Ross County 2–1 Ayr
Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
2.15
fair 2.96
Draw
3.00
fair 3.76
Away
3.10
fair 2.52
Under 2.5
1.60
fair 1.89
Over 2.5 ✓
2.30
fair 2.12
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ross County
Ayr
12
Shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
4
Corners
5
11
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.92
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
34%
27%
40%
Ross CountyDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
53%
47%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
48%
52%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
20%
1
25%
2
22%
3
14%
4
12%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6%
0–1 10.4%
1–0 9.4%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Ross County
before this match, all matches
0.85points / match
0.85scored / match
1.61conceded / match
6
10
17
WonDrawnLost
33 played · 28:53
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.09scored / match
1.27conceded / match
8
15
10
WonDrawnLost
33 played · 36:42
Ross County all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
0.85
Goals scored
1.09
1.61
Goals conceded
1.27
2.45
Total goals
2.36
8.85
Shots
9.30
3.03
Shots on target
3.73
9.73
Shots faced
7.82
4.67
Corners
5.24
4.94
Corners against
4.55
12.64
Fouls
12.06
2.58
Yellow cards
2.39
0.45
1st-half goals scored
0.70
0.79
1st-half goals conceded
0.52
How often Full Time
18%
Wins
24%
30%
Draws
45%
52%
Losses
30%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
48%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
27%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
9%
Over 4.5 goals
12%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
9%
39%
Both teams scored
61%
27%
Clean sheets
24%
45%
Failed to score
27%
How often Half Time
21%
Wins
36%
36%
Draws
30%
42%
Losses
33%
70%
Over 0.5 goals
76%
33%
Over 1.5 goals
27%
18%
Over 2.5 goals
12%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ross County all matches
1
L
D
2
W
3
L
D
1
L
2
2
D
1
3
L
4
L
1
L
Ayr all matches
D
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
3
L
1
1
D
3
L
1
W
Ross County
before this match, at home
0.94points / match
1.13scored / match
1.69conceded / match
4
3
9
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 18:27
Ayr
before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.19scored / match
1.31conceded / match
4
8
4
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 19:21
Ross County at home
away Ayr
Per match
1.13
Goals scored
1.19
1.69
Goals conceded
1.31
2.81
Total goals
2.50
10.19
Shots
9.13
3.69
Shots on target
3.69
10.44
Shots faced
8.25
6.06
Corners
5.06
5.00
Corners against
5.00
11.56
Fouls
12.25
2.25
Yellow cards
2.25
0.69
1st-half goals scored
0.81
0.75
1st-half goals conceded
0.56
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
25%
19%
Draws
50%
56%
Losses
25%
94%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
81%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
56%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
31%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
6%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
44%
Both teams scored
63%
25%
Clean sheets
31%
38%
Failed to score
19%
How often Half Time
31%
Wins
44%
31%
Draws
25%
38%
Losses
31%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
81%
44%
Over 1.5 goals
38%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ross County at home
3
3
D
3
L
1
2
L
2
L
D
2
W
1
L
2
W
2
2
D
4
L
Ayr away
D
3
3
D
1
W
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Ross County all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.04.26 | Queens Park – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 04.04.26 | Ross County – Airdrie Utd | 0–4 (0–3) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 27.03.26 | Partick – Ross County | 3–1 (3–1) | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.20 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 21.03.26 | Ross County – Dunfermline | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 14.03.26 | St Johnstone – Ross County | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.45 | 3.70 | 6.00 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 07.03.26 | Arbroath – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 03.03.26 | Dunfermline – Ross County | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 28.02.26 | Ross County – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 14.02.26 | Ross County – Queens Park | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.04.26 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 07.04.26 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.04.26 | Ayr – Partick | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.03.26 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 21.03.26 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 14.03.26 | Queens Park – Ayr | 1–1 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 10.03.26 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 03.03.26 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Ross County at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.26 | Ross County – Airdrie Utd | 0–4 (0–3) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 21.03.26 | Ross County – Dunfermline | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 28.02.26 | Ross County – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 14.02.26 | Ross County – Queens Park | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 09.01.26 | Ross County – Partick | 2–0 (2–0) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 27.12.25 | Ross County – St Johnstone | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 20.12.25 | Ross County – Arbroath | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ross County – Airdrie Utd | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 15.11.25 | Ross County – Morton | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.03.26 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 14.03.26 | Queens Park – Ayr | 1–1 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 03.03.26 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 24.01.26 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3
Ross County winsDrawsAyr wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26SC1 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 08.11.25SC1 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 13.09.25SC1 | Ayr – Ross County | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 62 | 25 | +37 | 68 |
| 2 | Partick | 33 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 50 | 33 | +17 | 63 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 39 | +11 | 47 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 47 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 36 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 | Ayr | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 39 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 39 |
| 8 | Morton | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Ross County | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 28 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 11 | +18 | 41 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35 | 11 | +24 | 36 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 20 | +11 | 27 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Morton | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Ayr | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Ross County | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 32 |
| 2 | Dunfermline | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 22 | +4 | 22 |
| 3 | Partick | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Ayr | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
| 6 | Airdrie Utd | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 |
| 8 | Raith Rvs | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 15 |
| 9 | Morton | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | Ross County | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 13 |
Ross County Ayr
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 33 | 16 | 17 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 68 |
| 2 | 3 | Dunfermline | 33 | 16 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 47 |
| 3 | 10 | Ross County | 33 | 17 | 16 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 53 | 28 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 33 | 18 | 15 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 50 | 33 | 63 |
| 5 | 4 | Arbroath | 33 | 18 | 15 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 40 | 47 |
| 6 | 8 | Morton | 33 | 18 | 15 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 35 | 47 | 36 |
| 7 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 33 | 18 | 15 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
| 8 | 7 | Queens Park | 33 | 19 | 14 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 45 | 39 |
| 9 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 33 | 20 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 42 |
| 10 | 6 | Ayr | 33 | 20 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 39 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 17 | 8 | 9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 36 |
| 2 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | 10 | Ross County | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 15 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | 3 | Dunfermline | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | 4 | Arbroath | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 7 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 13 |
| 8 | 6 | Ayr | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 9 | 7 | Queens Park | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 22 |
| 10 | 8 | Morton | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 21 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Dunfermline | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 22 |
| 2 | 8 | Morton | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 15 |
| 3 | 1 | St Johnstone | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | 4 | Arbroath | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 5 | 7 | Queens Park | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 6 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 7 | 2 | Partick | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | 6 | Ayr | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
| 9 | 10 | Ross County | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 15 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
