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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: N Walsh

Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 1.85
Draw 3.50 fair 4.39
Away 3.80 fair 4.30
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 1.91 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
16 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Aberdeen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aberdeen before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 33:48
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
1.12scored / match
1.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 37:65
Aberdeen all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.12
1.45 Goals conceded 1.97
2.45 Total goals 3.09
11.55 Shots 11.09
3.52 Shots on target 3.76
14.88 Shots faced 14.73
4.76 Corners 4.36
5.45 Corners against 5.48
14.45 Fouls 13.21
2.52 Yellow cards 2.15
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

27% Wins 18%
18% Draws 30%
55% Losses 52%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
73% Over 1.5 goals 85%
33% Over 2.5 goals 64%
21% Over 3.5 goals 42%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 9%
36% Both teams scored 58%
24% Clean sheets 21%
45% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 36%
36% Draws 24%
45% Losses 39%
67% Over 0.5 goals 82%
21% Over 1.5 goals 42%
9% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aberdeen all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Aberdeen before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.56scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:21
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.94scored / match
2.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:38
Aberdeen at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 0.94
1.31 Goals conceded 2.38
2.88 Total goals 3.31
12.75 Shots 8.75
4.63 Shots on target 3.38
12.75 Shots faced 17.06
5.88 Corners 3.88
5.13 Corners against 6.75
14.38 Fouls 12.88
2.13 Yellow cards 2.19
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 1.06

How often Full Time

31% Wins 6%
31% Draws 38%
38% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
81% Over 1.5 goals 94%
44% Over 2.5 goals 69%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
19% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
56% Both teams scored 69%
25% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 19%
38% Draws 31%
38% Losses 50%
69% Over 0.5 goals 81%
25% Over 1.5 goals 44%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aberdeen at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aberdeen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Aberdeen – Hibernian 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.402.05 1.93 1.93
04.04.26 St Mirren – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.30 1.93 1.93
21.03.26 Rangers – Aberdeen 4–1 (1–0) 1.255.759.00 1.50 2.63
14.03.26 Aberdeen – Falkirk 1–1 (0–0) 2.853.402.30 2.00 1.80
04.03.26 Aberdeen – Celtic 1–2 (1–1) 6.504.331.41 1.53 2.50
28.02.26 Hearts – Aberdeen 1–0 (1–0) 1.414.208.00 1.73 2.10
24.02.26 Dundee United – Aberdeen 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.40 1.83 2.03
21.02.26 Aberdeen – Dundee 2–3 (1–2) 1.863.504.00 1.98 1.88
15.02.26 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 1.563.805.50 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.202.32 2.00 1.80

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Kilmarnock – Dundee 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.503.25 1.80 2.00
04.04.26 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 3–0 (2–0) 1.494.206.25 1.62 2.30
21.03.26 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Kilmarnock – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.753.801.66 1.85 2.00
28.02.26 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 5–1 (3–1) 1.664.104.50 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.963.603.70 1.73 2.10
15.02.26 Kilmarnock – Celtic 2–3 (2–0) 7.504.501.35 1.57 2.38
11.02.26 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 4–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.45 2.10 1.73
04.02.26 Rangers – Kilmarnock 5–1 (1–0) 1.275.0010.00 1.57 2.38
31.01.26 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.202.32 2.00 1.80

Aberdeen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Aberdeen – Hibernian 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.402.05 1.93 1.93
14.03.26 Aberdeen – Falkirk 1–1 (0–0) 2.853.402.30 2.00 1.80
04.03.26 Aberdeen – Celtic 1–2 (1–1) 6.504.331.41 1.53 2.50
21.02.26 Aberdeen – Dundee 2–3 (1–2) 1.863.504.00 1.98 1.88
24.01.26 Aberdeen – Livingston 6–2 (3–2) 1.713.754.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Aberdeen – Rangers 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.701.68 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Aberdeen – Dundee United 1–1 (0–1) 1.813.753.75 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.504.75 1.93 1.93
03.12.25 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–3 (0–0) 2.153.303.25 1.98 1.88
23.11.25 Aberdeen – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.601.81 1.98 1.88

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 3–0 (2–0) 1.494.206.25 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 5–1 (3–1) 1.664.104.50 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.963.603.70 1.73 2.10
04.02.26 Rangers – Kilmarnock 5–1 (1–0) 1.275.0010.00 1.57 2.38
24.01.26 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 4–0 (2–0) 1.454.007.00 1.80 2.00
10.01.26 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.052.57 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.504.50 1.91 1.91
14.12.25 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.504.75 1.93 1.93
03.12.25 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (0–0) 1.354.338.50 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aberdeen winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
12matches
2.42goals / match
42%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.202.32 2.00 1.80
14.12.25SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.504.75 1.93 1.93
29.10.25SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.302.50 2.03 1.83
22.02.25SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.05 1.80
26.12.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 4–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.75 2.00 1.85
25.08.24SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.25 1.95 1.90
24.02.24SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.85
06.12.23SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.10 1.70
29.10.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.70
08.04.23SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.02 1.83
28.12.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.502.30 2.10 1.73
01.10.22SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 4–1 (3–1) 1.663.605.75 2.00 1.80

