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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Cardiff 1–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.00 fair 2.77
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 3.56
Away 2.45 fair 2.79
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.41

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cardiff Burnley
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 1
9 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (118 league matches this season so far).
Result Cardiff to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
CardiffDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.2% 1–0 11.3% 0–1 11.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.70scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:11
Burnley before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.70scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:10
Cardiff all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

0.70 Goals scored 1.70
1.10 Goals conceded 1.00
1.80 Total goals 2.70
10.60 Shots 13.40
2.60 Shots on target 5.10
10.00 Shots faced 10.40
4.00 Corners 5.30
4.40 Corners against 4.10
10.40 Fouls 9.00
1.70 Yellow cards 1.30
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

30% Wins 40%
20% Draws 50%
50% Losses 10%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 80%
30% Over 2.5 goals 30%
10% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
30% Both teams scored 70%
40% Clean sheets 20%
50% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
50% Over 0.5 goals 90%
20% Over 1.5 goals 50%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches
Burnley all matches
Cardiff before this match, at home
1.75points / match
0.75scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:2
Burnley before this match, away
1.60points / match
1.60scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:4
Cardiff at home away Burnley

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.60
0.50 Goals conceded 0.80
1.25 Total goals 2.40
14.50 Shots 11.60
3.25 Shots on target 5.00
7.50 Shots faced 10.80
4.00 Corners 3.80
3.25 Corners against 4.60
9.75 Fouls 9.20
1.25 Yellow cards 1.60
0.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 40%
25% Draws 40%
25% Losses 20%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 60%
25% Over 2.5 goals 20%
0% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
25% Both teams scored 60%
75% Clean sheets 20%
25% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 60%
75% Draws 20%
0% Losses 20%
25% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Huddersfield – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.66
13.09.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
03.09.22 Millwall – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.53
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
27.08.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.87 2.50 1.53
21.08.22 Bristol City – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90
17.08.22 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Reading – Cardiff 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Cardiff – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.72

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.22 Burnley – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.805.25 1.66 2.20
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83
30.08.22 Burnley – Millwall 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.304.75 2.20 1.66
27.08.22 Wigan – Burnley 1–5 (1–2) 3.253.102.37 2.20 1.66
20.08.22 Burnley – Blackpool 3–3 (3–1) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burnley – Hull 1–1 (1–1) 1.534.006.50 2.05 1.80
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85
29.07.22 Huddersfield – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66

Cardiff at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
27.08.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.002.87 2.50 1.53
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Cardiff – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.72
30.04.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
18.04.22 Cardiff – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.873.102.62 2.20 1.66
02.04.22 Cardiff – Swansea 0–4 (0–1) 2.303.203.30 2.30 1.61
16.03.22 Cardiff – Stoke 2–1 (2–1) 2.453.303.00 2.37 1.57
12.03.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.62 1.50
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Wigan – Burnley 1–5 (1–2) 3.253.102.37 2.20 1.66
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
29.07.22 Huddersfield – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
19.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22E0 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.37
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
17.04.22E0 West Ham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.95 1.95
10.04.22E0 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 10 7 2 1 19 5 +14 23
2 Norwich 10 6 2 2 16 9 +7 20
3 Reading 10 6 0 4 10 14 -4 18
4 Burnley 10 4 5 1 17 10 +7 17
5 Luton 11 4 4 3 13 10 +3 16
6 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 16 11 +5 15
7 QPR 10 4 3 3 14 11 +3 15
8 Blackburn 10 5 0 5 11 13 -2 15
9 Rotherham 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14
10 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 19 16 +3 14
11 Watford 10 3 5 2 11 11 0 14
12 Wigan 9 3 4 2 9 11 -2 13
13 Millwall 10 4 1 5 11 14 -3 13
14 Stoke 10 3 3 4 11 11 0 12
15 Preston 10 2 6 2 3 4 -1 12
16 Swansea 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
17 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
18 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 7 11 -4 11
19 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 11 23 -12 11
21 West Brom 10 1 7 2 15 14 +1 10
22 Middlesbrough 10 2 4 4 13 15 -2 10
23 Huddersfield 9 2 1 6 9 13 -4 7
24 Coventry 7 0 3 4 7 13 -6 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Norwich 6 4 2 0 12 5 +7 14
2 Sheffield United 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12
3 Millwall 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12
4 Reading 5 4 0 1 8 5 +3 12
5 Rotherham 5 3 2 0 11 2 +9 11
6 Watford 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
7 Bristol City 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
8 Burnley 5 2 3 0 9 6 +3 9
9 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 7 5 +2 9
10 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 8 7 +1 9
11 Hull 6 3 0 3 7 11 -4 9
12 QPR 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
13 Cardiff 4 2 1 1 3 2 +1 7
14 Huddersfield 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
15 Swansea 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
16 West Brom 5 1 3 1 9 7 +2 6
17 Luton 6 1 3 2 6 6 0 6
18 Sunderland 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
19 Stoke 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
20 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
21 Blackpool 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
22 Preston 6 0 4 2 1 4 -3 4
23 Wigan 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
24 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
2 Sunderland 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
3 Luton 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
4 Wigan 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
5 Burnley 5 2 2 1 8 4 +4 8
6 Preston 4 2 2 0 2 0 +2 8
7 QPR 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
8 Stoke 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7
9 Birmingham 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
10 Blackpool 6 2 1 3 6 10 -4 7
11 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
12 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 4 8 -4 6
13 Reading 5 2 0 3 2 9 -7 6
14 Swansea 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
15 Bristol City 6 1 2 3 11 13 -2 5
16 West Brom 5 0 4 1 6 7 -1 4
17 Watford 5 0 4 1 3 5 -2 4
18 Cardiff 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
19 Rotherham 4 0 3 1 1 4 -3 3
20 Coventry 6 0 3 3 7 12 -5 3
21 Hull 5 0 2 3 4 12 -8 2
22 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 5 8 -3 1
23 Millwall 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
24 Huddersfield 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0

