Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano – Spain La Liga, 9 Mar 2025

Match facts

Real Madrid Vallecano

10 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 6

12 Fouls 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (263 league matches this season so far).

Result Real Madrid to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.74 – 0.92

Home / Draw / Away

57% 24% 20%

Real MadridDrawVallecano

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.1% 1–1 11.2% 2–0 10.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches

2.08points / match

2.12scored / match

0.96conceded / match

16 6 4

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 55:25

Vallecano before this match, all matches

1.38points / match

1.08scored / match

1.04conceded / match

9 9 8

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 28:27

Real Madrid all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

2.12 Goals scored 1.08

0.96 Goals conceded 1.04

3.08 Total goals 2.12

16.35 Shots 13.15

6.35 Shots on target 4.04

9.58 Shots faced 12.46

5.62 Corners 5.08

4.12 Corners against 4.88

8.88 Fouls 14.38

1.54 Yellow cards 2.50

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

62% Wins 35%

23% Draws 35%

15% Losses 31%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

96% Over 1.5 goals 62%

58% Over 2.5 goals 38%

27% Over 3.5 goals 12%

19% Over 4.5 goals 4%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

54% Both teams scored 62%

38% Clean sheets 23%

8% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 23%

38% Draws 58%

12% Losses 19%

69% Over 0.5 goals 58%

27% Over 1.5 goals 15%

12% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches

3

D

4

2

W

2

1

W

4

1

W

3

W

1

L

1

D

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

Vallecano all matches

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

W

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

D

Real Madrid before this match, at home

2.58points / match

2.58scored / match

0.92conceded / match

10 1 1

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 31:11

Vallecano before this match, away

1.31points / match

0.77scored / match

0.77conceded / match

4 5 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:10

Real Madrid at home away Vallecano

Per match

2.58 Goals scored 0.77

0.92 Goals conceded 0.77

3.50 Total goals 1.54

18.00 Shots 10.77

7.33 Shots on target 2.69

9.08 Shots faced 12.31

7.00 Corners 5.23

3.67 Corners against 5.77

8.42 Fouls 15.23

1.42 Yellow cards 2.92

1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.31

0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

83% Wins 31%

8% Draws 38%

8% Losses 31%

100% Over 0.5 goals 85%

100% Over 1.5 goals 46%

58% Over 2.5 goals 23%

50% Over 3.5 goals 0%

33% Over 4.5 goals 0%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

42% Both teams scored 46%

50% Clean sheets 31%

8% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 15%

33% Draws 62%

8% Losses 23%

67% Over 0.5 goals 54%

42% Over 1.5 goals 15%

17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home

4

1

W

3

2

W

2

W

4

L

4

W

2

W

4

2

W

4

1

W

1

D

2

W

Vallecano away

D

2

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Betis – Real Madrid	2–1 (1–1)	4.33	4.00	1.73	1.53	2.50
23.02.25	Real Madrid – Girona	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	6.25	8.50	1.40	3.00
15.02.25	Osasuna – Real Madrid	1–1 (0–1)	5.75	4.10	1.57	1.57	2.25
08.02.25	Real Madrid – Ath Madrid	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	1.80	2.00
01.02.25	Espanol – Real Madrid	1–0 (0–0)	9.00	5.75	1.30	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Valladolid – Real Madrid	0–3 (0–1)	10.00	6.00	1.27	1.44	2.75
19.01.25	Real Madrid – Las Palmas	4–1 (3–1)	1.14	7.50	17.00	1.33	3.40
03.01.25	Valencia – Real Madrid	1–2 (1–0)	7.00	4.50	1.42	1.67	2.20
22.12.24	Real Madrid – Sevilla	4–2 (3–1)	1.33	5.50	9.00	1.53	2.50
14.12.24	Vallecano – Real Madrid	3–3 (2–2)	6.00	3.80	1.57	1.89	2.01

