Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic – Scotland Premiership, 15 Feb 2026

Match facts

Kilmarnock Celtic

17 Shots 24

7 Shots on target 10

6 Corners 7

7 Fouls 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).

Result Celtic to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.72

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.66

Home / Draw / Away

29% 24% 47%

KilmarnockDrawCeltic

Under / Over 2.5 goals

44% 56%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.3% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Kilmarnock before this match, all matches

0.77points / match

1.08scored / match

1.96conceded / match

4 8 14

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 28:51

Celtic before this match, all matches

2.04points / match

1.80scored / match

0.96conceded / match

16 3 6

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 45:24

Kilmarnock all matches all matches Celtic

Per match

1.08 Goals scored 1.80

1.96 Goals conceded 0.96

3.04 Total goals 2.76

10.88 Shots 16.76

3.81 Shots on target 5.64

15.08 Shots faced 8.60

4.42 Corners 6.88

5.65 Corners against 3.64

13.04 Fouls 12.08

2.15 Yellow cards 1.68

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

15% Wins 64%

31% Draws 12%

54% Losses 24%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

85% Over 1.5 goals 76%

65% Over 2.5 goals 60%

42% Over 3.5 goals 36%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

58% Both teams scored 44%

19% Clean sheets 48%

31% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 56%

27% Draws 32%

42% Losses 12%

81% Over 0.5 goals 76%

38% Over 1.5 goals 28%

12% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock all matches

1

2

L

1

L

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

4

L

3

W

1

5

L

4

3

W

Celtic all matches

1

2

L

3

1

W

4

2

W

2

L

1

3

L

4

W

1

W

2

D

2

W

2

1

W

Kilmarnock before this match, at home

0.92points / match

1.15scored / match

1.69conceded / match

3 3 7

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:22

Celtic before this match, away

1.67points / match

1.33scored / match

1.25conceded / match

6 2 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:15

Kilmarnock at home away Celtic

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.33

1.69 Goals conceded 1.25

2.85 Total goals 2.58

12.92 Shots 12.67

4.00 Shots on target 3.17

12.00 Shots faced 11.08

5.15 Corners 5.08

3.92 Corners against 4.33

13.23 Fouls 11.75

2.23 Yellow cards 2.08

0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

23% Wins 50%

23% Draws 17%

54% Losses 33%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

77% Over 1.5 goals 75%

62% Over 2.5 goals 50%

31% Over 3.5 goals 25%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

46% Both teams scored 50%

23% Clean sheets 33%

38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%

23% Draws 33%

38% Losses 17%

77% Over 0.5 goals 75%

38% Over 1.5 goals 33%

8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kilmarnock at home

2

W

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

1

D

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

3

W

4

3

W

Celtic away

2

1

W

2

L

1

3

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

4

2

W

2

L

1

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Kilmarnock all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	4–3 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.45	2.10	1.73
04.02.26	Rangers – Kilmarnock	5–1 (1–0)	1.27	5.00	10.00	1.57	2.38
31.01.26	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	3–0 (2–0)	3.10	3.20	2.32	2.00	1.80
24.01.26	Motherwell – Kilmarnock	4–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.00	7.00	1.80	2.00
10.01.26	Livingston – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
03.01.26	Kilmarnock – Hibernian	1–3 (0–1)	4.50	3.40	1.76	2.00	1.80
30.12.25	Dundee – Kilmarnock	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.05	2.57	2.20	1.67
27.12.25	St Mirren – Kilmarnock	0–0 (0–0)	1.76	3.50	4.50	1.91	1.91
20.12.25	Kilmarnock – Falkirk	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.65	2.00	1.85
14.12.25	Aberdeen – Kilmarnock	2–1 (0–1)	1.71	3.50	4.75	1.93	1.93

Celtic all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Celtic – Livingston	2–1 (1–0)	1.10	9.00	17.00	1.36	3.20
01.02.26	Celtic – Falkirk	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	5.75	8.50	1.50	2.63
25.01.26	Hearts – Celtic	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
14.01.26	Falkirk – Celtic	0–1 (0–1)	5.75	4.75	1.45	1.62	2.30
10.01.26	Celtic – Dundee United	4–0 (2–0)	1.24	6.00	9.50	1.36	3.20
03.01.26	Celtic – Rangers	1–3 (1–0)	1.86	3.80	3.70	1.62	2.30
30.12.25	Motherwell – Celtic	2–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.90	1.66	1.62	2.30
27.12.25	Livingston – Celtic	2–4 (2–4)	8.50	4.75	1.35	1.57	2.38
21.12.25	Celtic – Aberdeen	3–1 (1–0)	1.30	6.00	7.50	1.50	2.63
17.12.25	Dundee United – Celtic	2–1 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.45	1.62	2.30

