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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

Birmingham 3–2 Reading

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.11
Draw 3.20 fair 3.69
Away 4.00 fair 3.93
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 2.40

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Reading
9 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 7
0 Corners 7
14 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (262 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.40 – 0.95
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.4% 1–1 12.7% 0–0 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.05scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 23:20
Reading before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.09scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:30
Birmingham all matches all matches Reading

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.09
0.91 Goals conceded 1.36
1.95 Total goals 2.45
10.86 Shots 9.82
3.14 Shots on target 3.14
11.41 Shots faced 11.18
5.36 Corners 4.68
4.91 Corners against 4.86
12.09 Fouls 9.86
2.09 Yellow cards 2.09
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

32% Wins 45%
36% Draws 9%
32% Losses 45%
82% Over 0.5 goals 95%
64% Over 1.5 goals 73%
36% Over 2.5 goals 55%
9% Over 3.5 goals 18%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 41%
36% Clean sheets 32%
36% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 23%
41% Draws 50%
27% Losses 27%
64% Over 0.5 goals 68%
27% Over 1.5 goals 36%
5% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Reading all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.27points / match
1.18scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:10
Reading before this match, away
0.91points / match
0.73scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 8:19
Birmingham at home away Reading

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.73
0.91 Goals conceded 1.73
2.09 Total goals 2.45
12.09 Shots 8.91
3.45 Shots on target 2.82
10.00 Shots faced 12.36
6.00 Corners 4.91
4.91 Corners against 5.09
12.27 Fouls 9.55
1.82 Yellow cards 1.82
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

27% Wins 27%
45% Draws 9%
27% Losses 64%
82% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
45% Over 2.5 goals 55%
9% Over 3.5 goals 27%
0% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 36%
36% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%
45% Draws 45%
18% Losses 36%
55% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
9% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Blackpool – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.63 2.10 1.73
11.11.22 Birmingham – Sunderland 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
28.10.22 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Blackburn – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.253.75 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Hull – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Reading – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Hull – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
04.11.22 Reading – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.303.103.30 2.50 1.53
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Reading – Bristol City 2–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Reading – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.10 1.72
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.22 Birmingham – Sunderland 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
28.10.22 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Birmingham – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.00 1.80
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Birmingham – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.22 Hull – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66
08.11.22 Watford – Reading 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 2.10 1.72
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Wigan – Reading 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.80 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Sheffield United – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Rotherham – Reading 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsReading wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.22E1 Reading – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.95 1.90
06.11.21E1 Birmingham – Reading 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.404.75 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 22 12 8 2 43 23 +20 44
2 Sheffield United 22 12 5 5 36 19 +17 41
3 Blackburn 22 12 0 10 25 26 -1 36
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 30 23 +7 35
5 Watford 22 9 7 6 28 22 +6 34
6 Preston 22 9 7 6 22 21 +1 34
7 Millwall 22 9 5 8 27 26 +1 32
8 Reading 22 10 2 10 24 30 -6 32
9 QPR 22 9 4 9 26 27 -1 31
10 Swansea 22 8 7 7 27 29 -2 31
11 Sunderland 22 8 6 8 30 25 +5 30
12 Middlesbrough 22 8 6 8 31 27 +4 30
13 Luton 22 7 9 6 24 24 0 30
14 Birmingham 22 7 8 7 23 20 +3 29
15 Coventry 20 8 5 7 21 19 +2 29
16 Bristol City 22 7 6 9 30 30 0 27
17 West Brom 21 6 8 7 26 25 +1 26
18 Rotherham 22 6 8 8 26 29 -3 26
19 Stoke 22 7 5 10 24 29 -5 26
20 Cardiff 22 7 4 11 19 27 -8 25
21 Hull 22 7 4 11 25 39 -14 25
22 Wigan 22 6 6 10 22 32 -10 24
23 Blackpool 22 6 5 11 24 33 -9 23
24 Huddersfield 21 5 4 12 19 27 -8 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 11 7 4 0 23 10 +13 25
2 Blackburn 11 8 0 3 18 11 +7 24
3 Millwall 11 7 2 2 17 8 +9 23
4 Reading 11 7 1 3 16 11 +5 22
5 Sheffield United 11 6 3 2 23 11 +12 21
6 Watford 11 6 2 3 17 10 +7 20
7 Norwich 11 5 3 3 18 12 +6 18
8 QPR 11 5 2 4 15 13 +2 17
9 Middlesbrough 11 4 5 2 13 11 +2 17
10 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17
11 Coventry 9 5 1 3 10 6 +4 16
12 Rotherham 11 4 3 4 18 15 +3 15
13 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 13 10 +3 15
14 Birmingham 11 3 5 3 13 10 +3 14
15 Huddersfield 11 4 2 5 10 10 0 14
16 Cardiff 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
17 Luton 11 2 7 2 14 12 +2 13
18 Sunderland 11 3 4 4 14 12 +2 13
19 West Brom 11 3 4 4 14 14 0 13
20 Preston 11 3 4 4 7 11 -4 13
21 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
22 Hull 11 4 0 7 11 20 -9 12
23 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
24 Wigan 11 2 3 6 8 18 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21
2 Sheffield United 11 6 2 3 13 8 +5 20
3 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19
4 Sunderland 11 5 2 4 16 13 +3 17
5 Norwich 11 5 2 4 12 11 +1 17
6 Luton 11 5 2 4 10 12 -2 17
7 Wigan 11 4 3 4 14 14 0 15
8 Birmingham 11 4 3 4 10 10 0 15
9 Watford 11 3 5 3 11 12 -1 14
10 Stoke 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
11 Swansea 11 3 5 3 12 15 -3 14
12 QPR 11 4 2 5 11 14 -3 14
13 Middlesbrough 11 4 1 6 18 16 +2 13
14 West Brom 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13
15 Coventry 11 3 4 4 11 13 -2 13
16 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13
17 Bristol City 11 3 3 5 17 20 -3 12
18 Blackpool 11 3 3 5 12 17 -5 12
19 Blackburn 11 4 0 7 7 15 -8 12
20 Rotherham 11 2 5 4 8 14 -6 11
21 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 10 17 -7 11
22 Reading 11 3 1 7 8 19 -11 10
23 Millwall 11 2 3 6 10 18 -8 9
24 Huddersfield 10 1 2 7 9 17 -8 5

