Elgin 0–1 Dumbarton – Scotland League Two, 27 Jan 2024

Match facts

Elgin Dumbarton

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 4

13 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).

Result Dumbarton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.71

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.61

Home / Draw / Away

31% 24% 44%

ElginDrawDumbarton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

44% 56%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.4% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Elgin before this match, all matches

0.95points / match

0.84scored / match

1.89conceded / match

5 3 11

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:36

Dumbarton before this match, all matches

1.63points / match

1.79scored / match

1.26conceded / match

9 4 6

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 34:24

Elgin all matches all matches Dumbarton

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.79

1.89 Goals conceded 1.26

2.74 Total goals 3.05

8.26 Shots 10.05

3.00 Shots on target 4.32

10.47 Shots faced 9.32

3.26 Corners 6.53

5.26 Corners against 5.53

12.68 Fouls 10.37

2.32 Yellow cards 1.89

0.26 1st-half goals scored 0.95

0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

26% Wins 47%

16% Draws 21%

58% Losses 32%

95% Over 0.5 goals 100%

79% Over 1.5 goals 74%

53% Over 2.5 goals 47%

26% Over 3.5 goals 42%

11% Over 4.5 goals 16%

11% Over 5.5 goals 16%

47% Both teams scored 53%

21% Clean sheets 26%

37% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 42%

21% Draws 37%

53% Losses 21%

79% Over 0.5 goals 68%

32% Over 1.5 goals 32%

5% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Elgin all matches

1

3

L

2

W

1

L

1

W

4

L

4

L

2

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

Dumbarton all matches

2

L

4

W

1

W

1

W

1

L

4

2

W

4

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

Elgin before this match, at home

1.89points / match

1.22scored / match

1.00conceded / match

5 2 2

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:9

Dumbarton before this match, away

1.56points / match

1.78scored / match

1.44conceded / match

4 2 3

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:13

Elgin at home away Dumbarton

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.78

1.00 Goals conceded 1.44

2.22 Total goals 3.22

10.11 Shots 10.56

4.00 Shots on target 4.89

10.22 Shots faced 9.56

3.56 Corners 6.44

4.89 Corners against 5.89

13.33 Fouls 10.56

2.56 Yellow cards 2.00

0.44 1st-half goals scored 1.33

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

56% Wins 44%

22% Draws 22%

22% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

78% Over 1.5 goals 89%

33% Over 2.5 goals 44%

11% Over 3.5 goals 44%

0% Over 4.5 goals 22%

0% Over 5.5 goals 22%

44% Both teams scored 56%

33% Clean sheets 22%

22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 67%

11% Draws 11%

44% Losses 22%

89% Over 0.5 goals 89%

11% Over 1.5 goals 33%

11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Elgin at home

1

W

1

L

1

D

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

4

L

2

1

W

2

1

W

Dumbarton away

1

L

1

D

4

2

W

2

L

4

W

2

L

1

W

4

2

W

1

3

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Elgin all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Forfar – Elgin	2–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.90
06.01.24	Elgin – Stranraer	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.80	2.15	1.93	1.93
30.12.23	Elgin – Peterhead	2–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.60	1.67	1.93	1.93
23.12.23	Stenhousemuir – Elgin	2–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.25	7.50	1.67	2.15
16.12.23	Elgin – Spartans	0–4 (0–3)	3.40	4.00	1.83	1.75	2.05
09.12.23	East Fife – Elgin	4–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.40	4.33	1.80	2.00
21.11.23	Elgin – Forfar	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.25	2.30	2.20	1.70
18.11.23	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.25	9.00	1.67	2.15
11.11.23	Elgin – Bonnyrigg Rose	2–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	1.95	1.80	2.00
04.11.23	Stranraer – Elgin	3–1 (2–0)	1.70	3.50	4.50	1.85	2.00

