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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Birmingham 1–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.60 fair 2.76
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.54
Away 2.10 fair 2.81
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.69
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Burnley
14 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 4
13 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (173 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 11.5% 0–1 11.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:12
Burnley before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.71scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:12
Birmingham all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.71
0.86 Goals conceded 0.86
1.86 Total goals 2.57
10.07 Shots 12.71
3.29 Shots on target 4.86
12.71 Shots faced 9.57
4.93 Corners 5.79
5.50 Corners against 4.29
12.21 Fouls 8.36
2.14 Yellow cards 1.36
0.57 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

36% Wins 43%
29% Draws 50%
36% Losses 7%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 79%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%
7% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
36% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 29%
43% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 43%
43% Draws 43%
21% Losses 14%
64% Over 0.5 goals 79%
21% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Burnley all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.17scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:5
Burnley before this match, away
1.71points / match
1.43scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:5
Birmingham at home away Burnley

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.43
0.83 Goals conceded 0.71
2.00 Total goals 2.14
11.67 Shots 11.29
4.17 Shots on target 4.43
10.33 Shots faced 10.29
5.83 Corners 3.86
5.17 Corners against 4.86
12.83 Fouls 8.43
1.67 Yellow cards 1.57
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

33% Wins 43%
33% Draws 43%
33% Losses 14%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 14%
0% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
50% Both teams scored 57%
33% Clean sheets 29%
33% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 57%
50% Draws 29%
0% Losses 14%
50% Over 0.5 goals 86%
33% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22 Hull – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.10.22 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
01.10.22 Sheffield United – Birmingham 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.83 2.02
17.09.22 Birmingham – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.00 1.80
14.09.22 West Brom – Birmingham 2–3 (1–1) 1.444.338.00 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.75 2.20 1.66
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85
27.08.22 Rotherham – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Birmingham – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 2.20 1.66

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.10.22 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Coventry – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.00 1.85
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Wigan – Burnley 1–5 (1–2) 3.253.102.37 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Burnley – Blackpool 3–3 (3–1) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90
17.09.22 Birmingham – Coventry 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.00 1.80
30.08.22 Birmingham – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Birmingham – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
05.08.22 Birmingham – Huddersfield 2–1 (2–0) 2.373.253.10 2.20 1.66
07.05.22 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.502.40 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
15.04.22 Birmingham – Coventry 2–4 (2–2) 3.103.502.20 2.02 1.83
03.04.22 Birmingham – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.72

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22 Coventry – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Wigan – Burnley 1–5 (1–2) 3.253.102.37 2.20 1.66
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
29.07.22 Huddersfield – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
19.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22E0 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.37
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 16 9 0 7 20 17 +3 27
2 Burnley 14 6 7 1 24 12 +12 25
3 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 24 13 +11 25
4 Luton 15 6 6 3 20 14 +6 24
5 Norwich 15 7 3 5 21 16 +5 24
6 QPR 14 7 3 4 20 16 +4 24
7 Swansea 15 7 3 5 20 22 -2 24
8 Preston 16 5 7 4 9 10 -1 22
9 Reading 15 7 1 7 17 23 -6 22
10 Rotherham 14 5 6 3 16 13 +3 21
11 Bristol City 16 6 3 7 25 24 +1 21
12 Sunderland 15 5 5 5 19 16 +3 20
13 Watford 14 5 5 4 19 17 +2 20
14 Millwall 14 6 2 6 17 18 -1 20
15 Birmingham 14 5 4 5 14 12 +2 19
16 Stoke 15 5 4 6 17 18 -1 19
17 Wigan 14 5 4 5 15 18 -3 19
18 Cardiff 14 5 3 6 12 14 -2 18
19 Blackpool 14 4 4 6 16 20 -4 16
20 West Brom 15 2 8 5 19 20 -1 14
21 Hull 14 4 2 8 13 28 -15 14
22 Middlesbrough 14 3 4 7 15 20 -5 13
23 Huddersfield 14 3 2 9 16 22 -6 11
24 Coventry 11 2 4 5 9 14 -5 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 8 6 0 2 14 6 +8 18
2 Reading 8 5 1 2 12 9 +3 16
3 Rotherham 8 4 3 1 14 6 +8 15
4 Millwall 7 5 0 2 11 6 +5 15
5 Sheffield United 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
6 Norwich 8 4 2 2 14 9 +5 14
7 Burnley 7 3 4 0 14 7 +7 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 12 8 +4 13
9 Watford 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
10 Swansea 8 4 1 3 11 11 0 13
11 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
12 Hull 8 4 0 4 9 14 -5 12
13 QPR 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
14 Cardiff 7 3 2 2 5 4 +1 11
15 Sunderland 7 2 4 1 8 5 +3 10
16 Luton 8 2 4 2 12 10 +2 10
17 Huddersfield 8 3 1 4 9 8 +1 10
18 Birmingham 6 2 2 2 7 5 +2 8
19 Stoke 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
20 Blackpool 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
21 West Brom 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
22 Preston 8 1 4 3 2 6 -4 7
23 Wigan 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
24 Coventry 3 1 0 2 1 2 -1 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 8 4 3 1 7 4 +3 15
2 Luton 7 4 2 1 8 4 +4 14
3 Wigan 7 4 1 2 10 7 +3 13
4 QPR 8 4 1 3 11 10 +1 13
5 Burnley 7 3 3 1 10 5 +5 12
6 Sheffield United 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11
7 Stoke 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
8 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 7 7 0 11
9 Swansea 7 3 2 2 9 11 -2 11
10 Sunderland 8 3 1 4 11 11 0 10
11 Norwich 7 3 1 3 7 7 0 10
12 Blackpool 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
13 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 6 11 -5 9
14 Bristol City 8 2 2 4 13 16 -3 8
15 Watford 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
16 West Brom 7 1 4 2 8 8 0 7
17 Cardiff 7 2 1 4 7 10 -3 7
18 Coventry 8 1 4 3 8 12 -4 7
19 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 2 7 -5 6
20 Reading 7 2 0 5 5 14 -9 6
21 Millwall 7 1 2 4 6 12 -6 5
22 Hull 6 0 2 4 4 14 -10 2
23 Middlesbrough 6 0 1 5 5 11 -6 1
24 Huddersfield 6 0 1 5 7 14 -7 1