Cardiff   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Hull 11 4 7 1.0 2.1 3 2 6 11 23 11
2 3 Reading 10 4 6 1.0 1.4 6 0 4 10 14 18
3 6 Sunderland 10 4 6 1.6 1.1 4 3 3 16 11 15
4 10 Bristol City 10 4 6 1.9 1.6 4 2 4 19 16 14
5 22 Middlesbrough 10 4 6 1.3 1.5 2 4 4 13 15 10
6 2 Norwich 10 5 5 1.6 0.9 6 2 2 16 9 20
7 8 Blackburn 10 5 5 1.1 1.3 5 0 5 11 13 15
8 23 Huddersfield 9 4 5 1.0 1.4 2 1 6 9 13 7
9 1 Sheffield United 10 6 4 1.9 0.5 7 2 1 19 5 23
10 7 QPR 10 6 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 3 14 11 15
11 14 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 3 3 4 11 11 12
12 16 Swansea 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
13 19 Blackpool 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
14 21 West Brom 10 6 4 1.5 1.4 1 7 2 15 14 10
15 24 Coventry 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 0 3 4 7 13 3
16 4 Burnley 10 7 3 1.7 1.0 4 5 1 17 10 17
17 5 Luton 11 8 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 3 13 10 16
18 9 Rotherham 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14
19 11 Watford 10 7 3 1.1 1.1 3 5 2 11 11 14
20 12 Wigan 9 6 3 1.0 1.2 3 4 2 9 11 13
21 13 Millwall 10 7 3 1.1 1.4 4 1 5 11 14 13
22 17 Birmingham 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12
23 18 Cardiff 10 7 3 0.7 1.1 3 2 5 7 11 11
24 15 Preston 10 10 0 0.3 0.4 2 6 2 3 4 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Reading 5 1 4 1.6 1.0 4 0 1 8 5 12
2 20 Hull 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 3 0 3 7 11 9
3 1 Sheffield United 4 1 3 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12
4 2 Norwich 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 2 0 12 5 14
5 11 Watford 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
6 16 Swansea 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
7 22 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 2 3 1 8 7 9
8 23 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
9 4 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 1.2 2 3 0 9 6 9
10 5 Luton 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 1 3 2 6 6 6
11 6 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
12 7 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
13 8 Blackburn 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 0 2 7 5 9
14 9 Rotherham 5 3 2 2.2 0.4 3 2 0 11 2 11
15 13 Millwall 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12
16 17 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
17 21 West Brom 5 3 2 1.8 1.4 1 3 1 9 7 6
18 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
19 12 Wigan 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
20 14 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
21 18 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 2 1 1 3 2 7
22 19 Blackpool 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
23 15 Preston 6 6 0 0.2 0.7 0 4 2 1 4 4
24 24 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Bristol City 6 1 5 1.8 2.2 1 2 3 11 13 5
2 6 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
3 24 Coventry 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 3 3 7 12 3
4 8 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 2 0 3 4 8 6
5 14 Stoke 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 2 1 3 6 7 7
6 19 Blackpool 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 3 6 10 7
7 20 Hull 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 2 3 4 12 2
8 22 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 1 3 5 8 1
9 2 Norwich 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
10 3 Reading 5 3 2 0.4 1.8 2 0 3 2 9 6
11 7 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
12 12 Wigan 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
13 18 Cardiff 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
14 21 West Brom 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 0 4 1 6 7 4
15 23 Huddersfield 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
16 1 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
17 4 Burnley 5 4 1 1.6 0.8 2 2 1 8 4 8
18 5 Luton 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
19 9 Rotherham 4 3 1 0.2 1.0 0 3 1 1 4 3
20 13 Millwall 4 3 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
21 16 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
22 17 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
23 11 Watford 5 5 0 0.6 1.0 0 4 1 3 5 4
24 15 Preston 4 4 0 0.5 0.0 2 2 0 2 0 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51