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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Napoli 3–1 Atalanta

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.34
Draw 3.25 fair 3.66
Away 3.40 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Napoli Atalanta
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
11 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Napoli to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
NapoliDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 12% 0–1 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Napoli before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.45scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:10
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.18scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:11
Napoli all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.18
0.91 Goals conceded 1.00
2.36 Total goals 2.18
14.18 Shots 14.55
5.18 Shots on target 4.09
11.00 Shots faced 10.45
5.82 Corners 6.09
3.18 Corners against 3.45
13.45 Fouls 9.91
1.45 Yellow cards 1.55
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

64% Wins 18%
9% Draws 64%
27% Losses 18%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 82%
45% Over 2.5 goals 27%
27% Over 3.5 goals 9%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 18%
27% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 45%
27% Losses 27%
64% Over 0.5 goals 73%
18% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli all matches
Atalanta all matches
Napoli before this match, at home
2.60points / match
1.80scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:4
Atalanta before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:4
Napoli at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.20
0.80 Goals conceded 0.80
2.60 Total goals 2.00
14.00 Shots 11.40
5.60 Shots on target 3.20
11.80 Shots faced 12.40
6.00 Corners 4.20
2.80 Corners against 4.60
14.40 Fouls 10.00
1.80 Yellow cards 1.80
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
20% Draws 60%
0% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
0% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Napoli at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Bologna – Napoli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.102.55 2.50 1.53
01.11.25 Napoli – Como 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.20 1.67
28.10.25 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 6.503.751.55 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Napoli – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.40 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Torino – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 5.253.301.80 2.20 1.67
05.10.25 Napoli – Genoa 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.008.00 2.20 1.67
28.09.25 Milan – Napoli 2–1 (2–0) 2.353.103.20 2.10 1.73
22.09.25 Napoli – Pisa 3–2 (1–0) 1.275.7512.00 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Fiorentina – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 3.503.102.25 2.38 1.57
30.08.25 Napoli – Cagliari 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.0011.00 1.85 2.00

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Atalanta – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Udinese – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.85 2.00
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Cremonese – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.62 1.88 1.98
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00
04.10.25 Atalanta – Como 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.25 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Juventus – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 2.03 1.83
21.09.25 Torino – Atalanta 0–3 (0–3) 3.253.402.20 2.20 1.67
14.09.25 Atalanta – Lecce 4–1 (1–0) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
30.08.25 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93

Napoli at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Napoli – Como 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Napoli – Inter 3–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.40 2.10 1.73
05.10.25 Napoli – Genoa 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.008.00 2.20 1.67
22.09.25 Napoli – Pisa 3–2 (1–0) 1.275.7512.00 1.83 2.03
30.08.25 Napoli – Cagliari 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.0011.00 1.85 2.00
23.05.25 Napoli – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.53 2.50
11.05.25 Napoli – Genoa 2–2 (1–1) 1.305.2511.00 2.06 1.84
27.04.25 Napoli – Torino 2–0 (2–0) 1.424.338.00 2.07 1.83
14.04.25 Napoli – Empoli 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.95 1.95
30.03.25 Napoli – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.703.75 2.02 1.88

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Udinese – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.85 2.00
25.10.25 Cremonese – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.62 1.88 1.98
27.09.25 Juventus – Atalanta 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 2.03 1.83
21.09.25 Torino – Atalanta 0–3 (0–3) 3.253.402.20 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Parma – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 4.103.501.91 1.93 1.93
17.05.25 Genoa – Atalanta 2–3 (1–0) 4.503.901.75 1.87 2.03
04.05.25 Monza – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 13.006.001.22 1.50 2.63
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
30.03.25 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
09.03.25 Juventus – Atalanta 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.04 1.86

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Napoli winsDrawsAtalanta wins
8matches
3.50goals / match
88%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25I1 Atalanta – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
03.11.24I1 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
30.03.24I1 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.603.40 1.80 2.00
25.11.23I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02
11.03.23I1 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
05.11.22I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (1–2) 3.303.602.15 1.66 2.20
03.04.22I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 1.94 1.96
04.12.21I1 Napoli – Atalanta 2–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 11 8 0 3 26 12 +14 24
2 Bologna 12 7 3 2 21 8 +13 24
3 Roma 11 8 0 3 12 5 +7 24
4 Milan 11 6 4 1 17 9 +8 22
5 Napoli 11 7 1 3 16 10 +6 22
6 Juventus 12 5 5 2 15 11 +4 20
7 Como 11 4 6 1 12 6 +6 18
8 Sassuolo 11 5 1 5 14 12 +2 16
9 Lazio 11 4 3 4 13 9 +4 15
10 Udinese 12 4 3 5 12 20 -8 15
11 Cremonese 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
12 Torino 11 3 5 3 10 16 -6 14
13 Atalanta 11 2 7 2 13 11 +2 13
14 Cagliari 12 2 5 5 12 17 -5 11
15 Lecce 11 2 4 5 8 14 -6 10
16 Pisa 11 1 6 4 8 14 -6 9
17 Parma 11 1 5 5 7 14 -7 8
18 Genoa 12 1 5 6 11 19 -8 8
19 Fiorentina 12 0 6 6 10 19 -9 6
20 Verona 11 0 6 5 6 16 -10 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 0 1 17 4 +13 15
2 Bologna 5 4 1 0 9 1 +8 13
3 Napoli 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
4 Milan 6 4 1 1 9 6 +3 13
5 Como 6 3 3 0 9 3 +6 12
6 Juventus 6 3 3 0 10 5 +5 12
7 Roma 6 4 0 2 7 3 +4 12
8 Lazio 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
9 Torino 5 2 2 1 5 6 -1 8
10 Udinese 6 2 2 2 6 10 -4 8
11 Atalanta 6 1 4 1 7 7 0 7
12 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
13 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 5 6 -1 6
14 Pisa 6 1 3 2 1 2 -1 6
15 Parma 6 1 3 2 6 8 -2 6
16 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
17 Verona 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
18 Lecce 6 0 3 3 3 7 -4 3
19 Genoa 6 0 3 3 2 8 -6 3
20 Fiorentina 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 5 4 0 1 5 2 +3 12
2 Bologna 7 3 2 2 12 7 +5 11
3 Sassuolo 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
4 Milan 5 2 3 0 8 3 +5 9
5 Inter 5 3 0 2 9 8 +1 9
6 Napoli 6 3 0 3 7 6 +1 9
7 Cremonese 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
8 Juventus 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
9 Lecce 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
10 Udinese 6 2 1 3 6 10 -4 7
11 Atalanta 5 1 3 1 6 4 +2 6
12 Como 5 1 3 1 3 3 0 6
13 Cagliari 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
14 Torino 6 1 3 2 5 10 -5 6
15 Genoa 6 1 2 3 9 11 -2 5
16 Lazio 6 1 2 3 3 5 -2 5
17 Fiorentina 6 0 4 2 4 8 -4 4
18 Pisa 5 0 3 2 7 12 -5 3
19 Verona 6 0 3 3 2 10 -8 3
20 Parma 5 0 2 3 1 6 -5 2