Kilmarnock at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	4–3 (2–1)	2.75	3.30	2.45	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	3–0 (2–0)	3.10	3.20	2.32	2.00	1.80
03.01.26	Kilmarnock – Hibernian	1–3 (0–1)	4.50	3.40	1.76	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Kilmarnock – Falkirk	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.65	2.00	1.85
06.12.25	Kilmarnock – Rangers	0–3 (0–1)	5.25	4.00	1.56	1.85	2.00
29.11.25	Kilmarnock – Dundee United	1–1 (1–0)	2.57	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
22.11.25	Kilmarnock – Motherwell	1–3 (0–2)	2.95	3.40	2.20	1.95	1.90
29.10.25	Kilmarnock – Aberdeen	0–1 (0–1)	2.65	3.30	2.50	2.03	1.83
18.10.25	Kilmarnock – Hearts	0–3 (0–1)	4.20	3.60	1.79	1.93	1.93
04.10.25	Kilmarnock – St Mirren	2–0 (2–0)	2.75	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73

Celtic away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.01.26	Hearts – Celtic	2–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
14.01.26	Falkirk – Celtic	0–1 (0–1)	5.75	4.75	1.45	1.62	2.30
30.12.25	Motherwell – Celtic	2–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.90	1.66	1.62	2.30
27.12.25	Livingston – Celtic	2–4 (2–4)	8.50	4.75	1.35	1.57	2.38
17.12.25	Dundee United – Celtic	2–1 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.45	1.62	2.30
30.11.25	Hibernian – Celtic	1–2 (0–2)	4.33	3.90	1.68	1.62	2.30
22.11.25	St Mirren – Celtic	0–1 (0–0)	6.50	4.75	1.39	1.53	2.50
26.10.25	Hearts – Celtic	3–1 (1–1)	3.25	3.60	2.05	1.73	2.10
19.10.25	Dundee – Celtic	2–0 (2–0)	10.00	6.50	1.19	1.44	2.75
14.09.25	Kilmarnock – Celtic	1–2 (0–0)	11.00	5.75	1.22	1.50	2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 10

Kilmarnock winsDrawsCeltic wins

12matches

3.75goals / match

75%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.25SC0	Celtic – Kilmarnock	4–0 (1–0)	1.13	7.50	13.00	1.36	3.20
14.09.25SC0	Kilmarnock – Celtic	1–2 (0–0)	11.00	5.75	1.22	1.50	2.63
12.04.25SC0	Celtic – Kilmarnock	5–1 (4–1)	1.18	7.00	12.00	1.33	3.40
10.11.24SC0	Kilmarnock – Celtic	0–2 (0–1)	8.50	5.25	1.30	1.50	2.63
04.08.24SC0	Celtic – Kilmarnock	4–0 (2–0)	1.17	7.00	17.00	1.36	3.20
15.05.24SC0	Kilmarnock – Celtic	0–5 (0–3)	6.50	5.75	1.36	1.44	2.75
17.02.24SC0	Celtic – Kilmarnock	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.48	2.60
10.12.23SC0	Kilmarnock – Celtic	2–1 (0–1)	6.50	6.00	1.36	1.62	2.25
07.10.23SC0	Celtic – Kilmarnock	3–1 (2–0)	1.18	7.50	13.00	1.44	2.70
16.04.23SC0	Kilmarnock – Celtic	1–4 (1–4)	15.00	7.00	1.20	1.44	2.75
07.01.23SC0	Celtic – Kilmarnock	2–0 (1–0)	1.08	12.00	23.00	1.29	3.75
14.08.22SC0	Kilmarnock – Celtic	0–5 (0–3)	17.00	6.50	1.20	1.53	2.50

