Kelty Hearts 2–1 Alloa – Scotland League One, 19 Mar 2024

Match facts

Kelty Hearts Alloa

17 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 8

8 Fouls 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (144 league matches this season so far).

Result Alloa to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.56

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.74

Home / Draw / Away

33% 23% 44%

Kelty HeartsDrawAlloa

Under / Over 2.5 goals

37% 63%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.2% 1–2 8.9% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Kelty Hearts before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

1.25scored / match

1.75conceded / match

8 7 13

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 35:49

Alloa before this match, all matches

1.68points / match

1.71scored / match

1.57conceded / match

14 5 9

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 48:44

Kelty Hearts all matches all matches Alloa

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.71

1.75 Goals conceded 1.57

3.00 Total goals 3.29

7.68 Shots 9.68

3.21 Shots on target 4.43

11.11 Shots faced 9.89

4.93 Corners 4.64

6.18 Corners against 5.07

9.86 Fouls 10.18

1.64 Yellow cards 1.82

0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

29% Wins 50%

25% Draws 18%

46% Losses 32%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

75% Over 1.5 goals 82%

57% Over 2.5 goals 68%

43% Over 3.5 goals 36%

21% Over 4.5 goals 25%

7% Over 5.5 goals 11%

54% Both teams scored 64%

14% Clean sheets 21%

36% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 32%

46% Draws 39%

36% Losses 29%

71% Over 0.5 goals 71%

39% Over 1.5 goals 32%

11% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kelty Hearts all matches

1

D

5

L

3

W

D

3

2

W

2

4

L

1

L

5

L

3

L

1

L

Alloa all matches

1

D

5

L

3

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

4

1

W

2

1

W

3

4

L

3

W

5

2

W

Kelty Hearts before this match, at home

1.07points / match

0.86scored / match

1.57conceded / match

4 3 7

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:22

Alloa before this match, away

1.43points / match

1.86scored / match

1.93conceded / match

6 2 6

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:27

Kelty Hearts at home away Alloa

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.86

1.57 Goals conceded 1.93

2.43 Total goals 3.79

6.93 Shots 10.21

2.43 Shots on target 4.50

10.93 Shots faced 11.36

4.50 Corners 4.07

5.64 Corners against 5.29

10.36 Fouls 10.86

1.57 Yellow cards 2.07

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.86

0.79 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

29% Wins 43%

21% Draws 14%

50% Losses 43%

93% Over 0.5 goals 100%

57% Over 1.5 goals 100%

36% Over 2.5 goals 79%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

21% Over 4.5 goals 29%

7% Over 5.5 goals 21%

43% Both teams scored 79%

14% Clean sheets 7%

50% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 29%

50% Draws 29%

36% Losses 43%

64% Over 0.5 goals 86%

29% Over 1.5 goals 50%

14% Over 2.5 goals 36%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Kelty Hearts at home

3

1

W

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

D

3

2

W

1

L

5

L

1

L

Alloa away

1

2

L

3

L

2

W

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

3

2

W

2

1

W

3

4

L

5

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Kelty Hearts all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers	0–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.20	1.62	2.25
09.03.24	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.50	1.53	2.38
02.03.24	Kelty Hearts – Hamilton	0–5 (0–3)	5.00	4.20	1.53	1.67	2.15
24.02.24	Kelty Hearts – Falkirk	0–1 (0–1)	6.50	5.25	1.36	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Montrose – Kelty Hearts	4–2 (2–0)	2.05	3.50	3.10	1.73	2.08
13.02.24	Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City	3–2 (1–1)	1.11	7.00	17.00	1.40	2.75
10.02.24	Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Edinburgh City – Kelty Hearts	0–3 (0–1)	8.50	6.50	1.22	1.33	3.25
27.01.24	Stirling – Kelty Hearts	5–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.40	2.75	1.95	1.90
13.01.24	Kelty Hearts – Annan Athletic	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.80	3.60	1.62	2.25

