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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 0–3 Atalanta

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.00 fair 3.88
Draw 3.75 fair 3.54
Away ✓ 1.75 fair 2.18
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 1.61
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Atalanta
11 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 5
10 Fouls 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (307 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.77
Expected goals 0.90 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 14.3% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 11%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
0.70scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 21:40
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.37scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 41:27
Lecce all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

0.70 Goals scored 1.37
1.33 Goals conceded 0.90
2.03 Total goals 2.27
9.87 Shots 14.77
2.43 Shots on target 4.63
13.00 Shots faced 11.77
4.50 Corners 5.73
5.50 Corners against 4.37
12.67 Fouls 11.27
1.70 Yellow cards 1.57
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

23% Wins 43%
20% Draws 37%
57% Losses 20%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
60% Over 1.5 goals 77%
37% Over 2.5 goals 37%
13% Over 3.5 goals 17%
7% Over 4.5 goals 3%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
37% Both teams scored 53%
27% Clean sheets 37%
50% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 40%
53% Draws 30%
23% Losses 30%
57% Over 0.5 goals 77%
23% Over 1.5 goals 23%
3% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Atalanta all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
1.07points / match
0.73scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 11:19
Atalanta before this match, away
1.29points / match
1.14scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:14
Lecce at home away Atalanta

Per match

0.73 Goals scored 1.14
1.27 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 2.14
10.67 Shots 12.21
2.87 Shots on target 3.86
11.40 Shots faced 13.21
4.73 Corners 4.50
4.33 Corners against 5.14
12.80 Fouls 11.36
1.93 Yellow cards 1.93
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

27% Wins 29%
27% Draws 43%
47% Losses 29%
80% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 79%
47% Over 2.5 goals 29%
7% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 57%
27% Clean sheets 36%
53% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 29%
67% Draws 36%
13% Losses 36%
53% Over 0.5 goals 64%
33% Over 1.5 goals 21%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Roma – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Napoli – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.20 1.67
08.03.26 Lecce – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.004.00 2.75 1.44
28.02.26 Como – Lecce 3–1 (3–1) 1.384.509.50 2.03 1.83
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
16.02.26 Cagliari – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.63 1.50
08.02.26 Lecce – Udinese 2–1 (1–1) 3.102.882.63 2.75 1.44
01.02.26 Torino – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.104.50 2.63 1.50
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50
18.01.26 Milan – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.295.0013.00 1.91 1.91

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Atalanta – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.91 1.91
14.03.26 Inter – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.73 2.10
07.03.26 Atalanta – Udinese 2–2 (0–1) 1.673.705.50 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
22.02.26 Atalanta – Napoli 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.73
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
09.02.26 Atalanta – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Como – Atalanta 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.253.20 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Atalanta – Parma 4–0 (2–0) 1.424.507.50 1.73 2.10
16.01.26 Pisa – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 6.503.901.55 1.85 2.00

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.26 Lecce – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.004.00 2.75 1.44
21.02.26 Lecce – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 7.004.331.48 2.10 1.73
08.02.26 Lecce – Udinese 2–1 (1–1) 3.102.882.63 2.75 1.44
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50
11.01.26 Lecce – Parma 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.002.88 2.63 1.50
06.01.26 Lecce – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 5.253.501.73 2.20 1.67
27.12.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 4.753.301.80 2.30 1.62
12.12.25 Lecce – Pisa 1–0 (0–0) 2.502.883.30 2.75 1.44
30.11.25 Lecce – Torino 2–1 (2–0) 3.002.882.70 2.75 1.44
08.11.25 Lecce – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.752.902.90 2.63 1.50

