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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Derby 2–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 3.10 fair 2.74
Draw 3.10 fair 3.64
Away 2.45 fair 2.77
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.37 fair 2.28

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Stoke
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 6
10 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (85 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 10.7% 0–1 10.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.57scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:6
Stoke before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.43scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:8
Derby all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

0.57 Goals scored 1.43
0.86 Goals conceded 1.14
1.43 Total goals 2.57
9.14 Shots 11.14
2.86 Shots on target 4.29
14.43 Shots faced 10.71
4.71 Corners 6.43
3.86 Corners against 5.71
11.14 Fouls 11.86
2.57 Yellow cards 1.43
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

14% Wins 57%
57% Draws 29%
29% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 71%
14% Over 2.5 goals 57%
0% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 57%
43% Clean sheets 29%
43% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 29%
71% Draws 57%
14% Losses 14%
43% Over 0.5 goals 57%
14% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 7 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Stoke all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:2
Stoke before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:4
Derby at home away Stoke

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 1.33
1.33 Total goals 2.33
11.00 Shots 10.33
3.67 Shots on target 3.33
13.67 Shots faced 12.67
6.33 Corners 6.00
4.33 Corners against 6.67
12.67 Fouls 10.33
3.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
100% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 3 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.21 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90
10.09.21 Birmingham – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.75 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
18.08.21 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72
14.08.21 Peterboro – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.21 Stoke – Barnsley 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.505.00 2.20 1.66
11.09.21 Stoke – Huddersfield 2–1 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.10 1.72
28.08.21 Fulham – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 2.20 1.66
21.08.21 Stoke – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.30 1.61
17.08.21 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
14.08.21 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.50 1.53
07.08.21 Stoke – Reading 3–2 (2–1) 2.053.253.80 2.50 1.53

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.08.21 Derby – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53
21.08.21 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61
07.08.21 Derby – Huddersfield 1–1 (1–1) 4.503.751.72 2.10 1.72

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.08.21 Fulham – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 2.20 1.66
17.08.21 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
14.08.21 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 7 5 1 1 17 5 +12 16
2 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0 13 6 +7 15
3 West Brom 7 4 3 0 13 6 +7 15
4 Coventry 7 5 0 2 8 5 +3 15
5 Stoke 7 4 2 1 10 8 +2 14
6 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 13 9 +4 13
7 QPR 7 3 3 1 15 10 +5 12
8 Blackburn 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
9 Cardiff 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11
10 Birmingham 7 3 2 2 10 7 +3 11
11 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 12 12 0 9
12 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
13 Middlesbrough 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
14 Luton 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
15 Preston 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
16 Millwall 7 1 4 2 7 9 -2 7
17 Derby 7 1 4 2 4 6 -2 7
18 Barnsley 7 1 4 2 6 9 -3 7
19 Reading 7 2 1 4 13 17 -4 7
20 Swansea 7 1 3 3 4 8 -4 6
21 Blackpool 7 1 2 4 5 11 -6 5
22 Hull 8 1 2 5 5 12 -7 5
23 Peterboro 7 1 1 5 7 17 -10 4
24 Nott'm Forest 7 0 1 6 5 12 -7 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 4 4 0 0 7 2 +5 12
2 Stoke 4 3 1 0 7 4 +3 10
3 West Brom 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8
4 Bournemouth 4 2 2 0 9 5 +4 8
5 Fulham 3 2 1 0 6 1 +5 7
6 Reading 4 2 1 1 10 8 +2 7
7 Blackburn 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
8 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
9 Preston 3 2 0 1 5 5 0 6
10 QPR 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5
11 Sheffield United 4 1 1 2 9 7 +2 4
12 Cardiff 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
13 Middlesbrough 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
14 Millwall 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
15 Peterboro 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
16 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
17 Luton 3 1 1 1 3 5 -2 4
18 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 3 6 -3 4
19 Derby 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
20 Bristol City 4 0 3 1 2 3 -1 3
21 Swansea 4 0 3 1 1 3 -2 3
22 Blackpool 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
23 Hull 4 0 1 3 1 7 -6 1
24 Nott'm Forest 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 4 3 0 1 11 4 +7 9
2 Birmingham 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
3 QPR 4 2 1 1 10 7 +3 7
4 Huddersfield 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
5 Bournemouth 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
6 Cardiff 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
7 West Brom 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
8 Bristol City 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
9 Blackburn 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
10 Luton 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
11 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
12 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 3 5 -2 5
13 Hull 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
14 Stoke 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
15 Derby 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
16 Millwall 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
17 Swansea 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
18 Coventry 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
19 Barnsley 4 0 3 1 4 7 -3 3
20 Blackpool 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
21 Preston 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
22 Nott'm Forest 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
23 Reading 3 0 0 3 3 9 -6 0
24 Peterboro 4 0 0 4 3 13 -10 0

