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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Derby 1–0 Reading

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.31
Draw 3.20 fair 3.91
Away 3.40 fair 3.21
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Reading
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 4
10 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (114 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawReading
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 10% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
0.67scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:8
Reading before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.78scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:18
Derby all matches all matches Reading

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.78
0.89 Goals conceded 2.00
1.56 Total goals 3.78
9.67 Shots 10.33
3.22 Shots on target 3.56
14.56 Shots faced 15.89
4.56 Corners 3.22
4.89 Corners against 6.56
10.33 Fouls 10.22
2.33 Yellow cards 2.00
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

22% Wins 44%
44% Draws 11%
33% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 89%
22% Over 2.5 goals 89%
0% Over 3.5 goals 56%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
44% Both teams scored 78%
33% Clean sheets 11%
44% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
11% Losses 33%
44% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Reading all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:3
Reading before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:10
Derby at home away Reading

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded 2.50
1.75 Total goals 3.75
11.75 Shots 8.25
4.00 Shots on target 3.00
13.50 Shots faced 21.00
6.50 Corners 3.50
4.75 Corners against 7.50
12.00 Fouls 9.25
2.75 Yellow cards 2.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
75% Draws 0%
0% Losses 75%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 4 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Reading away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.09.21 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.756.00 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
14.09.21 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90
10.09.21 Birmingham – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.75 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
18.08.21 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72
14.08.21 Peterboro – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Reading all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.09.21 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Fulham – Reading 1–2 (0–1) 1.335.009.50 1.66 2.20
14.09.21 Reading – Peterboro 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.90 1.90
11.09.21 Reading – QPR 3–3 (1–1) 3.003.402.37 1.80 2.00
28.08.21 Huddersfield – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 2.373.253.10 2.10 1.72
21.08.21 Coventry – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.66
17.08.21 Reading – Bristol City 2–3 (1–2) 2.203.253.40 2.20 1.66
14.08.21 Reading – Preston 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.72
07.08.21 Stoke – Reading 3–2 (2–1) 2.053.253.80 2.50 1.53

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Reading away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.21 Fulham – Reading 1–2 (0–1) 1.335.009.50 1.66 2.20
28.08.21 Huddersfield – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 2.373.253.10 2.10 1.72
21.08.21 Coventry – Reading 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Stoke – Reading 3–2 (2–1) 2.053.253.80 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 10 6 4 0 20 8 +12 22
2 Bournemouth 9 6 3 0 16 7 +9 21
3 Coventry 9 6 1 2 12 6 +6 19
4 Stoke 10 5 3 2 14 11 +3 18
5 Fulham 9 5 2 2 19 8 +11 17
6 Blackburn 10 4 4 2 18 12 +6 16
7 Huddersfield 10 5 1 4 16 14 +2 16
8 QPR 10 4 3 3 19 14 +5 15
9 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 11 10 +1 13
10 Reading 9 4 1 4 16 18 -2 13
11 Middlesbrough 10 3 3 4 11 11 0 12
12 Sheffield United 10 3 3 4 13 14 -1 12
13 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 10 12 -2 12
14 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 9 13 -4 12
15 Preston 10 2 5 3 10 12 -2 11
16 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 12 18 -6 11
17 Derby 9 2 4 3 6 8 -2 10
18 Luton 9 2 4 3 13 16 -3 10
19 Swansea 9 2 4 3 8 11 -3 10
20 Millwall 9 1 6 2 9 11 -2 9
21 Barnsley 9 1 5 3 6 10 -4 8
22 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 10 20 -10 7
23 Hull 10 1 3 6 6 15 -9 6
24 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 8 13 -5 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 5 5 0 0 10 2 +8 15
2 Stoke 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
3 West Brom 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
4 Bournemouth 5 3 2 0 11 6 +5 11
5 Blackburn 5 3 1 1 12 6 +6 10
6 Reading 5 3 1 1 11 8 +3 10
7 Huddersfield 5 3 0 2 9 9 0 9
8 QPR 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
9 Preston 5 2 2 1 7 7 0 8
10 Fulham 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
11 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 10 7 +3 7
12 Peterboro 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
13 Middlesbrough 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
14 Derby 4 1 3 0 4 3 +1 6
15 Swansea 5 1 3 1 2 3 -1 6
16 Blackpool 5 2 0 3 2 6 -4 6
17 Millwall 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
18 Barnsley 4 1 2 1 2 2 0 5
19 Luton 4 1 2 1 6 8 -2 5
20 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
21 Bristol City 5 0 4 1 3 4 -1 4
22 Cardiff 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
23 Hull 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
24 Nott'm Forest 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 3 2 0 10 4 +6 11
2 Fulham 5 3 1 1 12 5 +7 10
3 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0 5 1 +4 10
4 Bristol City 4 3 0 1 8 6 +2 9
5 QPR 5 2 1 2 11 9 +2 7
6 Huddersfield 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
7 Birmingham 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
8 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
9 Blackpool 5 1 3 1 7 7 0 6
10 Blackburn 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
11 Luton 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
12 Middlesbrough 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5
13 Stoke 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
14 Sheffield United 5 1 2 2 3 7 -4 5
15 Nott'm Forest 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
16 Swansea 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 4
17 Millwall 5 0 4 1 4 6 -2 4
18 Coventry 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
19 Hull 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
20 Derby 5 1 1 3 2 5 -3 4
21 Preston 5 0 3 2 3 5 -2 3
22 Barnsley 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
23 Reading 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3
24 Peterboro 5 0 0 5 3 16 -13 0

