Ayr 3–0 Dunfermline – Scotland Championship, 29 Mar 2025

Match facts

Ayr Dunfermline

11 Shots 2

3 Shots on target 0

3 Corners 4

13 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (150 league matches this season so far).

Result Ayr to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.79 – 0.83

Home / Draw / Away

60% 23% 17%

AyrDrawDunfermline

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13% 2–0 11.7% 1–1 10.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ayr before this match, all matches

1.83points / match

1.67scored / match

1.00conceded / match

16 7 7

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 50:30

Dunfermline before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.90scored / match

1.28conceded / match

7 6 16

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 26:37

Ayr all matches all matches Dunfermline

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.90

1.00 Goals conceded 1.28

2.67 Total goals 2.17

10.00 Shots 8.90

4.60 Shots on target 3.41

6.80 Shots faced 7.90

5.30 Corners 4.83

4.77 Corners against 4.55

11.20 Fouls 11.21

2.03 Yellow cards 2.17

0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.24

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

53% Wins 24%

23% Draws 21%

23% Losses 55%

97% Over 0.5 goals 90%

80% Over 1.5 goals 66%

40% Over 2.5 goals 34%

23% Over 3.5 goals 14%

20% Over 4.5 goals 10%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

50% Both teams scored 34%

37% Clean sheets 21%

17% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 10%

33% Draws 48%

27% Losses 41%

70% Over 0.5 goals 59%

40% Over 1.5 goals 14%

20% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ayr all matches

2

W

2

1

W

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

4

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

2

L

1

D

Dunfermline all matches

4

1

W

2

L

3

L

3

1

W

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

Ayr before this match, at home

2.20points / match

2.20scored / match

0.93conceded / match

10 3 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 33:14

Dunfermline before this match, away

0.33points / match

0.47scored / match

1.47conceded / match

1 2 12

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 7:22

Ayr at home away Dunfermline

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 0.47

0.93 Goals conceded 1.47

3.13 Total goals 1.93

12.27 Shots 8.33

5.40 Shots on target 3.13

5.93 Shots faced 9.13

5.27 Corners 4.07

4.67 Corners against 5.20

11.20 Fouls 11.80

1.80 Yellow cards 2.40

1.27 1st-half goals scored 0.27

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 7%

20% Draws 13%

13% Losses 80%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

80% Over 1.5 goals 60%

60% Over 2.5 goals 27%

33% Over 3.5 goals 7%

33% Over 4.5 goals 7%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 27%

40% Clean sheets 7%

7% Failed to score 73%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 13%

27% Draws 33%

20% Losses 53%

73% Over 0.5 goals 67%

53% Over 1.5 goals 13%

33% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ayr at home

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

W

5

2

W

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

4

1

W

1

D

Dunfermline away

1

2

L

1

L

2

L

2

L

4

1

W

3

L

D

1

L

1

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Ayr all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Ayr – Hamilton	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.25	1.85	2.00
15.03.25	Partick – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	3.00	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
08.03.25	Morton – Ayr	2–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.25	1.85	2.25	1.58
04.03.25	Queens Park – Ayr	2–3 (0–0)	3.20	3.20	2.15	2.10	1.70
01.03.25	Ayr – Airdrie Utd	4–1 (3–0)	1.48	4.75	5.75	1.75	2.05
22.02.25	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	2.80	2.30	1.60
15.02.25	Falkirk – Ayr	2–2 (1–2)	1.90	3.50	3.90	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Ayr – Partick	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.03	1.83
14.01.25	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36

Dunfermline all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.25	Raith Rvs – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	2.90	3.70	2.75	1.40
08.03.25	Falkirk – Dunfermline	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	3.90	7.00	1.83	2.03
01.03.25	Dunfermline – Morton	2–1 (0–1)	2.05	3.30	3.60	2.35	1.57
25.02.25	Hamilton – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.10	2.55	2.07	1.69
22.02.25	Dunfermline – Queens Park	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.70	3.10	2.08	1.73
15.02.25	Livingston – Dunfermline	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	4.75	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Dunfermline – Raith Rvs	3–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.00	2.75	2.50	1.50
25.01.25	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	3–0 (2–0)	4.10	3.25	1.83	2.15	1.63
14.01.25	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36
04.01.25	Partick – Dunfermline	1–4 (1–3)	1.73	4.10	3.60	2.08	1.73

Ayr at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Ayr – Hamilton	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	5.25	1.85	2.00
01.03.25	Ayr – Airdrie Utd	4–1 (3–0)	1.48	4.75	5.75	1.75	2.05
22.02.25	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	2.80	2.30	1.60
25.01.25	Ayr – Partick	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Ayr – Raith Rvs	3–0 (3–0)	1.83	3.60	3.80	2.30	1.60
28.12.24	Ayr – Morton	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	4.75	2.05	1.75
14.12.24	Ayr – Falkirk	5–2 (3–2)	4.33	3.50	1.70	2.03	1.83
23.11.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
16.11.24	Ayr – Queens Park	3–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
19.10.24	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (1–2)	2.30	3.20	2.90	1.98	1.88

Dunfermline away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.25	Raith Rvs – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	2.90	3.70	2.75	1.40
08.03.25	Falkirk – Dunfermline	1–0 (1–0)	1.45	3.90	7.00	1.83	2.03
25.02.25	Hamilton – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.10	2.55	2.07	1.69
15.02.25	Livingston – Dunfermline	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	4.75	2.25	1.62
25.01.25	Airdrie Utd – Dunfermline	3–0 (2–0)	4.10	3.25	1.83	2.15	1.63
04.01.25	Partick – Dunfermline	1–4 (1–3)	1.73	4.10	3.60	2.08	1.73
21.12.24	Morton – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.30	2.38	1.53
14.12.24	Raith Rvs – Dunfermline	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.10	3.25	2.35	1.57
23.11.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
09.11.24	Queens Park – Dunfermline	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 4 3