Dumbarton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Bonnyrigg Rose – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.50	2.30	1.90	1.95
09.01.24	Peterhead – Dumbarton	3–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.60	1.60	2.30
06.01.24	Dumbarton – East Fife	1–2 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	3.75	1.93	1.93
23.12.23	Dumbarton – Clyde	4–4 (2–2)	1.40	4.33	6.50	1.65	2.20
16.12.23	Forfar – Dumbarton	2–4 (2–3)	3.00	3.40	2.15	2.00	1.85
09.12.23	Dumbarton – Stenhousemuir	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.75	2.80	1.88	1.98
18.11.23	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.25	9.00	1.67	2.15
11.11.23	East Fife – Dumbarton	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.20	2.15	1.85	2.00
04.11.23	Dumbarton – Bonnyrigg Rose	4–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.75	3.40	1.88	1.98
21.10.23	Spartans – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	2.88	1.85	2.00

Elgin at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.01.24	Elgin – Stranraer	2–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.80	2.15	1.93	1.93
30.12.23	Elgin – Peterhead	2–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.60	1.67	1.93	1.93
16.12.23	Elgin – Spartans	0–4 (0–3)	3.40	4.00	1.83	1.75	2.05
21.11.23	Elgin – Forfar	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.25	2.30	2.20	1.70
11.11.23	Elgin – Bonnyrigg Rose	2–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	1.95	1.80	2.00
24.10.23	Elgin – Stenhousemuir	1–1 (0–1)	4.20	4.20	1.57	1.75	2.05
16.09.23	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	3.50	3.40	2.00	1.88	1.98
26.08.23	Elgin – East Fife	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.38	1.80	2.00
05.08.23	Elgin – Stranraer	0–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	2.60	1.80	2.05
29.04.23	Elgin – Dumbarton	1–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.40	1.80	2.00

Dumbarton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.24	Bonnyrigg Rose – Dumbarton	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.50	2.30	1.90	1.95
09.01.24	Peterhead – Dumbarton	3–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	2.60	1.60	2.30
16.12.23	Forfar – Dumbarton	2–4 (2–3)	3.00	3.40	2.15	2.00	1.85
11.11.23	East Fife – Dumbarton	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.20	2.15	1.85	2.00
21.10.23	Spartans – Dumbarton	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	2.88	1.85	2.00
07.10.23	Clyde – Dumbarton	0–4 (0–2)	4.00	3.30	1.95	1.93	1.93
16.09.23	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	3.50	3.40	2.00	1.88	1.98
26.08.23	Stenhousemuir – Dumbarton	2–4 (0–4)	2.15	3.25	3.00	1.80	2.00
05.08.23	Bonnyrigg Rose – Dumbarton	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.40	2.45	1.93	1.93
29.04.23	Elgin – Dumbarton	1–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.40	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 3

Elgin winsDrawsDumbarton wins

6matches

2.33goals / match

50%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.11.23SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	5.25	9.00	1.67	2.15
16.09.23SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	2–0 (1–0)	3.50	3.40	2.00	1.88	1.98
29.04.23SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	1–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.40	1.80	2.00
25.02.23SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	1–2 (1–1)	1.65	3.50	4.50	1.85	1.95
12.11.22SC3	Elgin – Dumbarton	0–4 (0–1)	2.70	3.30	2.25	1.88	1.98
27.08.22SC3	Dumbarton – Elgin	2–1 (0–1)	1.72	3.75	4.20	1.80	2.00

Scotland League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	21	16	4	1	38	13	+25	52
2	Peterhead	21	11	3	7	35	23	+12	36
3	Spartans	18	9	5	4	31	21	+10	32
4	Dumbarton	19	9	4	6	34	24	+10	31
5	Bonnyrigg Rose	19	6	5	8	29	30	-1	23
6	East Fife	20	5	7	8	27	27	0	22
7	Stranraer	20	6	4	10	24	38	-14	22
8	Forfar	20	4	8	8	20	26	-6	20
9	Elgin	19	5	3	11	16	36	-20	18
10	Clyde	19	2	7	10	22	38	-16	13