Alloa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Edinburgh City – Alloa	2–5 (2–1)	10.00	7.50	1.17	1.40	2.75
09.03.24	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.50	1.53	2.38
02.03.24	Montrose – Alloa	4–3 (2–2)	2.10	3.40	3.00	1.85	2.00
24.02.24	Hamilton – Alloa	1–2 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	6.50	1.65	2.20
17.02.24	Alloa – Cove Rangers	4–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.75	2.60	1.62	2.25
13.02.24	Alloa – Annan Athletic	2–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	3.60	1.60	2.30
10.02.24	Alloa – Stirling	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.10	1.83	2.03
03.02.24	Annan Athletic – Alloa	2–3 (1–2)	2.70	3.75	2.20	1.65	2.20
27.01.24	Alloa – Falkirk	0–5 (0–1)	6.50	4.20	1.40	1.62	2.25
13.01.24	Queen of Sth – Alloa	1–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.40	2.88	1.75	2.05

Kelty Hearts at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers	0–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.20	1.62	2.25
02.03.24	Kelty Hearts – Hamilton	0–5 (0–3)	5.00	4.20	1.53	1.67	2.15
24.02.24	Kelty Hearts – Falkirk	0–1 (0–1)	6.50	5.25	1.36	1.57	2.35
13.02.24	Kelty Hearts – Edinburgh City	3–2 (1–1)	1.11	7.00	17.00	1.40	2.75
10.02.24	Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	2.70	1.75	2.05
13.01.24	Kelty Hearts – Annan Athletic	1–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.80	3.60	1.62	2.25
16.12.23	Kelty Hearts – Montrose	0–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.40	1.75	2.05
11.11.23	Kelty Hearts – Cove Rangers	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.30	1.62	2.25
28.10.23	Kelty Hearts – Stirling	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.60	3.25	1.70	2.10
30.09.23	Kelty Hearts – Queen of Sth	3–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.50	2.25	1.67	2.15

Alloa away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Edinburgh City – Alloa	2–5 (2–1)	10.00	7.50	1.17	1.40	2.75
02.03.24	Montrose – Alloa	4–3 (2–2)	2.10	3.40	3.00	1.85	2.00
24.02.24	Hamilton – Alloa	1–2 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	6.50	1.65	2.20
03.02.24	Annan Athletic – Alloa	2–3 (1–2)	2.70	3.75	2.20	1.65	2.20
13.01.24	Queen of Sth – Alloa	1–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.40	2.88	1.75	2.05
16.12.23	Cove Rangers – Alloa	1–2 (1–0)	1.73	3.75	4.50	1.80	2.00
18.11.23	Edinburgh City – Alloa	3–0 (2–0)	3.75	3.80	1.85	1.62	2.25
04.11.23	Stirling – Alloa	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.50	2.80	1.75	2.05
28.10.23	Falkirk – Alloa	3–0 (3–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.44	2.63
07.10.23	Montrose – Alloa	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.30	1.67	2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2 4

Kelty Hearts winsDrawsAlloa wins

7matches

2.43goals / match

57%over 2.5

57%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24SC2	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	3.50	1.53	2.38
21.10.23SC2	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	3–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.00	1.70	2.10
19.08.23SC2	Kelty Hearts – Alloa	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	2.70	1.90	1.95
15.04.23SC2	Kelty Hearts – Alloa	0–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.25	1.95	1.90
31.12.22SC2	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.40	1.85	2.00
05.11.22SC2	Kelty Hearts – Alloa	1–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.40	2.70	1.80	2.05
06.08.22SC2	Alloa – Kelty Hearts	3–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.10	1.98	1.88

