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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Willem II 4–1 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.27
Draw 3.60 fair 3.89
Away 2.40 fair 3.31
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Willem II Nijmegen
14 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
8 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (151 league matches this season so far).
Result Willem II to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
Willem IIDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Willem II before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.06scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 17:18
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:20
Willem II all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded 1.25
2.19 Total goals 2.63
7.88 Shots 13.88
2.63 Shots on target 4.63
16.56 Shots faced 13.38
3.75 Corners 6.06
6.00 Corners against 5.13
10.94 Fouls 11.00
2.25 Yellow cards 0.94
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%
25% Draws 13%
44% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 75%
38% Over 2.5 goals 56%
13% Over 3.5 goals 13%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 38%
31% Clean sheets 31%
31% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
50% Draws 44%
25% Losses 31%
63% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 44%
6% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Willem II all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Willem II before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:9
Nijmegen before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.86scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:10
Willem II at home away Nijmegen

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 0.86
1.13 Goals conceded 1.43
2.25 Total goals 2.29
9.63 Shots 11.00
2.88 Shots on target 3.57
14.63 Shots faced 16.14
3.88 Corners 5.86
4.38 Corners against 6.29
9.38 Fouls 10.29
2.13 Yellow cards 1.14
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

25% Wins 29%
25% Draws 0%
50% Losses 71%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 43%
13% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 0%
38% Clean sheets 29%
38% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 14%
63% Draws 43%
13% Losses 43%
38% Over 0.5 goals 57%
25% Over 1.5 goals 43%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Willem II at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.24 Zwolle – Willem II 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.254.20 2.10 1.70
08.12.24 Willem II – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.67
30.11.24 Groningen – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.25 1.62
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–2 (0–2) 1.484.207.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.24 Willem II – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 1.98 1.88
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 1.90 1.95
07.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 5–0 (4–0) 2.053.503.50 1.73 2.08
01.12.24 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 4.334.001.70 1.67 2.15
24.11.24 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10
03.11.24 Nijmegen – Groningen 6–0 (3–0) 1.853.304.75 1.93 1.93
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85
19.10.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.65 2.20
05.10.24 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 1.83 2.03
28.09.24 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–1 (1–0) 5.754.331.55 1.57 2.35

Willem II at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.24 Willem II – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.15 1.67
24.11.24 Willem II – NAC Breda 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Willem II – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 1.98 1.88
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
15.09.24 Willem II – Waalwijk 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Willem II – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
18.08.24 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.30 1.75 2.05
15.05.22 Willem II – Utrecht 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.57 2.35
07.05.22 Willem II – Heracles 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.80

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 5–0 (4–0) 2.053.503.50 1.73 2.08
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85
05.10.24 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.25 4.00
31.08.24 For Sittard – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.83 2.03
17.08.24 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
19.05.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–2) 3.203.502.20 1.67 2.15
06.05.24 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 3.003.602.30 1.53 2.40
07.04.24 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Willem II winsDrawsNijmegen wins
2matches
0.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.21N1 Willem II – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.87 1.93 1.93
12.09.21N1 Nijmegen – Willem II 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.50 1.85 1.95

