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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Coote

Reading 2–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 2.06
Draw 3.20 fair 3.84
Away 2.50 fair 3.92
Under 2.5 1.66 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Reading Stoke
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (89 league matches this season so far).
Result Reading to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
ReadingDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 12.3% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Reading before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:10
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:9
Reading all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.43 Goals conceded 1.29
2.43 Total goals 2.29
8.71 Shots 13.43
3.29 Shots on target 4.00
11.71 Shots faced 12.57
5.14 Corners 5.14
3.71 Corners against 6.14
9.71 Fouls 11.29
2.14 Yellow cards 2.29
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.43
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

57% Wins 29%
0% Draws 29%
43% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
14% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 29%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
14% Draws 14%
43% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
29% Over 1.5 goals 14%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading all matches
Stoke all matches
Reading before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:1
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:5
Reading at home away Stoke

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.67
0.33 Goals conceded 1.67
2.33 Total goals 2.33
9.33 Shots 10.00
4.00 Shots on target 3.33
10.00 Shots faced 13.67
4.33 Corners 2.67
4.00 Corners against 7.67
11.00 Fouls 10.33
4.00 Yellow cards 2.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
67% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
33% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Reading at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.22 Sheffield United – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Reading – Blackburn 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Rotherham – Reading 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Blackpool – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
07.05.22 Luton – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.66 2.20
30.04.22 Reading – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.00 1.85
23.04.22 Hull – Reading 3–0 (1–0) 2.623.252.80 2.10 1.72

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
27.08.22 Blackburn – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
13.08.22 Huddersfield – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Stoke – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
07.05.22 Stoke – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.66 2.20
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
23.04.22 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80

Reading at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Reading – Blackburn 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
30.04.22 Reading – West Brom 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.00 1.85
18.04.22 Reading – Swansea 4–4 (1–3) 2.453.253.00 2.00 1.85
09.04.22 Reading – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.373.203.20 2.30 1.61
05.04.22 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.61
19.03.22 Reading – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.202.30 2.10 1.72
05.03.22 Reading – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.252.45 2.20 1.66
22.02.22 Reading – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.95 1.90

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Blackburn – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
13.08.22 Huddersfield – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.30 1.61
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
18.04.22 Blackburn – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 West Brom – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.66
05.04.22 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.61
16.03.22 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.453.303.00 2.37 1.57
12.03.22 Peterboro – Stoke 2–2 (1–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
08.03.22 Barnsley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.25 2.37 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Reading winsDrawsStoke wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.22E1 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.60 2.30 1.61
07.08.21E1 Stoke – Reading 3–2 (2–1) 2.053.253.80 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Norwich 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
2 Sheffield United 7 4 2 1 14 5 +9 14
3 Bristol City 8 4 2 2 16 11 +5 14
4 Burnley 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
5 Watford 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
6 Blackburn 8 4 0 4 9 11 -2 12
7 Reading 7 4 0 3 7 10 -3 12
8 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11
9 QPR 8 3 2 3 12 11 +1 11
10 Preston 8 2 5 1 2 1 +1 11
11 Hull 7 3 2 2 11 13 -2 11
12 Rotherham 7 2 4 1 9 6 +3 10
13 Millwall 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2 10
14 Wigan 7 2 4 1 7 9 -2 10
15 West Brom 8 1 6 1 12 10 +2 9
16 Luton 8 2 3 3 7 8 -1 9
17 Swansea 8 2 3 3 7 11 -4 9
18 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
19 Stoke 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2 8
20 Birmingham 8 2 2 4 5 8 -3 8
21 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 4 8 -4 8
22 Middlesbrough 7 1 3 3 10 12 -2 6
23 Huddersfield 6 1 1 4 7 10 -3 4
24 Coventry 5 0 1 4 5 11 -6 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12
2 Norwich 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
3 Bristol City 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
4 Reading 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
5 Millwall 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
6 Hull 3 3 0 0 7 4 +3 9
7 Watford 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
8 Rotherham 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
9 QPR 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
10 Cardiff 4 2 1 1 3 2 +1 7
11 West Brom 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
12 Burnley 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
13 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 5 5 0 6
14 Sunderland 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
15 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
16 Stoke 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
17 Huddersfield 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
18 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
19 Blackpool 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
20 Swansea 4 1 1 2 3 7 -4 4
21 Preston 4 0 3 1 0 1 -1 3
22 Wigan 4 0 3 1 3 7 -4 3
23 Luton 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2
24 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
2 Burnley 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
3 Wigan 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
4 Luton 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
5 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
6 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
7 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
8 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5
9 Swansea 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
10 Watford 4 0 4 0 3 3 0 4
11 QPR 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
12 Blackpool 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
13 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 1 3 -2 4
14 West Brom 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
15 Stoke 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
16 Reading 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
17 Sheffield United 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Rotherham 3 0 2 1 1 4 -3 2
19 Hull 4 0 2 2 4 9 -5 2
20 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 5 8 -3 1
21 Coventry 4 0 1 3 5 10 -5 1
22 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1
23 Millwall 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
24 Huddersfield 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0

