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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.80 fair 2.59
Draw 3.75 fair 4.16
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.68
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Heerenveen
21 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 8
4 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (228 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
1.04scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 26:42
Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.68scored / match
1.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 42:43
Excelsior all matches all matches Heerenveen

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 1.68
1.68 Goals conceded 1.72
2.72 Total goals 3.40
11.64 Shots 15.60
4.04 Shots on target 5.24
15.48 Shots faced 12.04
4.20 Corners 5.40
5.32 Corners against 5.04
12.76 Fouls 11.08
1.48 Yellow cards 1.56
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

28% Wins 36%
20% Draws 28%
52% Losses 36%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 96%
60% Over 2.5 goals 72%
24% Over 3.5 goals 44%
12% Over 4.5 goals 20%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
60% Both teams scored 72%
20% Clean sheets 8%
24% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 32%
40% Draws 32%
28% Losses 36%
68% Over 0.5 goals 84%
32% Over 1.5 goals 44%
12% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Heerenveen all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.08points / match
1.00scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:17
Heerenveen before this match, away
1.17points / match
1.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:21
Excelsior at home away Heerenveen

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.31 Goals conceded 1.75
2.31 Total goals 3.25
12.54 Shots 15.08
4.08 Shots on target 5.50
15.77 Shots faced 14.17
4.23 Corners 5.33
4.38 Corners against 5.42
12.23 Fouls 12.50
1.54 Yellow cards 1.67
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

31% Wins 33%
15% Draws 17%
54% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
62% Over 1.5 goals 92%
54% Over 2.5 goals 75%
15% Over 3.5 goals 42%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 58%
23% Clean sheets 17%
23% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 17%
46% Draws 50%
15% Losses 33%
62% Over 0.5 goals 75%
23% Over 1.5 goals 50%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Heerenveen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.70 2.10
20.02.26 For Sittard – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.603.10 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.702.00 1.65 2.20
06.02.26 NAC Breda – Excelsior 0–2 (0–2) 1.833.704.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35
24.01.26 Twente – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.48 2.60
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.703.25 1.60 2.30
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
15.02.26 Heerenveen – Zwolle 4–2 (1–2) 1.534.336.00 1.53 2.40
11.02.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.60 2.30
07.02.26 Twente – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.33 1.62 2.25
01.02.26 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
18.01.26 Heerenveen – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 1.70 2.10
11.01.26 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.802.15 1.53 2.40
20.12.25 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–3 (0–0) 3.303.802.05 1.57 2.35
14.12.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 0–3 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.57 2.35

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.70 2.10
14.02.26 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.702.00 1.65 2.20
01.02.26 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60

Heerenveen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
11.02.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.60 2.30
07.02.26 Twente – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.33 1.62 2.25
20.12.25 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–3 (0–0) 3.303.802.05 1.57 2.35
14.12.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 0–3 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.57 2.35
28.11.25 Zwolle – Heerenveen 2–1 (2–1) 3.754.001.83 1.53 2.40
08.11.25 For Sittard – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.702.20 1.67 2.15
01.11.25 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.70
19.10.25 Telstar – Heerenveen 2–3 (1–2) 2.703.502.50 1.65 2.20
28.09.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–1) 1.804.003.90 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsHeerenveen wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25N1 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
19.01.24N1 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
23.09.23N1 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
13.05.23N1 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.505.005.00 1.53 2.40
05.11.22N1 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 22 2 2 75 31 +44 68
2 Feyenoord 25 15 3 7 55 35 +20 48
3 Ajax 26 11 11 4 48 34 +14 44
4 Nijmegen 25 12 7 6 61 43 +18 43
5 Twente 25 10 11 4 41 26 +15 41
6 AZ Alkmaar 26 11 6 9 43 42 +1 39
7 Sparta Rotterdam 25 11 4 10 32 42 -10 37
8 Utrecht 26 9 8 9 38 31 +7 35
9 Groningen 26 10 4 12 36 36 0 34
10 Heerenveen 25 9 7 9 42 43 -1 34
11 For Sittard 25 9 5 11 39 45 -6 32
12 Go Ahead Eagles 25 6 11 8 38 39 -1 29
13 Zwolle 25 7 7 11 34 50 -16 28
14 Volendam 25 7 6 12 29 41 -12 27
15 Excelsior 25 7 5 13 26 42 -16 26
16 NAC Breda 25 5 7 13 25 39 -14 22
17 Telstar 25 4 9 12 31 41 -10 21
18 Heracles 26 5 3 18 32 65 -33 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 10 2 1 41 18 +23 32
2 Feyenoord 13 9 1 3 32 19 +13 28
3 Ajax 13 8 3 2 24 11 +13 27
4 Twente 13 7 4 2 22 12 +10 25
5 Nijmegen 12 7 2 3 32 20 +12 23
6 Volendam 13 6 4 3 22 17 +5 22
7 Utrecht 13 6 3 4 21 12 +9 21
8 For Sittard 12 6 3 3 21 18 +3 21
9 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 5 2 25 21 +4 20
10 Heerenveen 13 5 5 3 24 22 +2 20
11 Zwolle 12 6 2 4 15 15 0 20
12 Groningen 13 5 3 5 20 14 +6 18
13 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 6 2 21 16 +5 18
14 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 3 4 14 19 -5 18
15 NAC Breda 13 4 3 6 15 18 -3 15
16 Excelsior 13 4 2 7 13 17 -4 14
17 Heracles 13 4 2 7 21 28 -7 14
18 Telstar 13 2 5 6 21 24 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 34 13 +21 36
2 Feyenoord 12 6 2 4 23 16 +7 20
3 Nijmegen 13 5 5 3 29 23 +6 20
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 1 7 18 21 -3 19
5 Sparta Rotterdam 13 6 1 6 18 23 -5 19
6 Ajax 13 3 8 2 24 23 +1 17
7 Twente 12 3 7 2 19 14 +5 16
8 Groningen 13 5 1 7 16 22 -6 16
9 Utrecht 13 3 5 5 17 19 -2 14
10 Heerenveen 12 4 2 6 18 21 -3 14
11 Excelsior 12 3 3 6 13 25 -12 12
12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 2 5 6 17 23 -6 11
13 For Sittard 13 3 2 8 18 27 -9 11
14 Telstar 12 2 4 6 10 17 -7 10
15 Zwolle 13 1 5 7 19 35 -16 8
16 NAC Breda 12 1 4 7 10 21 -11 7
17 Volendam 12 1 2 9 7 24 -17 5
18 Heracles 13 1 1 11 11 37 -26 4