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	26	17	6	3	48	20	+28	57
2	Rangers	26	14	10	2	43	19	+24	52
3	Celtic	25	16	3	6	45	24	+21	51
4	Motherwell	25	11	11	3	38	18	+20	44
5	Hibernian	27	11	9	7	43	31	+12	42
6	Falkirk	27	11	6	10	32	35	-3	39
7	Aberdeen	24	8	4	12	26	33	-7	28
8	Dundee United	25	6	10	9	33	42	-9	28
9	Dundee	26	6	6	14	21	40	-19	24
10	St Mirren	26	5	8	13	21	37	-16	23
11	Kilmarnock	26	4	8	14	28	51	-23	20
12	Livingston	27	1	9	17	28	56	-28	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	13	10	1	2	29	9	+20	31
2	Hearts	13	9	4	0	26	9	+17	31
3	Motherwell	13	8	4	1	23	6	+17	28
4	Rangers	13	8	4	1	22	9	+13	28
5	Hibernian	14	7	5	2	27	14	+13	26
6	Falkirk	14	5	5	4	20	17	+3	20
7	Dundee	12	5	2	5	16	18	-2	17
8	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	8	10	-2	17
9	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	19	15	+4	16
10	Dundee United	12	3	4	5	13	18	-5	13
11	Kilmarnock	13	3	3	7	15	22	-7	12
12	Livingston	13	1	4	8	16	25	-9	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hearts	13	8	2	3	22	11	+11	26
2	Rangers	13	6	6	1	21	10	+11	24
3	Celtic	12	6	2	4	16	15	+1	20
4	Falkirk	13	6	1	6	12	18	-6	19
5	Motherwell	12	3	7	2	15	12	+3	16
6	Hibernian	13	4	4	5	16	17	-1	16
7	Dundee United	13	3	6	4	20	24	-4	15
8	Aberdeen	12	4	0	8	7	18	-11	12
9	Kilmarnock	13	1	5	7	13	29	-16	8
10	Dundee	14	1	4	9	5	22	-17	7
11	St Mirren	13	1	3	9	13	27	-14	6
12	Livingston	14	0	5	9	12	31	-19	5

Kilmarnock Celtic

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Livingston	27	9	18	1.0	2.1	1	9	17	28	56	12
2	11	Kilmarnock	26	9	17	1.1	2.0	4	8	14	28	51	20
3	3	Celtic	25	10	15	1.8	1.0	16	3	6	45	24	51
4	5	Hibernian	27	13	14	1.6	1.1	11	9	7	43	31	42
5	6	Falkirk	27	13	14	1.2	1.3	11	6	10	32	35	39
6	1	Hearts	26	13	13	1.8	0.8	17	6	3	48	20	57
7	8	Dundee United	25	12	13	1.3	1.7	6	10	9	33	42	28
8	2	Rangers	26	14	12	1.7	0.7	14	10	2	43	19	52
9	9	Dundee	26	14	12	0.8	1.5	6	6	14	21	40	24
10	4	Motherwell	25	17	8	1.5	0.7	11	11	3	38	18	44
11	7	Aberdeen	24	16	8	1.1	1.4	8	4	12	26	33	28
12	10	St Mirren	26	18	8	0.8	1.4	5	8	13	21	37	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Celtic	13	4	9	2.2	0.7	10	1	2	29	9	31
2	12	Livingston	13	4	9	1.2	1.9	1	4	8	16	25	7
3	11	Kilmarnock	13	5	8	1.2	1.7	3	3	7	15	22	12
4	5	Hibernian	14	7	7	1.9	1.0	7	5	2	27	14	26
5	6	Falkirk	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	4	20	17	20
6	9	Dundee	12	5	7	1.3	1.5	5	2	5	16	18	17
7	1	Hearts	13	7	6	2.0	0.7	9	4	0	26	9	31
8	2	Rangers	13	7	6	1.7	0.7	8	4	1	22	9	28
9	8	Dundee United	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	3	4	5	13	18	13
10	7	Aberdeen	12	7	5	1.6	1.2	4	4	4	19	15	16
11	4	Motherwell	13	9	4	1.8	0.5	8	4	1	23	6	28
12	10	St Mirren	13	11	2	0.6	0.8	4	5	4	8	10	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Kilmarnock	13	4	9	1.0	2.2	1	5	7	13	29	8
2	12	Livingston	14	5	9	0.9	2.2	0	5	9	12	31	5
3	1	Hearts	13	6	7	1.7	0.8	8	2	3	22	11	26
4	5	Hibernian	13	6	7	1.2	1.3	4	4	5	16	17	16
5	6	Falkirk	13	6	7	0.9	1.4	6	1	6	12	18	19
6	8	Dundee United	13	6	7	1.5	1.8	3	6	4	20	24	15
7	2	Rangers	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	6	6	1	21	10	24
8	3	Celtic	12	6	6	1.3	1.2	6	2	4	16	15	20
9	10	St Mirren	13	7	6	1.0	2.1	1	3	9	13	27	6
10	9	Dundee	14	9	5	0.4	1.6	1	4	9	5	22	7
11	4	Motherwell	12	8	4	1.2	1.0	3	7	2	15	12	16
12	7	Aberdeen	12	9	3	0.6	1.5	4	0	8	7	18	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.