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 15 0 2 59 13 +46 45 WWWWLW
2 Ajax 17 12 3 2 37 16 +21 39 WWDLWW
3 Utrecht 17 11 3 3 34 28 +6 36 WLDWDL
4 Feyenoord 17 10 5 2 40 21 +19 35 WWDWWL
5 AZ Alkmaar 17 10 2 5 31 17 +14 32 LWWWWW
6 Twente 17 9 4 4 32 21 +11 31 DWWLWL
7 Go Ahead Eagles 17 7 4 6 30 27 +3 25 LWLWDW
8 For Sittard 17 7 4 6 25 25 0 25 LLDDWW
9 NAC Breda 17 7 1 9 19 27 -8 22 LDWWLL
10 Heerenveen 17 6 3 8 17 31 -14 21 WLDWWL
11 Willem II 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19 LWDLLW
12 Nijmegen 16 5 2 9 22 20 +2 17 WWLLLD
13 Zwolle 17 4 5 8 16 26 -10 17 WLWDLD
14 Groningen 16 4 4 8 14 26 -12 16 LWLWDL
15 Heracles 16 3 5 8 18 33 -15 14 WLDLDL
16 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 14 26 -12 12 LLLLDL
17 Almere City 17 2 3 12 10 37 -27 9 LLLLLW
18 Waalwijk 17 1 4 12 18 41 -23 7 LDDLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 32 3 +29 24 WWWWWW
2 Ajax 8 7 1 0 20 5 +15 22 WWWWDW
3 Twente 8 5 3 0 17 6 +11 18 WWWDWW
4 Heerenveen 8 5 3 0 13 4 +9 18 WDWWDW
5 Go Ahead Eagles 9 5 2 2 20 12 +8 17 WLDWWW
6 Feyenoord 8 5 2 1 17 9 +8 17 WLWWDW
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 5 1 3 19 10 +9 16 LDLWWW
8 Utrecht 9 5 1 3 17 20 -3 16 WLWLDL
9 For Sittard 8 5 0 3 13 10 +3 15 LWWWLW
10 NAC Breda 8 5 0 3 11 9 +2 15 WWWLWL
11 Groningen 8 3 3 2 9 5 +4 12 DLLWWD
12 Zwolle 8 4 0 4 11 11 0 12 LWLWWL
13 Nijmegen 9 3 2 4 16 10 +6 11 DWWLLD
14 Heracles 8 2 4 2 13 13 0 10 DWLWDD
15 Willem II 8 2 2 4 9 9 0 8 WLDLDL
16 Almere City 9 2 1 6 8 22 -14 7 LLWLLW
17 Waalwijk 9 1 2 6 9 18 -9 5 LDWLLD
18 Sparta Rotterdam 9 0 4 5 7 16 -9 4 DDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 27 10 +17 21 WWLWWL
2 Utrecht 8 6 2 0 17 8 +9 20 WWWWDW
3 Feyenoord 9 5 3 1 23 12 +11 18 DWWWWL
4 Ajax 9 5 2 2 17 11 +6 17 WWDWLW
5 AZ Alkmaar 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16 WWLLWW
6 Twente 9 4 1 4 15 15 0 13 LDWWLL
7 Willem II 8 3 2 3 8 9 -1 11 LWLWLW
8 For Sittard 9 2 4 3 12 15 -3 10 DDLDDW
9 Sparta Rotterdam 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8 WLLLLD
10 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 2 4 10 15 -5 8 WWDLLD
11 NAC Breda 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7 LWLDWL
12 Nijmegen 7 2 0 5 6 10 -4 6 WLLLWL
13 Zwolle 9 0 5 4 5 15 -10 5 DLDLDD
14 Heracles 8 1 1 6 5 20 -15 4 WLLLLL
15 Groningen 8 1 1 6 5 21 -16 4 LLLLLL
16 Heerenveen 9 1 0 8 4 27 -23 3 LLLLWL
17 Almere City 8 0 2 6 2 15 -13 2 LDLLLL
18 Waalwijk 8 0 2 6 9 23 -14 2 LLLDDL

