Kelty Hearts 1–0 Stirling
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024
Home ✓
2.25
fair 2.17
Draw
3.50
fair 4.15
Away
2.75
fair 3.35
Under 2.5 ✓
2.10
fair 2.29
Over 2.5
1.70
fair 1.77
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Kelty Hearts
Stirling
9
Shots
9
1
Shots on target
4
4
Corners
5
12
Fouls
11
4
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kelty Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.71
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
46%
24%
30%
Kelty HeartsDrawStirling
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
41%
59%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
17%
4
18%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2%
2–1 9.3%
1–0 8.7%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
Kelty Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.38scored / match
1.72conceded / match
11
7
14
WonDrawnLost
32 played · 44:55
Stirling
before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.09scored / match
1.72conceded / match
9
7
16
WonDrawnLost
32 played · 35:55
Kelty Hearts all matches
all matches Stirling
Per match
1.38
Goals scored
1.09
1.72
Goals conceded
1.72
3.09
Total goals
2.81
8.31
Shots
8.31
3.47
Shots on target
3.91
10.59
Shots faced
9.78
4.91
Corners
4.44
6.06
Corners against
6.19
9.75
Fouls
10.59
1.63
Yellow cards
1.84
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.47
0.81
1st-half goals conceded
0.84
How often Full Time
34%
Wins
28%
22%
Draws
22%
44%
Losses
50%
97%
Over 0.5 goals
97%
78%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
63%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
44%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
22%
Over 4.5 goals
16%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
59%
Both teams scored
41%
13%
Clean sheets
28%
31%
Failed to score
34%
How often Half Time
19%
Wins
19%
47%
Draws
50%
34%
Losses
31%
72%
Over 0.5 goals
69%
41%
Over 1.5 goals
41%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kelty Hearts all matches
3
2
W
2
4
L
1
L
5
L
3
L
1
L
2
1
W
2
3
L
3
1
W
2
1
W
Stirling all matches
1
L
1
2
L
4
W
D
2
2
D
1
2
L
3
L
1
W
2
4
L
1
5
L
Kelty Hearts
before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.06scored / match
1.50conceded / match
6
3
7
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 17:24
Stirling
before this match, away
0.81points / match
0.75scored / match
2.13conceded / match
4
1
11
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 12:34
Kelty Hearts at home
away Stirling
Per match
1.06
Goals scored
0.75
1.50
Goals conceded
2.13
2.56
Total goals
2.88
7.75
Shots
6.75
2.94
Shots on target
3.00
10.38
Shots faced
9.44
4.50
Corners
4.44
5.63
Corners against
6.88
10.13
Fouls
10.63
1.44
Yellow cards
1.94
0.38
1st-half goals scored
0.38
0.75
1st-half goals conceded
1.06
How often Full Time
38%
Wins
25%
19%
Draws
6%
44%
Losses
69%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
63%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
44%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
19%
Over 4.5 goals
19%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
50%
Both teams scored
31%
13%
Clean sheets
19%
44%
Failed to score
50%
How often Half Time
13%
Wins
6%
56%
Draws
56%
31%
Losses
38%
63%
Over 0.5 goals
63%
31%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Kelty Hearts at home
1
L
1
L
1
1
D
D
3
2
W
1
L
5
L
1
L
2
1
W
3
1
W
Stirling away
5
L
1
3
L
3
1
W
5
L
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
2
2
D
3
L
2
4
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Kelty Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.04.24 | Queen of Sth – Kelty Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 30.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.25 | 6.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 23.03.24 | Annan Athletic – Kelty Hearts | 3–2 (3–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| 19.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Alloa | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 16.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 09.03.24 | Alloa – Kelty Hearts | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 02.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–5 (0–3) | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 24.02.24 | Kelty Hearts – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–1) | 6.50 | 5.25 | 1.36 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 17.02.24 | Montrose – Kelty Hearts | 4–2 (2–0) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.02.24 | Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City | 3–2 (1–1) | 1.11 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Stirling all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.04.24 | Stirling – Alloa | 1–5 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 30.03.24 | Cove Rangers – Stirling | 4–2 (2–1) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 23.03.24 | Stirling – Montrose | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 16.03.24 | Hamilton – Stirling | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 09.03.24 | Stirling – Falkirk | 1–2 (1–1) | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.36 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 02.03.24 | Queen of Sth – Stirling | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 27.02.24 | Stirling – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 24.02.24 | Stirling – Edinburgh City | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.11 | 8.50 | 19.00 | 1.36 | 3.00 |
| 17.02.24 | Annan Athletic – Stirling | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 10.02.24 | Alloa – Stirling | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Kelty Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.30 | 5.25 | 6.50 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 19.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Alloa | 2–1 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 16.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 02.03.24 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–5 (0–3) | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 24.02.24 | Kelty Hearts – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–1) | 6.50 | 5.25 | 1.36 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 13.02.24 | Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City | 3–2 (1–1) | 1.11 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| 10.02.24 | Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 13.01.24 | Kelty Hearts – Annan Athletic | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 16.12.23 | Kelty Hearts – Montrose | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 11.11.23 | Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