Vallecano all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Vallecano – Sevilla	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
22.02.25	Vallecano – Villarreal	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.38	1.80	2.00
17.02.25	Barcelona – Vallecano	1–0 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
07.02.25	Vallecano – Valladolid	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.10	7.00	2.00	1.80
31.01.25	Leganes – Vallecano	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.00	2.38	2.50	1.53
26.01.25	Vallecano – Girona	2–1 (0–0)	2.75	2.90	2.88	2.20	1.67
19.01.25	Osasuna – Vallecano	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.00	3.80	2.50	1.53
10.01.25	Vallecano – Celta	2–1 (1–1)	2.75	3.10	2.70	2.20	1.67
22.12.24	Betis – Vallecano	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
18.12.24	Villarreal – Vallecano	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.90	2.00

Real Madrid at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.02.25	Real Madrid – Girona	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	6.25	8.50	1.40	3.00
08.02.25	Real Madrid – Ath Madrid	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	1.80	2.00
19.01.25	Real Madrid – Las Palmas	4–1 (3–1)	1.14	7.50	17.00	1.33	3.40
22.12.24	Real Madrid – Sevilla	4–2 (3–1)	1.33	5.50	9.00	1.53	2.50
01.12.24	Real Madrid – Getafe	2–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.50	10.00	2.03	1.87
09.11.24	Real Madrid – Osasuna	4–0 (2–0)	1.20	7.00	13.00	1.48	2.60
26.10.24	Real Madrid – Barcelona	0–4 (0–0)	2.00	4.10	3.25	1.40	3.00
05.10.24	Real Madrid – Villarreal	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	6.25	8.50	1.33	3.40
24.09.24	Real Madrid – Alaves	3–2 (2–0)	1.20	6.50	13.00	1.50	2.63
21.09.24	Real Madrid – Espanol	4–1 (0–0)	1.17	7.00	19.00	1.40	3.00

Vallecano away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.25	Barcelona – Vallecano	1–0 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
31.01.25	Leganes – Vallecano	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.00	2.38	2.50	1.53
19.01.25	Osasuna – Vallecano	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.00	3.80	2.50	1.53
22.12.24	Betis – Vallecano	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
18.12.24	Villarreal – Vallecano	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.90	2.00
07.12.24	Valencia – Vallecano	0–1 (0–1)	2.25	2.90	3.75	2.75	1.44
24.11.24	Sevilla – Vallecano	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.38	1.57
20.10.24	Mallorca – Vallecano	1–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.10	4.00	2.75	1.44
05.10.24	Valladolid – Vallecano	1–2 (0–0)	3.10	3.00	2.50	2.63	1.50
25.09.24	Girona – Vallecano	0–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.70	4.50	1.99	1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 3 1

Real Madrid winsDrawsVallecano wins

7matches

2.86goals / match

57%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.12.24SP1	Vallecano – Real Madrid	3–3 (2–2)	6.00	3.80	1.57	1.89	2.01
18.02.24SP1	Vallecano – Real Madrid	1–1 (1–1)	6.00	3.75	1.62	1.88	2.02
05.11.23SP1	Real Madrid – Vallecano	0–0 (0–0)	1.29	5.50	12.00	1.53	2.40
24.05.23SP1	Real Madrid – Vallecano	2–1 (1–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.62	2.30
07.11.22SP1	Vallecano – Real Madrid	3–2 (2–2)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.72	2.10
26.02.22SP1	Vallecano – Real Madrid	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	3.80	1.66	1.86	2.04
06.11.21SP1	Real Madrid – Vallecano	2–1 (2–0)	1.33	5.50	8.00	1.53	2.50

