Hearts 3–1 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
1.80
fair 1.76
Draw
3.60
fair 4.52
Away
4.75
fair 4.76
Under 2.5
1.88
fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓
1.98
fair 1.74
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
Kilmarnock
13
Shots
14
5
Shots on target
5
7
Corners
2
17
Fouls
17
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (95 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.78
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
57%
22%
21%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
43%
58%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
44%
56%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
23%
2
22%
3
17%
4
18%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
1–0 9.6%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.60scored / match
1.67conceded / match
6
3
6
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 24:25
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.75scored / match
1.69conceded / match
4
3
9
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 12:27
Hearts all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.60
Goals scored
0.75
1.67
Goals conceded
1.69
3.27
Total goals
2.44
12.13
Shots
11.13
4.40
Shots on target
2.75
14.93
Shots faced
12.69
4.33
Corners
4.69
5.40
Corners against
4.88
10.07
Fouls
12.88
1.47
Yellow cards
2.38
0.60
1st-half goals scored
0.31
0.47
1st-half goals conceded
0.94
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
25%
20%
Draws
19%
40%
Losses
56%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
87%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
40%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
27%
Over 4.5 goals
19%
7%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
60%
Both teams scored
38%
7%
Clean sheets
19%
33%
Failed to score
50%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
19%
40%
Draws
31%
20%
Losses
50%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
69%
27%
Over 1.5 goals
25%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
1
L
3
W
4
L
2
2
D
2
L
3
4
L
2
1
W
3
2
W
1
L
1
1
D
Kilmarnock all matches
1
L
1
4
L
2
1
W
2
2
D
D
1
W
1
L
2
3
L
4
L
1
W
Hearts
before this match, at home
1.86points / match
2.29scored / match
2.14conceded / match
4
1
2
WonDrawnLost
7 played · 16:15
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
0.13points / match
0.13scored / match
1.75conceded / match
1
7
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 1:14
Hearts at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
2.29
Goals scored
0.13
2.14
Goals conceded
1.75
4.43
Total goals
1.88
15.29
Shots
9.00
6.14
Shots on target
1.63
14.00
Shots faced
13.13
5.00
Corners
5.00
5.43
Corners against
4.75
8.57
Fouls
11.88
1.00
Yellow cards
2.63
0.71
1st-half goals scored
0.13
0.57
1st-half goals conceded
1.13
How often Full Time
57%
Wins
0%
14%
Draws
13%
29%
Losses
88%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
38%
86%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
71%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
57%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
14%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
86%
Both teams scored
13%
0%
Clean sheets
13%
14%
Failed to score
88%
How often Half Time
43%
Wins
0%
43%
Draws
38%
14%
Losses
63%
71%
Over 0.5 goals
63%
43%
Over 1.5 goals
25%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
3
1
W
D
1
3
L
2
1
W
4
1
W
3
2
W
4
L
3
4
L
3
2
W
1
1
D
Kilmarnock away
1
2
L
1
1
D
2
L
1
L
1
L
1
L
1
4
L
D
1
L
4
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 09.11.22 | Rangers – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 06.11.22 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.10.22 | Ross County – Hearts | 1–2 (1–2) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 22.10.22 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–4 (1–1) | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 16.10.22 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 09.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 01.10.22 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–4 (0–2) | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| 18.09.22 | Motherwell – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.09.22 | Livingston – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | Kilmarnock – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 09.11.22 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (3–0) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 04.11.22 | Kilmarnock – Livingston | 2–3 (2–1) | 2.70 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 29.10.22 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 22.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 09.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 05.10.22 | Kilmarnock – St Johnstone | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 01.10.22 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 17.09.22 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.11.22 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 22.10.22 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–4 (1–1) | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 01.10.22 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–4 (0–2) | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| 28.08.22 | Hearts – St Johnstone | 3–2 (2–1) | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.75 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 14.08.22 | Hearts – Dundee United | 4–1 (1–0) | 1.60 | 3.75 | 6.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 30.07.22 | Hearts – Ross County | 2–1 (0–0) | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 14.05.22 | Hearts – Rangers | 1–3 (1–2) | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| 30.04.22 | Hearts – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 09.04.22 | Hearts – Hibernian | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.11.22 | Dundee United – Kilmarnock | 4–0 (3–0) | 2.45 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | St Johnstone – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 01.10.22 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 17.09.22 | Livingston – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 03.09.22 | Hibernian – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 20.08.22 | Ross County – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.37 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 06.08.22 | Rangers – Kilmarnock | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 29.04.22SC1 | Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.04.22SC1 | Inverness C – Kilmarnock | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1
Hearts winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.22SC0 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 13 | +38 | 45 |
| 2 | Rangers | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 25 |
| 4 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 23 |
| 5 | Hearts | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Ross County | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 15 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Dundee United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 18 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Livingston | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Ross County | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | +21 | 24 |
| 2 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 | Rangers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 5 | Hearts | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Livingston | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 7 | Ross County | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 3 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 1 |
Hearts Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 16 | 4 | 12 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 16 | 4 | 12 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | 3 | Aberdeen | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 25 |
| 4 | 6 | St Johnstone | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 21 |
| 5 | 9 | Motherwell | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 6 | 5 | Hearts | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | 7 | St Mirren | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | 12 | Dundee United | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernian | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 20 |
| 10 | 4 | Livingston | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | 10 | Ross County | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 15 |
| 12 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | 5 | Hearts | 7 | 1 | 6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
| 3 | 1 | Celtic | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | 3 | Aberdeen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernian | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | Ross County | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | St Johnstone | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | St Mirren | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | 6 | St Johnstone | 8 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | St Mirren | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | Aberdeen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | Hibernian | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | Dundee United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | Livingston | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | Ross County | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
