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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Burnley 2–1 Reading

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.61 fair 1.75
Draw 4.00 fair 4.37
Away 5.50 fair 4.99
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Reading
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
12 Corners 9
7 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (196 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.81 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.1% 1–1 10.9% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.76scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:15
Reading before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.19scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:23
Burnley all matches all matches Reading

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.19
0.88 Goals conceded 1.44
2.65 Total goals 2.63
12.53 Shots 9.63
4.41 Shots on target 3.25
9.59 Shots faced 10.69
5.59 Corners 4.56
4.35 Corners against 4.50
8.71 Fouls 9.94
1.59 Yellow cards 2.00
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

47% Wins 50%
47% Draws 6%
6% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 75%
29% Over 2.5 goals 56%
24% Over 3.5 goals 25%
18% Over 4.5 goals 6%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 38%
29% Clean sheets 31%
6% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 31%
47% Draws 38%
18% Losses 31%
71% Over 0.5 goals 81%
41% Over 1.5 goals 44%
18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Reading all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.88scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 15:7
Reading before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.71scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:14
Burnley at home away Reading

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 0.71
0.88 Goals conceded 2.00
2.75 Total goals 2.71
14.50 Shots 8.00
4.88 Shots on target 2.71
8.38 Shots faced 12.29
7.38 Corners 4.43
3.75 Corners against 3.86
8.50 Fouls 9.71
1.38 Yellow cards 1.29
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

50% Wins 29%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 57%
38% Over 2.5 goals 57%
25% Over 3.5 goals 43%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 29%
38% Clean sheets 29%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 29%
63% Draws 29%
13% Losses 43%
63% Over 0.5 goals 86%
50% Over 1.5 goals 43%
25% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Coventry – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.00 1.85
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Reading – Bristol City 2–0 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Reading – West Brom 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.10 1.72
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83
04.10.22 Reading – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.85 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Reading – Huddersfield 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.60 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Wigan – Reading 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.80 2.20 1.66
14.09.22 Reading – Sunderland 0–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.75 2.10 1.72
04.09.22 Reading – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Sheffield United – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Burnley – Blackpool 3–3 (3–1) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burnley – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.006.50 2.05 1.80
06.08.22 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85
22.05.22E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.94 1.96
07.05.22E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
07.10.22 QPR – Reading 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.403.80 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Wigan – Reading 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.80 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Sheffield United – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.80 2.00
27.08.22 Millwall – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.75 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Rotherham – Reading 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72
30.07.22 Blackpool – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
07.05.22 Luton – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Hull – Reading 3–0 (1–0) 2.623.252.80 2.10 1.72
15.04.22 Sheffield United – Reading 1–2 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 17 8 8 1 30 15 +15 32
2 QPR 17 9 3 5 25 19 +6 30
3 Blackburn 17 10 0 7 22 18 +4 30
4 Sheffield United 17 8 5 4 28 16 +12 29
5 Swansea 17 8 4 5 23 23 0 28
6 Millwall 16 8 2 6 22 19 +3 26
7 Norwich 17 7 4 6 23 19 +4 25
8 Reading 16 8 1 7 19 23 -4 25
9 Luton 16 6 6 4 20 18 +2 24
10 Watford 16 6 5 5 23 20 +3 23
11 Birmingham 17 6 5 6 18 15 +3 23
12 Rotherham 16 5 7 4 20 19 +1 22
13 Bristol City 18 6 4 8 26 27 -1 22
14 Preston 17 5 7 5 11 14 -3 22
15 Sunderland 16 5 5 6 21 20 +1 20
16 Hull 16 6 2 8 20 31 -11 20
17 Stoke 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
18 Blackpool 16 5 4 7 21 25 -4 19
19 Wigan 16 5 4 7 17 24 -7 19
20 Cardiff 16 5 3 8 12 19 -7 18
21 Middlesbrough 16 4 5 7 19 21 -2 17
22 Coventry 14 4 5 5 14 16 -2 17
23 West Brom 17 2 8 7 20 24 -4 14
24 Huddersfield 15 3 3 9 16 22 -6 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
2 Millwall 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
3 Reading 9 6 1 2 14 9 +5 19
4 QPR 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
5 Burnley 8 4 4 0 15 7 +8 16
6 Watford 8 5 1 2 15 9 +6 16
7 Swansea 9 5 1 3 13 11 +2 16
8 Sheffield United 8 4 3 1 17 8 +9 15
9 Rotherham 9 4 3 2 16 10 +6 15
10 Norwich 8 4 2 2 14 9 +5 14
11 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
12 Middlesbrough 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
13 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 10 6 +4 12
14 Hull 8 4 0 4 9 14 -5 12
15 Cardiff 7 3 2 2 5 4 +1 11
16 Luton 8 2 4 2 12 10 +2 10
17 Sunderland 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10
18 Huddersfield 8 3 1 4 9 8 +1 10
19 Blackpool 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
20 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
21 Coventry 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7
22 West Brom 9 1 4 4 11 14 -3 7
23 Preston 8 1 4 3 2 6 -4 7
24 Wigan 8 1 3 4 6 15 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 9 4 4 1 15 8 +7 16
2 Preston 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
3 Sheffield United 9 4 2 3 11 8 +3 14
4 Luton 8 4 2 2 8 8 0 14
5 Wigan 8 4 1 3 11 9 +2 13
6 QPR 9 4 1 4 11 12 -1 13
7 Swansea 8 3 3 2 10 12 -2 12
8 Stoke 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
9 Norwich 9 3 2 4 9 10 -1 11
10 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 8 9 -1 11
11 Sunderland 8 3 1 4 11 11 0 10
12 Coventry 9 2 4 3 10 12 -2 10
13 Blackpool 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
14 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 6 11 -5 9
15 Bristol City 9 2 2 5 13 18 -5 8
16 Hull 8 2 2 4 11 17 -6 8
17 West Brom 8 1 4 3 9 10 -1 7
18 Watford 8 1 4 3 8 11 -3 7
19 Rotherham 7 1 4 2 4 9 -5 7
20 Cardiff 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
21 Reading 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
22 Millwall 7 1 2 4 6 12 -6 5
23 Middlesbrough 7 1 1 5 9 12 -3 4
24 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 7 14 -7 2