Birmingham   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 16 6 10 1.6 1.5 6 3 7 25 24 21
2 7 Swansea 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 7 3 5 20 22 24
3 9 Reading 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 7 1 7 17 23 22
4 1 Blackburn 16 8 8 1.2 1.1 9 0 7 20 17 27
5 12 Sunderland 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 5 5 5 19 16 20
6 21 Hull 14 6 8 0.9 2.0 4 2 8 13 28 14
7 23 Huddersfield 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 3 2 9 16 22 11
8 5 Norwich 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 7 3 5 21 16 24
9 6 QPR 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 7 3 4 20 16 24
10 13 Watford 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 4 19 17 20
11 22 Middlesbrough 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 3 4 7 15 20 13
12 3 Sheffield United 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 7 4 3 24 13 25
13 16 Stoke 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 6 17 18 19
14 17 Wigan 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 4 5 15 18 19
15 19 Blackpool 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 6 16 20 16
16 4 Luton 15 10 5 1.3 0.9 6 6 3 20 14 24
17 10 Rotherham 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 5 6 3 16 13 21
18 14 Millwall 14 9 5 1.2 1.3 6 2 6 17 18 20
19 20 West Brom 15 10 5 1.3 1.3 2 8 5 19 20 14
20 2 Burnley 14 10 4 1.7 0.9 6 7 1 24 12 25
21 15 Birmingham 14 10 4 1.0 0.9 5 4 5 14 12 19
22 18 Cardiff 14 10 4 0.9 1.0 5 3 6 12 14 18
23 24 Coventry 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 2 4 5 9 14 10
24 8 Preston 16 14 2 0.6 0.6 5 7 4 9 10 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Swansea 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 4 1 3 11 11 13
2 9 Reading 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 5 1 2 12 9 16
3 13 Watford 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
4 21 Hull 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 4 0 4 9 14 12
5 1 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.8 0.8 6 0 2 14 6 18
6 3 Sheffield United 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
7 4 Luton 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 4 2 12 10 10
8 5 Norwich 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 2 2 14 9 14
9 11 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.5 1.0 4 1 3 12 8 13
10 22 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
11 2 Burnley 7 4 3 2.0 1.0 3 4 0 14 7 13
12 6 QPR 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
13 10 Rotherham 8 5 3 1.8 0.8 4 3 1 14 6 15
14 12 Sunderland 7 4 3 1.1 0.7 2 4 1 8 5 10
15 15 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.2 0.8 2 2 2 7 5 8
16 16 Stoke 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
17 20 West Brom 8 5 3 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
18 23 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 1 4 9 8 10
19 14 Millwall 7 5 2 1.6 0.9 5 0 2 11 6 15
20 17 Wigan 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
21 19 Blackpool 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
22 18 Cardiff 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 3 2 2 5 4 11
23 8 Preston 8 8 0 0.2 0.8 1 4 3 2 6 7
24 24 Coventry 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 0 2 1 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Bristol City 8 2 6 1.6 2.0 2 2 4 13 16 8
2 12 Sunderland 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 3 1 4 11 11 10
3 23 Huddersfield 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 0 1 5 7 14 1
4 1 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.8 1.4 3 0 5 6 11 9
5 6 QPR 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 4 1 3 11 10 13
6 7 Swansea 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 3 2 2 9 11 11
7 9 Reading 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 2 0 5 5 14 6
8 17 Wigan 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 4 1 2 10 7 13
9 19 Blackpool 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
10 24 Coventry 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 1 4 3 8 12 7
11 5 Norwich 7 4 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 3 7 7 10
12 14 Millwall 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 1 2 4 6 12 5
13 16 Stoke 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
14 18 Cardiff 7 4 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 4 7 10 7
15 21 Hull 6 3 3 0.7 2.3 0 2 4 4 14 2
16 22 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 5 5 11 1
17 3 Sheffield United 7 5 2 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11
18 8 Preston 8 6 2 0.9 0.5 4 3 1 7 4 15
19 10 Rotherham 6 4 2 0.3 1.2 1 3 2 2 7 6
20 13 Watford 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
21 20 West Brom 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 1 4 2 8 8 7
22 2 Burnley 7 6 1 1.4 0.7 3 3 1 10 5 12
23 4 Luton 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 1 8 4 14
24 15 Birmingham 8 7 1 0.9 0.9 3 2 3 7 7 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51