Derby   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Reading 7 0 7 1.9 2.4 2 1 4 13 17 7
2 2 Bournemouth 7 2 5 1.9 0.9 4 3 0 13 6 15
3 6 Huddersfield 7 2 5 1.9 1.3 4 1 2 13 9 13
4 7 QPR 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 3 3 1 15 10 12
5 11 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 2 3 3 12 12 9
6 23 Peterboro 7 2 5 1.0 2.4 1 1 5 7 17 4
7 1 Fulham 7 3 4 2.4 0.7 5 1 1 17 5 16
8 3 West Brom 7 3 4 1.9 0.9 4 3 0 13 6 15
9 5 Stoke 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 1 10 8 14
10 8 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
11 9 Cardiff 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11
12 14 Luton 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
13 15 Preston 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
14 24 Nott'm Forest 7 3 4 0.7 1.7 0 1 6 5 12 1
15 12 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
16 16 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 1 4 2 7 9 7
17 20 Swansea 7 4 3 0.6 1.1 1 3 3 4 8 6
18 21 Blackpool 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 1 2 4 5 11 5
19 22 Hull 8 5 3 0.6 1.5 1 2 5 5 12 5
20 4 Coventry 7 5 2 1.1 0.7 5 0 2 8 5 15
21 10 Birmingham 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 3 2 2 10 7 11
22 13 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
23 18 Barnsley 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 1 4 2 6 9 7
24 17 Derby 7 6 1 0.6 0.9 1 4 2 4 6 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 2 2 0 9 5 8
2 19 Reading 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 1 1 10 8 7
3 8 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
4 11 Sheffield United 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 1 1 2 9 7 4
5 24 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0
6 3 West Brom 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8
7 4 Coventry 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 4 0 0 7 2 12
8 5 Stoke 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 1 0 7 4 10
9 6 Huddersfield 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
10 9 Cardiff 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
11 13 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
12 14 Luton 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 1 1 3 5 4
13 15 Preston 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 2 0 1 5 5 6
14 16 Millwall 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
15 22 Hull 4 2 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 3 1 7 1
16 23 Peterboro 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
17 1 Fulham 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 2 1 0 6 1 7
18 7 QPR 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5
19 10 Birmingham 4 3 1 0.8 1.5 1 1 2 3 6 4
20 20 Swansea 4 3 1 0.2 0.8 0 3 1 1 3 3
21 21 Blackpool 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
22 12 Bristol City 4 4 0 0.5 0.8 0 3 1 2 3 3
23 17 Derby 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
24 18 Barnsley 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 QPR 4 0 4 2.5 1.8 2 1 1 10 7 7
2 1 Fulham 4 1 3 2.8 1.0 3 0 1 11 4 9
3 6 Huddersfield 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
4 12 Bristol City 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
5 19 Reading 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 0 3 3 9 0
6 23 Peterboro 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 0 0 4 3 13 0
7 3 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
8 5 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
9 9 Cardiff 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
10 11 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 2 1 3 5 5
11 14 Luton 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
12 15 Preston 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
13 18 Barnsley 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 3 1 4 7 3
14 20 Swansea 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
15 21 Blackpool 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
16 2 Bournemouth 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
17 8 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
18 10 Birmingham 3 2 1 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
19 16 Millwall 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
20 17 Derby 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
21 22 Hull 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
22 24 Nott'm Forest 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
23 4 Coventry 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
24 13 Middlesbrough 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51