherham 23 6 8 9 26 32 -6 26
20 Cardiff 23 7 5 11 20 28 -8 26
21 Hull 23 7 5 11 26 40 -14 26
22 Blackpool 23 6 6 11 25 34 -9 24
23 Wigan 23 6 6 11 23 34 -11 24
24 Huddersfield 22 5 4 13 19 29 -10 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 12 8 4 0 26 11 +15 28
2 Blackburn 11 8 0 3 18 11 +7 24
3 Millwall 11 7 2 2 17 8 +9 23
4 Reading 11 7 1 3 16 11 +5 22
5 Sheffield United 11 6 3 2 23 11 +12 21
6 Watford 11 6 2 3 17 10 +7 20
7 Coventry 11 6 2 3 14 9 +5 20
8 Norwich 12 5 3 4 18 14 +4 18
9 Birmingham 12 4 5 3 16 12 +4 17
10 QPR 11 5 2 4 15 13 +2 17
11 Middlesbrough 11 4 5 2 13 11 +2 17
12 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17
13 West Brom 12 4 4 4 17 14 +3 16
14 Rotherham 11 4 3 4 18 15 +3 15
15 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 14 12 +2 15
16 Cardiff 12 4 3 5 10 11 -1 15
17 Huddersfield 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
18 Luton 11 2 7 2 14 12 +2 13
19 Sunderland 11 3 4 4 14 12 +2 13
20 Preston 12 3 4 5 7 12 -5 13
21 Hull 12 4 1 7 12 21 -9 13
22 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
23 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
24 Wigan 12 2 3 7 9 20 -11 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 12 7 2 3 15 9 +6 23
2 Preston 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
3 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19
4 Sunderland 12 5 3 4 17 14 +3 18
5 Watford 12 4 5 3 13 12 +1 17
6 Norwich 11 5 2 4 12 11 +1 17
7 Stoke 12 5 2 5 13 14 -1 17
8 QPR 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Luton 11 5 2 4 10 12 -2 17
10 Wigan 11 4 3 4 14 14 0 15
11 Birmingham 11 4 3 4 10 10 0 15
12 Swansea 12 3 6 3 15 18 -3 15
13 Blackburn 12 5 0 7 9 15 -6 15
14 Middlesbrough 12 4 1 7 19 19 0 13
15 West Brom 11 3 4 4 12 12 0 13
16 Coventry 11 3 4 4 11 13 -2 13
17 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13
18 Blackpool 12 3 4 5 13 18 -5 13
19 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
20 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 10 17 -7 11
21 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 8 17 -9 11
22 Reading 12 3 1 8 10 22 -12 10
23 Millwall 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9
24 Huddersfield 10 1 2 7 9 17 -8 5

Watford   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Middlesbrough 23 9 14 1.4 1.3 8 6 9 32 30 30
2 12 Reading 23 10 13 1.1 1.4 10 2 11 26 33 32
3 21 Hull 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 7 5 11 26 40 26
4 11 Swansea 23 11 12 1.3 1.4 8 8 7 30 32 32
5 13 Sunderland 23 11 12 1.3 1.1 8 7 8 31 26 31
6 18 Bristol City 23 11 12 1.3 1.4 7 6 10 31 32 27
7 1 Burnley 23 12 11 2.0 1.0 13 8 2 46 24 47
8 3 Blackburn 23 12 11 1.2 1.1 13 0 10 27 26 39
9 5 Norwich 23 12 11 1.3 1.1 10 5 8 30 25 35
10 6 QPR 23 12 11 1.2 1.2 10 4 9 27 27 34
11 19 Rotherham 23 12 11 1.1 1.4 6 8 9 26 32 26
12 22 Blackpool 23 12 11 1.1 1.5 6 6 11 25 34 24
13 23 Wigan 23 12 11 1.0 1.5 6 6 11 23 34 24
14 4 Watford 23 13 10 1.3 1.0 10 7 6 30 22 37
15 17 Stoke 23 13 10 1.1 1.3 8 5 10 26 30 29
16 2 Sheffield United 23 14 9 1.7 0.9 13 5 5 38 20 44
17 9 Birmingham 23 14 9 1.1 1.0 8 8 7 26 22 32
18 10 Millwall 22 13 9 1.2 1.2 9 5 8 27 26 32
19 24 Huddersfield 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 5 4 13 19 29 19
20 16 West Brom 23 15 8 1.3 1.1 7 8 8 29 26 29
21 20 Cardiff 23 15 8 0.9 1.2 7 5 11 20 28 26
22 7 Preston 23 16 7 1.0 1.0 9 7 7 22 22 34
23 8 Coventry 22 15 7 1.1 1.0 9 6 7 25 22 33
24 15 Luton 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 7 9 6 24 24 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 12 5 7 2.2 0.9 8 4 0 26 11 28
2 6 QPR 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 2 4 15 13 17
3 21 Hull 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 4 1 7 12 21 13
4 2 Sheffield United 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 6 3 2 23 11 21
5 3 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 8 0 3 18 11 24
6 4 Watford 11 5 6 1.5 0.9 6 2 3 17 10 20
7 5 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 14 18
8 9 Birmingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 4 5 3 16 12 17
9 11 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17
10 12 Reading 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 7 1 3 16 11 22
11 13 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 4 14 12 13
12 19 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 4 18 15 15
13 14 Middlesbrough 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 4 5 2 13 11 17
14 17 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
15 18 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 4 3 5 14 12 15
16 22 Blackpool 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
17 23 Wigan 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 3 7 9 20 9
18 10 Millwall 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 17 8 23
19 15 Luton 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 2 7 2 14 12 13
20 16 West Brom 12 8 4 1.4 1.2 4 4 4 17 14 16
21 8 Coventry 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 6 2 3 14 9 20
22 20 Cardiff 12 9 3 0.8 0.9 4 3 5 10 11 15
23 24 Huddersfield 12 9 3 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
24 7 Preston 12 10 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 5 7 12 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Middlesbrough 12 3 9 1.6 1.6 4 1 7 19 19 13
2 12 Reading 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 22 10
3 18 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
4 11 Swansea 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 6 3 15 18 15
5 13 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.4 1.2 5 3 4 17 14 18
6 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13
7 22 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 5 13 18 13
8 23 Wigan 11 5 6 1.3 1.3 4 3 4 14 14 15
9 24 Huddersfield 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 1 2 7 9 17 5
10 3 Blackburn 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 5 0 7 9 15 15
11 5 Norwich 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 5 2 4 12 11 17
12 7 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
13 10 Millwall 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9
14 17 Stoke 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 5 2 5 13 14 17
15 19 Rotherham 12 7 5 0.7 1.4 2 5 5 8 17 11
16 20 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 17 11
17 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19
18 4 Watford 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 3 13 12 17
19 6 QPR 12 8 4 1.0 1.2 5 2 5 12 14 17
20 8 Coventry 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 3 4 4 11 13 13
21 16 West Brom 11 7 4 1.1 1.1 3 4 4 12 12 13
22 2 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 7 2 3 15 9 23
23 9 Birmingham 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 3 4 10 10 15
24 15 Luton 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 5 2 4 10 12 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51