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Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: R Hardie

Falkirk 1–2 St Mirren

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.81 fair 1.80
Draw 3.50 fair 4.25
Away ✓ 4.20 fair 4.79
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Falkirk St Mirren
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 4
15 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result Falkirk to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.75 – 0.97
Home / Draw / Away
FalkirkDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.5% 1–1 11.2% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Falkirk before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.27scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 38:38
St Mirren before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
0.77scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 23:46
Falkirk all matches all matches St Mirren

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.77
1.27 Goals conceded 1.53
2.53 Total goals 2.30
12.33 Shots 11.93
4.03 Shots on target 3.47
12.07 Shots faced 13.17
4.80 Corners 5.50
4.77 Corners against 5.70
11.73 Fouls 13.03
2.07 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

40% Wins 17%
23% Draws 30%
37% Losses 53%
93% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 40%
27% Clean sheets 23%
33% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 13%
33% Draws 53%
47% Losses 33%
70% Over 0.5 goals 53%
37% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Falkirk all matches
St Mirren all matches
Falkirk before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.67scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:18
St Mirren before this match, away
0.47points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:30
Falkirk at home away St Mirren

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded 2.00
2.87 Total goals 3.00
13.20 Shots 11.87
4.47 Shots on target 3.13
10.93 Shots faced 13.73
4.40 Corners 5.80
4.00 Corners against 6.20
11.47 Fouls 13.67
1.60 Yellow cards 1.93
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

40% Wins 7%
33% Draws 27%
27% Losses 67%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 93%
53% Over 2.5 goals 47%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 13%
67% Both teams scored 67%
20% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 7%
33% Draws 47%
40% Losses 47%
73% Over 0.5 goals 60%
33% Over 1.5 goals 27%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Falkirk at home
St Mirren away

Last 10 matches before this match

Falkirk all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Aberdeen – Falkirk 1–1 (0–0) 2.853.402.30 2.00 1.80
28.02.26 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 5–1 (3–1) 1.664.104.50 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 Hearts – Falkirk 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.605.50 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Falkirk – Dundee United 2–3 (1–1) 1.793.404.00 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Falkirk – Dundee 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.755.25 1.98 1.88
04.02.26 Livingston – Falkirk 1–2 (0–2) 3.403.402.05 2.03 1.83
01.02.26 Celtic – Falkirk 2–0 (1–0) 1.275.758.50 1.50 2.63
24.01.26 Falkirk – Hibernian 4–1 (2–0) 3.253.302.20 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 Falkirk – Celtic 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.751.45 1.62 2.30
10.01.26 St Mirren – Falkirk 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.03 1.83

St Mirren all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 St Mirren – Rangers 0–1 (0–1) 5.253.901.57 1.80 2.00
03.03.26 Dundee United – St Mirren 2–1 (1–0) 2.323.252.85 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.10 1.91 1.91
21.02.26 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–5 (0–2) 3.003.202.35 2.00 1.80
14.02.26 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 1.813.504.10 1.98 1.88
11.02.26 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 4–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.45 2.10 1.73
03.02.26 St Mirren – Hearts 1–0 (0–0) 3.903.501.86 2.05 1.80
31.01.26 St Mirren – Dundee 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.75 2.00 1.85
20.01.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.823.402.32 2.00 1.85
14.01.26 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (0–0) 1.414.107.50 1.88 1.98

Falkirk at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 5–1 (3–1) 1.664.104.50 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Falkirk – Dundee United 2–3 (1–1) 1.793.404.00 1.83 2.03
11.02.26 Falkirk – Dundee 1–0 (0–0) 1.613.755.25 1.98 1.88
24.01.26 Falkirk – Hibernian 4–1 (2–0) 3.253.302.20 1.98 1.88
14.01.26 Falkirk – Celtic 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.751.45 1.62 2.30
03.01.26 Falkirk – Aberdeen 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.70 1.91 1.91
13.12.25 Falkirk – Hearts 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.601.76 1.91 1.91
03.12.25 Falkirk – Motherwell 0–0 (0–0) 2.573.302.57 1.88 1.98
08.11.25 Falkirk – Livingston 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.10 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Falkirk – Kilmarnock 3–1 (3–0) 2.013.603.25 1.83 2.03

St Mirren away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.03.26 Dundee United – St Mirren 2–1 (1–0) 2.323.252.85 2.10 1.73
28.02.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.10 1.91 1.91
14.02.26 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 1.813.504.10 1.98 1.88
11.02.26 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 4–3 (2–1) 2.753.302.45 2.10 1.73
20.01.26 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.823.402.32 2.00 1.85
14.01.26 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (0–0) 1.414.107.50 1.88 1.98
03.01.26 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 1.963.204.00 2.10 1.73
30.12.25 Rangers – St Mirren 2–1 (1–0) 1.574.005.25 1.80 2.00
03.12.25 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–3 (0–0) 2.153.303.25 1.98 1.88
29.11.25 Dundee – St Mirren 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.302.05 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Falkirk winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.01.26SC0 St Mirren – Falkirk 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.303.50 2.03 1.83
13.09.25SC0 Falkirk – St Mirren 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.00 1.85

Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 30 19 6 5 52 25 +27 63
2 Celtic 30 19 4 7 56 32 +24 61
3 Rangers 30 16 12 2 52 25 +27 60
4 Motherwell 30 14 11 5 49 23 +26 53
5 Hibernian 30 12 11 7 48 35 +13 47
6 Falkirk 30 12 7 11 38 38 0 43
7 Dundee United 30 7 13 10 38 48 -10 34
8 Dundee 30 8 8 14 31 48 -17 32
9 Aberdeen 30 8 6 16 30 42 -12 30
10 St Mirren 30 5 9 16 23 46 -23 24
11 Kilmarnock 30 5 9 16 33 60 -27 24
12 Livingston 30 1 12 17 31 59 -28 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hearts 15 11 4 0 28 9 +19 37
2 Celtic 15 11 1 3 33 12 +21 34
3 Motherwell 15 10 4 1 27 6 +21 34
4 Rangers 15 9 5 1 28 13 +15 32
5 Hibernian 15 7 6 2 27 14 +13 27
6 Falkirk 15 6 5 4 25 18 +7 23
7 Dundee 15 6 4 5 23 24 -1 22
8 Dundee United 15 4 6 5 16 20 -4 18
9 Aberdeen 15 4 5 6 23 21 +2 17
10 St Mirren 15 4 5 6 8 16 -8 17
11 Kilmarnock 15 4 3 8 18 25 -7 15
12 Livingston 15 1 6 8 19 28 -9 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 15 7 7 1 24 12 +12 28
2 Celtic 15 8 3 4 23 20 +3 27
3 Hearts 15 8 2 5 24 16 +8 26
4 Hibernian 15 5 5 5 21 21 0 20
5 Falkirk 15 6 2 7 13 20 -7 20
6 Motherwell 15 4 7 4 22 17 +5 19
7 Dundee United 15 3 7 5 22 28 -6 16
8 Aberdeen 15 4 1 10 7 21 -14 13
9 Dundee 15 2 4 9 8 24 -16 10
10 Kilmarnock 15 1 6 8 15 35 -20 9
11 St Mirren 15 1 4 10 15 30 -15 7
12 Livingston 15 0 6 9 12 31 -19 6

Falkirk   St Mirren

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Celtic 30 10 20 1.9 1.1 19 4 7 56 32 61
2 11 Kilmarnock 30 11 19 1.1 2.0 5 9 16 33 60 24
3 12 Livingston 30 11 19 1.0 2.0 1 12 17 31 59 15
4 5 Hibernian 30 14 16 1.6 1.2 12 11 7 48 35 47
5 8 Dundee 30 14 16 1.0 1.6 8 8 14 31 48 32
6 3 Rangers 30 15 15 1.7 0.8 16 12 2 52 25 60
7 6 Falkirk 30 15 15 1.3 1.3 12 7 11 38 38 43
8 7 Dundee United 30 15 15 1.3 1.6 7 13 10 38 48 34
9 1 Hearts 30 16 14 1.7 0.8 19 6 5 52 25 63
10 4 Motherwell 30 19 11 1.6 0.8 14 11 5 49 23 53
11 9 Aberdeen 30 20 10 1.0 1.4 8 6 16 30 42 30
12 10 St Mirren 30 20 10 0.8 1.5 5 9 16 23 46 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Celtic 15 4 11 2.2 0.8 11 1 3 33 12 34
2 8 Dundee 15 5 10 1.5 1.6 6 4 5 23 24 22
3 12 Livingston 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 1 6 8 19 28 9
4 11 Kilmarnock 15 6 9 1.2 1.7 4 3 8 18 25 15
5 3 Rangers 15 7 8 1.9 0.9 9 5 1 28 13 32
6 6 Falkirk 15 7 8 1.7 1.2 6 5 4 25 18 23
7 5 Hibernian 15 8 7 1.8 0.9 7 6 2 27 14 27
8 7 Dundee United 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 4 6 5 16 20 18
9 9 Aberdeen 15 8 7 1.5 1.4 4 5 6 23 21 17
10 1 Hearts 15 9 6 1.9 0.6 11 4 0 28 9 37
11 4 Motherwell 15 11 4 1.8 0.4 10 4 1 27 6 34
12 10 St Mirren 15 12 3 0.5 1.1 4 5 6 8 16 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Kilmarnock 15 5 10 1.0 2.3 1 6 8 15 35 9
2 2 Celtic 15 6 9 1.5 1.3 8 3 4 23 20 27
3 5 Hibernian 15 6 9 1.4 1.4 5 5 5 21 21 20
4 12 Livingston 15 6 9 0.8 2.1 0 6 9 12 31 6
5 1 Hearts 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 8 2 5 24 16 26
6 7 Dundee United 15 7 8 1.5 1.9 3 7 5 22 28 16
7 3 Rangers 15 8 7 1.6 0.8 7 7 1 24 12 28
8 4 Motherwell 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 4 7 4 22 17 19
9 6 Falkirk 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 6 2 7 13 20 20
10 10 St Mirren 15 8 7 1.0 2.0 1 4 10 15 30 7
11 8 Dundee 15 9 6 0.5 1.6 2 4 9 8 24 10
12 9 Aberdeen 15 12 3 0.5 1.4 4 1 10 7 21 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06