Derby   Reading

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Reading 9 1 8 1.8 2.0 4 1 4 16 18 13
2 8 QPR 10 3 7 1.9 1.4 4 3 3 19 14 15
3 22 Peterboro 9 2 7 1.1 2.2 2 1 6 10 20 7
4 1 West Brom 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 6 4 0 20 8 22
5 2 Bournemouth 9 3 6 1.8 0.8 6 3 0 16 7 21
6 6 Blackburn 10 4 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 2 18 12 16
7 7 Huddersfield 10 4 6 1.6 1.4 5 1 4 16 14 16
8 16 Cardiff 10 4 6 1.2 1.8 3 2 5 12 18 11
9 18 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.8 2 4 3 13 16 10
10 4 Stoke 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 5 3 2 14 11 18
11 5 Fulham 9 4 5 2.1 0.9 5 2 2 19 8 17
12 12 Sheffield United 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 3 3 4 13 14 12
13 9 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 3 4 2 11 10 13
14 14 Blackpool 10 6 4 0.9 1.3 3 3 4 9 13 12
15 15 Preston 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 5 3 10 12 11
16 19 Swansea 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 2 4 3 8 11 10
17 24 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 2 6 8 13 5
18 3 Coventry 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 6 1 2 12 6 19
19 11 Middlesbrough 10 7 3 1.1 1.1 3 3 4 11 11 12
20 13 Birmingham 10 7 3 1.0 1.2 3 3 4 10 12 12
21 20 Millwall 9 6 3 1.0 1.2 1 6 2 9 11 9
22 23 Hull 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 3 6 6 15 6
23 17 Derby 9 7 2 0.7 0.9 2 4 3 6 8 10
24 21 Barnsley 9 7 2 0.7 1.1 1 5 3 6 10 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 5 0 5 2.2 1.2 3 2 0 11 6 11
2 6 Blackburn 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 3 1 1 12 6 10
3 10 Reading 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 3 1 1 11 8 10
4 1 West Brom 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
5 3 Coventry 5 2 3 2.0 0.4 5 0 0 10 2 15
6 7 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.8 1.8 3 0 2 9 9 9
7 11 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
8 12 Sheffield United 5 2 3 2.0 1.4 2 1 2 10 7 7
9 16 Cardiff 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
10 18 Luton 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 2 1 6 8 5
11 22 Peterboro 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
12 24 Nott'm Forest 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
13 4 Stoke 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
14 5 Fulham 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
15 8 QPR 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
16 15 Preston 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 2 2 1 7 7 8
17 20 Millwall 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
18 23 Hull 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
19 13 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 1 2 2 3 6 5
20 14 Blackpool 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 2 0 3 2 6 6
21 17 Derby 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 3 0 4 3 6
22 19 Swansea 5 4 1 0.4 0.6 1 3 1 2 3 6
23 9 Bristol City 5 5 0 0.6 0.8 0 4 1 3 4 4
24 21 Barnsley 4 4 0 0.5 0.5 1 2 1 2 2 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 QPR 5 0 5 2.2 1.8 2 1 2 11 9 7
2 9 Bristol City 4 0 4 2.0 1.5 3 0 1 8 6 9
3 10 Reading 4 0 4 1.2 2.5 1 0 3 5 10 3
4 22 Peterboro 5 1 4 0.6 3.2 0 0 5 3 16 0
5 1 West Brom 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 0 10 4 11
6 4 Stoke 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
7 5 Fulham 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 3 1 1 12 5 10
8 7 Huddersfield 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
9 14 Blackpool 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 3 1 7 7 6
10 16 Cardiff 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
11 18 Luton 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
12 19 Swansea 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 1 2 6 8 4
13 6 Blackburn 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
14 12 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 2 2 3 7 5
15 13 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
16 15 Preston 5 3 2 0.6 1.0 0 3 2 3 5 3
17 21 Barnsley 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
18 2 Bournemouth 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 3 1 0 5 1 10
19 17 Derby 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 1 1 3 2 5 4
20 20 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 4 1 4 6 4
21 23 Hull 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
22 24 Nott'm Forest 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
23 3 Coventry 4 4 0 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
24 11 Middlesbrough 5 5 0 0.6 0.8 1 2 2 3 4 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51