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Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: M MacDermid

Aberdeen 0–1 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 2.36
Draw 3.30 fair 3.81
Away ✓ 3.20 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.92
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
18 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 5
11 Fouls 21
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (87 league matches this season so far).
Result Aberdeen to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.6% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aberdeen before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.15scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:23
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.00scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:16
Aberdeen all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.00
1.77 Goals conceded 1.07
2.92 Total goals 2.07
10.38 Shots 14.87
3.38 Shots on target 3.80
14.38 Shots faced 11.73
4.62 Corners 6.87
6.08 Corners against 4.93
11.31 Fouls 11.73
1.85 Yellow cards 2.20
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

23% Wins 27%
31% Draws 33%
46% Losses 40%
85% Over 0.5 goals 87%
85% Over 1.5 goals 53%
46% Over 2.5 goals 40%
46% Over 3.5 goals 27%
15% Over 4.5 goals 0%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 47%
23% Clean sheets 33%
54% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 20%
23% Draws 47%
38% Losses 33%
77% Over 0.5 goals 67%
31% Over 1.5 goals 33%
8% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aberdeen all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Aberdeen before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:6
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.43points / match
0.71scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:10
Aberdeen at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 0.71
1.20 Goals conceded 1.43
2.40 Total goals 2.14
9.80 Shots 14.43
3.60 Shots on target 2.71
14.40 Shots faced 13.57
5.20 Corners 6.57
5.40 Corners against 5.86
12.60 Fouls 12.14
1.20 Yellow cards 2.71
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 43%
40% Losses 57%
80% Over 0.5 goals 71%
80% Over 1.5 goals 57%
40% Over 2.5 goals 57%
40% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 57%
40% Clean sheets 29%
40% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 14%
40% Draws 43%
20% Losses 43%
60% Over 0.5 goals 71%
40% Over 1.5 goals 43%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aberdeen at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aberdeen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Hibernian – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.93 1.93
26.11.23 Aberdeen – Rangers 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.331.50 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Celtic – Aberdeen 6–0 (2–0) 1.256.0013.00 1.48 2.60
01.11.23 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–4 (0–2) 2.453.402.88 1.95 1.90
29.10.23 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.70
08.10.23 Aberdeen – St Johnstone 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.95 1.90
30.09.23 Rangers – Aberdeen 1–3 (0–1) 1.295.2510.00 1.50 2.63
24.09.23 Aberdeen – Ross County 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.504.00 1.95 1.90
16.09.23 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
03.09.23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.40 2.03 1.83
25.11.23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.40 1.98 1.88
04.11.23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 2.08 1.73
01.11.23 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 2–1 (2–0) 3.503.202.20 2.20 1.65
29.10.23 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.70
21.10.23 Kilmarnock – Livingston 3–1 (2–1) 1.953.404.00 2.15 1.67
07.10.23 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.70
30.09.23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.253.10 2.20 1.67
23.09.23 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 2.10 1.73

Aberdeen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Aberdeen – Rangers 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.331.50 1.62 2.25
08.10.23 Aberdeen – St Johnstone 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.95 1.90
24.09.23 Aberdeen – Ross County 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.504.00 1.95 1.90
03.09.23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.98 1.88
13.08.23 Aberdeen – Celtic 1–3 (1–2) 7.505.501.33 1.44 2.75
24.05.23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.504.20 2.00 1.85
13.05.23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.90 1.95
23.04.23 Aberdeen – Rangers 2–0 (0–0) 6.504.001.53 1.57 2.38
08.04.23 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.02 1.83
18.03.23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.40 1.98 1.88
01.11.23 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 2–1 (2–0) 3.503.202.20 2.20 1.65
07.10.23 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.70
23.09.23 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 2.10 1.73
26.08.23 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.73
13.08.23 Hearts – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 1.88 1.98
24.05.23 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 0–3 (0–2) 2.503.302.88 1.98 1.88
06.05.23 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 1.91 1.91
22.04.23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aberdeen winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.70
08.04.23SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.02 1.83
28.12.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.502.30 2.10 1.73
01.10.22SC0 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 4–1 (3–1) 1.663.605.75 2.00 1.80

