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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Almere City 2–1 Excelsior

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.67
Draw 3.25 fair 4.41
Away 3.50 fair 2.51
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.92
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Almere City Excelsior
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 3
9 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (171 league matches this season so far).
Result Excelsior to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.72
Home / Draw / Away
Almere CityDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 1–2 8.3% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Almere City before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.00scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 19:36
Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.68scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 32:36
Almere City all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.68
1.89 Goals conceded 1.89
2.89 Total goals 3.58
11.47 Shots 11.16
3.37 Shots on target 4.47
15.53 Shots faced 15.37
4.63 Corners 3.05
5.47 Corners against 6.84
13.68 Fouls 8.00
2.05 Yellow cards 1.42
0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

26% Wins 21%
26% Draws 47%
47% Losses 32%
84% Over 0.5 goals 89%
74% Over 1.5 goals 89%
58% Over 2.5 goals 74%
37% Over 3.5 goals 58%
26% Over 4.5 goals 21%
5% Over 5.5 goals 21%
42% Both teams scored 79%
37% Clean sheets 21%
37% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 37%
32% Draws 47%
42% Losses 16%
68% Over 0.5 goals 63%
26% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almere City all matches
Excelsior all matches
Almere City before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.11scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:17
Excelsior before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.78scored / match
2.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:20
Almere City at home away Excelsior

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.78
1.89 Goals conceded 2.22
3.00 Total goals 4.00
11.78 Shots 9.00
3.56 Shots on target 4.33
14.67 Shots faced 17.89
4.78 Corners 3.22
5.00 Corners against 7.67
12.89 Fouls 8.89
1.89 Yellow cards 1.67
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

22% Wins 22%
33% Draws 33%
44% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 89%
56% Over 3.5 goals 78%
33% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 22%
33% Both teams scored 78%
44% Clean sheets 22%
44% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 44%
44% Draws 22%
33% Losses 33%
56% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almere City at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

Almere City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 1.0910.0023.00 1.25 4.00
24.01.24 Almere City – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.502.90 1.90 1.95
14.01.24 Volendam – Almere City 0–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.55 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Almere City – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.75 2.05
09.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.48 2.60
01.12.23 Heerenveen – Almere City 3–0 (2–0) 1.674.005.00 1.70 2.10
26.11.23 Almere City – Heracles 0–5 (0–1) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60
05.11.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Almere City 1–2 (0–1) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 Almere City – Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.402.60 1.70 2.10

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.24 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
19.01.24 Excelsior – Heerenveen 3–0 (2–0) 3.103.752.20 1.67 2.15
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
16.12.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.62 2.25
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
25.11.23 Excelsior – Feyenoord 2–4 (1–1) 11.007.001.20 1.33 3.40
12.11.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
04.11.23 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40
29.10.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.50 2.50

Almere City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.24 Almere City – For Sittard 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.502.90 1.90 1.95
17.12.23 Almere City – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.75 2.05
26.11.23 Almere City – Heracles 0–5 (0–1) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.15
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Almere City – Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.402.60 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Almere City – Waalwijk 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.802.75 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 Almere City – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–2) 11.007.501.20 1.36 3.10
02.09.23 Almere City – Zwolle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.15 1.65 2.20
13.08.23 Almere City – Twente 1–4 (0–0) 5.754.201.55 1.62 2.25

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
12.11.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
29.10.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.50 2.50
07.10.23 Vitesse – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.334.00 1.65 2.20
23.09.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
02.09.23 Heracles – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.57 2.35
13.08.23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35
28.05.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–2 (3–0) 1.704.334.00 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Almere City winsDrawsExcelsior wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23N1 Excelsior – Almere City 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.35

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 18 1 0 62 8 +54 55
2 Feyenoord 19 13 4 2 52 17 +35 43
3 Twente 19 11 5 3 36 21 +15 38
4 AZ Alkmaar 19 10 5 4 40 20 +20 35
5 Ajax 19 10 4 5 46 35 +11 34
6 Go Ahead Eagles 19 7 6 6 32 28 +4 27
7 Nijmegen 19 6 8 5 36 32 +4 26
8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 7 5 7 25 25 0 26
9 Zwolle 19 6 5 8 28 32 -4 23
10 For Sittard 19 6 5 8 18 30 -12 23
11 Excelsior 19 4 9 6 32 36 -4 21
12 Heerenveen 19 6 3 10 28 37 -9 21
13 Utrecht 19 4 8 7 19 28 -9 20
14 Almere City 19 5 5 9 19 36 -17 20
15 Heracles 19 5 4 10 25 45 -20 19
16 Waalwijk 19 4 3 12 18 35 -17 15
17 Volendam 19 3 3 13 19 43 -24 12
18 Vitesse 19 3 3 13 13 40 -27 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 31 5 +26 30
2 Twente 9 7 1 1 19 12 +7 22
3 Feyenoord 10 6 3 1 26 8 +18 21
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 25 11 +14 20
5 Ajax 9 6 1 2 24 12 +12 19
6 Go Ahead Eagles 10 5 2 3 24 14 +10 17
7 For Sittard 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
8 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 21 15 +6 15
9 Heerenveen 9 4 2 3 17 12 +5 14
10 Excelsior 10 2 6 2 16 16 0 12
11 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
12 Heracles 10 3 2 5 13 24 -11 11
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9
14 Almere City 9 2 3 4 10 17 -7 9
15 Utrecht 9 1 5 3 11 18 -7 8
16 Waalwijk 10 2 2 6 11 19 -8 8
17 Volendam 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
18 Vitesse 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 8 1 0 31 3 +28 25
2 Feyenoord 9 7 1 1 26 9 +17 22
3 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
4 Twente 10 4 4 2 17 9 +8 16
5 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 3 2 15 9 +6 15
6 Ajax 10 4 3 3 22 23 -1 15
7 Zwolle 9 3 3 3 18 17 +1 12
8 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
9 Nijmegen 9 2 5 2 15 17 -2 11
10 Almere City 10 3 2 5 9 19 -10 11
11 Go Ahead Eagles 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
12 Excelsior 9 2 3 4 16 20 -4 9
13 Heracles 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
14 Waalwijk 9 2 1 6 7 16 -9 7
15 Heerenveen 10 2 1 7 11 25 -14 7
16 For Sittard 10 1 3 6 5 21 -16 6
17 Vitesse 10 2 0 8 7 27 -20 6
18 Volendam 10 1 2 7 11 25 -14 5

