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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.07 fair 1.39
Draw 12.00 fair 6.56
Away 21.00 fair 7.76
Under 2.5 4.50 fair 4.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.18 fair 1.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven Excelsior
27 Shots 8
15 Shots on target 3
12 Corners 2
2 Fouls 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (148 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.56
Expected goals 2.81 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.7% 3–1 8.1% 2–0 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.50scored / match
0.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 56:6
Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.69scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 27:32
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

3.50 Goals scored 1.69
0.38 Goals conceded 2.00
3.88 Total goals 3.69
24.13 Shots 11.31
9.06 Shots on target 4.38
7.94 Shots faced 15.00
7.38 Corners 2.81
2.75 Corners against 6.56
9.44 Fouls 8.44
0.94 Yellow cards 1.56
1.19 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

100% Wins 19%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
88% Over 2.5 goals 75%
69% Over 3.5 goals 63%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
13% Over 5.5 goals 25%
31% Both teams scored 81%
69% Clean sheets 19%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 38%
13% Draws 50%
13% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
Excelsior all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.25scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 26:4
Excelsior before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.88scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 15:17
PSV Eindhoven at home away Excelsior

Per match

3.25 Goals scored 1.88
0.50 Goals conceded 2.13
3.75 Total goals 4.00
25.88 Shots 9.13
9.50 Shots on target 4.50
6.75 Shots faced 16.75
8.25 Corners 3.38
1.88 Corners against 7.13
9.50 Fouls 9.63
0.88 Yellow cards 1.88
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%
0% Draws 38%
0% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
75% Over 2.5 goals 88%
63% Over 3.5 goals 75%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
13% Over 5.5 goals 25%
38% Both teams scored 75%
63% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

88% Wins 50%
0% Draws 25%
13% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
07.12.23 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.30 3.50
03.12.23 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.603.00 1.57 2.35
25.11.23 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.601.91 1.60 2.30
12.11.23 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 4–0 (2–0) 1.1011.0021.00 1.22 4.20
04.11.23 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 0–6 (0–2) 13.007.001.20 1.25 4.00
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
21.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 3–1 (1–0) 1.118.5021.00 1.25 4.00
08.10.23 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.48 2.60
30.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–1 (1–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.14 5.50

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.752.25 1.62 2.25
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
25.11.23 Excelsior – Feyenoord 2–4 (1–1) 11.007.001.20 1.33 3.40
12.11.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
04.11.23 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40
29.10.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.50 2.50
22.10.23 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–4 (1–0) 2.304.002.75 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Vitesse – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.334.00 1.65 2.20
01.10.23 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.602.05 1.67 2.15

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.23 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.30 3.50
12.11.23 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 4–0 (2–0) 1.1011.0021.00 1.22 4.20
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
21.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 3–1 (1–0) 1.118.5021.00 1.25 4.00
30.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–1 (1–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.14 5.50
27.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5016.00 1.33 3.40
16.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 4–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.33 3.40
12.08.23 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.50 2.50
21.05.23 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–3 (1–2) 1.206.5015.00 1.33 3.40
14.05.23 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 2–1 (1–1) 1.1110.0017.00 1.25 4.00

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
12.11.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
29.10.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 2.703.752.40 1.50 2.50
07.10.23 Vitesse – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.334.00 1.65 2.20
23.09.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 1.674.005.00 1.53 2.40
02.09.23 Heracles – Excelsior 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.33 1.57 2.35
13.08.23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35
28.05.23 Volendam – Excelsior 3–2 (3–0) 1.704.334.00 1.40 2.88
13.05.23 Heerenveen – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.505.005.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsExcelsior wins
2matches
5.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 4–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.25 4.00
28.08.22N1 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–6 (0–3) 9.006.501.28 1.30 3.50

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 16 0 0 56 6 +50 48
2 Feyenoord 16 12 2 2 48 14 +34 38
3 Twente 17 11 4 2 36 20 +16 37
4 AZ Alkmaar 17 10 3 4 36 16 +20 33
5 Ajax 16 7 4 5 35 30 +5 25
6 Sparta Rotterdam 17 7 4 6 24 22 +2 25
7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 5 5 26 23 +3 23
8 Nijmegen 16 5 6 5 31 28 +3 21
9 Heerenveen 17 6 2 9 26 32 -6 20
10 Zwolle 17 5 4 8 25 30 -5 19
11 For Sittard 17 5 4 8 17 30 -13 19
12 Heracles 17 5 3 9 22 40 -18 18
13 Excelsior 16 3 8 5 27 32 -5 17
14 Utrecht 16 4 5 7 17 26 -9 17
15 Almere City 16 4 4 8 18 34 -16 16
16 Waalwijk 17 4 2 11 16 30 -14 14
17 Volendam 16 3 2 11 18 40 -22 11
18 Vitesse 16 3 2 11 12 37 -25 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 26 4 +22 24
2 Twente 9 7 1 1 19 12 +7 22
3 Feyenoord 8 6 1 1 24 6 +18 19
4 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 1 2 23 9 +14 19
5 For Sittard 9 5 2 2 13 9 +4 17
6 Go Ahead Eagles 8 5 1 2 20 9 +11 16
7 Ajax 8 5 1 2 20 11 +9 16
8 Heerenveen 8 4 1 3 15 10 +5 13
9 Nijmegen 9 3 3 3 20 15 +5 12
10 Heracles 8 3 1 4 10 19 -9 10
11 Sparta Rotterdam 8 2 3 3 10 13 -3 9
12 Excelsior 8 1 5 2 12 15 -3 8
13 Zwolle 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
14 Almere City 8 2 2 4 10 17 -7 8
15 Utrecht 8 1 4 3 10 17 -7 7
16 Waalwijk 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7
17 Volendam 7 2 1 4 8 16 -8 7
18 Vitesse 7 1 2 4 5 11 -6 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 8 0 0 30 2 +28 24
2 Feyenoord 8 6 1 1 24 8 +16 19
3 Sparta Rotterdam 9 5 1 3 14 9 +5 16
4 Twente 8 4 3 1 17 8 +9 15
5 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
6 Zwolle 8 3 2 3 16 15 +1 11
7 Utrecht 8 3 1 4 7 9 -2 10
8 Excelsior 8 2 3 3 15 17 -2 9
9 Nijmegen 7 2 3 2 11 13 -2 9
10 Ajax 8 2 3 3 15 19 -4 9
11 Heracles 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
12 Almere City 8 2 2 4 8 17 -9 8
13 Waalwijk 8 2 1 5 6 12 -6 7
14 Go Ahead Eagles 8 1 4 3 6 14 -8 7
15 Heerenveen 9 2 1 6 11 22 -11 7
16 Vitesse 9 2 0 7 7 26 -19 6
17 Volendam 9 1 1 7 10 24 -14 4
18 For Sittard 8 0 2 6 4 21 -17 2

