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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Stoke 4–0 Reading

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 2.39
Draw 3.50 fair 3.78
Away 4.33 fair 3.15
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Reading
16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
12 Fouls 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (325 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.7% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.07scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 29:37
Reading before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.15scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 31:38
Stoke all matches all matches Reading

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.15
1.37 Goals conceded 1.41
2.44 Total goals 2.56
12.81 Shots 10.11
4.19 Shots on target 3.30
11.37 Shots faced 11.56
5.33 Corners 4.74
5.67 Corners against 4.89
11.89 Fouls 10.56
1.93 Yellow cards 2.11
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

30% Wins 41%
22% Draws 15%
48% Losses 44%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
74% Over 1.5 goals 74%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
30% Over 3.5 goals 22%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 48%
26% Clean sheets 26%
33% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 26%
37% Draws 48%
41% Losses 26%
74% Over 0.5 goals 67%
30% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Reading all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
0.92points / match
1.00scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:18
Reading before this match, away
0.79points / match
0.79scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:24
Stoke at home away Reading

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.79
1.38 Goals conceded 1.71
2.38 Total goals 2.50
14.00 Shots 9.71
4.38 Shots on target 3.14
10.00 Shots faced 12.36
6.08 Corners 5.07
5.38 Corners against 5.00
11.54 Fouls 9.86
1.92 Yellow cards 1.93
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

23% Wins 21%
23% Draws 14%
54% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
69% Over 1.5 goals 64%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
31% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 43%
15% Clean sheets 21%
46% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 14%
31% Draws 50%
38% Losses 36%
77% Over 0.5 goals 64%
31% Over 1.5 goals 36%
15% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Sheffield United – Stoke 3–1 (2–1) 1.733.755.00 2.02 1.83
02.01.23 Stoke – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.20 1.67
30.12.22 Stoke – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.00 1.80
26.12.22 Rotherham – Stoke 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85
10.12.22 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Reading – QPR 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.67
02.01.23 West Brom – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.95 1.90
30.12.22 Norwich – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.505.25 1.98 1.88
27.12.22 Reading – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
16.12.22 Birmingham – Reading 3–2 (3–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
10.12.22 Reading – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Hull – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
04.11.22 Reading – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.50 1.53
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 Stoke – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.20 1.67
