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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.48 fair 1.95
Draw 4.20 fair 4.30
Away ✓ 7.00 fair 3.94
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar Willem II
30 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 1
7 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (106 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
2.00scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 22:12
Willem II before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:11
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches Willem II

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.09 Goals conceded 1.00
3.09 Total goals 2.00
14.45 Shots 7.27
6.09 Shots on target 2.27
10.18 Shots faced 15.73
5.36 Corners 3.91
4.36 Corners against 6.45
10.18 Fouls 11.18
1.64 Yellow cards 2.18
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

45% Wins 27%
18% Draws 27%
36% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 27%
27% Over 3.5 goals 9%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 36%
36% Clean sheets 36%
18% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 18%
27% Draws 64%
9% Losses 18%
82% Over 0.5 goals 55%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
Willem II all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
1.40points / match
2.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 14:7
Willem II before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:6
AZ Alkmaar at home away Willem II

Per match

2.80 Goals scored 1.00
1.40 Goals conceded 1.20
4.20 Total goals 2.20
16.40 Shots 5.40
7.80 Shots on target 2.00
11.60 Shots faced 17.00
4.20 Corners 4.40
3.80 Corners against 7.80
8.40 Fouls 13.80
1.20 Yellow cards 2.60
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
80% Over 2.5 goals 20%
40% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 0%
20% Draws 60%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
Willem II away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 3–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.70 2.10
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
06.10.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 6.253.801.57 1.83 2.03
29.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.25 1.70 2.10
20.09.24 Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 6.505.001.42 1.53 2.40
14.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 9–1 (2–1) 1.424.757.50 1.57 2.35
30.08.24 Waalwijk – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.62 2.25
25.08.24 Groningen – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.701.95 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Willem II – Twente 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.65 1.98 1.88
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
20.10.24 Willem II – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
28.09.24 Willem II – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 10.007.001.22 1.33 3.40
21.09.24 Utrecht – Willem II 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.005.75 1.80 2.00
15.09.24 Willem II – Waalwijk 3–0 (2–0) 1.913.604.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Willem II – Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
25.08.24 Heracles – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.70 2.15
18.08.24 Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (2–0) 3.103.502.30 1.75 2.05

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.15
19.10.24 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
29.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 1–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.25 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 9–1 (2–1) 1.424.757.50 1.57 2.35
17.08.24 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
19.05.24 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 3–3 (3–0) 1.444.756.50 1.48 2.60
05.05.24 AZ Alkmaar – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98
13.04.24 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 3–2 (0–2) 1.305.2510.00 1.50 2.50
30.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Vitesse 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40