Excelsior   Heerenveen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 26 4 22 2.9 1.2 22 2 2 75 31 68
2 4 Nijmegen 25 5 20 2.4 1.7 12 7 6 61 43 43
3 18 Heracles 26 7 19 1.2 2.5 5 3 18 32 65 18
4 10 Heerenveen 25 7 18 1.7 1.7 9 7 9 42 43 34
5 6 AZ Alkmaar 26 9 17 1.7 1.6 11 6 9 43 42 39
6 11 For Sittard 25 8 17 1.6 1.8 9 5 11 39 45 32
7 2 Feyenoord 25 9 16 2.2 1.4 15 3 7 55 35 48
8 13 Zwolle 25 9 16 1.4 2.0 7 7 11 34 50 28
9 14 Volendam 25 9 16 1.2 1.6 7 6 12 29 41 27
10 3 Ajax 26 11 15 1.8 1.3 11 11 4 48 34 44
11 12 Go Ahead Eagles 25 10 15 1.5 1.6 6 11 8 38 39 29
12 15 Excelsior 25 10 15 1.0 1.7 7 5 13 26 42 26
13 9 Groningen 26 12 14 1.4 1.4 10 4 12 36 36 34
14 7 Sparta Rotterdam 25 12 13 1.3 1.7 11 4 10 32 42 37
15 8 Utrecht 26 13 13 1.5 1.2 9 8 9 38 31 35
16 16 NAC Breda 25 12 13 1.0 1.6 5 7 13 25 39 22
17 17 Telstar 25 12 13 1.2 1.6 4 9 12 31 41 21
18 5 Twente 25 15 10 1.6 1.0 10 11 4 41 26 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 1 12 3.2 1.4 10 2 1 41 18 32
2 4 Nijmegen 12 1 11 2.7 1.7 7 2 3 32 20 23
3 6 AZ Alkmaar 12 3 9 2.1 1.8 5 5 2 25 21 20
4 10 Heerenveen 13 4 9 1.8 1.7 5 5 3 24 22 20
5 14 Volendam 13 4 9 1.7 1.3 6 4 3 22 17 22
6 17 Telstar 13 4 9 1.6 1.8 2 5 6 21 24 11
7 18 Heracles 13 4 9 1.6 2.2 4 2 7 21 28 14
8 2 Feyenoord 13 5 8 2.5 1.5 9 1 3 32 19 28
9 9 Groningen 13 5 8 1.5 1.1 5 3 5 20 14 18
10 11 For Sittard 12 4 8 1.8 1.5 6 3 3 21 18 21
11 12 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 8 1.8 1.3 4 6 2 21 16 18
12 15 Excelsior 13 6 7 1.0 1.3 4 2 7 13 17 14
13 5 Twente 13 7 6 1.7 0.9 7 4 2 22 12 25
14 8 Utrecht 13 7 6 1.6 0.9 6 3 4 21 12 21
15 13 Zwolle 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 2 4 15 15 20
16 16 NAC Breda 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 4 3 6 15 18 15
17 3 Ajax 13 8 5 1.8 0.8 8 3 2 24 11 27
18 7 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 5 3 4 14 19 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 2.6 1.0 12 0 1 34 13 36
2 3 Ajax 13 3 10 1.8 1.8 3 8 2 24 23 17
3 13 Zwolle 13 3 10 1.5 2.7 1 5 7 19 35 8
4 18 Heracles 13 3 10 0.8 2.8 1 1 11 11 37 4
5 4 Nijmegen 13 4 9 2.2 1.8 5 5 3 29 23 20
6 10 Heerenveen 12 3 9 1.5 1.8 4 2 6 18 21 14
7 11 For Sittard 13 4 9 1.4 2.1 3 2 8 18 27 11
8 2 Feyenoord 12 4 8 1.9 1.3 6 2 4 23 16 20
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 8 1.3 1.5 6 1 7 18 21 19
10 7 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 6 1 6 18 23 19
11 15 Excelsior 12 4 8 1.1 2.1 3 3 6 13 25 12
12 8 Utrecht 13 6 7 1.3 1.5 3 5 5 17 19 14
13 12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 7 1.3 1.8 2 5 6 17 23 11
14 14 Volendam 12 5 7 0.6 2.0 1 2 9 7 24 5
15 16 NAC Breda 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 1 4 7 10 21 7
16 9 Groningen 13 7 6 1.2 1.7 5 1 7 16 22 16
17 5 Twente 12 8 4 1.6 1.2 3 7 2 19 14 16
18 17 Telstar 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 2 4 6 10 17 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51