Napoli   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 11 3 8 2.4 1.1 8 0 3 26 12 24
2 18 Genoa 12 5 7 0.9 1.6 1 5 6 11 19 8
3 19 Fiorentina 12 5 7 0.8 1.6 0 6 6 10 19 6
4 2 Bologna 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 7 3 2 21 8 24
5 4 Milan 11 5 6 1.5 0.8 6 4 1 17 9 22
6 8 Sassuolo 11 5 6 1.3 1.1 5 1 5 14 12 16
7 10 Udinese 12 6 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 5 12 20 15
8 12 Torino 11 5 6 0.9 1.5 3 5 3 10 16 14
9 5 Napoli 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 7 1 3 16 10 22
10 11 Cremonese 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 3 12 13 14
11 14 Cagliari 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 2 5 5 12 17 11
12 15 Lecce 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 2 4 5 8 14 10
13 16 Pisa 11 7 4 0.7 1.3 1 6 4 8 14 9
14 17 Parma 11 7 4 0.6 1.3 1 5 5 7 14 8
15 20 Verona 11 7 4 0.5 1.5 0 6 5 6 16 6
16 6 Juventus 12 9 3 1.2 0.9 5 5 2 15 11 20
17 9 Lazio 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 4 3 4 13 9 15
18 13 Atalanta 11 8 3 1.2 1.0 2 7 2 13 11 13
19 3 Roma 11 9 2 1.1 0.5 8 0 3 12 5 24
20 7 Como 11 9 2 1.1 0.5 4 6 1 12 6 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 6 1 5 2.8 0.7 5 0 1 17 4 15
2 4 Milan 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 4 1 1 9 6 13
3 19 Fiorentina 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
4 5 Napoli 5 2 3 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
5 10 Udinese 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 2 2 6 10 8
6 12 Torino 5 2 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 1 5 6 8
7 17 Parma 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 3 2 6 8 6
8 2 Bologna 5 3 2 1.8 0.2 4 1 0 9 1 13
9 6 Juventus 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 3 0 10 5 12
10 8 Sassuolo 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 3 5 6 6
11 9 Lazio 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
12 11 Cremonese 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
13 13 Atalanta 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 1 4 1 7 7 7
14 14 Cagliari 6 4 2 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
15 15 Lecce 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 0 3 3 3 7 3
16 18 Genoa 6 4 2 0.3 1.3 0 3 3 2 8 3
17 20 Verona 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
18 3 Roma 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 4 0 2 7 3 12
19 7 Como 6 5 1 1.5 0.5 3 3 0 9 3 12
20 16 Pisa 6 6 0 0.2 0.3 1 3 2 1 2 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Genoa 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 1 2 3 9 11 5
2 2 Bologna 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 2 2 12 7 11
3 8 Sassuolo 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
4 16 Pisa 5 1 4 1.4 2.4 0 3 2 7 12 3
5 1 Inter 5 2 3 1.8 1.6 3 0 2 9 8 9
6 10 Udinese 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 1 3 6 10 7
7 12 Torino 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 3 2 5 10 6
8 19 Fiorentina 6 3 3 0.7 1.3 0 4 2 4 8 4
9 4 Milan 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 2 3 0 8 3 9
10 5 Napoli 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 0 3 7 6 9
11 11 Cremonese 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 2 2 2 6 7 8
12 14 Cagliari 6 4 2 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
13 15 Lecce 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
14 20 Verona 6 4 2 0.3 1.7 0 3 3 2 10 3
15 3 Roma 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 4 0 1 5 2 12
16 6 Juventus 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
17 7 Como 5 4 1 0.6 0.6 1 3 1 3 3 6
18 9 Lazio 6 5 1 0.5 0.8 1 2 3 3 5 5
19 13 Atalanta 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 1 6 4 6
20 17 Parma 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 3 1 6 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51