Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.91
fair 1.85
Draw
3.50
fair 4.39
Away
3.80
fair 4.30
Under 2.5 ✓
1.91
fair 2.33
Over 2.5
1.91
fair 1.75
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
10
Shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
6
Corners
5
16
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result
Aberdeen to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.75
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
54%
23%
23%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
43%
57%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
43%
57%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
23%
2
22%
3
17%
4
18%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7%
2–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Aberdeen
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.45conceded / match
9
6
18
WonDrawnLost
33 played · 33:48
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
1.12scored / match
1.97conceded / match
6
10
17
WonDrawnLost
33 played · 37:65
Aberdeen all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
1.12
1.45
Goals conceded
1.97
2.45
Total goals
3.09
11.55
Shots
11.09
3.52
Shots on target
3.76
14.88
Shots faced
14.73
4.76
Corners
4.36
5.45
Corners against
5.48
14.45
Fouls
13.21
2.52
Yellow cards
2.15
0.39
1st-half goals scored
0.67
0.64
1st-half goals conceded
0.76
How often Full Time
27%
Wins
18%
18%
Draws
30%
55%
Losses
52%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
73%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
21%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
12%
Over 4.5 goals
12%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
9%
36%
Both teams scored
58%
24%
Clean sheets
21%
45%
Failed to score
27%
How often Half Time
18%
Wins
36%
36%
Draws
24%
45%
Losses
39%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
82%
21%
Over 1.5 goals
42%
9%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Aberdeen all matches
3
L
2
L
2
3
L
D
1
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
1
4
L
2
L
2
W
Kilmarnock all matches
3
W
1
5
L
4
3
W
2
3
L
1
1
D
1
5
L
1
W
2
W
3
L
2
2
D
Aberdeen
before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.56scored / match
1.31conceded / match
5
5
6
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 25:21
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.94scored / match
2.38conceded / match
1
6
9
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 15:38
Aberdeen at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.56
Goals scored
0.94
1.31
Goals conceded
2.38
2.88
Total goals
3.31
12.75
Shots
8.75
4.63
Shots on target
3.38
12.75
Shots faced
17.06
5.88
Corners
3.88
5.13
Corners against
6.75
14.38
Fouls
12.88
2.13
Yellow cards
2.19
0.63
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.63
1st-half goals conceded
1.06
How often Full Time
31%
Wins
6%
31%
Draws
38%
38%
Losses
56%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
81%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
44%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
19%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
13%
Over 5.5 goals
13%
56%
Both teams scored
69%
25%
Clean sheets
13%
25%
Failed to score
25%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
19%
38%
Draws
31%
38%
Losses
50%
69%
Over 0.5 goals
81%
25%
Over 1.5 goals
44%
19%
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Aberdeen at home
1
W
3
3
D
2
1
W
1
1
D
2
L
6
2
W
2
3
L
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
W
Kilmarnock away
1
1
D
1
2
L
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
4
L
1
5
L
1
1
D
1
5
L
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Aberdeen all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.04.26 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.04.26 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 21.03.26 | Rangers – Aberdeen | 4–1 (1–0) | 1.25 | 5.75 | 9.00 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 14.03.26 | Aberdeen – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 04.03.26 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 1–2 (1–1) | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 28.02.26 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.41 | 4.20 | 8.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 24.02.26 | Dundee United – Aberdeen | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 21.02.26 | Aberdeen – Dundee | 2–3 (1–2) | 1.86 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 15.02.26 | Motherwell – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.56 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 31.01.26 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 3–0 (2–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.04.26 | Kilmarnock – Dundee | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 04.04.26 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.25 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 21.03.26 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.03.26 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.66 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 28.02.26 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 21.02.26 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 15.02.26 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 2–3 (2–0) | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.35 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 11.02.26 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 4–3 (2–1) | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 04.02.26 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 31.01.26 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 3–0 (2–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Aberdeen at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.04.26 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 14.03.26 | Aberdeen – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 04.03.26 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 1–2 (1–1) | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 21.02.26 | Aberdeen – Dundee | 2–3 (1–2) | 1.86 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 24.01.26 | Aberdeen – Livingston | 6–2 (3–2) | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 11.01.26 | Aberdeen – Rangers | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.68 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.12.25 | Aberdeen – Dundee United | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.81 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.12.25 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.71 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 23.11.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.26 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.25 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 28.02.26 | Falkirk – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 21.02.26 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 04.02.26 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 5–1 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 24.01.26 | Motherwell – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.45 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.01.26 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.12.25 | Dundee – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.05 | 2.57 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 27.12.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 14.12.25 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.71 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.12.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.35 | 4.33 | 8.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
6 6
Aberdeen winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
12matches
2.42goals / match
42%over 2.5
25%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 3–0 (2–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 14.12.25SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.71 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 29.10.25SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 22.02.25SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 26.12.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 4–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 25.08.24SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 5.25 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 24.02.24SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.12.23SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 29.10.23SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.88 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 28.12.22SC0 | Kilmarnock – Aberdeen | 2–1 (2–0) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 01.10.22SC0 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 28 | +30 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66 | 31 | +35 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 35 | +24 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 29 | +23 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 37 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 16 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 10 | +22 | 43 |
| 2 | Rangers | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 16 | +20 | 38 |
| 3 | Celtic | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 12 | +22 | 37 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 35 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 14 | +16 | 30 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 | Dundee | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 20 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 10 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 15 | +15 | 31 |
| 2 | Celtic | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 30 |
| 3 | Hearts | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 27 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 23 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 16 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 13 |
| 9 | Dundee | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 11 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 10 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 17 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 6 |
Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Celtic | 33 | 12 | 21 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 67 |
| 2 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 12 | 21 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | 28 |
| 3 | 12 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 21 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 66 | 16 |
| 4 | 2 | Rangers | 33 | 15 | 18 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66 | 31 | 69 |
| 5 | 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 15 | 18 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | 46 |
| 6 | 9 | Dundee | 33 | 15 | 18 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 53 | 33 |
| 7 | 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 16 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 51 |
| 8 | 7 | Dundee United | 33 | 16 | 17 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 54 | 40 |
| 9 | 1 | Hearts | 33 | 17 | 16 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 28 | 70 |
| 10 | 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 20 | 13 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 29 | 54 |
| 11 | 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 22 | 11 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 48 | 33 |
| 12 | 10 | St Mirren | 33 | 22 | 11 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 48 | 30 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Celtic | 16 | 5 | 11 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | 9 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 3 | 12 | Livingston | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | Rangers | 17 | 7 | 10 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | 6 | Falkirk | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 23 |
| 6 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 19 |
| 7 | 5 | Hibernian | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 30 |
| 8 | 7 | Dundee United | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| 9 | 1 | Hearts | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 10 | 43 |
| 10 | 8 | Aberdeen | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | 4 | Motherwell | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
| 12 | 10 | St Mirren | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 20 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 5 | 11 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | Celtic | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 30 |
| 3 | 12 | Livingston | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | Hearts | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | 5 | Hibernian | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
| 6 | 7 | Dundee United | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 32 | 16 |
| 7 | 2 | Rangers | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 15 | 31 |
| 8 | 4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | 6 | Falkirk | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | 10 | St Mirren | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | Dundee | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | Aberdeen | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 13 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40