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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Harrington

Burnley 1–0 Norwich

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.04
Draw 3.40 fair 4.03
Away 3.50 fair 3.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Norwich
17 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 4
10 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (192 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.81scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:15
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:18
Burnley all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.44
0.94 Goals conceded 1.13
2.75 Total goals 2.56
12.25 Shots 14.38
4.56 Shots on target 4.94
9.88 Shots faced 11.25
5.63 Corners 7.13
4.38 Corners against 3.63
8.63 Fouls 7.94
1.50 Yellow cards 1.31
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

44% Wins 44%
50% Draws 25%
6% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 75%
31% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 19%
19% Over 4.5 goals 13%
19% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 63%
25% Clean sheets 25%
6% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
44% Draws 44%
19% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
44% Over 1.5 goals 38%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Norwich all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
1.86points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:7
Norwich before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:9
Burnley at home away Norwich

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded 1.13
3.00 Total goals 2.25
14.14 Shots 12.63
5.29 Shots on target 4.75
8.86 Shots faced 13.75
7.71 Corners 8.38
3.71 Corners against 4.50
8.29 Fouls 7.13
1.14 Yellow cards 1.75
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

43% Wins 38%
57% Draws 25%
0% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 63%
43% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 13%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 63%
29% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 25%
57% Draws 50%
14% Losses 25%
71% Over 0.5 goals 50%
57% Over 1.5 goals 25%
29% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Coventry – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.00 1.85
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Sheffield United – Norwich 2–2 (0–2) 2.303.303.25 1.93 1.93
18.10.22 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85
15.10.22 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 Norwich – Preston 2–3 (1–1) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
04.10.22 Reading – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.85 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Blackpool – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.93 1.93
17.09.22 Norwich – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.83 2.02
14.09.22 Norwich – Bristol City 3–2 (2–1) 1.654.005.25 1.72 2.10
03.09.22 Norwich – Coventry 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 2.00 1.85
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Burnley – Blackpool 3–3 (3–1) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burnley – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.006.50 2.05 1.80
06.08.22 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85
22.05.22E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.94 1.96
07.05.22E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
24.04.22E0 Burnley – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.37 1.57

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Sheffield United – Norwich 2–2 (0–2) 2.303.303.25 1.93 1.93
15.10.22 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
04.10.22 Reading – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.85 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Blackpool – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.93 1.93
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Sunderland – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.30 1.98 1.88
13.08.22 Hull – Norwich 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.00 1.80
30.07.22 Cardiff – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.72
15.05.22E0 Wolves – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.756.50 1.86 2.04
11.05.22E0 Leicester – Norwich 3–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.61 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsNorwich wins
2matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.22E0 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
02.10.21E0 Burnley – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 QPR 16 9 3 4 25 17 +8 30
2 Blackburn 17 10 0 7 22 18 +4 30
3 Burnley 16 7 8 1 29 15 +14 29
4 Swansea 16 8 3 5 22 22 0 27
5 Sheffield United 16 7 5 4 26 16 +10 26
6 Millwall 16 8 2 6 22 19 +3 26
7 Norwich 16 7 4 5 23 18 +5 25
8 Reading 16 8 1 7 19 23 -4 25
9 Luton 16 6 6 4 20 18 +2 24
10 Watford 16 6 5 5 23 20 +3 23
11 Rotherham 16 5 7 4 20 19 +1 22
12 Preston 17 5 7 5 11 14 -3 22
13 Bristol City 17 6 3 8 25 26 -1 21
14 Sunderland 16 5 5 6 21 20 +1 20
15 Birmingham 16 5 5 6 16 15 +1 20
16 Hull 16 6 2 8 20 31 -11 20
17 Stoke 16 5 4 7 17 20 -3 19
18 Blackpool 16 5 4 7 21 25 -4 19
19 Wigan 16 5 4 7 17 24 -7 19
20 Cardiff 16 5 3 8 12 19 -7 18
21 Middlesbrough 16 4 5 7 19 21 -2 17
22 Coventry 14 4 5 5 14 16 -2 17
23 West Brom 16 2 8 6 20 22 -2 14
24 Huddersfield 15 3 3 9 16 22 -6 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
2 Millwall 9 7 0 2 16 7 +9 21
3 Reading 9 6 1 2 14 9 +5 19
4 QPR 8 5 2 1 14 7 +7 17
5 Watford 8 5 1 2 15 9 +6 16
6 Swansea 9 5 1 3 13 11 +2 16
7 Sheffield United 8 4 3 1 17 8 +9 15
8 Rotherham 9 4 3 2 16 10 +6 15
9 Norwich 8 4 2 2 14 9 +5 14
10 Burnley 7 3 4 0 14 7 +7 13
11 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 12 8 +4 13
12 Middlesbrough 9 3 4 2 10 9 +1 13
13 Hull 8 4 0 4 9 14 -5 12
14 Cardiff 7 3 2 2 5 4 +1 11
15 Luton 8 2 4 2 12 10 +2 10
16 Sunderland 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10
17 Huddersfield 8 3 1 4 9 8 +1 10
18 Blackpool 8 3 1 4 12 12 0 10
19 Birmingham 7 2 3 2 8 6 +2 9
20 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
21 Coventry 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7
22 West Brom 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
23 Preston 8 1 4 3 2 6 -4 7
24 Wigan 8 1 3 4 6 15 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 9 4 4 1 15 8 +7 16
2 Preston 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
3 Luton 8 4 2 2 8 8 0 14
4 Wigan 8 4 1 3 11 9 +2 13
5 QPR 8 4 1 3 11 10 +1 13
6 Sheffield United 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
7 Stoke 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
8 Norwich 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
9 Birmingham 9 3 2 4 8 9 -1 11
10 Swansea 7 3 2 2 9 11 -2 11
11 Sunderland 8 3 1 4 11 11 0 10
12 Coventry 9 2 4 3 10 12 -2 10
13 Blackpool 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
14 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 6 11 -5 9
15 Bristol City 9 2 2 5 13 18 -5 8
16 Hull 8 2 2 4 11 17 -6 8
17 West Brom 8 1 4 3 9 10 -1 7
18 Watford 8 1 4 3 8 11 -3 7
19 Rotherham 7 1 4 2 4 9 -5 7
20 Cardiff 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
21 Reading 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
22 Millwall 7 1 2 4 6 12 -6 5
23 Middlesbrough 7 1 1 5 9 12 -3 4
24 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 7 14 -7 2

