Ayr 1–0 Arbroath
Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
2.25
fair 2.66
Draw
3.00
fair 3.69
Away
2.88
fair 2.83
Under 2.5 ✓
1.62
fair 1.82
Over 2.5
2.25
fair 2.22
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Arbroath
12
Shots
3
7
Shots on target
0
7
Corners
3
13
Fouls
16
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.98
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
38%
27%
35%
AyrDrawArbroath
Under / Over 2.5 goals
55%
45%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
50%
51%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
21%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
11%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9%
1–0 10.6%
0–1 10.2%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.09scored / match
1.31conceded / match
7
15
10
WonDrawnLost
32 played · 35:42
Arbroath
before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.28scored / match
1.22conceded / match
12
11
9
WonDrawnLost
32 played · 41:39
Ayr all matches
all matches Arbroath
Per match
1.09
Goals scored
1.28
1.31
Goals conceded
1.22
2.41
Total goals
2.50
9.22
Shots
8.72
3.63
Shots on target
3.47
7.97
Shots faced
8.88
5.19
Corners
4.88
4.59
Corners against
4.28
12.03
Fouls
10.84
2.38
Yellow cards
1.88
0.72
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.53
1st-half goals conceded
0.47
How often Full Time
22%
Wins
38%
47%
Draws
34%
31%
Losses
28%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
72%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
41%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
19%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
16%
9%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
63%
Both teams scored
56%
22%
Clean sheets
25%
28%
Failed to score
31%
How often Half Time
38%
Wins
22%
28%
Draws
47%
34%
Losses
31%
78%
Over 0.5 goals
59%
28%
Over 1.5 goals
22%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
9%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
2
1
W
D
1
3
L
1
1
D
1
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
3
L
1
1
D
3
L
Arbroath all matches
1
1
D
1
2
L
4
2
W
D
1
1
D
D
D
1
W
1
2
L
2
4
L
Ayr
before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.31conceded / match
3
7
6
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 16:21
Arbroath
before this match, away
1.19points / match
1.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
5
4
7
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 16:20
Ayr at home
away Arbroath
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.31
Goals conceded
1.25
2.31
Total goals
2.25
9.31
Shots
8.81
3.56
Shots on target
3.81
7.69
Shots faced
10.06
5.31
Corners
4.44
4.19
Corners against
5.06
11.81
Fouls
11.19
2.50
Yellow cards
1.75
0.63
1st-half goals scored
0.44
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.56
How often Full Time
19%
Wins
31%
44%
Draws
25%
38%
Losses
44%
88%
Over 0.5 goals
88%
69%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
13%
Over 3.5 goals
13%
13%
Over 4.5 goals
6%
13%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
63%
Both teams scored
50%
13%
Clean sheets
19%
38%
Failed to score
44%
How often Half Time
31%
Wins
25%
31%
Draws
31%
38%
Losses
44%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
69%
19%
Over 1.5 goals
19%
6%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
1
1
D
D
2
4
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
D
1
2
L
1
L
1
1
D
3
L
Arbroath away
1
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
W
1
L
3
2
W
1
2
L
D
D
1
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.04.26 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.04.26 | Ayr – Partick | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.03.26 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 3–0 (1–0) | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 21.03.26 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 14.03.26 | Queens Park – Ayr | 1–1 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 10.03.26 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 03.03.26 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | St Johnstone – Ayr | 3–1 (2–1) | 1.50 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
Arbroath all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.26 | Arbroath – St Johnstone | 2–4 (1–1) | 4.50 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 28.03.26 | Morton – Arbroath | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 21.03.26 | Arbroath – Queens Park | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.20 | 4.20 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 14.03.26 | Airdrie Utd – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 07.03.26 | Arbroath – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 03.03.26 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 28.02.26 | Partick – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 21.02.26 | Arbroath – Dunfermline | 4–2 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.01.26 | Queens Park – Arbroath | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.91 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 23.01.26 | Arbroath – Morton | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.04.26 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 04.04.26 | Ayr – Partick | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 21.03.26 | Ayr – Morton | 0–1 (0–1) | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 10.03.26 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 21.02.26 | Ayr – Ross County | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 31.01.26 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 10.01.26 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 12.12.25 | Ayr – St Johnstone | 2–4 (2–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Ayr – Partick | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 15.11.25 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Arbroath away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.03.26 | Morton – Arbroath | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 14.03.26 | Airdrie Utd – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 28.02.26 | Partick – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 31.01.26 | Queens Park – Arbroath | 2–1 (2–1) | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.91 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 10.01.26 | Raith Rvs – Arbroath | 2–3 (0–2) | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 03.01.26 | St Johnstone – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.36 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.12.25 | Ross County – Arbroath | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | Dunfermline – Arbroath | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 15.11.25 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 08.11.25 | Morton – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
4 8 3
Ayr winsDrawsArbroath wins
15matches
2.13goals / match
27%over 2.5
47%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.03.26SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 15.11.25SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 01.08.25SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–1) | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| 13.04.24SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 23.01.24SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.01.24SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.75 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 02.09.23SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 31.03.23SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 14.01.23SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–2 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 29.10.22SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 30.07.22SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 19.03.22SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.66 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 08.01.22SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 23.10.21SC1 | Arbroath – Ayr | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 07.08.21SC1 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–2 (0–2) | 2.45 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
Scotland Championship table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 58 | 25 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 | Partick | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 48 | 33 | +15 | 60 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 47 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 35 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 | Queens Park | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 39 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Ayr | 32 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 8 | Morton | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 36 |
| 9 | Airdrie Utd | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Ross County | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 28 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 11 | +16 | 38 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 11 | +20 | 33 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 25 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 24 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Morton | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Ayr | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 9 | Ross County | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Johnstone | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 32 |
| 2 | Partick | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Ayr | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 19 |
| 6 | Airdrie Utd | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 |
| 8 | Morton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 |
| 9 | Ross County | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 12 |
Ayr Arbroath
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 32 | 16 | 16 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 58 | 25 | 65 |
| 2 | 4 | Dunfermline | 31 | 15 | 16 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 35 | 46 |
| 3 | 10 | Ross County | 33 | 17 | 16 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 53 | 28 |
| 4 | 2 | Partick | 32 | 17 | 15 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 48 | 33 | 60 |
| 5 | 3 | Arbroath | 32 | 17 | 15 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 47 |
| 6 | 5 | Queens Park | 32 | 18 | 14 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 43 | 39 |
| 7 | 8 | Morton | 32 | 18 | 14 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
| 8 | 7 | Ayr | 32 | 19 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 36 |
| 9 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 31 | 18 | 13 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 39 | 30 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 31 | 19 | 12 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 36 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Ross County | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 15 |
| 2 | 1 | St Johnstone | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 | Partick | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 4 | 4 | Dunfermline | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 25 |
| 5 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | 3 | Arbroath | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 7 | 5 | Queens Park | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | 7 | Ayr | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | 8 | Morton | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 12 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St Johnstone | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | 3 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 19 |
| 3 | 4 | Dunfermline | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | 5 | Queens Park | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 5 | 8 | Morton | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 15 |
| 6 | 2 | Partick | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | 7 | Ayr | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | 9 | Airdrie Utd | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 9 | 10 | Ross County | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 13 |
| 10 | 6 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