Willem II away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
04.10.24 Almere City – Willem II 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.15 1.67
21.09.24 Utrecht – Willem II 3–2 (2–2) 1.574.005.75 1.80 2.00
25.08.24 Heracles – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.70 2.15
10.08.24 Feyenoord – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 1.138.0021.00 1.36 3.10
11.05.22 Cambuur – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.752.50 1.66 2.15
01.05.22 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 4–2 (3–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.40 2.87
08.04.22 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.70
02.04.22 Feyenoord – Willem II 2–0 (0–0) 1.167.0019.00 1.40 2.87
13.03.22 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 2.373.253.10 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsWillem II wins
2matches
4.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.22N1 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.001.57 1.90 1.95
18.12.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 4–1 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.50 2.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 11 0 1 40 9 +31 33 WWWWLW
2 Utrecht 11 9 1 1 20 11 +9 28 WWWLWW
3 Ajax 11 8 2 1 25 11 +14 26 WWWWWD
4 Feyenoord 12 7 4 1 28 13 +15 25 WWWLWW
5 Twente 12 6 4 2 24 11 +13 22 WLDWWD
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 2 4 22 12 +10 17 WLLLDL
7 For Sittard 12 5 2 5 13 16 -3 17 DWDWWL
8 Nijmegen 12 5 1 6 19 10 +9 16 DLWLWW
9 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 3 5 15 20 -5 15 WWLDDL
10 NAC Breda 12 5 0 7 12 21 -9 15 LWWWLL
11 Heerenveen 12 4 2 6 13 23 -10 14 LDLWLW
12 Willem II 11 3 3 5 11 11 0 12 LLWDLL
13 Groningen 12 3 3 6 12 19 -7 12 LLLLLW
14 Zwolle 12 3 3 6 14 22 -8 12 WDLLDW
15 Heracles 12 3 3 6 12 23 -11 12 WLLLWL
16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 2 5 5 12 18 -6 11 DLDLLL
17 Almere City 12 1 3 8 6 27 -21 6 LLDWLL
18 Waalwijk 12 1 1 10 10 31 -21 4 LLDLWL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 18 2 +16 15 WWWWW
2 Ajax 5 5 0 0 13 3 +10 15 WWWWW
3 Utrecht 6 5 0 1 10 7 +3 15 WWWWLW
4 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 11 3 +8 14 DWWDWW
5 Twente 6 3 3 0 12 4 +8 12 DDWWWD
6 For Sittard 6 4 0 2 9 6 +3 12 WLLWWW
7 NAC Breda 6 4 0 2 9 7 +2 12 WLWWWL
8 Nijmegen 6 3 1 2 13 5 +8 10 LWLDWW
9 Feyenoord 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10 DWWLW
10 Zwolle 6 3 0 3 10 10 0 9 LWLWLW
11 Groningen 6 2 2 2 7 5 +2 8 WDDLLW
12 Heracles 6 2 2 2 9 9 0 8 LDDWLW
13 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 2 2 10 11 -1 8 LWDWLD
14 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 1 2 14 7 +7 7 WWLLD
15 Willem II 6 2 1 3 6 5 +1 7 WLWLDL
16 Sparta Rotterdam 6 0 4 2 6 10 -4 4 DDLDDL
17 Waalwijk 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4 LLLDWL
18 Almere City 7 1 1 5 4 19 -15 4 LDLLWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 6 0 1 22 7 +15 18 WWWWLW
2 Feyenoord 7 4 3 0 20 7 +13 15 DDDWWW
3 Utrecht 5 4 1 0 10 4 +6 13 DWWWW
4 Ajax 6 3 2 1 12 8 +4 11 LDWWWD
5 Twente 6 3 1 2 12 7 +5 10 WLWLDW
6 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10 WDWWLL
7 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7 DWWLLL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 1 3 5 9 -4 7 LLWWDL
9 Nijmegen 6 2 0 4 6 5 +1 6 LWLLLW
10 Willem II 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DDLWL
11 For Sittard 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5 WLLDDL
12 Groningen 6 1 1 4 5 14 -9 4 WDLLLL
13 Heracles 6 1 1 4 3 14 -11 4 DLWLLL
14 Zwolle 6 0 3 3 4 12 -8 3 LLDDLD
15 NAC Breda 6 1 0 5 3 14 -11 3 LLLLWL
16 Almere City 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2 LDLDL
17 Waalwijk 5 0 0 5 4 17 -13 0 LLLLL
18 Heerenveen 6 0 0 6 2 20 -18 0 LLLLLL

