Morton 1–1 Ayr
Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026
Home
2.90
fair 2.96
Draw ✓
3.10
fair 3.63
Away
2.30
fair 2.59
Under 2.5 ✓
1.67
fair 1.76
Over 2.5
2.15
fair 2.31
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Morton
Ayr
10
Shots
16
3
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
6
12
Fouls
16
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (94 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.96
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
34%
28%
39%
MortonDrawAyr
Under / Over 2.5 goals
57%
43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
51%
49%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
9%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
10%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 13%
0–1 11.3%
1–0 10.4%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Morton
before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
0.89scored / match
1.26conceded / match
4
9
6
WonDrawnLost
19 played · 17:24
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.32scored / match
1.16conceded / match
6
9
4
WonDrawnLost
19 played · 25:22
Morton all matches
all matches Ayr
Per match
0.89
Goals scored
1.32
1.26
Goals conceded
1.16
2.16
Total goals
2.47
8.11
Shots
9.58
3.11
Shots on target
4.32
11.00
Shots faced
8.37
4.47
Corners
5.42
5.68
Corners against
4.53
12.84
Fouls
11.95
2.53
Yellow cards
2.11
0.37
1st-half goals scored
0.95
0.63
1st-half goals conceded
0.42
How often Full Time
21%
Wins
32%
47%
Draws
47%
32%
Losses
21%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
84%
68%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
37%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
16%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
5%
Over 4.5 goals
21%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
16%
53%
Both teams scored
58%
21%
Clean sheets
32%
37%
Failed to score
26%
How often Half Time
32%
Wins
53%
37%
Draws
16%
32%
Losses
32%
68%
Over 0.5 goals
84%
16%
Over 1.5 goals
26%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
16%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Morton all matches
1
1
D
1
2
L
4
L
1
1
D
1
W
3
W
1
L
2
1
W
1
L
5
L
Ayr all matches
2
1
W
1
2
L
D
1
L
3
3
D
1
1
D
1
W
D
2
4
L
3
2
W
Morton
before this match, at home
1.11points / match
0.78scored / match
1.22conceded / match
2
4
3
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 7:11
Ayr
before this match, away
1.70points / match
1.40scored / match
1.00conceded / match
4
5
1
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 14:10
Morton at home
away Ayr
Per match
0.78
Goals scored
1.40
1.22
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.40
10.11
Shots
9.00
3.67
Shots on target
3.90
12.56
Shots faced
8.50
4.11
Corners
5.30
6.11
Corners against
4.60
13.78
Fouls
11.50
2.78
Yellow cards
2.30
0.44
1st-half goals scored
1.00
0.67
1st-half goals conceded
0.30
How often Full Time
22%
Wins
40%
44%
Draws
50%
33%
Losses
10%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
56%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
22%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
20%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
10%
44%
Both teams scored
50%
22%
Clean sheets
50%
44%
Failed to score
20%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
60%
44%
Draws
20%
22%
Losses
20%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
22%
Over 1.5 goals
30%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Morton at home
2
W
D
2
2
D
1
L
1
1
D
1
1
D
4
L
1
W
2
1
W
1
L
Ayr away
1
1
D
2
2
D
1
W
D
2
W
1
2
L
D
3
3
D
1
W
3
2
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Morton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | St Johnstone – Morton | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.12.25 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 05.12.25 | Morton – Queens Park | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 22.11.25 | Dunfermline – Morton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| 15.11.25 | Ross County – Morton | 0–3 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Morton – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 01.11.25 | Raith Rvs – Morton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 25.10.25 | Morton – St Johnstone | 0–4 (0–4) | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 18.10.25 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.10.25 | Morton – Partick | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ayr – Partick | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 15.11.25 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.10.25 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.10.25 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 18.10.25 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Morton at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.12.25 | Morton – Airdrie Utd | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 05.12.25 | Morton – Queens Park | 2–1 (1–1) | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.11.25 | Morton – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 25.10.25 | Morton – St Johnstone | 0–4 (0–4) | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 11.10.25 | Morton – Partick | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | Morton – Ross County | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 06.09.25 | Morton – Raith Rvs | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.75 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 23.08.25 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 02.08.25 | Morton – Dunfermline | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.60 | 2.63 | 1.44 |
| 02.05.25 | Morton – Dunfermline | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 2.38 | 1.53 |
Ayr away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 2–3 (0–3) | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 22.11.25 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Ross County – Ayr | 3–3 (2–1) | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Queens Park – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.10.25 | Partick – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 11.10.25 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.10.25 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| 23.09.25 | Dunfermline – Ayr | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 23.08.25 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 01.08.25 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 9 4
Morton winsDrawsAyr wins
18matches
2.33goals / match
44%over 2.5
67%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.25SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.08.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.03.25SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–1 (0–1) | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.85 | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| 28.12.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 08.11.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 28.09.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 09.04.24SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 02.01.24SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 28.10.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 05.08.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 3–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 08.04.23SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 07.03.23SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–3 (1–3) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 05.11.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.09.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 26.03.22SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 15.01.22SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 04.12.21SC1 | Morton – Ayr | 2–2 (1–0) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| 25.09.21SC1 | Ayr – Morton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | +25 | 41 |
| 2 | Partick | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 36 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 32 |
| 4 | Ayr | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 27 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 23 |
| 7 | Morton | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 21 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 17 |
| 10 | Ross County | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 22 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Morton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Queens Park | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Ayr | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 4 | Partick | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 | Morton | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Raith Rvs | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Queens Park | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Ross County | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
Morton Ayr
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 19 | 6 | 13 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | 10 | Ross County | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbroath | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 29 | 17 |
| 5 | 8 | Queens Park | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 6 | 2 | Partick | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 36 |
| 7 | 6 | Dunfermline | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 23 |
| 8 | 4 | Ayr | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 27 |
| 9 | 7 | Morton | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 21 |
| 10 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 24 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Ross County | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | St Johnstone | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | 2 | Partick | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | 3 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | Dunfermline | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | Ayr | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | 7 | Morton | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | Queens Park | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 9 | 2 | 7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | 8 | Queens Park | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbroath | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 4 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | Ayr | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | Morton | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | Ross County | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | Partick | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51