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	18	3	5	71	25	+46	57
2	Ath Madrid	27	16	8	3	44	18	+26	56
3	Real Madrid	26	16	6	4	55	25	+30	54
4	Ath Bilbao	26	13	9	4	44	23	+21	48
5	Villarreal	26	12	8	6	48	36	+12	44
6	Betis	26	10	8	8	34	33	+1	38
7	Vallecano	26	9	9	8	28	27	+1	36
8	Celta	27	10	6	11	40	41	-1	36
9	Mallorca	26	10	6	10	25	32	-7	36
10	Sociedad	26	10	4	12	23	27	-4	34
11	Getafe	27	8	9	10	23	22	+1	33
12	Osasuna	26	7	12	7	32	37	-5	33
13	Sevilla	26	8	9	9	31	36	-5	33
14	Girona	26	9	5	12	34	39	-5	32
15	Espanol	25	7	6	12	24	36	-12	27
16	Valencia	27	6	9	12	30	45	-15	27
17	Leganes	27	6	9	12	24	40	-16	27
18	Alaves	27	6	8	13	30	40	-10	26
19	Las Palmas	26	6	6	14	30	44	-14	24
20	Valladolid	27	4	4	19	18	62	-44	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	4	0	25	8	+17	34
2	Real Madrid	12	10	1	1	31	11	+20	31
3	Celta	14	9	2	3	24	14	+10	29
4	Ath Bilbao	13	8	4	1	26	8	+18	28
5	Barcelona	12	9	0	3	33	9	+24	27
6	Osasuna	14	6	6	2	25	20	+5	24
7	Betis	13	6	5	2	21	15	+6	23
8	Espanol	13	6	4	3	17	14	+3	22
9	Valencia	14	6	3	5	20	18	+2	21
10	Villarreal	12	5	5	2	28	19	+9	20
11	Girona	13	6	2	5	24	20	+4	20
12	Sociedad	13	6	2	5	15	13	+2	20
13	Mallorca	14	5	5	4	14	15	-1	20
14	Getafe	14	4	7	3	12	9	+3	19
15	Vallecano	13	5	4	4	18	17	+1	19
16	Sevilla	13	5	4	4	12	15	-3	19
17	Leganes	13	5	2	6	13	19	-6	17
18	Alaves	13	4	4	5	11	13	-2	16
19	Las Palmas	13	3	4	6	15	19	-4	13
20	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	8	20	-12	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	38	16	+22	30
2	Villarreal	14	7	3	4	20	17	+3	24
3	Real Madrid	14	6	5	3	24	14	+10	23
4	Ath Madrid	13	6	4	3	19	10	+9	22
5	Ath Bilbao	13	5	5	3	18	15	+3	20
6	Vallecano	13	4	5	4	10	10	0	17
7	Mallorca	12	5	1	6	11	17	-6	16
8	Betis	13	4	3	6	13	18	-5	15
9	Sevilla	13	3	5	5	19	21	-2	14
10	Getafe	13	4	2	7	11	13	-2	14
11	Sociedad	13	4	2	7	8	14	-6	14
12	Girona	13	3	3	7	10	19	-9	12
13	Las Palmas	13	3	2	8	15	25	-10	11
14	Alaves	14	2	4	8	19	27	-8	10
15	Leganes	14	1	7	6	11	21	-10	10
16	Osasuna	12	1	6	5	7	17	-10	9
17	Celta	13	1	4	8	16	27	-11	7
18	Valencia	13	0	6	7	10	27	-17	6
19	Espanol	12	1	2	9	7	22	-15	5
20	Valladolid	14	1	0	13	10	42	-32	3