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Inter – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.73 2.10
01.03.26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
01.02.26 Como – Atalanta 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.253.20 1.91 1.91
16.01.26 Pisa – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 6.503.901.55 1.85 2.00
07.01.26 Bologna – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.60 2.00 1.85
21.12.25 Genoa – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Verona – Atalanta 3–1 (2–0) 5.004.001.67 1.93 1.93
22.11.25 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Udinese – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lecce winsDrawsAtalanta wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25I1 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
27.04.25I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.24I1 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
18.05.24I1 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
30.12.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
19.02.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
09.11.22I1 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 23 3 5 71 26 +45 72
2 Milan 30 18 9 3 47 23 +24 63
3 Napoli 30 19 5 6 46 30 +16 62
4 Como 31 16 10 5 53 22 +31 58
5 Juventus 30 15 9 6 52 29 +23 54
6 Roma 31 17 3 11 42 28 +14 54
7 Atalanta 30 13 11 6 41 27 +14 50
8 Bologna 31 13 6 12 40 37 +3 45
9 Lazio 31 11 11 9 32 29 +3 44
10 Sassuolo 31 12 6 13 38 41 -3 42
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 35 42 -7 40
12 Torino 31 10 6 15 35 53 -18 36
13 Parma 31 8 11 12 22 39 -17 35
14 Genoa 30 8 9 13 36 42 -6 33
15 Fiorentina 31 7 11 13 36 44 -8 32
16 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 32 44 -12 30
17 Lecce 30 7 6 17 21 40 -19 27
18 Cremonese 31 6 9 16 26 46 -20 27
19 Verona 31 3 9 19 22 53 -31 18
20 Pisa 31 2 12 17 23 55 -32 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 2 2 44 15 +29 38
2 Napoli 14 10 4 0 25 13 +12 34
3 Como 16 9 5 2 31 11 +20 32
4 Roma 15 10 2 3 23 9 +14 32
5 Atalanta 16 9 5 2 25 13 +12 32
6 Milan 15 9 4 2 22 13 +9 31
7 Juventus 15 8 6 1 30 13 +17 30
8 Lazio 16 7 5 4 22 18 +4 26
9 Sassuolo 16 7 2 7 19 22 -3 23
10 Udinese 16 5 5 6 16 19 -3 20
11 Torino 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
12 Genoa 16 5 4 7 19 21 -2 19
13 Bologna 15 5 2 8 14 18 -4 17
14 Cagliari 15 4 4 7 16 18 -2 16
15 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
16 Fiorentina 15 3 6 6 19 20 -1 15
17 Parma 15 3 5 7 11 21 -10 14
18 Cremonese 15 2 6 7 13 23 -10 12
19 Pisa 16 2 4 10 7 19 -12 10
20 Verona 15 1 4 10 12 24 -12 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 1 3 27 11 +16 34
2 Milan 15 9 5 1 25 10 +15 32
3 Bologna 16 8 4 4 26 19 +7 28
4 Napoli 16 9 1 6 21 17 +4 28
5 Como 15 7 5 3 22 11 +11 26
6 Juventus 15 7 3 5 22 16 +6 24
7 Roma 16 7 1 8 19 19 0 22
8 Parma 16 5 6 5 11 18 -7 21
9 Udinese 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
10 Sassuolo 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
11 Atalanta 14 4 6 4 16 14 +2 18
12 Lazio 15 4 6 5 10 11 -1 18
13 Fiorentina 16 4 5 7 17 24 -7 17
14 Torino 16 4 4 8 16 30 -14 16
15 Cremonese 16 4 3 9 13 23 -10 15
16 Genoa 14 3 5 6 17 21 -4 14
17 Cagliari 16 3 5 8 16 26 -10 14
18 Lecce 15 3 2 10 10 21 -11 11
19 Verona 16 2 5 9 10 29 -19 11
20 Pisa 15 0 8 7 16 36 -20 8

