Ayr 0–1 Morton
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026
Home
1.75
fair 2.16
Draw
3.30
fair 3.86
Away ✓
4.33
fair 3.60
Under 2.5 ✓
1.80
fair 1.90
Over 2.5
2.00
fair 2.11
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Morton
12
Shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
9
Corners
3
11
Fouls
5
4
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (144 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.95
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
46%
26%
28%
AyrDrawMorton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
53%
48%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
49%
51%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
20%
1
25%
2
22%
3
14%
4
12%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3%
1–0 11.3%
2–1 9.2%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.21scored / match
1.21conceded / match
7
14
7
WonDrawnLost
28 played · 34:34
Morton
before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
1.00scored / match
1.38conceded / match
6
12
11
WonDrawnLost
29 played · 29:40
Ayr all matches
all matches Morton
Per match
1.21
Goals scored
1.00
1.21
Goals conceded
1.38
2.43
Total goals
2.38
9.39
Shots
8.66
3.93
Shots on target
3.21
8.00
Shots faced
11.83
5.18
Corners
4.48
4.71
Corners against
5.93
12.21
Fouls
12.72
2.32
Yellow cards
2.48
0.82
1st-half goals scored
0.48
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.55
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
21%
50%
Draws
41%
25%
Losses
38%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
90%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
39%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
21%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
10%
11%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
68%
Both teams scored
59%
25%
Clean sheets
21%
21%
Failed to score
31%
How often Half Time
43%
Wins
31%
29%
Draws
45%
29%
Losses
24%
79%
Over 0.5 goals
69%
32%
Over 1.5 goals
24%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
3
2
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
2
L
2
1
W
D
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
Morton all matches
1
1
D
2
3
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
D
2
W
2
3
L
1
3
L
2
L
1
2
L
Ayr
before this match, at home
1.15points / match
1.15scored / match
1.23conceded / match
3
6
4
WonDrawnLost
13 played · 15:16
Morton
before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.14scored / match
1.64conceded / match
2
6
6
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 16:23
Ayr at home
away Morton
Per match
1.15
Goals scored
1.14
1.23
Goals conceded
1.64
2.38
Total goals
2.79
9.46
Shots
6.86
4.00
Shots on target
2.86
7.85
Shots faced
11.36
5.23
Corners
4.86
4.46
Corners against
6.14
11.92
Fouls
12.14
2.31
Yellow cards
2.14
0.77
1st-half goals scored
0.50
0.46
1st-half goals conceded
0.57
How often Full Time
23%
Wins
14%
46%
Draws
43%
31%
Losses
43%
85%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
69%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
15%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
15%
Over 4.5 goals
21%
15%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
69%
Both teams scored
71%
15%
Clean sheets
14%
31%
Failed to score
21%
How often Half Time
38%
Wins
29%
31%
Draws
43%
31%
Losses
29%
77%
Over 0.5 goals
71%
23%
Over 1.5 goals
29%
8%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
4
2
W
2
1
W
1
L
1
1
D
D
2
4
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
D
1
2
L
Morton away
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
1
D
3
W
1
L
5
L
2
3
L
1
1
D
2
3
L
1
3
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.03.26 | Queens Park – Ayr | 1–1 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 10.03.26 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 03.03.26 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 24.01.26 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (2–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 10.01.26 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
Morton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.03.26 | Morton – Partick | 1–2 (1–1) | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 07.03.26 | Morton – St Johnstone | 0–2 (0–0) | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 28.02.26 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.02.26 | Queens Park – Morton | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 17.02.26 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 14.02.26 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 31.01.26 | Morton – Ross County | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 03.01.26 | Partick – Morton | 3–2 (0–2) | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 27.12.25 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.03.26 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 10.01.26 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ayr – Partick | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 15.11.25 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 31.10.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 18.10.25 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 27.09.25 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 4–2 (4–1) | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Morton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.02.26 | Queens Park – Morton | 3–2 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 03.01.26 | Partick – Morton | 3–2 (0–2) | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.25 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 20.12.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 15.11.25 | Ross County – Morton | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 01.11.25 | Raith Rvs – Morton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 18.10.25 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 04.10.25 | Airdrie Utd – Morton | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.03 | 1.78 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 10 5
Ayr winsDrawsMorton wins
19matches
2.32goals / match
42%over 2.5
68%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.12.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 18.10.25SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.08.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.03.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.85 | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| 28.12.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 08.11.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 28.09.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 09.04.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 02.01.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 28.10.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 05.08.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 08.04.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 07.03.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–3 (1–3) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 05.11.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.09.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 26.03.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 15.01.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 04.12.21SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 25.09.21SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 61 |
| 2 | Partick | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 53 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 33 | +4 | 44 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 39 |
| 5 | Ayr | 28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
| 7 | Raith Rvs | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Morton | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 30 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Ross County | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 32 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 | Queens Park | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Morton | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Ayr | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Ross County | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 | Ayr | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 20 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 19 |
| 4 | Partick | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
| 7 | Airdrie Utd | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Ross County | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 13 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 12 |
Ayr Morton
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 30 | 15 | 15 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 53 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 29 | 15 | 14 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | 6 | Queens Park | 29 | 15 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 35 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 13 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 33 | 44 |
| 5 | 4 | Dunfermline | 28 | 15 | 13 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 32 | 39 |
| 6 | 10 | Ross County | 29 | 16 | 13 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 43 | 27 |
| 7 | 8 | Morton | 29 | 17 | 12 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 40 | 30 |
| 8 | 5 | Ayr | 28 | 17 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 34 | 34 | 35 |
| 9 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 29 | 18 | 11 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 36 | 27 |
| 10 | 7 | Raith Rvs | 28 | 18 | 10 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 31 | 30 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 15 | 7 | 8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 | 2 | Partick | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | 4 | Dunfermline | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | 10 | Ross County | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 14 |
| 5 | 3 | Arbroath | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Park | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | 7 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | Ayr | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 10 | 8 | Morton | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 18 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Queens Park | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
| 2 | 1 | St Johnstone | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | 2 | Partick | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | 8 | Morton | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | Dunfermline | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | 5 | Ayr | 15 | 9 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | 10 | Ross County | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | 7 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