30.12.22 Stoke – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.00 1.80
10.12.22 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.73
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23 West Brom – Reading 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.95 1.90
30.12.22 Norwich – Reading 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.505.25 1.98 1.88
16.12.22 Birmingham – Reading 3–2 (3–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
12.11.22 Hull – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Wigan – Reading 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.80 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsReading wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.09.22E1 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
05.04.22E1 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.61
07.08.21E1 Stoke – Reading 3–2 (2–1) 2.053.253.80 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 28 18 8 2 55 26 +29 62
2 Sheffield United 28 17 6 5 48 24 +24 57
3 Watford 27 12 7 8 33 28 +5 43
4 Middlesbrough 27 12 6 9 42 33 +9 42
5 Norwich 28 12 6 10 40 31 +9 42
6 Blackburn 27 14 0 13 30 34 -4 42
7 West Brom 28 11 8 9 38 30 +8 41
8 Millwall 26 11 6 9 32 27 +5 39
9 Luton 26 10 9 7 33 29 +4 39
10 Sunderland 27 10 8 9 39 32 +7 38
11 Swansea 27 10 8 9 39 37 +2 38
12 QPR 27 10 7 10 30 33 -3 37
13 Preston 27 10 7 10 24 30 -6 37
14 Reading 27 11 4 12 31 38 -7 37
15 Coventry 27 9 8 10 29 31 -2 35
16 Hull 28 9 7 12 33 44 -11 34
17 Bristol City 27 8 8 11 36 37 -1 32
18 Birmingham 27 8 8 11 29 33 -4 32
19 Rotherham 27 7 9 11 32 39 -7 30
20 Stoke 27 8 6 13 29 37 -8 30
21 Cardiff 27 7 8 12 21 30 -9 29
22 Huddersfield 26 7 5 14 25 33 -8 26
23 Blackpool 27 6 8 13 28 40 -12 26
24 Wigan 27 6 7 14 27 47 -20 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 15 11 4 0 32 12 +20 37
2 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 30 13 +17 30
3 Millwall 13 8 3 2 20 8 +12 27
4 Blackburn 13 9 0 4 20 13 +7 27
5 Reading 13 8 2 3 20 14 +6 26
6 Watford 13 7 2 4 19 12 +7 23
7 Middlesbrough 13 6 5 2 18 12 +6 23
8 West Brom 14 6 4 4 20 14 +6 22
9 Coventry 14 6 4 4 17 14 +3 22
10 Swansea 13 6 2 5 20 16 +4 20
11 Rotherham 13 5 4 4 24 17 +7 19
12 Norwich 14 5 4 5 19 16 +3 19
13 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 18 16 +2 18
14 QPR 13 5 3 5 16 17 -1 18
15 Birmingham 14 4 5 5 17 16 +1 17
16 Huddersfield 14 5 2 7 13 14 -1 17
17 Cardiff 14 4 5 5 11 12 -1 17
18 Luton 13 3 7 3 18 16 +2 16
19 Sunderland 13 4 4 5 17 16 +1 16
20 Hull 14 4 3 7 14 23 -9 15
21 Preston 14 3 4 7 8 18 -10 13
22 Blackpool 13 3 3 7 14 19 -5 12
23 Stoke 13 3 3 7 13 18 -5 12
24 Wigan 14 2 3 9 11 28 -17 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 14 8 3 3 18 11 +7 27
2 Burnley 13 7 4 2 23 14 +9 25
3 Preston 13 7 3 3 16 12 +4 24
4 Norwich 14 7 2 5 21 15 +6 23
5 Luton 13 7 2 4 15 13 +2 23
6 Sunderland 14 6 4 4 22 16 +6 22
7 Watford 14 5 5 4 14 16 -2 20
8 Middlesbrough 14 6 1 7 24 21 +3 19
9 West Brom 14 5 4 5 18 16 +2 19
10 Hull 14 5 4 5 19 21 -2 19
11 QPR 14 5 4 5 14 16 -2 19
12 Swansea 14 4 6 4 19 21 -2 18
13 Stoke 14 5 3 6 16 19 -3 18
14 Wigan 13 4 4 5 16 19 -3 16
15 Birmingham 13 4 3 6 12 17 -5 15
16 Blackburn 14 5 0 9 10 21 -11 15
17 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 18 21 -3 14
18 Blackpool 14 3 5 6 14 21 -7 14
19 Coventry 13 3 4 6 12 17 -5 13
20 Millwall 13 3 3 7 12 19 -7 12
21 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 10 18 -8 12
22 Reading 14 3 2 9 11 24 -13 11
23 Rotherham 14 2 5 7 8 22 -14 11
24 Huddersfield 12 2 3 7 12 19 -7 9