Scotland Premiership table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 15 12 3 0 38 9 +29 39
2 Rangers 14 10 1 3 29 7 +22 31
3 Hearts 14 7 2 5 14 12 +2 23
4 St Mirren 15 6 4 5 19 21 -2 22
5 Hibernian 15 5 6 4 22 21 +1 21
6 Dundee 14 4 6 4 18 20 -2 18
7 Kilmarnock 15 4 5 6 15 16 -1 17
8 Ross County 15 4 5 6 15 21 -6 17
9 Motherwell 16 3 5 8 19 28 -9 14
10 Aberdeen 13 3 4 6 15 23 -8 13
11 St Johnstone 14 2 5 7 9 22 -13 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 9 22 -13 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 5 2 0 19 5 +14 17
2 Rangers 7 5 0 2 14 5 +9 15
3 St Mirren 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
4 Kilmarnock 8 4 2 2 10 6 +4 14
5 Hibernian 8 3 3 2 11 8 +3 12
6 Dundee 8 3 3 2 10 10 0 12
7 Hearts 7 3 2 2 7 7 0 11
8 Ross County 8 3 2 3 7 7 0 11
9 St Johnstone 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
10 Motherwell 8 2 2 4 14 17 -3 8
11 Aberdeen 5 1 2 2 6 6 0 5
12 Livingston 6 1 2 3 3 8 -5 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 8 7 1 0 19 4 +15 22
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 15 2 +13 16
3 Hearts 7 4 0 3 7 5 +2 12
4 Hibernian 7 2 3 2 11 13 -2 9
5 St Mirren 8 2 2 4 7 13 -6 8
6 Aberdeen 8 2 2 4 9 17 -8 8
7 Dundee 6 1 3 2 8 10 -2 6
8 Ross County 7 1 3 3 8 14 -6 6
9 Motherwell 8 1 3 4 5 11 -6 6
10 Livingston 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
11 Kilmarnock 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3
12 St Johnstone 6 0 2 4 0 9 -9 2

Aberdeen   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 15 4 11 2.5 0.6 12 3 0 38 9 39
2 5 Hibernian 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 5 6 4 22 21 21
3 9 Motherwell 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 3 5 8 19 28 14
4 4 St Mirren 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 6 4 5 19 21 22
5 6 Dundee 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 4 6 4 18 20 18
6 2 Rangers 14 8 6 2.1 0.5 10 1 3 29 7 31
7 7 Kilmarnock 15 9 6 1.0 1.1 4 5 6 15 16 17
8 8 Ross County 15 9 6 1.0 1.4 4 5 6 15 21 17
9 10 Aberdeen 13 7 6 1.2 1.8 3 4 6 15 23 13
10 11 St Johnstone 14 9 5 0.6 1.6 2 5 7 9 22 11
11 3 Hearts 14 10 4 1.0 0.9 7 2 5 14 12 23
12 12 Livingston 14 10 4 0.6 1.6 2 4 8 9 22 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Motherwell 8 1 7 1.8 2.1 2 2 4 14 17 8
2 1 Celtic 7 2 5 2.7 0.7 5 2 0 19 5 17
3 4 St Mirren 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
4 2 Rangers 7 3 4 2.0 0.7 5 0 2 14 5 15
5 6 Dundee 8 4 4 1.2 1.2 3 3 2 10 10 12
6 11 St Johnstone 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
7 5 Hibernian 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 3 3 2 11 8 12
8 3 Hearts 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 3 2 2 7 7 11
9 7 Kilmarnock 8 6 2 1.2 0.8 4 2 2 10 6 14
10 8 Ross County 8 6 2 0.9 0.9 3 2 3 7 7 11
11 10 Aberdeen 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 2 6 6 5
12 12 Livingston 6 5 1 0.5 1.3 1 2 3 3 8 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 8 2 6 2.4 0.5 7 1 0 19 4 22
2 5 Hibernian 7 1 6 1.6 1.9 2 3 2 11 13 9
3 6 Dundee 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 1 3 2 8 10 6
4 7 Kilmarnock 7 3 4 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
5 8 Ross County 7 3 4 1.1 2.0 1 3 3 8 14 6
6 10 Aberdeen 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 2 2 4 9 17 8
7 4 St Mirren 8 5 3 0.9 1.6 2 2 4 7 13 8
8 12 Livingston 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
9 2 Rangers 7 5 2 2.1 0.3 5 1 1 15 2 16
10 3 Hearts 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 4 0 3 7 5 12
11 9 Motherwell 8 6 2 0.6 1.4 1 3 4 5 11 6
12 11 St Johnstone 6 5 1 0.0 1.5 0 2 4 0 9 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40