AZ Alkmaar   Willem II

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 12 2 10 3.3 0.8 11 0 1 40 9 33 UOOOOO
2 18 Waalwijk 12 3 9 0.8 2.6 1 1 10 10 31 4 UOOOUO
3 5 Twente 12 5 7 2.0 0.9 6 4 2 24 11 22 UOOOUO
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 7 2.0 1.1 5 2 4 22 12 17 OOUOOO
5 10 NAC Breda 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 5 0 7 12 21 15 UUOOUO
6 14 Zwolle 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 3 6 14 22 12 UUOOOO
7 15 Heracles 12 5 7 1.0 1.9 3 3 6 12 23 12 OOOOUU
8 2 Utrecht 11 5 6 1.8 1.0 9 1 1 20 11 28 OOUUOU
9 3 Ajax 11 5 6 2.3 1.0 8 2 1 25 11 26 OOUUOO
10 4 Feyenoord 12 6 6 2.3 1.1 7 4 1 28 13 25 OOUUOO
11 7 For Sittard 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 5 2 5 13 16 17 UUUUOO
12 8 Nijmegen 12 6 6 1.6 0.8 5 1 6 19 10 16 UUOUOO
13 9 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 6 1.2 1.7 4 3 5 15 20 15 UOOOOU
14 11 Heerenveen 12 6 6 1.1 1.9 4 2 6 13 23 14 OUOUOU
15 13 Groningen 12 6 6 1.0 1.6 3 3 6 12 19 12 UOUUOU
16 16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 6 6 1.0 1.5 2 5 5 12 18 11 UOOUOU
17 17 Almere City 12 7 5 0.5 2.2 1 3 8 6 27 6 UUOUUO
18 12 Willem II 11 8 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 5 11 11 12 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Zwolle 6 1 5 1.7 1.7 3 0 3 10 10 9 OOOUOO
2 18 Waalwijk 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4 OOUOUO
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.6 0.4 5 0 0 18 2 15 OOUOO
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 5 1 4 2.8 1.4 2 1 2 14 7 7 UOOOO
5 7 For Sittard 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 4 0 2 9 6 12 OOOUUO
6 8 Nijmegen 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 3 1 2 13 5 10 OUOUOO
7 10 NAC Breda 6 2 4 1.5 1.2 4 0 2 9 7 12 OOUUOO
8 2 Utrecht 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 5 0 1 10 7 15 UOOOUU
9 3 Ajax 5 2 3 2.6 0.6 5 0 0 13 3 15 UOOUO
10 9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 3 3 1.7 1.8 2 2 2 10 11 8 UUUOOO
11 15 Heracles 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 2 2 2 9 9 8 OUUOOU
12 16 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 0 4 2 6 10 4 UUOUOO
13 17 Almere City 7 4 3 0.6 2.7 1 1 5 4 19 4 OUOUUO
14 4 Feyenoord 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10 UUOUO
15 5 Twente 6 4 2 2.0 0.7 3 3 0 12 4 12 UUUUOO
16 11 Heerenveen 6 4 2 1.8 0.5 4 2 0 11 3 14 UOOUUU
17 12 Willem II 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 1 3 6 5 7 UOOUUU
18 13 Groningen 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 2 7 5 8 OUOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 1 6 3.1 1.0 6 0 1 22 7 18 OOUOOO
2 5 Twente 6 1 5 2.0 1.2 3 1 2 12 7 10 OOOOOU
3 4 Feyenoord 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 4 3 0 20 7 15 UOUOUO
4 11 Heerenveen 6 2 4 0.3 3.3 0 0 6 2 20 0 UOUOOO
5 13 Groningen 6 2 4 0.8 2.3 1 1 4 5 14 4 OUOOUO
6 15 Heracles 6 2 4 0.5 2.3 1 1 4 3 14 4 UOOOOU
7 18 Waalwijk 5 1 4 0.8 3.4 0 0 5 4 17 0 OUOOO
8 2 Utrecht 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 0 10 4 13 UOOUO
9 3 Ajax 6 3 3 2.0 1.3 3 2 1 12 8 11 OUUOUO
10 6 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10 UUOOUO
11 9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 2 1 3 5 9 7 UOOUOU
12 10 NAC Breda 6 3 3 0.5 2.3 1 0 5 3 14 3 OOUUOU
13 16 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7 UOOOUU
14 7 For Sittard 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5 UUOUUO
15 8 Nijmegen 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 0 4 6 5 6 UOUUUO
16 14 Zwolle 6 4 2 0.7 2.0 0 3 3 4 12 3 UUUUOO
17 17 Almere City 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2 OUUOU
18 12 Willem II 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 UUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10