St Mirren 3–1 Aberdeen
Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023
Home ✓
2.75
fair 2.17
Draw
3.25
fair 4.12
Away
2.63
fair 3.37
Under 2.5
1.73
fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 1.80
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Aberdeen
16
Shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
8
Corners
5
16
Fouls
8
4
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (101 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.73
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
46%
24%
30%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
42%
58%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4%
2–1 9.3%
1–0 8.9%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.13scored / match
1.53conceded / match
6
3
6
WonDrawnLost
15 played · 17:23
Aberdeen
before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.82scored / match
1.59conceded / match
8
1
8
WonDrawnLost
17 played · 31:27
St Mirren all matches
all matches Aberdeen
Per match
1.13
Goals scored
1.82
1.53
Goals conceded
1.59
2.67
Total goals
3.41
10.80
Shots
11.82
3.00
Shots on target
4.12
12.80
Shots faced
15.06
6.00
Corners
4.29
5.67
Corners against
5.88
13.67
Fouls
9.88
2.60
Yellow cards
1.88
0.47
1st-half goals scored
0.82
0.67
1st-half goals conceded
0.65
How often Full Time
40%
Wins
47%
20%
Draws
6%
40%
Losses
47%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
73%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
41%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
40%
Both teams scored
59%
33%
Clean sheets
24%
33%
Failed to score
18%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
35%
33%
Draws
41%
33%
Losses
24%
73%
Over 0.5 goals
76%
27%
Over 1.5 goals
47%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
18%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
3
L
2
W
2
1
W
4
L
D
2
1
W
3
L
2
3
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
Aberdeen all matches
4
1
W
4
L
2
W
2
1
W
1
4
L
4
1
W
1
2
L
1
W
1
L
2
3
L
St Mirren
before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.22scored / match
0.67conceded / match
5
3
1
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 11:6
Aberdeen
before this match, away
0.88points / match
0.88scored / match
2.13conceded / match
2
1
5
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 7:17
St Mirren at home
away Aberdeen
Per match
1.22
Goals scored
0.88
0.67
Goals conceded
2.13
1.89
Total goals
3.00
11.44
Shots
10.75
3.00
Shots on target
3.50
11.33
Shots faced
16.75
6.00
Corners
4.50
5.89
Corners against
7.00
13.22
Fouls
10.63
2.44
Yellow cards
2.13
0.44
1st-half goals scored
0.38
0.22
1st-half goals conceded
1.00
How often Full Time
56%
Wins
25%
33%
Draws
13%
11%
Losses
63%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
56%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
11%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
44%
Both teams scored
63%
44%
Clean sheets
13%
22%
Failed to score
25%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
13%
56%
Draws
38%
11%
Losses
50%
56%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
11%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
D
1
L
1
W
1
W
2
W
2
1
W
D
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
1
D
Aberdeen away
1
1
D
1
L
2
L
1
W
1
1
D
1
3
L
4
L
2
1
W
1
4
L
1
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.22 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 05.11.22 | Ross County – St Mirren | 3–2 (1–2) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 22.10.22 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 08.10.22 | Rangers – St Mirren | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.20 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| 01.10.22 | St Mirren – Livingston | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 18.09.22 | St Mirren – Celtic | 2–0 (1–0) | 17.00 | 7.50 | 1.16 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 03.09.22 | St Johnstone – St Mirren | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
Aberdeen all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.22 | Aberdeen – Rangers | 2–3 (1–1) | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 17.12.22 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 0–1 (0–0) | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 12.11.22 | Aberdeen – Dundee United | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.22 | Livingston – Aberdeen | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 04.11.22 | Aberdeen – Hibernian | 4–1 (1–0) | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 29.10.22 | Rangers – Aberdeen | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| 22.10.22 | Motherwell – Aberdeen | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 16.10.22 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 08.10.22 | Dundee United – Aberdeen | 4–0 (2–0) | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 01.10.22 | Aberdeen – Kilmarnock | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.66 | 3.60 | 5.75 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.11.22 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.22 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 22.10.22 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 01.10.22 | St Mirren – Livingston | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 18.09.22 | St Mirren – Celtic | 2–0 (1–0) | 17.00 | 7.50 | 1.16 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 27.08.22 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 13.08.22 | St Mirren – Ross County | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 31.07.22 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 11.05.22 | St Mirren – Livingston | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
Aberdeen away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.11.22 | Livingston – Aberdeen | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | Rangers – Aberdeen | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.61 | 2.30 |
| 22.10.22 | Motherwell – Aberdeen | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 08.10.22 | Dundee United – Aberdeen | 4–0 (2–0) | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 17.09.22 | Hibernian – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 03.09.22 | Ross County – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 20.08.22 | St Johnstone – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 31.07.22 | Celtic – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| 11.05.22 | St Johnstone – Aberdeen | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
| 07.05.22 | Hibernian – Aberdeen | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 1 2
St Mirren winsDrawsAberdeen wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.08.22SC0 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 4–1 (3–0) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.05.22SC0 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 25.01.22SC0 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 1–0 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 04.12.21SC0 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 4–1 (3–1) | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.37 | 1.57 |
| 26.09.21SC0 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–2 (1–2) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 14 | +39 | 48 |
| 2 | Rangers | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 18 | +23 | 42 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 27 | +4 | 25 |
| 4 | Hearts | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 26 | +1 | 24 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Livingston | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 23 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 16 |
| 11 | Ross County | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Dundee United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Celtic | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 24 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Livingston | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | +21 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | Hearts | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Livingston | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | Ross County | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 3 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 3 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 2 |
St Mirren Aberdeen
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 17 | 4 | 13 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 14 | 48 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | 3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 25 |
| 4 | 5 | St Johnstone | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | 9 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 24 | 18 |
| 6 | 4 | Hearts | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 24 |
| 7 | 7 | St Mirren | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 9 | 9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 16 |
| 9 | 12 | Dundee United | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | Livingston | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 11 | 8 | Hibernian | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 20 |
| 12 | 11 | Ross County | 18 | 10 | 8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Hearts | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | 3 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | 11 | Ross County | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | 8 | Hibernian | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | 5 | St Johnstone | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | St Mirren | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | St Johnstone | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | 7 | St Mirren | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | Aberdeen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | Motherwell | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | Hibernian | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | Dundee United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | Ross County | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