Ayr winsDrawsDunfermline wins

11matches

2.73goals / match

45%over 2.5

55%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.25SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36
23.11.24SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
31.08.24SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	1–1 (1–1)	4.20	3.50	1.85	1.85	2.00
03.05.24SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–3 (1–3)	2.20	3.50	2.90	1.73	2.08
02.03.24SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.70	1.93	1.93
30.12.23SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	2–2 (1–2)	2.38	3.30	2.60	1.98	1.88
21.10.23SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	3.75	1.90	1.95
16.04.22SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	2–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.00	3.80	2.15	1.66
05.02.22SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	2.90	2.80	2.15	1.66
20.11.21SC1	Dunfermline – Ayr	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.50	4.00	2.07	1.72
11.09.21SC1	Ayr – Dunfermline	3–1 (2–1)	3.00	3.30	2.15	2.00	1.80

Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	31	20	6	5	61	26	+35	66
2	Livingston	30	16	10	4	42	24	+18	58
3	Ayr	30	16	7	7	50	30	+20	55
4	Partick	30	12	9	9	37	33	+4	45
5	Morton	30	10	11	9	37	39	-2	41
6	Raith Rvs	30	11	6	13	33	39	-6	39
7	Queens Park	30	9	6	15	33	39	-6	33
8	Hamilton	30	8	5	17	34	54	-20	29
9	Dunfermline	29	7	6	16	26	37	-11	27
10	Airdrie Utd	30	5	6	19	26	58	-32	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	15	11	3	1	31	9	+22	36
2	Livingston	15	10	4	1	23	8	+15	34
3	Ayr	15	10	3	2	33	14	+19	33
4	Partick	16	7	8	1	23	13	+10	29
5	Raith Rvs	15	9	2	4	22	15	+7	29
6	Morton	15	7	5	3	22	15	+7	26
7	Dunfermline	14	6	4	4	19	15	+4	22
8	Hamilton	15	6	2	7	18	24	-6	20
9	Airdrie Utd	15	5	3	7	15	25	-10	18
10	Queens Park	15	5	2	8	15	20	-5	17

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	16	9	3	4	30	17	+13	30
2	Livingston	15	6	6	3	19	16	+3	24
3	Ayr	15	6	4	5	17	16	+1	22
4	Queens Park	15	4	4	7	18	19	-1	16
5	Partick	14	5	1	8	14	20	-6	16
6	Morton	15	3	6	6	15	24	-9	15
7	Raith Rvs	15	2	4	9	11	24	-13	10
8	Hamilton	15	2	3	10	16	30	-14	9
9	Dunfermline	15	1	2	12	7	22	-15	5
10	Airdrie Utd	15	0	3	12	11	33	-22	3

Ayr Dunfermline

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hamilton	30	12	18	1.1	1.8	8	5	17	34	54	29
2	10	Airdrie Utd	30	14	16	0.9	1.9	5	6	19	26	58	21
3	1	Falkirk	31	16	15	2.0	0.8	20	6	5	61	26	66
4	7	Queens Park	30	15	15	1.1	1.3	9	6	15	33	39	33
5	2	Livingston	30	16	14	1.4	0.8	16	10	4	42	24	58
6	5	Morton	30	16	14	1.2	1.3	10	11	9	37	39	41
7	3	Ayr	30	18	12	1.7	1.0	16	7	7	50	30	55
8	4	Partick	30	18	12	1.2	1.1	12	9	9	37	33	45
9	6	Raith Rvs	30	18	12	1.1	1.3	11	6	13	33	39	39
10	9	Dunfermline	29	19	10	0.9	1.3	7	6	16	26	37	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ayr	15	6	9	2.2	0.9	10	3	2	33	14	33
2	8	Hamilton	15	6	9	1.2	1.6	6	2	7	18	24	20
3	1	Falkirk	15	7	8	2.1	0.6	11	3	1	31	9	36
4	10	Airdrie Utd	15	7	8	1.0	1.7	5	3	7	15	25	18
5	2	Livingston	15	9	6	1.5	0.5	10	4	1	23	8	34
6	4	Partick	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	7	8	1	23	13	29
7	5	Morton	15	9	6	1.5	1.0	7	5	3	22	15	26
8	7	Queens Park	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	5	2	8	15	20	17
9	9	Dunfermline	14	8	6	1.4	1.1	6	4	4	19	15	22
10	6	Raith Rvs	15	10	5	1.5	1.0	9	2	4	22	15	29

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Queens Park	15	6	9	1.2	1.3	4	4	7	18	19	16
2	8	Hamilton	15	6	9	1.1	2.0	2	3	10	16	30	9
3	2	Livingston	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	6	6	3	19	16	24
4	5	Morton	15	7	8	1.0	1.6	3	6	6	15	24	15
5	10	Airdrie Utd	15	7	8	0.7	2.2	0	3	12	11	33	3
6	1	Falkirk	16	9	7	1.9	1.1	9	3	4	30	17	30
7	6	Raith Rvs	15	8	7	0.7	1.6	2	4	9	11	24	10
8	4	Partick	14	8	6	1.0	1.4	5	1	8	14	20	16
9	9	Dunfermline	15	11	4	0.5	1.5	1	2	12	7	22	5
10	3	Ayr	15	12	3	1.1	1.1	6	4	5	17	16	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.