PSV Eindhoven   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 2 14 3.5 0.4 16 0 0 56 6 48
2 5 Ajax 16 2 14 2.2 1.9 7 4 5 35 30 25
3 12 Heracles 17 3 14 1.3 2.4 5 3 9 22 40 18
4 2 Feyenoord 16 3 13 3.0 0.9 12 2 2 48 14 38
5 9 Heerenveen 17 4 13 1.5 1.9 6 2 9 26 32 20
6 17 Volendam 16 3 13 1.1 2.5 3 2 11 18 40 11
7 3 Twente 17 5 12 2.1 1.2 11 4 2 36 20 37
8 8 Nijmegen 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 5 6 5 31 28 21
9 10 Zwolle 17 5 12 1.5 1.8 5 4 8 25 30 19
10 13 Excelsior 16 4 12 1.7 2.0 3 8 5 27 32 17
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 17 6 11 2.1 0.9 10 3 4 36 16 33
12 11 For Sittard 17 6 11 1.0 1.8 5 4 8 17 30 19
13 15 Almere City 16 5 11 1.1 2.1 4 4 8 18 34 16
14 6 Sparta Rotterdam 17 7 10 1.4 1.3 7 4 6 24 22 25
15 16 Waalwijk 17 7 10 0.9 1.8 4 2 11 16 30 14
16 7 Go Ahead Eagles 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 6 5 5 26 23 23
17 18 Vitesse 16 7 9 0.8 2.3 3 2 11 12 37 11
18 14 Utrecht 16 10 6 1.1 1.6 4 5 7 17 26 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Twente 9 2 7 2.1 1.3 7 1 1 19 12 22
2 4 AZ Alkmaar 9 2 7 2.6 1.0 6 1 2 23 9 19
3 5 Ajax 8 1 7 2.5 1.4 5 1 2 20 11 16
4 8 Nijmegen 9 2 7 2.2 1.7 3 3 3 20 15 12
5 9 Heerenveen 8 1 7 1.9 1.2 4 1 3 15 10 13
6 12 Heracles 8 1 7 1.2 2.4 3 1 4 10 19 10
7 16 Waalwijk 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7
8 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 2 6 3.2 0.5 8 0 0 26 4 24
9 2 Feyenoord 8 2 6 3.0 0.8 6 1 1 24 6 19
10 7 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 5 1 2 20 9 16
11 15 Almere City 8 2 6 1.2 2.1 2 2 4 10 17 8
12 6 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 3 10 13 9
13 10 Zwolle 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
14 11 For Sittard 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 5 2 2 13 9 17
15 13 Excelsior 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 1 5 2 12 15 8
16 17 Volendam 7 2 5 1.1 2.3 2 1 4 8 16 7
17 14 Utrecht 8 5 3 1.2 2.1 1 4 3 10 17 7
18 18 Vitesse 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 2 4 5 11 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 0 8 3.8 0.2 8 0 0 30 2 24
2 17 Volendam 9 1 8 1.1 2.7 1 1 7 10 24 4
3 2 Feyenoord 8 1 7 3.0 1.0 6 1 1 24 8 19
4 5 Ajax 8 1 7 1.9 2.4 2 3 3 15 19 9
5 10 Zwolle 8 1 7 2.0 1.9 3 2 3 16 15 11
6 12 Heracles 9 2 7 1.3 2.3 2 2 5 12 21 8
7 13 Excelsior 8 1 7 1.9 2.1 2 3 3 15 17 9
8 18 Vitesse 9 2 7 0.8 2.9 2 0 7 7 26 6
9 9 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.2 2.4 2 1 6 11 22 7
10 11 For Sittard 8 2 6 0.5 2.6 0 2 6 4 21 2
11 3 Twente 8 3 5 2.1 1.0 4 3 1 17 8 15
12 6 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 5 1 3 14 9 16
13 8 Nijmegen 7 2 5 1.6 1.9 2 3 2 11 13 9
14 15 Almere City 8 3 5 1.0 2.1 2 2 4 8 17 8
15 4 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
16 7 Go Ahead Eagles 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 4 3 6 14 7
17 14 Utrecht 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 3 1 4 7 9 10
18 16 Waalwijk 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 2 1 5 6 12 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51