Stoke   Reading

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 27 10 17 1.6 1.2 12 6 9 42 33 42
2 11 Swansea 27 11 16 1.4 1.4 10 8 9 39 37 38
3 10 Sunderland 27 12 15 1.4 1.2 10 8 9 39 32 38
4 14 Reading 27 12 15 1.1 1.4 11 4 12 31 38 37
5 1 Burnley 28 14 14 2.0 0.9 18 8 2 55 26 62
6 5 Norwich 28 14 14 1.4 1.1 12 6 10 40 31 42
7 6 Blackburn 27 13 14 1.1 1.3 14 0 13 30 34 42
8 16 Hull 28 14 14 1.2 1.6 9 7 12 33 44 34
9 19 Rotherham 27 13 14 1.2 1.4 7 9 11 32 39 30
10 24 Wigan 27 13 14 1.0 1.7 6 7 14 27 47 25
11 12 QPR 27 14 13 1.1 1.2 10 7 10 30 33 37
12 17 Bristol City 27 14 13 1.3 1.4 8 8 11 36 37 32
13 2 Sheffield United 28 16 12 1.7 0.9 17 6 5 48 24 57
14 18 Birmingham 27 15 12 1.1 1.2 8 8 11 29 33 32
15 20 Stoke 27 15 12 1.1 1.4 8 6 13 29 37 30
16 23 Blackpool 27 15 12 1.0 1.5 6 8 13 28 40 26
17 3 Watford 27 16 11 1.2 1.0 12 7 8 33 28 43
18 9 Luton 26 15 11 1.3 1.1 10 9 7 33 29 39
19 22 Huddersfield 26 15 11 1.0 1.3 7 5 14 25 33 26
20 7 West Brom 28 18 10 1.4 1.1 11 8 9 38 30 41
21 8 Millwall 26 16 10 1.2 1.0 11 6 9 32 27 39
22 13 Preston 27 18 9 0.9 1.1 10 7 10 24 30 37
23 15 Coventry 27 18 9 1.1 1.1 9 8 10 29 31 35
24 21 Cardiff 27 19 8 0.8 1.1 7 8 12 21 30 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 15 6 9 2.1 0.8 11 4 0 32 12 37
2 2 Sheffield United 14 6 8 2.1 0.9 9 3 2 30 13 30
3 10 Sunderland 13 5 8 1.3 1.2 4 4 5 17 16 16
4 11 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.2 6 2 5 20 16 20
5 12 QPR 13 5 8 1.2 1.3 5 3 5 16 17 18
6 14 Reading 13 5 8 1.5 1.1 8 2 3 20 14 26
7 19 Rotherham 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 5 4 4 24 17 19
8 6 Blackburn 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 9 0 4 20 13 27
9 16 Hull 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 4 3 7 14 23 15
10 18 Birmingham 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 4 5 5 17 16 17
11 24 Wigan 14 7 7 0.8 2.0 2 3 9 11 28 9
12 3 Watford 13 7 6 1.5 0.9 7 2 4 19 12 23
13 4 Middlesbrough 13 7 6 1.4 0.9 6 5 2 18 12 23
14 5 Norwich 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 16 19
15 9 Luton 13 7 6 1.4 1.2 3 7 3 18 16 16
16 17 Bristol City 14 8 6 1.3 1.1 5 3 6 18 16 18
17 23 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 7 14 19 12
18 8 Millwall 13 8 5 1.5 0.6 8 3 2 20 8 27
19 20 Stoke 13 8 5 1.0 1.4 3 3 7 13 18 12
20 7 West Brom 14 10 4 1.4 1.0 6 4 4 20 14 22
21 13 Preston 14 10 4 0.6 1.3 3 4 7 8 18 13
22 15 Coventry 14 10 4 1.2 1.0 6 4 4 17 14 22
23 22 Huddersfield 14 10 4 0.9 1.0 5 2 7 13 14 17
24 21 Cardiff 14 11 3 0.8 0.9 4 5 5 11 12 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 14 3 11 1.7 1.5 6 1 7 24 21 19
2 5 Norwich 14 6 8 1.5 1.1 7 2 5 21 15 23
3 11 Swansea 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 6 4 19 21 18
4 6 Blackburn 14 7 7 0.7 1.5 5 0 9 10 21 15
5 10 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 16 22
6 14 Reading 14 7 7 0.8 1.7 3 2 9 11 24 11
7 16 Hull 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 5 4 5 19 21 19
8 17 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.4 1.6 3 5 5 18 21 14
9 20 Stoke 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 16 19 18
10 22 Huddersfield 12 5 7 1.0 1.6 2 3 7 12 19 9
11 24 Wigan 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 4 5 16 19 16
12 7 West Brom 14 8 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 5 18 16 19
13 19 Rotherham 14 8 6 0.6 1.6 2 5 7 8 22 11
14 23 Blackpool 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 3 5 6 14 21 14
15 1 Burnley 13 8 5 1.8 1.1 7 4 2 23 14 25
16 3 Watford 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 5 5 4 14 16 20
17 8 Millwall 13 8 5 0.9 1.5 3 3 7 12 19 12
18 9 Luton 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 7 2 4 15 13 23
19 12 QPR 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 5 4 5 14 16 19
20 13 Preston 13 8 5 1.2 0.9 7 3 3 16 12 24
21 15 Coventry 13 8 5 0.9 1.3 3 4 6 12 17 13
22 18 Birmingham 13 8 5 0.9 1.3 4 3 6 12 17 15
23 21 Cardiff 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 7 10 18 12
24 2 Sheffield United 14 10 4 1.3 0.8 8 3 3 18 11 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51