Reading   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Blackburn 8 3 5 1.1 1.4 4 0 4 9 11 12
2 11 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.9 3 2 2 11 13 11
3 22 Middlesbrough 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 1 3 3 10 12 6
4 1 Norwich 8 4 4 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
5 2 Sheffield United 7 3 4 2.0 0.7 4 2 1 14 5 14
6 3 Bristol City 8 4 4 2.0 1.4 4 2 2 16 11 14
7 7 Reading 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 4 0 3 7 10 12
8 8 Sunderland 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11
9 9 QPR 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 3 2 3 12 11 11
10 23 Huddersfield 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 1 4 7 10 4
11 15 West Brom 8 5 3 1.5 1.2 1 6 1 12 10 9
12 17 Swansea 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 3 7 11 9
13 24 Coventry 5 2 3 1.0 2.2 0 1 4 5 11 1
14 4 Burnley 8 6 2 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
15 5 Watford 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
16 12 Rotherham 7 5 2 1.3 0.9 2 4 1 9 6 10
17 13 Millwall 8 6 2 1.1 1.4 3 1 4 9 11 10
18 14 Wigan 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 4 1 7 9 10
19 16 Luton 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 3 3 7 8 9
20 18 Blackpool 7 5 2 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
21 19 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 2 3 7 9 8
22 20 Birmingham 8 6 2 0.6 1.0 2 2 4 5 8 8
23 21 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.0 2 2 4 4 8 8
24 10 Preston 8 8 0 0.2 0.1 2 5 1 2 1 11
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sheffield United 4 1 3 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12
2 11 Hull 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 3 0 0 7 4 9
3 1 Norwich 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
4 5 Watford 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
5 6 Blackburn 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 0 2 5 5 6
6 7 Reading 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
7 8 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
8 9 QPR 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
9 17 Swansea 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 2 3 7 4
10 20 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
11 22 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
12 23 Huddersfield 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
13 3 Bristol City 4 3 1 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
14 4 Burnley 4 3 1 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
15 12 Rotherham 4 3 1 2.0 0.5 2 2 0 8 2 8
16 13 Millwall 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
17 14 Wigan 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 3 1 3 7 3
18 15 West Brom 4 3 1 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
19 16 Luton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2
20 18 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
21 19 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 21 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 2 1 1 3 2 7
23 10 Preston 4 4 0 0.0 0.2 0 3 1 0 1 3
24 24 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bristol City 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5
2 6 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
3 22 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 1 3 5 8 1
4 24 Coventry 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 0 1 3 5 10 1
5 1 Norwich 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
6 7 Reading 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 1 0 3 1 9 3
7 8 Sunderland 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
8 9 QPR 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
9 11 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 2.2 0 2 2 4 9 2
10 15 West Brom 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
11 23 Huddersfield 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
12 2 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
13 4 Burnley 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
14 12 Rotherham 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 1 1 4 2
15 13 Millwall 4 3 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
16 14 Wigan 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
17 16 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
18 17 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
19 18 Blackpool 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
20 19 Stoke 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
21 21 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1
22 5 Watford 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 0 4 0 3 3 4
23 10 Preston 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8
24 20 Birmingham 4 4 0 0.2 0.8 1 1 2 1 3 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51