Lecce   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 31 12 19 1.1 1.7 10 6 15 35 53 36
2 15 Fiorentina 31 13 18 1.2 1.4 7 11 13 36 44 32
3 19 Verona 31 13 18 0.7 1.7 3 9 19 22 53 18
4 3 Napoli 30 13 17 1.5 1.0 19 5 6 46 30 62
5 10 Sassuolo 31 14 17 1.2 1.3 12 6 13 38 41 42
6 14 Genoa 30 13 17 1.2 1.4 8 9 13 36 42 33
7 1 Inter 31 15 16 2.3 0.8 23 3 5 71 26 72
8 8 Bologna 31 16 15 1.3 1.2 13 6 12 40 37 45
9 11 Udinese 31 16 15 1.1 1.4 11 7 13 35 42 40
10 16 Cagliari 31 16 15 1.0 1.4 7 9 15 32 44 30
11 4 Como 31 17 14 1.7 0.7 16 10 5 53 22 58
12 5 Juventus 30 16 14 1.7 1.0 15 9 6 52 29 54
13 20 Pisa 31 17 14 0.7 1.8 2 12 17 23 55 18
14 2 Milan 30 17 13 1.6 0.8 18 9 3 47 23 63
15 18 Cremonese 31 18 13 0.8 1.5 6 9 16 26 46 27
16 6 Roma 31 20 11 1.4 0.9 17 3 11 42 28 54
17 7 Atalanta 30 19 11 1.4 0.9 13 11 6 41 27 50
18 17 Lecce 30 19 11 0.7 1.3 7 6 17 21 40 27
19 13 Parma 31 21 10 0.7 1.3 8 11 12 22 39 35
20 9 Lazio 31 23 8 1.0 0.9 11 11 9 32 29 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 16 5 11 2.8 0.9 12 2 2 44 15 38
2 3 Napoli 14 4 10 1.8 0.9 10 4 0 25 13 34
3 10 Sassuolo 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 7 2 7 19 22 23
4 12 Torino 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
5 14 Genoa 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 5 4 7 19 21 19
6 5 Juventus 15 7 8 2.0 0.9 8 6 1 30 13 30
7 15 Fiorentina 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 3 6 6 19 20 15
8 19 Verona 15 7 8 0.8 1.6 1 4 10 12 24 7
9 2 Milan 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 9 4 2 22 13 31
10 4 Como 16 9 7 1.9 0.7 9 5 2 31 11 32
11 7 Atalanta 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 25 13 32
12 11 Udinese 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 5 5 6 16 19 20
13 17 Lecce 15 8 7 0.7 1.3 4 4 7 11 19 16
14 8 Bologna 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 5 2 8 14 18 17
15 9 Lazio 16 10 6 1.4 1.1 7 5 4 22 18 26
16 18 Cremonese 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 7 13 23 12
17 13 Parma 15 10 5 0.7 1.4 3 5 7 11 21 14
18 16 Cagliari 15 10 5 1.1 1.2 4 4 7 16 18 16
19 6 Roma 15 11 4 1.5 0.6 10 2 3 23 9 32
20 20 Pisa 16 12 4 0.4 1.2 2 4 10 7 19 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 16 6 10 1.0 1.9 4 4 8 16 30 16
2 15 Fiorentina 16 6 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 7 17 24 17
3 16 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.0 1.6 3 5 8 16 26 14
4 19 Verona 16 6 10 0.6 1.8 2 5 9 10 29 11
5 20 Pisa 15 5 10 1.1 2.4 0 8 7 16 36 8
6 8 Bologna 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 8 4 4 26 19 28
7 10 Sassuolo 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
8 11 Udinese 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
9 14 Genoa 14 6 8 1.2 1.5 3 5 6 17 21 14
10 3 Napoli 16 9 7 1.3 1.1 9 1 6 21 17 28
11 4 Como 15 8 7 1.5 0.7 7 5 3 22 11 26
12 6 Roma 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 1 8 19 19 22
13 18 Cremonese 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 4 3 9 13 23 15
14 2 Milan 15 9 6 1.7 0.7 9 5 1 25 10 32
15 5 Juventus 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 22 16 24
16 1 Inter 15 10 5 1.8 0.7 11 1 3 27 11 34
17 13 Parma 16 11 5 0.7 1.1 5 6 5 11 18 21
18 7 Atalanta 14 10 4 1.1 1.0 4 6 4 16 14 18
19 17 Lecce 15 11 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 10 10 21 11
20 9 Lazio 15 13 2 0.7 0.7 4 6 5 10 11 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51