Almere City   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 19 2 17 2.4 1.8 10 4 5 46 35 34
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 19 4 15 3.3 0.4 18 1 0 62 8 55
3 2 Feyenoord 19 4 15 2.7 0.9 13 4 2 52 17 43
4 12 Heerenveen 19 4 15 1.5 1.9 6 3 10 28 37 21
5 15 Heracles 19 4 15 1.3 2.4 5 4 10 25 45 19
6 7 Nijmegen 19 5 14 1.9 1.7 6 8 5 36 32 26
7 11 Excelsior 19 5 14 1.7 1.9 4 9 6 32 36 21
8 4 AZ Alkmaar 19 6 13 2.1 1.1 10 5 4 40 20 35
9 9 Zwolle 19 6 13 1.5 1.7 6 5 8 28 32 23
10 17 Volendam 19 6 13 1.0 2.3 3 3 13 19 43 12
11 3 Twente 19 7 12 1.9 1.1 11 5 3 36 21 38
12 6 Go Ahead Eagles 19 8 11 1.7 1.5 7 6 6 32 28 27
13 10 For Sittard 19 8 11 0.9 1.6 6 5 8 18 30 23
14 14 Almere City 19 8 11 1.0 1.9 5 5 9 19 36 20
15 16 Waalwijk 19 8 11 0.9 1.8 4 3 12 18 35 15
16 8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 5 7 25 25 26
17 18 Vitesse 19 9 10 0.7 2.1 3 3 13 13 40 12
18 13 Utrecht 19 13 6 1.0 1.5 4 8 7 19 28 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 AZ Alkmaar 10 2 8 2.5 1.1 6 2 2 25 11 20
2 5 Ajax 9 1 8 2.7 1.3 6 1 2 24 12 19
3 6 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 5 2 3 24 14 17
4 12 Heerenveen 9 1 8 1.9 1.3 4 2 3 17 12 14
5 15 Heracles 10 2 8 1.3 2.4 3 2 5 13 24 11
6 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 3.1 0.5 10 0 0 31 5 30
7 2 Feyenoord 10 3 7 2.6 0.8 6 3 1 26 8 21
8 3 Twente 9 2 7 2.1 1.3 7 1 1 19 12 22
9 7 Nijmegen 10 3 7 2.1 1.5 4 3 3 21 15 15
10 16 Waalwijk 10 3 7 1.1 1.9 2 2 6 11 19 8
11 11 Excelsior 10 4 6 1.6 1.6 2 6 2 16 16 12
12 14 Almere City 9 3 6 1.1 1.9 2 3 4 10 17 9
13 8 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9
14 9 Zwolle 10 5 5 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
15 10 For Sittard 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
16 17 Volendam 9 4 5 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7
17 13 Utrecht 9 6 3 1.2 2.0 1 5 3 11 18 8
18 18 Vitesse 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 10 1 9 2.2 2.3 4 3 3 22 23 15
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 1 8 3.4 0.3 8 1 0 31 3 25
3 2 Feyenoord 9 1 8 2.9 1.0 7 1 1 26 9 22
4 9 Zwolle 9 1 8 2.0 1.9 3 3 3 18 17 12
5 11 Excelsior 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 2 3 4 16 20 9
6 17 Volendam 10 2 8 1.1 2.5 1 2 7 11 25 5
7 7 Nijmegen 9 2 7 1.7 1.9 2 5 2 15 17 11
8 12 Heerenveen 10 3 7 1.1 2.5 2 1 7 11 25 7
9 15 Heracles 9 2 7 1.3 2.3 2 2 5 12 21 8
10 18 Vitesse 10 3 7 0.7 2.7 2 0 8 7 27 6
11 10 For Sittard 10 4 6 0.5 2.1 1 3 6 5 21 6
12 3 Twente 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 4 4 2 17 9 16
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 4 3 2 15 9 15
14 8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 5 2 3 15 10 17
15 14 Almere City 10 5 5 0.9 1.9 3 2 5 9 19 11
16 16 Waalwijk 9 5 4 0.8 1.8 2 1 6 7 16 7
17 6 Go Ahead Eagles 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
18 13 Utrecht 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51