Aberdeen 4–1 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
1.66
fair 1.74
Draw
3.60
fair 4.42
Away
5.75
fair 4.98
Under 2.5
1.80
fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓
2.00
fair 1.85
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
16
Shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
5
Corners
5
12
Fouls
11
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (43 league matches this season so far).
Result
Aberdeen to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.88
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
57%
23%
20%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
46%
54%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
47%
53%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
17%
1
24%
2
22%
3
16%
4
16%
5+
Most likely scores
1–0 10.8%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 9.9%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Aberdeen
before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
2.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
3
1
3
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 14:10
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
0.43scored / match
1.71conceded / match
1
1
5
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 3:12
Aberdeen all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
2.00
Goals scored
0.43
1.43
Goals conceded
1.71
3.43
Total goals
2.14
13.29
Shots
11.29
4.57
Shots on target
2.29
13.71
Shots faced
13.86
5.71
Corners
4.43
6.57
Corners against
5.29
9.43
Fouls
13.57
1.43
Yellow cards
3.29
0.86
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.43
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
43%
Wins
14%
14%
Draws
14%
43%
Losses
71%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
86%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
57%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
57%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
43%
Over 4.5 goals
14%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
57%
Both teams scored
29%
29%
Clean sheets
0%
14%
Failed to score
71%
How often Half Time
29%
Wins
0%
57%
Draws
29%
14%
Losses
71%
71%
Over 0.5 goals
71%
43%
Over 1.5 goals
14%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Aberdeen all matches
1
1
D
1
L
D
2
L
4
1
W
2
3
L
1
W
5
W
1
1
D
1
3
L
Kilmarnock all matches
1
2
L
2
1
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
L
5
L
1
L
2
1
W
1
L
1
L
Aberdeen
before this match, at home
2.00points / match
3.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
2
1
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 11:4
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
4
WonDrawnLost
4 played · 0:5
Aberdeen at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
3.67
Goals scored
0.00
1.33
Goals conceded
1.25
5.00
Total goals
1.25
19.00
Shots
7.00
6.33
Shots on target
1.00
10.67
Shots faced
15.00
5.67
Corners
4.25
6.33
Corners against
5.25
7.67
Fouls
13.75
0.67
Yellow cards
3.75
1.67
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.33
1st-half goals conceded
0.50
How often Full Time
67%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
0%
33%
Losses
100%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
25%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
67%
Both teams scored
0%
33%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
100%
How often Half Time
67%
Wins
0%
33%
Draws
50%
0%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
50%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Aberdeen at home
1
1
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
1
W
D
4
1
W
2
3
L
5
W
Kilmarnock away
1
L
D
3
1
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
L
1
L
1
L
1
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Aberdeen all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.09.22 | Hibernian – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 03.09.22 | Ross County – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.08.22 | Aberdeen – Livingston | 5–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 20.08.22 | St Johnstone – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 13.08.22 | Aberdeen – Motherwell | 2–3 (1–1) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 06.08.22 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 4–1 (3–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 31.07.22 | Celtic – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| 15.05.22 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 11.05.22 | St Johnstone – Aberdeen | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
| 07.05.22 | Hibernian – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.09.22 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 03.09.22 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.08.22 | Kilmarnock – Motherwell | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 20.08.22 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.37 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 14.08.22 | Kilmarnock – Celtic | 0–5 (0–3) | 17.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 06.08.22 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 30.07.22 | Kilmarnock – Dundee United | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 29.04.22SC1 | Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 22.04.22SC1 | Kilmarnock – Arbroath | 2–1 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 15.04.22SC1 | Inverness C – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
Aberdeen at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.08.22 | Aberdeen – Livingston | 5–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 13.08.22 | Aberdeen – Motherwell | 2–3 (1–1) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 06.08.22 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 4–1 (3–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.05.22 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 30.04.22 | Aberdeen – Dundee | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 23.04.22 | Aberdeen – Livingston | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 09.04.22 | Aberdeen – Ross County | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 19.03.22 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.37 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
| 26.02.22 | Aberdeen – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.75 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 15.02.22 | Aberdeen – St Johnstone | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.70 | 3.60 | 6.00 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.09.22 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 03.09.22 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 20.08.22 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.37 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 06.08.22 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 29.04.22SC1 | Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.04.22SC1 | Inverness C – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 01.04.22SC1 | Morton – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 5.00 | 3.10 | 1.85 | 2.60 | 1.47 |
| 11.03.22SC1 | Ayr – Kilmarnock | 1–3 (1–3) | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 26.02.22SC1 | Dunfermline – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 04.02.22SC1 | Arbroath – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 3 | +22 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Livingston | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 4 |
| 12 | Dundee United | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 2 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Livingston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 6 |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ross County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Dundee United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | -13 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 9 |
| 2 | Rangers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Hearts | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Aberdeen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Livingston | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ross County | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | 3 | Hearts | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | Celtic | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | Motherwell | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | St Johnstone | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | Dundee United | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | St Mirren | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | Livingston | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | Hibernian | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | Ross County | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 4 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Hearts | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | Rangers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | Livingston | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | Hibernian | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | Motherwell | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | Dundee United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| 9 | 2 | Celtic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | St Johnstone | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | Ross County | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | St Mirren | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | St Mirren | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | St Johnstone | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | Ross County | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | Dundee United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | Livingston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | Hibernian | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | Aberdeen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