Birmingham   Reading

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 22 9 13 1.4 1.2 8 6 8 31 27 30
2 21 Hull 22 9 13 1.1 1.8 7 4 11 25 39 25
3 8 Reading 22 10 12 1.1 1.4 10 2 10 24 30 32
4 11 Sunderland 22 10 12 1.4 1.1 8 6 8 30 25 30
5 3 Blackburn 22 11 11 1.1 1.2 12 0 10 25 26 36
6 4 Norwich 22 11 11 1.4 1.0 10 5 7 30 23 35
7 9 QPR 22 11 11 1.2 1.2 9 4 9 26 27 31
8 10 Swansea 22 11 11 1.2 1.3 8 7 7 27 29 31
9 16 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 7 6 9 30 30 27
10 23 Blackpool 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 6 5 11 24 33 23
11 1 Burnley 22 12 10 2.0 1.0 12 8 2 43 23 44
12 5 Watford 22 12 10 1.3 1.0 9 7 6 28 22 34
13 18 Rotherham 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 8 8 26 29 26
14 22 Wigan 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 6 6 10 22 32 24
15 7 Millwall 22 13 9 1.2 1.2 9 5 8 27 26 32
16 19 Stoke 22 13 9 1.1 1.3 7 5 10 24 29 26
17 24 Huddersfield 21 12 9 0.9 1.3 5 4 12 19 27 19
18 2 Sheffield United 22 14 8 1.6 0.9 12 5 5 36 19 41
19 14 Birmingham 22 14 8 1.0 0.9 7 8 7 23 20 29
20 20 Cardiff 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 7 4 11 19 27 25
21 6 Preston 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 9 7 6 22 21 34
22 13 Luton 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 7 9 6 24 24 30
23 17 West Brom 21 14 7 1.2 1.2 6 8 7 26 25 26
24 15 Coventry 20 14 6 1.1 0.9 8 5 7 21 19 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 QPR 11 4 7 1.4 1.2 5 2 4 15 13 17
2 21 Hull 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 4 0 7 11 20 12
3 1 Burnley 11 5 6 2.1 0.9 7 4 0 23 10 25
4 2 Sheffield United 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 6 3 2 23 11 21
5 3 Blackburn 11 5 6 1.6 1.0 8 0 3 18 11 24
6 4 Norwich 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 3 18 12 18
7 5 Watford 11 5 6 1.5 0.9 6 2 3 17 10 20
8 8 Reading 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 7 1 3 16 11 22
9 10 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17
10 11 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 4 14 12 13
11 18 Rotherham 11 5 6 1.6 1.4 4 3 4 18 15 15
12 12 Middlesbrough 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 4 5 2 13 11 17
13 14 Birmingham 11 6 5 1.2 0.9 3 5 3 13 10 14
14 19 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
15 23 Blackpool 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
16 7 Millwall 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 17 8 23
17 13 Luton 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 2 7 2 14 12 13
18 16 Bristol City 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 4 13 10 15
19 22 Wigan 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 2 3 6 8 18 9
20 17 West Brom 11 8 3 1.3 1.3 3 4 4 14 14 13
21 20 Cardiff 11 8 3 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
22 24 Huddersfield 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 2 5 10 10 14
23 6 Preston 11 9 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 4 7 11 13
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 5 1 3 10 6 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 1 6 18 16 13
2 16 Bristol City 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 3 3 5 17 20 12
3 8 Reading 11 5 6 0.7 1.7 3 1 7 8 19 10
4 11 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 5 2 4 16 13 17
5 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13
6 22 Wigan 11 5 6 1.3 1.3 4 3 4 14 14 15
7 23 Blackpool 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 17 12
8 24 Huddersfield 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 1 2 7 9 17 5
9 3 Blackburn 11 6 5 0.6 1.4 4 0 7 7 15 12
10 4 Norwich 11 6 5 1.1 1.0 5 2 4 12 11 17
11 6 Preston 11 6 5 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21
12 7 Millwall 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 3 6 10 18 9
13 10 Swansea 11 6 5 1.1 1.4 3 5 3 12 15 14
14 20 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 6 10 17 11
15 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19
16 5 Watford 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 3 5 3 11 12 14
17 9 QPR 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 4 2 5 11 14 14
18 15 Coventry 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 3 4 4 11 13 13
19 17 West Brom 10 6 4 1.2 1.1 3 4 3 12 11 13
20 18 Rotherham 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 2 5 4 8 14 11
21 19 Stoke 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
22 13 Luton 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 5 2 4 10 12 17
23 14 Birmingham 11 8 3 0.9 0.9 4 3 4 10 10 15
24 2 Sheffield United 11 9 2 1.2 0.7 6 2 3 13 8 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38