Willem II   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 17 3 14 3.5 0.8 15 0 2 59 13 45 OOOOUO
2 3 Utrecht 17 5 12 2.0 1.6 11 3 3 34 28 36 OOOOOO
3 18 Waalwijk 17 5 12 1.1 2.4 1 4 12 18 41 7 OOUOOU
4 5 AZ Alkmaar 17 6 11 1.8 1.0 10 2 5 31 17 32 OOUOOU
5 7 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 11 1.8 1.6 7 4 6 30 27 25 UOOOOO
6 2 Ajax 17 7 10 2.2 0.9 12 3 2 37 16 39 UOOOOU
7 4 Feyenoord 17 7 10 2.4 1.2 10 5 2 40 21 35 OOUOOO
8 6 Twente 17 7 10 1.9 1.2 9 4 4 32 21 31 OOOOUU
9 8 For Sittard 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 7 4 6 25 25 25 OOUOOO
10 9 NAC Breda 17 7 10 1.1 1.6 7 1 9 19 27 22 OOUUOO
11 15 Heracles 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 3 5 8 18 33 14 UUOUOO
12 10 Heerenveen 17 8 9 1.0 1.8 6 3 8 17 31 21 UOUOUO
13 12 Nijmegen 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 5 2 9 22 20 17 OOOOOU
14 17 Almere City 17 8 9 0.6 2.2 2 3 12 10 37 9 OOUOOO
15 13 Zwolle 17 10 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 8 16 26 17 OUUUUU
16 14 Groningen 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 26 16 OUOUUU
17 16 Sparta Rotterdam 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 2 6 9 14 26 12 UOUUUU
18 11 Willem II 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19 UOOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 4.0 0.4 8 0 0 32 3 24 UOOOOO
2 3 Utrecht 9 3 6 1.9 2.2 5 1 3 17 20 16 OUUOOO
3 5 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 6 2.1 1.1 5 1 3 19 10 16 OOOUOU
4 7 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 2 2 20 12 17 OOOOOO
5 8 For Sittard 8 2 6 1.6 1.2 5 0 3 13 10 15 OUUOOO
6 12 Nijmegen 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 3 2 4 16 10 11 UOOOOU
7 18 Waalwijk 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 2 6 9 18 5 UOUOOU
8 2 Ajax 8 3 5 2.5 0.6 7 1 0 20 5 22 OUOUOO
9 9 NAC Breda 8 3 5 1.4 1.1 5 0 3 11 9 15 UUOOUO
10 13 Zwolle 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 4 0 4 11 11 12 OUOOUU
11 15 Heracles 8 3 5 1.6 1.6 2 4 2 13 13 10 UOOUOO
12 17 Almere City 9 4 5 0.9 2.4 2 1 6 8 22 7 OUUOOO
13 4 Feyenoord 8 4 4 2.1 1.1 5 2 1 17 9 17 OUOOUO
14 11 Willem II 8 4 4 1.1 1.1 2 2 4 9 9 8 OUUUOO
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 9 5 4 0.8 1.8 0 4 5 7 16 4 UOOOUU
16 6 Twente 8 5 3 2.1 0.8 5 3 0 17 6 18 UUOOOU
17 10 Heerenveen 8 6 2 1.6 0.5 5 3 0 13 4 18 OUUUUU
18 14 Groningen 8 6 2 1.1 0.6 3 3 2 9 5 12 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 2 7 3.0 1.1 7 0 2 27 10 21 UOOOOU
2 6 Twente 9 2 7 1.7 1.7 4 1 4 15 15 13 OOUOOU
3 10 Heerenveen 9 2 7 0.4 3.0 1 0 8 4 27 3 OOOOOO
4 3 Utrecht 8 2 6 2.1 1.0 6 2 0 17 8 20 OUOOOO
5 4 Feyenoord 9 3 6 2.6 1.3 5 3 1 23 12 18 UOUOOO
6 18 Waalwijk 8 2 6 1.1 2.9 0 2 6 9 23 2 OOOOUO
7 2 Ajax 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 2 2 17 11 17 OUOOOU
8 5 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 5 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16 OOUOOO
9 7 Go Ahead Eagles 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 2 2 4 10 15 8 OUOUOO
10 9 NAC Breda 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7 UOUOUO
11 14 Groningen 8 3 5 0.6 2.6 1 1 6 5 21 4 OOUOOU
12 15 Heracles 8 3 5 0.6 2.5 1 1 6 5 20 4 OOOUUO
13 8 For Sittard 9 5 4 1.3 1.7 2 4 3 12 15 10 UUOUOO
14 17 Almere City 8 4 4 0.2 1.9 0 2 6 2 15 2 UOUOUO
15 12 Nijmegen 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 0 5 6 10 6 OUUUOO
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8 OOUUUU
17 11 Willem II 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 3 8 9 11 OUUOUU
18 13 Zwolle 9 7 2 0.6 1.7 0 5 4 5 15 5 UOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11