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	11	8	2	1	22	10	+12	26
2	Peterhead	10	6	1	3	19	9	+10	19
3	Dumbarton	10	5	2	3	18	11	+7	17
4	Elgin	9	5	2	2	11	9	+2	17
5	Stranraer	9	5	1	3	15	13	+2	16
6	Spartans	10	4	3	3	14	11	+3	15
7	Bonnyrigg Rose	9	3	4	2	16	12	+4	13
8	East Fife	10	3	3	4	14	13	+1	12
9	Forfar	10	1	5	4	11	17	-6	8
10	Clyde	10	2	2	6	10	21	-11	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	10	8	2	0	16	3	+13	26
2	Spartans	8	5	2	1	17	10	+7	17
3	Peterhead	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17
4	Dumbarton	9	4	2	3	16	13	+3	14
5	Forfar	10	3	3	4	9	9	0	12
6	East Fife	10	2	4	4	13	14	-1	10
7	Bonnyrigg Rose	10	3	1	6	13	18	-5	10
8	Stranraer	11	1	3	7	9	25	-16	6
9	Clyde	9	0	5	4	12	17	-5	5
10	Elgin	10	0	1	9	5	27	-22	1

Elgin Dumbarton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Peterhead	21	8	13	1.7	1.1	11	3	7	35	23	36
2	7	Stranraer	20	8	12	1.2	1.9	6	4	10	24	38	22
3	10	Clyde	19	7	12	1.2	2.0	2	7	10	22	38	13
4	3	Spartans	18	8	10	1.7	1.2	9	5	4	31	21	32
5	5	Bonnyrigg Rose	19	9	10	1.5	1.6	6	5	8	29	30	23
6	6	East Fife	20	10	10	1.4	1.4	5	7	8	27	27	22
7	9	Elgin	19	9	10	0.8	1.9	5	3	11	16	36	18
8	1	Stenhousemuir	21	12	9	1.8	0.6	16	4	1	38	13	52
9	4	Dumbarton	19	10	9	1.8	1.3	9	4	6	34	24	31
10	8	Forfar	20	11	9	1.0	1.3	4	8	8	20	26	20

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Clyde	10	2	8	1.0	2.1	2	2	6	10	21	8
2	1	Stenhousemuir	11	5	6	2.0	0.9	8	2	1	22	10	26
3	2	Peterhead	10	4	6	1.9	0.9	6	1	3	19	9	19
4	8	Forfar	10	4	6	1.1	1.7	1	5	4	11	17	8
5	3	Spartans	10	5	5	1.4	1.1	4	3	3	14	11	15
6	4	Dumbarton	10	5	5	1.8	1.1	5	2	3	18	11	17
7	6	East Fife	10	5	5	1.4	1.3	3	3	4	14	13	12
8	7	Stranraer	9	4	5	1.7	1.4	5	1	3	15	13	16
9	5	Bonnyrigg Rose	9	6	3	1.8	1.3	3	4	2	16	12	13
10	9	Elgin	9	6	3	1.2	1.0	5	2	2	11	9	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Peterhead	11	4	7	1.5	1.3	5	2	4	16	14	17
2	5	Bonnyrigg Rose	10	3	7	1.3	1.8	3	1	6	13	18	10
3	7	Stranraer	11	4	7	0.8	2.3	1	3	7	9	25	6
4	9	Elgin	10	3	7	0.5	2.7	0	1	9	5	27	1
5	3	Spartans	8	3	5	2.1	1.2	5	2	1	17	10	17
6	6	East Fife	10	5	5	1.3	1.4	2	4	4	13	14	10
7	4	Dumbarton	9	5	4	1.8	1.4	4	2	3	16	13	14
8	10	Clyde	9	5	4	1.3	1.9	0	5	4	12	17	5
9	1	Stenhousemuir	10	7	3	1.6	0.3	8	2	0	16	3	26
10	8	Forfar	10	7	3	0.9	0.9	3	3	4	9	9	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.