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 33 21 7 5 58 28 +30 70
2 Rangers 33 19 12 2 66 31 +35 69
3 Celtic 33 21 4 8 59 35 +24 67
4 Motherwell 33 14 12 7 52 29 +23 54
5 Hibernian 33 13 12 8 51 37 +14 51
6 Falkirk 33 13 7 13 45 48 -3 46
7 Dundee United 33 9 13 11 45 54 -9 40
8 Aberdeen 33 9 6 18 33 48 -15 33
9 Dundee 33 8 9 16 34 53 -19 33
10 St Mirren 33 7 9 17 27 48 -21 30
11 Kilmarnock 33 6 10 17 37 65 -28 28
12 Livingston 33 1 13 19 35 66 -31 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 17 13 4 0 32 10 +22 43
2 Rangers 17 11 5 1 36 16 +20 38
3 Celtic 16 12 1 3 34 12 +22 37
4 Motherwell 17 10 5 2 29 9 +20 35
5 Hibernian 16 8 6 2 30 14 +16 30
6 Dundee United 17 6 6 5 21 22 -1 24
7 Falkirk 17 6 5 6 29 26 +3 23
8 Dundee 16 6 4 6 24 26 -2 22
9 Aberdeen 16 5 5 6 25 21 +4 20
10 St Mirren 16 5 5 6 10 16 -6 20
11 Kilmarnock 17 5 4 8 22 27 -5 19
12 Livingston 16 1 7 8 21 30 -9 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 16 8 7 1 30 15 +15 31
2 Celtic 17 9 3 5 25 23 +2 30
3 Hearts 16 8 3 5 26 18 +8 27
4 Falkirk 16 7 2 7 16 22 -6 23
5 Hibernian 17 5 6 6 21 23 -2 21
6 Motherwell 16 4 7 5 23 20 +3 19
7 Dundee United 16 3 7 6 24 32 -8 16
8 Aberdeen 17 4 1 12 8 27 -19 13
9 Dundee 17 2 5 10 10 27 -17 11
10 St Mirren 17 2 4 11 17 32 -15 10
11 Kilmarnock 16 1 6 9 15 38 -23 9
12 Livingston 17 0 6 11 14 36 -22 6

Aberdeen   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Celtic 33 12 21 1.8 1.1 21 4 8 59 35 67
2 11 Kilmarnock 33 12 21 1.1 2.0 6 10 17 37 65 28
3 12 Livingston 33 12 21 1.1 2.0 1 13 19 35 66 16
4 2 Rangers 33 15 18 2.0 0.9 19 12 2 66 31 69
5 6 Falkirk 33 15 18 1.4 1.5 13 7 13 45 48 46
6 9 Dundee 33 15 18 1.0 1.6 8 9 16 34 53 33
7 5 Hibernian 33 16 17 1.5 1.1 13 12 8 51 37 51
8 7 Dundee United 33 16 17 1.4 1.6 9 13 11 45 54 40
9 1 Hearts 33 17 16 1.8 0.8 21 7 5 58 28 70
10 4 Motherwell 33 20 13 1.6 0.9 14 12 7 52 29 54
11 8 Aberdeen 33 22 11 1.0 1.5 9 6 18 33 48 33
12 10 St Mirren 33 22 11 0.8 1.5 7 9 17 27 48 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Celtic 16 5 11 2.1 0.8 12 1 3 34 12 37
2 9 Dundee 16 5 11 1.5 1.6 6 4 6 24 26 22
3 12 Livingston 16 5 11 1.3 1.9 1 7 8 21 30 10
4 2 Rangers 17 7 10 2.1 0.9 11 5 1 36 16 38
5 6 Falkirk 17 7 10 1.7 1.5 6 5 6 29 26 23
6 11 Kilmarnock 17 7 10 1.3 1.6 5 4 8 22 27 19
7 5 Hibernian 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 8 6 2 30 14 30
8 7 Dundee United 17 9 8 1.2 1.3 6 6 5 21 22 24
9 1 Hearts 17 10 7 1.9 0.6 13 4 0 32 10 43
10 8 Aberdeen 16 9 7 1.6 1.3 5 5 6 25 21 20
11 4 Motherwell 17 12 5 1.7 0.5 10 5 2 29 9 35
12 10 St Mirren 16 13 3 0.6 1.0 5 5 6 10 16 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Kilmarnock 16 5 11 0.9 2.4 1 6 9 15 38 9
2 3 Celtic 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 9 3 5 25 23 30
3 12 Livingston 17 7 10 0.8 2.1 0 6 11 14 36 6
4 1 Hearts 16 7 9 1.6 1.1 8 3 5 26 18 27
5 5 Hibernian 17 8 9 1.2 1.4 5 6 6 21 23 21
6 7 Dundee United 16 7 9 1.5 2.0 3 7 6 24 32 16
7 2 Rangers 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 8 7 1 30 15 31
8 4 Motherwell 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 4 7 5 23 20 19
9 6 Falkirk 16 8 8 1.0 1.4 7 2 7 16 22 23
10 10 St Mirren 17 9 8 1.0 1.9 2 4 11 17 32 10
11 9 Dundee 17 10 7 0.6 1.6 2 5 10 10 27 11
12 8 Aberdeen 17 13 4 0.5 1.6 4 1 12 8 27 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40