Scotland League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	29	23	6	0	71	18	+53	75
2	Hamilton	29	17	7	5	60	22	+38	58
3	Alloa	28	14	5	9	48	44	+4	47
4	Montrose	29	13	7	9	51	44	+7	46
5	Cove Rangers	29	12	7	10	45	43	+2	43
6	Kelty Hearts	28	8	7	13	35	49	-14	31
7	Stirling	29	8	7	14	31	46	-15	31
8	Queen of Sth	29	8	6	15	37	48	-11	30
9	Annan Athletic	29	6	9	14	40	55	-15	27
10	Edinburgh City	29	2	5	22	32	81	-49	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	14	12	2	0	34	7	+27	38
2	Hamilton	15	9	3	3	32	12	+20	30
3	Alloa	14	8	3	3	22	17	+5	27
4	Montrose	15	6	4	5	23	24	-1	22
5	Cove Rangers	14	6	3	5	26	23	+3	21
6	Stirling	14	4	6	4	21	16	+5	18
7	Annan Athletic	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1	18
8	Kelty Hearts	14	4	3	7	12	22	-10	15
9	Queen of Sth	15	3	3	9	22	30	-8	12
10	Edinburgh City	15	2	3	10	19	41	-22	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	15	11	4	0	37	11	+26	37
2	Hamilton	14	8	4	2	28	10	+18	28
3	Montrose	14	7	3	4	28	20	+8	24
4	Cove Rangers	15	6	4	5	19	20	-1	22
5	Alloa	14	6	2	6	26	27	-1	20
6	Queen of Sth	14	5	3	6	15	18	-3	18
7	Kelty Hearts	14	4	4	6	23	27	-4	16
8	Stirling	15	4	1	10	10	30	-20	13
9	Annan Athletic	15	1	6	8	17	31	-14	9
10	Edinburgh City	14	0	2	12	13	40	-27	2

Kelty Hearts Alloa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Edinburgh City	29	7	22	1.1	2.8	2	5	22	32	81	11
2	9	Annan Athletic	29	8	21	1.4	1.9	6	9	14	40	55	27
3	1	Falkirk	29	9	20	2.4	0.6	23	6	0	71	18	75
4	3	Alloa	28	9	19	1.7	1.6	14	5	9	48	44	47
5	4	Montrose	29	12	17	1.8	1.5	13	7	9	51	44	46
6	5	Cove Rangers	29	12	17	1.6	1.5	12	7	10	45	43	43
7	2	Hamilton	29	13	16	2.1	0.8	17	7	5	60	22	58
8	6	Kelty Hearts	28	12	16	1.2	1.8	8	7	13	35	49	31
9	7	Stirling	29	13	16	1.1	1.6	8	7	14	31	46	31
10	8	Queen of Sth	29	13	16	1.3	1.7	8	6	15	37	48	30

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Annan Athletic	14	2	12	1.6	1.7	5	3	6	23	24	18
2	10	Edinburgh City	15	3	12	1.3	2.7	2	3	10	19	41	9
3	1	Falkirk	14	4	10	2.4	0.5	12	2	0	34	7	38
4	5	Cove Rangers	14	4	10	1.9	1.6	6	3	5	26	23	21
5	8	Queen of Sth	15	5	10	1.5	2.0	3	3	9	22	30	12
6	2	Hamilton	15	7	8	2.1	0.8	9	3	3	32	12	30
7	3	Alloa	14	6	8	1.6	1.2	8	3	3	22	17	27
8	4	Montrose	15	7	8	1.5	1.6	6	4	5	23	24	22
9	7	Stirling	14	7	7	1.5	1.1	4	6	4	21	16	18
10	6	Kelty Hearts	14	9	5	0.9	1.6	4	3	7	12	22	15

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Alloa	14	3	11	1.9	1.9	6	2	6	26	27	20
2	6	Kelty Hearts	14	3	11	1.6	1.9	4	4	6	23	27	16
3	1	Falkirk	15	5	10	2.5	0.7	11	4	0	37	11	37
4	10	Edinburgh City	14	4	10	0.9	2.9	0	2	12	13	40	2
5	4	Montrose	14	5	9	2.0	1.4	7	3	4	28	20	24
6	7	Stirling	15	6	9	0.7	2.0	4	1	10	10	30	13
7	9	Annan Athletic	15	6	9	1.1	2.1	1	6	8	17	31	9
8	2	Hamilton	14	6	8	2.0	0.7	8	4	2	28	10	28
9	5	Cove Rangers	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	6	4	5	19	20	22
10	8	Queen of Sth	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	5	3	6	15	18	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.