Real Madrid Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	26	7	19	2.7	1.0	18	3	5	71	25	57
2	8	Celta	27	10	17	1.5	1.5	10	6	11	40	41	36
3	20	Valladolid	27	10	17	0.7	2.3	4	4	19	18	62	16
4	5	Villarreal	26	10	16	1.8	1.4	12	8	6	48	36	44
5	14	Girona	26	10	16	1.3	1.5	9	5	12	34	39	32
6	3	Real Madrid	26	11	15	2.1	1.0	16	6	4	55	25	54
7	19	Las Palmas	26	11	15	1.2	1.7	6	6	14	30	44	24
8	16	Valencia	27	13	14	1.1	1.7	6	9	12	30	45	27
9	6	Betis	26	13	13	1.3	1.3	10	8	8	34	33	38
10	18	Alaves	27	14	13	1.1	1.5	6	8	13	30	40	26
11	4	Ath Bilbao	26	14	12	1.7	0.9	13	9	4	44	23	48
12	12	Osasuna	26	14	12	1.2	1.4	7	12	7	32	37	33
13	15	Espanol	25	14	11	1.0	1.4	7	6	12	24	36	27
14	2	Ath Madrid	27	17	10	1.6	0.7	16	8	3	44	18	56
15	7	Vallecano	26	16	10	1.1	1.0	9	9	8	28	27	36
16	9	Mallorca	26	16	10	1.0	1.2	10	6	10	25	32	36
17	10	Sociedad	26	16	10	0.9	1.0	10	4	12	23	27	34
18	13	Sevilla	26	16	10	1.2	1.4	8	9	9	31	36	33
19	17	Leganes	27	17	10	0.9	1.5	6	9	12	24	40	27
20	11	Getafe	27	21	6	0.9	0.8	8	9	10	23	22	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Girona	13	2	11	1.8	1.5	6	2	5	24	20	20
2	5	Villarreal	12	3	9	2.3	1.6	5	5	2	28	19	20
3	12	Osasuna	14	5	9	1.8	1.4	6	6	2	25	20	24
4	1	Barcelona	12	4	8	2.8	0.8	9	0	3	33	9	27
5	6	Betis	13	5	8	1.6	1.2	6	5	2	21	15	23
6	8	Celta	14	6	8	1.7	1.0	9	2	3	24	14	29
7	16	Valencia	14	6	8	1.4	1.3	6	3	5	20	18	21
8	3	Real Madrid	12	5	7	2.6	0.9	10	1	1	31	11	31
9	7	Vallecano	13	6	7	1.4	1.3	5	4	4	18	17	19
10	10	Sociedad	13	7	6	1.2	1.0	6	2	5	15	13	20
11	15	Espanol	13	7	6	1.3	1.1	6	4	3	17	14	22
12	17	Leganes	13	7	6	1.0	1.5	5	2	6	13	19	17
13	19	Las Palmas	13	7	6	1.2	1.5	3	4	6	15	19	13
14	20	Valladolid	13	7	6	0.6	1.5	3	4	6	8	20	13
15	2	Ath Madrid	14	9	5	1.8	0.6	10	4	0	25	8	34
16	4	Ath Bilbao	13	8	5	2.0	0.6	8	4	1	26	8	28
17	9	Mallorca	14	9	5	1.0	1.1	5	5	4	14	15	20
18	13	Sevilla	13	10	3	0.9	1.2	5	4	4	12	15	19
19	18	Alaves	13	10	3	0.8	1.0	4	4	5	11	13	16
20	11	Getafe	14	12	2	0.9	0.6	4	7	3	12	9	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	14	3	11	2.7	1.1	9	3	2	38	16	30
2	20	Valladolid	14	3	11	0.7	3.0	1	0	13	10	42	3
3	18	Alaves	14	4	10	1.4	1.9	2	4	8	19	27	10
4	8	Celta	13	4	9	1.2	2.1	1	4	8	16	27	7
5	19	Las Palmas	13	4	9	1.2	1.9	3	2	8	15	25	11
6	3	Real Madrid	14	6	8	1.7	1.0	6	5	3	24	14	23
7	4	Ath Bilbao	13	6	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	3	18	15	20
8	5	Villarreal	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	7	3	4	20	17	24
9	13	Sevilla	13	6	7	1.5	1.6	3	5	5	19	21	14
10	16	Valencia	13	7	6	0.8	2.1	0	6	7	10	27	6
11	2	Ath Madrid	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	6	4	3	19	10	22
12	6	Betis	13	8	5	1.0	1.4	4	3	6	13	18	15
13	9	Mallorca	12	7	5	0.9	1.4	5	1	6	11	17	16
14	14	Girona	13	8	5	0.8	1.5	3	3	7	10	19	12
15	15	Espanol	12	7	5	0.6	1.8	1	2	9	7	22	5
16	10	Sociedad	13	9	4	0.6	1.1	4	2	7	8	14	14
17	11	Getafe	13	9	4	0.8	1.0	4	2	7	11	13	14
18	17	Leganes	14	10	4	0.8	1.5	1	7	6	11	21	10
19	7	Vallecano	13	10	3	0.8	0.8	4	5	4	10	10	17
20	12	Osasuna	12	9	3	0.6	1.4	1	6	5	7	17	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.