Stirling away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.03.24 | Cove Rangers – Stirling | 4–2 (2–1) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 16.03.24 | Hamilton – Stirling | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 02.03.24 | Queen of Sth – Stirling | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 17.02.24 | Annan Athletic – Stirling | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 10.02.24 | Alloa – Stirling | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 13.01.24 | Montrose – Stirling | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 30.12.23 | Falkirk – Stirling | 5–0 (4–0) | 1.20 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 09.12.23 | Edinburgh City – Stirling | 1–3 (1–2) | 7.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 18.11.23 | Cove Rangers – Stirling | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.67 | 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 11.11.23 | Hamilton – Stirling | 5–0 (2–0) | 1.40 | 4.33 | 7.50 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 2 2
Kelty Hearts winsDrawsStirling wins
7matches
2.57goals / match
43%over 2.5
43%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.01.24SC2 | Stirling – Kelty Hearts | 5–0 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 28.10.23SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Stirling | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 26.08.23SC2 | Stirling – Kelty Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 09.04.22SC3 | Kelty Hearts – Stirling | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 08.01.22SC3 | Stirling – Kelty Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| 30.10.21SC3 | Kelty Hearts – Stirling | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| 07.08.21SC3 | Stirling – Kelty Hearts | 1–3 (0–2) | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
Scotland League One table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 21 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66 | 24 | +42 | 65 |
| 3 | Alloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 51 |
| 4 | Montrose | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 46 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
| 7 | Queen of Sth | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Stirling | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 34 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 31 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 31 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 9 | +34 | 44 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 31 |
| 3 | Alloa | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 28 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 28 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 | Montrose | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 22 |
| 6 | Stirling | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 21 |
| 9 | Queen of Sth | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 9 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 12 | +32 | 40 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | +22 | 34 |
| 3 | Montrose | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 21 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | Alloa | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Queen of Sth | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | Stirling | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 10 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 2 |
Kelty Hearts Stirling
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Edinburgh City | 31 | 7 | 24 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 34 | 88 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | Falkirk | 32 | 9 | 23 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 21 | 84 |
| 3 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 32 | 9 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 31 |
| 4 | 3 | Alloa | 32 | 11 | 21 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 50 | 51 |
| 5 | 5 | Cove Rangers | 32 | 12 | 20 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 53 | 46 |
| 6 | 6 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 12 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 55 | 40 |
| 7 | 2 | Hamilton | 32 | 14 | 18 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66 | 24 | 65 |
| 8 | 4 | Montrose | 31 | 13 | 18 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 46 |
| 9 | 8 | Stirling | 32 | 14 | 18 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 55 | 34 |
| 10 | 7 | Queen of Sth | 32 | 15 | 17 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 50 | 34 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 2 | 14 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 29 | 21 |
| 2 | 1 | Falkirk | 16 | 4 | 12 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | 5 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 24 |
| 4 | 10 | Edinburgh City | 15 | 3 | 12 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | Queen of Sth | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 32 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | Montrose | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | 2 | Hamilton | 16 | 8 | 8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 31 |
| 8 | 3 | Alloa | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | 8 | Stirling | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 21 |
| 10 | 6 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 21 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Alloa | 16 | 3 | 13 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 23 |
| 2 | 6 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 31 | 19 |
| 3 | 10 | Edinburgh City | 16 | 4 | 12 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 47 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | Falkirk | 16 | 5 | 11 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | 2 | Hamilton | 16 | 6 | 10 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 34 |
| 6 | 8 | Stirling | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | Montrose | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 24 |
| 8 | 9 | Annan Athletic | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | 7 | Queen of Sth | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 22 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06