Burnley   Reading

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bristol City 18 8 10 1.4 1.5 6 4 8 26 27 22
2 16 Hull 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 6 2 8 20 31 20
3 2 QPR 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 9 3 5 25 19 30
4 3 Blackburn 17 8 9 1.3 1.1 10 0 7 22 18 30
5 5 Swansea 17 8 9 1.4 1.4 8 4 5 23 23 28
6 8 Reading 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 8 1 7 19 23 25
7 10 Watford 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 23 20 23
8 15 Sunderland 16 7 9 1.3 1.2 5 5 6 21 20 20
9 7 Norwich 17 9 8 1.4 1.1 7 4 6 23 19 25
10 18 Blackpool 16 8 8 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 25 19
11 19 Wigan 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 7 17 24 19
12 21 Middlesbrough 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 7 19 21 17
13 24 Huddersfield 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 3 3 9 16 22 12
14 4 Sheffield United 17 10 7 1.6 0.9 8 5 4 28 16 29
15 6 Millwall 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 8 2 6 22 19 26
16 12 Rotherham 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 19 22
17 9 Luton 16 10 6 1.2 1.1 6 6 4 20 18 24
18 17 Stoke 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
19 23 West Brom 17 11 6 1.2 1.4 2 8 7 20 24 14
20 1 Burnley 17 12 5 1.8 0.9 8 8 1 30 15 32
21 11 Birmingham 17 12 5 1.1 0.9 6 5 6 18 15 23
22 20 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.8 1.2 5 3 8 12 19 18
23 22 Coventry 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 4 5 5 14 16 17
24 14 Preston 17 14 3 0.6 0.8 5 7 5 11 14 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 8 2 6 1.9 1.1 5 1 2 15 9 16
2 2 QPR 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
3 3 Blackburn 9 4 5 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
4 4 Sheffield United 8 3 5 2.1 1.0 4 3 1 17 8 15
5 5 Swansea 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 5 1 3 13 11 16
6 8 Reading 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 6 1 2 14 9 19
7 16 Hull 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 4 0 4 9 14 12
8 6 Millwall 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
9 7 Norwich 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 2 2 14 9 14
10 9 Luton 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 4 2 12 10 10
11 12 Rotherham 9 5 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 2 16 10 15
12 13 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
13 15 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10
14 18 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
15 21 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
16 1 Burnley 8 5 3 1.9 0.9 4 4 0 15 7 16
17 11 Birmingham 8 5 3 1.2 0.8 3 3 2 10 6 12
18 17 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
19 19 Wigan 8 5 3 0.8 1.9 1 3 4 6 15 6
20 23 West Brom 9 6 3 1.2 1.6 1 4 4 11 14 7
21 24 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 1 4 9 8 10
22 20 Cardiff 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 3 2 2 5 4 11
23 22 Coventry 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7
24 14 Preston 8 8 0 0.2 0.8 1 4 3 2 6 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bristol City 9 3 6 1.4 2.0 2 2 5 13 18 8
2 15 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 3 1 4 11 11 10
3 16 Hull 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 2 2 4 11 17 8
4 19 Wigan 8 3 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 3 11 9 13
5 24 Huddersfield 7 2 5 1.0 2.0 0 2 5 7 14 2
6 2 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 4 1 4 11 12 13
7 3 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 3 0 5 6 11 9
8 5 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 3 3 2 10 12 12
9 7 Norwich 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 2 4 9 10 11
10 8 Reading 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
11 18 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
12 20 Cardiff 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
13 21 Middlesbrough 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 1 5 9 12 4
14 22 Coventry 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 2 4 3 10 12 10
15 6 Millwall 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 1 2 4 6 12 5
16 10 Watford 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 4 3 8 11 7
17 12 Rotherham 7 4 3 0.6 1.3 1 4 2 4 9 7
18 14 Preston 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
19 17 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
20 23 West Brom 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 1 4 3 9 10 7
21 1 Burnley 9 7 2 1.7 0.9 4 4 1 15 8 16
22 4 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 4 2 3 11 8 14
23 9 Luton 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 4 2 2 8 8 14
24 11 Birmingham 9 7 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 4 8 9 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51