Burnley   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bristol City 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 6 3 8 25 26 21
2 16 Hull 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 6 2 8 20 31 20
3 1 QPR 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 9 3 4 25 17 30
4 2 Blackburn 17 8 9 1.3 1.1 10 0 7 22 18 30
5 4 Swansea 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 8 3 5 22 22 27
6 8 Reading 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 8 1 7 19 23 25
7 10 Watford 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 23 20 23
8 14 Sunderland 16 7 9 1.3 1.2 5 5 6 21 20 20
9 7 Norwich 16 8 8 1.4 1.1 7 4 5 23 18 25
10 18 Blackpool 16 8 8 1.3 1.6 5 4 7 21 25 19
11 19 Wigan 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 5 4 7 17 24 19
12 21 Middlesbrough 16 8 8 1.2 1.3 4 5 7 19 21 17
13 24 Huddersfield 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 3 3 9 16 22 12
14 5 Sheffield United 16 9 7 1.6 1.0 7 5 4 26 16 26
15 6 Millwall 16 9 7 1.4 1.2 8 2 6 22 19 26
16 11 Rotherham 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 19 22
17 9 Luton 16 10 6 1.2 1.1 6 6 4 20 18 24
18 17 Stoke 16 10 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 7 17 20 19
19 23 West Brom 16 10 6 1.2 1.4 2 8 6 20 22 14
20 3 Burnley 16 11 5 1.8 0.9 7 8 1 29 15 29
21 15 Birmingham 16 11 5 1.0 0.9 5 5 6 16 15 20
22 20 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.8 1.2 5 3 8 12 19 18
23 22 Coventry 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 4 5 5 14 16 17
24 12 Preston 17 14 3 0.6 0.8 5 7 5 11 14 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 8 2 6 1.9 1.1 5 1 2 15 9 16
2 1 QPR 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 1 14 7 17
3 2 Blackburn 9 4 5 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
4 4 Swansea 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 5 1 3 13 11 16
5 5 Sheffield United 8 3 5 2.1 1.0 4 3 1 17 8 15
6 8 Reading 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 6 1 2 14 9 19
7 16 Hull 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 4 0 4 9 14 12
8 6 Millwall 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 7 0 2 16 7 21
9 7 Norwich 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 2 2 14 9 14
10 9 Luton 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 4 2 12 10 10
11 11 Rotherham 9 5 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 2 16 10 15
12 13 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 4 1 3 12 8 13
13 14 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10
14 18 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.5 1.5 3 1 4 12 12 10
15 21 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 4 2 10 9 13
16 3 Burnley 7 4 3 2.0 1.0 3 4 0 14 7 13
17 15 Birmingham 7 4 3 1.1 0.9 2 3 2 8 6 9
18 17 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
19 19 Wigan 8 5 3 0.8 1.9 1 3 4 6 15 6
20 23 West Brom 8 5 3 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
21 24 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 1 4 9 8 10
22 20 Cardiff 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 3 2 2 5 4 11
23 22 Coventry 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7
24 12 Preston 8 8 0 0.2 0.8 1 4 3 2 6 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bristol City 9 3 6 1.4 2.0 2 2 5 13 18 8
2 14 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 3 1 4 11 11 10
3 16 Hull 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 2 2 4 11 17 8
4 19 Wigan 8 3 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 3 11 9 13
5 24 Huddersfield 7 2 5 1.0 2.0 0 2 5 7 14 2
6 1 QPR 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 4 1 3 11 10 13
7 2 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 3 0 5 6 11 9
8 4 Swansea 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 3 2 2 9 11 11
9 7 Norwich 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 3 2 3 9 9 11
10 8 Reading 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
11 18 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
12 20 Cardiff 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
13 21 Middlesbrough 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 1 5 9 12 4
14 22 Coventry 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 2 4 3 10 12 10
15 6 Millwall 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 1 2 4 6 12 5
16 10 Watford 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 1 4 3 8 11 7
17 11 Rotherham 7 4 3 0.6 1.3 1 4 2 4 9 7
18 12 Preston 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
19 17 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
20 23 West Brom 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 1 4 3 9 10 7
21 3 Burnley 9 7 2 1.7 0.9 4 4 1 15 8 16
22 5 Sheffield United 8 6 2 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
23 9 Luton 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 4 2 2 8 8 14
24 15 Birmingham 9 7 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 4 8 9 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51